Gale Warning 967, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 251229 AAA
CWFAER

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AST FRI NOV 25 2005

UPDATED ZONE PKZ130

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-260300-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...A 985 MB LOW OVER WESTERN PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND WILL
DRIFT TO 100 NM SOUTH OF MIDDLETON ISLAND FRI NIGHT AT 1003 MB. THE
LOW WILL THEN DISSIPATE AS IT MOVES SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE GULF SAT.

$$

PKZ120-260300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AST FRI NOV 25 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT BY AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT.
SNOW.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT...EAST WINDS 20 KTS. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-260300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AST FRI NOV 25 2005

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-260300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AST FRI NOV 25 2005

.TODAY...WEST WIND 20 KTS BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT BY AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...NORTH WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KTS THROUGH CHANNELED
TERRAIN. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. ISOLATED SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-260300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AST FRI NOV 25 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...WEST WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-260300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AST FRI NOV 25 2005

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KTS IN KAMISHAK BAY. SEAS 9 FT.
SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-260300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AST FRI NOV 25 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SAT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-260300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AST FRI NOV 25 2005

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-260300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AST FRI NOV 25 2005

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-260300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AST FRI NOV 25 2005

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
100 PM AST THU NOV 24 2005

.DISCUSSION...GFS MODEL OVERALL THE BEST AND WILL BE USED FOR
AFTERNOON PACKAGES.

.EASTERN DOMAIN...STORM CENTER OVER THE NORTHERN GULF IS BASICALLY A
CARBON COPY OF YESTERDAY. 18Z ANAL PUT CENTER SE OF MIDDLETON ISLAND.
ARCTIC BOUNDARY EXTENDS FROM THE SOUTHERN COPPER RIVER BASIN...EAST
TO OVER WESTERN PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND...THEN SOUTH ALONG 145W. WARM
FRONT EXTENDS NORTH TO JUST WEST OF CORDOVA..THEN GOES ALOFT OVER THE
ARCTIC FRONT VICINITY COPPER RIVER BASIN. EXPECT WARM TROUGH
ALOFT/OVERRUNNING PRECIPITATION TO SPREAD WEST AND NORTH THROUGH
TODAY. SIGNIFICANT SNOW AMOUNTS COPPER RIVER BASIN/SOUTHCENTRAL
TODAY. SNOW WILL DIMINISH THESE AREAS TONIGHT AS LOW MOVES INLAND AND
WEAKENS. SOME SNOW SHOWERS WILL LINGER THROUGH TONIGHT AND NEXT
COUPLE DAYS SOUTHCENTRAL UNTIL UPPER TROUGH MOVES THROUGH SAT NIGHT.
FREEZING RAIN LIKELY THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON OVER THE EASTERN
COPPER RIVER BASIN WITH WARM OVERRUNNING. EXPECT TEMPS WILL COOL
ALOFT THROUGH THIS EVENING SO FREEZING RAIN POTENTIAL SHOULD END.

.WEST DOMAIN...UPPER TROUGH CONTINUES OVER THE SW MAINLAND THROUGH
SAT AND IS REPLACED BY RIDGE SAT NIGHT/SUN. EXPECT SCATTERED SNOW
SHOWERS THROUGHOUT THE AREA UNTIL TROUGH CLEARS. AREAS OF LOW ALSO
WILL HANG AROUND...MAINLY COASTAL AREAS. BRISK NW FLOW AND SNOW
SHOWERS WILL BE GENERAL RULE EASTERN BERING SEA/EAST ALEUTIANS/AK PEN
THROUGH FRI. DEVELOPING LOW MOVES TO WESTERN BERING SEA SAT.
ASSOCIATED FRONT MOVES TO CENTRAL ALEUTIANS BY SAT AM. SOUTHERLY
GALES/STORMS IN ADVANCE OF FRONT WILL SPREAD TO EAST/CENTRAL
ALEUTIANS EARLY SAT.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NO WARNING...NUMEROUS ADVISORIES.
MARINE...SEE CURRENT PACKAGE.

RMC NOV 05