Gale Warning 201, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 030154 AAB
CWFAER

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
500 PM AST WED FEB 2 2005

AMENDED MARINE AREAS 2B 2B1 3A 3C

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-031500-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 995 MB LOW JUST EAST OF MIDDLETON ISLAND WILL MOVE TO 110 NM EAST
OF MIDDLETON ISLAND AS IT WEAKENS TO 1016 MB THU AFTERNOON. THIS LOW
WILL THEN MOVE TO 50 NM SOUTHWEST OF SITKA FRI AFTERNOON. A WEAK
TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE REMAINS ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST THROUGH
FRI.

$$

PKZ120-031500-
AREA 2B. CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AST WED FEB 2 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT..

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. HIGHER GUSTS OUT OF NORTHERN
BAYS AND PASSES. STRONGER GUSTS TO 60 KT OUT OF THE COPPER RIVER
DELTA. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT WITH HIGHER GUSTS. STRONGER
GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF THE COPPER RIVER DELTA. SEAS 6 FT. 
FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. STRONGER GUSTS TO 35 KT THROUGH
BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 

$$

PKZ121-031500-
AREA 2B1. RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AST WED FEB 2 2005

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT THIS EVENING. SEAS 4 FT.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN AND MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ125-031500-
AREA 2C. PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AST WED FEB 2 2005

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. HIGHER GUSTS THROUGH BAYS AND
PASSES. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. HIGHER GUSTS THROUGH BAYS AND PASSES.
SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. STRONGER GUSTS TO 35 KT
THROUGH BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN AND MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
$$

PKZ129-031500-
AREA 2C4. PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AST WED FEB 2 2005

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KTS THIS EVENING. 
SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-031500-
AREA 3A. BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AST WED FEB 2 2005

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ132-031500-
AREA 3B. SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AST WED FEB 2 2005

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT THROUGH BAYS AND PASSES.
SEAS 11 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT.


$$

PKZ138-031500-
AREA 3C. SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AST WED FEB 2 2005

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT WITH HIGHER GUSTS. STRONGER GUSTS TO 40 KT
WEST OF KARLUK. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN AND MON...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ140-031500-
AREA 4. COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AST WED FEB 2 2005

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-031500-
AREA 4A. KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AST WED FEB 2 2005

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION SOUTHWEST ALASKA
1250 PM AST WED FEB 2 2005

.DISCUSSION...GOES IMAGERY SHOWS AN EXTENSIVE AREA OF LOW CLOUDS AND
MODIFIED ARCTIC AIR COVERING MUCH OF THE OPEN WATERS OF THE CENTRAL
AND EASTERN BERING SEA. FRONT BRINGING WIND AND MILDER TEMPS TO THE
FAR WESTERN ALEUTIANS WILL PUSH MOSTLY EASTWARD AND STALL OUT OVER
THE SOUTHERN BERING AND PUSH EASTWARD TO NEAR NIKOLSKI FRI MORNING.
MINIMAL STORMS LIKELY FOR MARINE AREA 13 TONIGHT THEN MAINLY GALES IN
ADVANCE OF THE SYSTEM BEYOND THAT. SNOW MAY REACH THE EASTERN
ALEUTIANS AS EARLY AS THU MORNING AND CONTINUE THRU FRI.

WEAKER ETA MODEL MIGHT BE BETTER WITH NEXT STORM THAT MOVES TO ADAK
ON SAT. BOTH MODELS SHOW A SIMILAR TRACK SO EITHER WAY EASTERLY GALES
AND MINIMUM STORMS ARE LIKELY FROM AMCHITKA ISLAND EASTWARD TO UNMAK
ISLAND LATE FRI NIGHT AND SAT.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...STORM 13B. GALE 12B..13A.

PERCY FEB 05