Alert archive / Nebraska / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2004

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 149, NWS Hastings, NE

June 12, 2004Nuckolls County, Nebraska

NWS Hastings, NE issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 12, 2004, 5:08 PM CDT for Nuckolls County, Nebraska. It was in force for 67 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jun 12, 2004, 5:08 PM CDT (22:08 UTC)
Expired: Jun 12, 2004, 6:15 PM CDT
In force: 67 min
Issued by: NWS Hastings, NE
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Nuckolls County, NE

The radar

The Grand Island radar (KUEX), 33 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:12 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Jun 12, 11:45 AM CDT	Tornado Watch	SPC	7 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Omaha, NE (KOAX), launched 12:00Z, 10.1 hours before the alert went out and 189 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 232 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -305 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 2084 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 36 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 13 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 18 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: -0.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS53 KGID 122208
SVRGID
NEC129-122315-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
508 PM CDT SAT JUN 12 2004

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HASTINGS HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  NUCKOLLS COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA

* UNTIL 615 PM CDT

* AT 507 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL.  THIS
  STORM WAS LOCATED 11 MILES WEST OF NELSON...OR ABOUT 25 MILES SOUTH
  OF HASTINGS...AND MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  NELSON AROUND 540 PM CDT...
  NORA AROUND 600 PM CDT...
  OAK AROUND 610 PM CDT...
  RUSKIN AROUND 615 PM CDT...

LAT...LON 4032 9825 4009 9826 4006 9782 4033 9782

$$

AWJ

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Hastings, NE wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 12, 3:00 PM CDT, 2 hours 8 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 12, 3:00 PM CDT, 2 hours 8 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE ...CORRECT ISSUE TIME...
300 PM CDT SAT JUN 12 2004

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH 12Z TUESDAY. MAIN INTEREST DURING THIS
TIME INCLUDES PRECIPITATION CHANCES THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING AND
MONDAY NIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP AGAIN ALONG THE WARM FRONT AND DRY LINE
THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING AS SHORT WAVE MOVES INTO THE AREA. AS THE
SHORT WAVE MOVES OFF TO THE EAST...THE PRECIPITATION WILL END
OVERNIGHT FOR MOST OF THE FORECAST AREA.

THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL WAVER ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA SUNDAY
THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. ANOTHER SHORT WAVE WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA
SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND BRING ANOTHER CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION TO THE
AREA. THE PRECIPITATION WILL LINGER INTO THE EVENING SUNDAY. ANOTHER
SHORT WAVE WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE
UPPER LEVEL WAVE IS WEAKER...BUT THERE IS BETTER MOISTURE.

MADE ONLY A FEW MINOR CHANGES TO THE TEMPERATURES DURING THIS
PERIOD. GREATEST CONCERN IS FOR HIGHS ON SUNDAY SINCE MODELS HANDLE
THE STRENGTH AND LOCATION OF THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY DIFFERENTLY. ETA
IS STRONGER AND A LITTLE MORE EAST WHILE THE GFS IS WEAKER AND
SLIGHTLY FURTHER WEST. HAVE FOLLOWED CLOSER TO THE ETA AND WARMED
TEMPERATURES A LITTLE FOR SUNDAY. DID NOT MAKE ANY OTHER CHANGES TO
THE TEMPERATURES.

.LONG TERM...FOR TUESDAY AND BEYOND MEDIUM RANGE MODELS ARE STILL
SHOWING LITTLE CONSISTENCY IN PATTERN EVOLUTION FOR THE MIDDLE OF
NEXT WEEK BUT THEN CONVERGE ON A SIMILAR SOLUTION BY NEXT WEEKEND.
UPPER PATTERN IS SHOWN TO EVOLVE FROM A ZONAL FLOW REGIME TO A
NORTHWEST FLOW PATTERN AS A RESULT OF AN AMPLIFYING RIDGE OVER THE
WESTERN CONUS BY NEXT SATURDAY.  HOWEVER...HOW THE MODELS GET THERE
IS QUITE A BIT DIFFERENT AS GFS ATTEMPTS TO SLIDE A HEALTHY NORTHERN
STREAM WAVE ACROSS AREA TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY THEN KEEPS AREA UNDER
NORTHWEST FLOW AS THE UPPER RIDGE BUILDS IN THE WEST.  IN CONTRAST
THE ECMWF ESSENTIALLY AMPLIFIES UPPER RIDGE RIDGE IN THE WEST AND
SLOWLY TAKES UPPER FLOW TO THE NORTHWEST WITH LITTLE SIGN OF A
STRONG WAVE MOVING ACROSS THE REGION DURING THE MID WEEK TIME
PERIOD.  AT THIS POINT HAVE LITTLE CONFIDENCE IN EITHER SOLUTION BUT
IT APPEARS AS THOUGH REGION WILL SEE A CHANCE OF PRECIP THROUGH
WEDNESDAY AND THEN DRY FOR THE REST OF WEEK AS DRIER AIR PUSHES INTO
AREA.  WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES ABOVE SEASONAL NORMALS THROUGH MID
WEEK THEN AT OR BELOW FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK.

&&

.GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...NONE.
KS...NONE.

