Alert archive / Georgia / Mesoscale Discussions in 2004

Mesoscale Discussion 1021

May 31, 20044 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at May 31, 2004, 2:27 PM EDT for 4 states. It was in force for 63 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 31, 2004, 2:27 PM EDT (18:27 UTC)
Expired
May 31, 2004, 3:30 PM EDT
In force
63 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 26 counties

Hamilton County, FL, Atkinson County, GA, Brantley County, GA, Chatham County, GA, Clinch County, GA, Echols County, GA, Lanier County, GA, Liberty County, GA, Long County, GA, McIntosh County, GA, Pierce County, GA, Ware County, GA, Wayne County, GA, Bladen County, NC, Columbus County, NC, Beaufort County, SC, Berkeley County, SC, Charleston County, SC, Clarendon County, SC, Colleton County, SC, Dorchester County, SC, Florence County, SC, Georgetown County, SC, Horry County, SC, Marion County, SC, Williamsburg County, SC

The radar

The Charleston,SC radar (KCLX), 54 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:29 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Charleston AFB, SC (KCHS), launched 12:00Z, 6.5 hours before the alert went out and 129 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Charleston AFB, SC at 12:00Z on 2004-05-31Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 712 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Charleston AFB, SC at 12:00Z on 2004-05-31The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 15 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
712 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-109 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1142 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
29 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
15 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-1 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

417 
ACUS11 KWNS 311827
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 311827 
NCZ000-SCZ000-GAZ000-FLZ000-311930-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1021
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0127 PM CDT MON MAY 31 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...SERN GA/SRN-ERN SC/PORTIONS SRN NC

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 354...

VALID 311827Z - 311930Z

GREATEST SEVERE POTENTIAL DURING THE NEXT 1-2 HOURS IS EXPECTED
ACROSS PORTIONS OF SERN GA...WHILE THE LACK OF LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE
NEWD ACROSS ERN SC/SRN NC WILL LIKELY LIMIT THE THUNDERSTORM AND
SEVERE POTENTIAL OVER THESE AREAS.

18Z SURFACE ANALYSIS COMBINED WITH VIS/RADAR IMAGERY SHOWED AN
OUTFLOW BOUNDARY EXTENDING FROM SRN SC...NEAR 35 SW CHS...SWWD
ACROSS SERN GA.  THE STRONGEST STORM WAS LOCATED OVER LOWNDES COUNTY
AND IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE FAR SWRN PORTION OF WW 354 FROM
ECHOLS CHARLTON COUNTIES INTO SRN-SERN GA THROUGH 20Z. AIR MASS
SOUTH OF THE E AND SEWD MOVING OUTFLOW BOUNDARY IS MODERATELY
UNSTABLE WITH DEEP LAYER SHEAR INCREASING TO 30 KT FOR ORGANIZED
STORMS WITH HAIL/DAMAGING WINDS POSSIBLE.

..PETERS.. 05/31/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...RAH...ILM...CHS...CAE...JAX...TAE...

30448305 31248309 31928133 32598069 33828056 34907829
32887829 31348137

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 31, 10:21 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBay, Calhoun, Escambia, Gadsden, Gulf, Holmes and 9 more54 min
May 31, 11:00 AM EDTTornado WatchSPCEscambia, Gadsden, Holmes, Jackson, Okaloosa, Santa Rosa and 2 more6 hr
May 31, 11:18 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCNassau27 min
May 31, 11:40 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCHamilton6 hr
May 31, 2:06 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCEscambia, Gadsden, Holmes, Jackson, Okaloosa, Santa Rosa and 2 more54 min
May 31, 3:10 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAlachua, Baker, Bradford, Clay, Columbia, Duval and 5 more5 hr
May 31, 4:30 PM EDTTornado WatchSPCBay, Calhoun, Gadsden, Hamilton, Holmes, Jackson and 5 more4 hr
May 31, 6:28 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlachua, Baker, Bradford, Clay, Columbia, Duval and 3 more92 min
May 31, 6:59 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBay, Calhoun, Gadsden, Jefferson, Leon, Liberty and 1 more61 min
May 31, 7:30 PM EDTTornado WatchSPCBaker, Bradford, Clay, Columbia, Duval, Hamilton and 5 more4 hr
May 30, 10:15 PM EDTTornado WatchSPCDade7 hr
May 31, 12:05 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDade55 min
May 31, 1:40 AM EDTTornado WatchSPCBanks, Bartow, Catoosa, Chattooga, Cherokee, Dawson and 21 more5 hr
May 31, 2:06 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDade84 min
May 31, 4:40 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBanks, Bartow, Catoosa, Chattooga, Cherokee, Dawson and 21 more95 min
May 31, 4:45 AM EDTTornado WatchSPCBarrow, Butts, Carroll, Clayton, Cobb, Coweta and 22 more5 hr
May 31, 6:31 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCButts, Carroll, Clayton, Cobb, Coweta, Crawford and 20 more119 min
May 31, 9:10 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBurke, Columbia, Elbert, Glascock, Greene, Hancock and 12 more5 hr
May 31, 5:50 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAlamance, Alexander, Anson, Cabarrus, Caswell, Catawba and 21 more5 hr
May 31, 7:56 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlamance, Anson, Cabarrus, Caswell, Davidson, Davie and 13 more2 hr
May 31, 12:46 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCRobeson, Sampson29 min
May 31, 3:50 PM EDTTornado WatchSPCCamden, Currituck, Pasquotank6 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Georgia, 2004Mesoscale Discussions in South Carolina, 2004Mesoscale Discussions in North Carolina, 2004Every mesoscale discussion in 2004

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.