&&

JCB/AWJ

Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 12, 11:58 AM CDT, 5 hours 10 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
1158 AM CDT SAT JUN 12 2004

KSZ005-017-NEZ039>041-046>048-060>062-072>074-082>084-131200-
BUFFALO-DAWSON-FRANKLIN-FURNAS-GOSPER-GREELEY-HALL-HARLAN-HOWARD-
KEARNEY-MERRICK-NANCE-PHELPS-PHILLIPS-ROOKS-SHERMAN-VALLEY-
1158 AM CDT SAT JUN 12 2004

CORRECTED MISSING WORD

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PARTS OF SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA
AND NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER...NORTH AND WEST OF A LINE
FROM FULLERTON NEBRASKA...TO HASTINGS...TO OSBORNE KANSAS. WARM
MOIST AIR MOVING INTO THE AREA BEHIND A WARM FRONT WILL INTERACT
WITH THE FRONT TO PRODUCE AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS.  WITH
SUFFICIENT WIND SHEAR...THE THUNDERSTORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE DURING
THE AFTERNOON HOURS...WITH LARGE HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF GOLF BALLS
AND WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH BEING THE MAIN THREATS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

THERE WILL BE CHANCES OF THUNDERSTORMS SUNDAY AND MONDAY.  THE
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE FURTHER MONITORED FOR ANY SEVERE
WEATHER POTENTIAL.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATER THIS AFTERNOON OR EVENING.

&&

FOR MORE INFORMATION...LOG ONTO THE HASTINGS NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE WEB-PAGE AT WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/GID

KSZ006-007-018-019-NEZ049-063-064-075>077-085>087-131200-
ADAMS-CLAY-FILLMORE-HAMILTON-JEWELL-MITCHELL-NUCKOLLS-OSBORNE-POLK-
SMITH-THAYER-WEBSTER-YORK-
1158 AM CDT SAT JUN 12 2004

CORRECTED MISSING WORD

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PARTS OF SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA
AND NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS.

...TORNADO WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM...

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP IN THE VICINITY OF A WARM FRONT AND DRY
LINE THIS AFTERNOON. THE GREATEST CHANCE OF SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE
TO THE EAST OF A LINE FROM FULLERTON NEBRASKA...TO HASTINGS...TO
OSBORNE KANSAS. WIND SHEAR IN THE ATMOSPHERE WILL BE SUFFICIENT
TO PRODUCE TORNADOES...HAIL TO BASEBALL SIZE AND WINDS OVER 60 MPH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

THERE WILL BE CHANCES OF THUNDERSTORMS ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY.  THE
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE FURTHER MONITORED FOR ANY SEVERE
WEATHER POTENTIAL.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS EXPECTED BETWEEN 2 PM AND 10 PM THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING.

&&

FOR MORE INFORMATION...LOG ONTO THE HASTINGS NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE WEB-PAGE AT WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/GID

LAWRENCE/JCB

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jun 12, 3:38 PM CDT, 1 hour 30 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
338 PM CDT SAT JUN 12 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0241 PM     HAIL             BLOOMINGTON             40.09N 99.04W
06/12/2004  0.75 INCH        FRANKLIN           NE   PUBLIC

&&

NOAA/NWS/MORITZ

Local storm report, Jun 12, 3:43 PM CDT, 1 hour 25 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
343 PM CDT SAT JUN 12 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0338 PM     HAIL             CLAY CENTER             40.52N 98.05W
06/12/2004  1.75 INCH        CLAY               NE   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

LAWRENCE

Local storm report, Jun 12, 4:04 PM CDT, 1 hour 4 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
404 PM CDT SAT JUN 12 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0404 PM     HAIL             HASTINGS                40.59N 98.39W
06/12/2004  0.75 INCH        ADAMS              NE   PUBLIC

&&

LAWRENCE

Local storm report, Jun 12, 4:36 PM CDT, 32 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
436 PM CDT SAT JUN 12 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0432 PM     HAIL             6 ESE CLAY CENTER       40.49N 97.95W
06/12/2004  2.00 INCH        CLAY               NE   CO-OP OBSERVER

            HAIL RANGED IN SIZE FROM 3/4 INCH TO 2 INCHES IN
            DIAMETER.

&&

LAWRENCE

Local storm report, Jun 12, 4:44 PM CDT, 24 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
444 PM CDT SAT JUN 12 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0443 PM     HAIL             FRANKLIN                40.10N 98.95W
06/12/2004  1.00 INCH        FRANKLIN           NE   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

LAWRENCE

Local storm report, Jun 12, 4:50 PM CDT, 18 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
450 PM CDT SAT JUN 12 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0420 PM     HAIL             5 W MCCOOL JUNCTION     40.74N 97.69W
06/12/2004  1.00 INCH        YORK               NE   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

LAWRENCE

The office that day

Everything else NWS Hastings, NE issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jun 12, 10:00 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GID	Clay	30 min
Jun 12, 10:09 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GID	Fillmore	66 min
Jun 12, 10:13 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GID	Nuckolls	47 min
Jun 12, 11:32 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GID	Merrick, Polk	28 min
Jun 12, 11:39 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GID	Hall	51 min
Jun 12, 2:30 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GID	Fillmore	45 min
Jun 12, 3:10 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	GID	Fillmore	65 min
Jun 12, 3:18 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GID	Franklin	57 min
Jun 12, 3:20 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GID	Clay	55 min
Jun 12, 3:58 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GID	York	62 min
Jun 12, 4:00 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GID	Adams	60 min
Jun 12, 4:11 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GID	Hamilton	64 min
Jun 12, 4:13 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GID	Clay, Fillmore	62 min
Jun 12, 4:19 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GID	Franklin	56 min
Jun 12, 4:37 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GID	Hall	53 min
Jun 12, 4:45 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GID	Webster	60 min
Jun 12, 5:16 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GID	Clay, Fillmore	44 min
Jun 12, 5:21 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	GID	Clay, Fillmore	6 hr
Jun 12, 6:26 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GID	Nuckolls, Thayer	64 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Nebraska, 2004 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2004

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.