Alert archive / New Mexico / Flash Flood Warnings in 2004

Flash Flood Warning 50, NWS Albuquerque, NM

October 5, 2004De Baca County, New Mexico

NWS Albuquerque, NM issued this flash flood warning at Oct 5, 2004, 5:25 PM MDT for De Baca County, New Mexico. It was in force for 95 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Oct 5, 2004, 5:25 PM MDT (23:25 UTC)
Expired: Oct 5, 2004, 7:00 PM MDT
In force: 95 min
Issued by: NWS Albuquerque, NM
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County De Baca County, NM

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this flash flood warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Albuquerq/Krtlnd, NM (KABQ), launched 12:00Z, 11.4 hours before the alert went out and 218 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 465 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -81 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1157 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 52 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 179 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 312 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.6
Supercell composite: 5.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WGUS55 KABQ 052328 CCA
FFWABQ
NMC011-060100-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
525 PM MDT TUE OCT 5 2004

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBUQUERQUE HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  NORTHERN DE BACA COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL NEW MEXICO

* UNTIL 700 PM MDT

* AT 520 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
  HEAVY RAIN FROM 11 MILES NORTHEAST OF SUMNER LAKE TO YESO...OR FROM
  15 MILES NORTH OF FORT SUMNER TO 21 MILES WEST OF FORT SUMNER...   
  MOVING EAST TO SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

* THUNDERSTORMS WITH EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL BE...
  OVER FORT SUMNER AT 540 PM MDT

DO NOT DRIVE INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. MANY FLASH
FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES.

LAT...LON 3476 10419 3444 10476 3426 10452 3448 10398
      3461 10413

$$

1 follow-up statement

000 
WGUS75 KABQ 060002
FFSABQ
NMC011-060100-

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
602 PM MDT TUE OCT 5 2004

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR DE BACA COUNTY IN 
NEW MEXICO UNTIL 700 PM MDT...

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED VERY HEAVY RAINFALL
WAS CONTINUING OVER THE WARNED AREA. ADDITIONAL FLASH FLOODING IS
EXPECTED.

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM THIS STORM WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING OF SMALL
STREAMS...ARROYOS AND DITCHES...HIGHWAYS...STREETS AND UNDERPASSES AS
WELL AS POOR DRAINAGE AND LOW LYING AREAS.

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM THIS STORM WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING OF SMALL
STREAMS AND ARROYOS...POOR DRAINAGE AND LOW LYING AREAS.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Albuquerque, NM wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Oct 5, 3:30 PM MDT, 1 hour 55 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 5, 3:30 PM MDT, 1 hour 55 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED TO ADD MORE COUNTIES TO THE FFA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
330 PM MDT TUE OCT 5 2004

.DISCUSSION...DUE TO A VERY ACTIVE SEVERE WEATHER DAY...WILL MAKE
THIS SHORT AND TO THE POINT. THE UPR LVL LOW IS MOVING THROUGH THE
FOUR CORNERS AREA. THIS COMBINED WITH FAVORABLE WIND PROFILES...
STRONG CAPES...AND ABUNDANT LOW LEVEL MOISTURE IS RESULT IN IN
NUMEROUS SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE AREA. FLOODING WILL BE A
MAJOR CONCERN AGAIN TONIGHT ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST PLAINS. DUE TO THIS
CONCERN...WILL EXTEND THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 6 AM WEDNESDAY.
BEYOND TONIGHT WILL SEE A DECREASE IN SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY AS THE UPR LVL TROF AXIS SHIFTS EAST. HOWEVER AN UNSETTLED
WEATHER PATTERN WILL REMAIN THROUGH THE WEEK. BY THE WEEKEND...WILL
SEE A BREAK IN THE PRECIP...HOWEVER BY EARLY NEXT WEEK ANOTHER
SYSTEM APPROACHING ANOTHER SLIGHT CHANCE OF POPS REMAINS IN THE
FORECAST.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
FARMINGTON................ 044/068 043/071 041 16512
GALLUP.................... 037/068 034/071 034 16312
GRANTS.................... 039/067 037/070 036 16433
GLENWOOD.................. 048/076 049/078 045 16222
CHAMA..................... 033/056 031/063 032 16633
LOS ALAMOS................ 042/059 040/064 041 16733
RED RIVER................. 031/052 029/058 028 16743
TAOS...................... 038/063 035/066 036 16733
SANTA FE.................. 039/062 037/065 040 16733
SANTA FE AIRPORT.......... 043/065 041/068 042 16733
ESPANOLA.................. 042/066 040/071 039 16633
ALBUQUERQUE HEIGHTS....... 050/071 049/073 050 16723
ALBUQUERQUE VALLEY........ 047/072 046/074 048 16623
ALBUQUERQUE FOOTHILLS..... 047/069 046/071 049 16733
ALBUQUERQUE WEST MESA..... 050/071 049/073 048 16623
SOCORRO................... 049/072 048/074 047 16623
SANDIA PARK/CEDAR CREST... 042/062 040/066 042 16833
MORIARTY/ESTANCIA......... 038/065 037/069 038 16833
CARRIZOZO................. 049/069 049/069 047 16733
RUIDOSO................... 046/063 046/062 044 16744
RATON..................... 039/065 037/071 038 16733
LAS VEGAS................. 040/064 038/066 039 16833
ROY....................... 045/065 043/069 042 16743
CLAYTON................... 050/067 048/070 050 16763
SANTA ROSA................ 049/068 047/071 045 16843
TUCUMCARI................. 054/069 052/074 050 16864
FORT SUMNER............... 052/070 051/072 050 16844
CLOVIS.................... 055/067 052/071 051 16864
PORTALES.................. 055/068 052/072 052 16864
ROSWELL................... 056/075 056/074 052 16844
&&

.ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLASH FLOOD WATCH NMC005-009-011-019-021-027-033-037-041-047-057-
061200-
TORNADO WATCH NMC001-005-009-011-019-027-028-037-041-043-047-
049-053-057-061-060000-.

&&

16

Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 5, 6:00 AM MDT, 11 hours 25 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
600 AM MDT TUE OCT 5 2004

NMZ001>021-026-061200-
CAPITAN/NORTHERN SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS-
CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS/ESTANCIA VALLEY-CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-
CONCHAS LAKE/GUADALUPE COUNTY-CURRY COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-
FAR NORTHEAST PLAINS-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF CHAVES COUNTY-
HARDING COUNTY-LINCOLN COUNTY HIGH PLAINS/HONDO VALLEY-
LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY/ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-
NORTHWEST MOUNTAINS INCLUDING JEMEZ-NORTHWEST PLATEAU-QUAY COUNTY-
ROOSEVELT COUNTY-SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS/UPPER GILA REGION-UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
WESTCENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
600 AM MDT TUE OCT 5 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH AND CENTRAL NEW MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY

WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS THE
EASTERN TWO THIRDS OF THE AREA TODAY AND TONIGHT. A FEW OF THE
STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE...MAINLY ALONG AND EAST OF THE CENTRAL
MOUNTAIN CHAIN AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 40. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING
WINDS ARE THE MAIN THREATS...BUT HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING
WILL ALSO BE A CONCERN. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF
EAST CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO THROUGH MIDNIGHT TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...

LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL AGAIN BE A CONCERN ACROSS THE EASTERN
PLAINS ON WEDNESDAY. OTHERWISE...HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS
EASTERN SOCORRO...TORRANCE...LINCOLN...GUADALUPE...DE
BACA...CHAVES...CURRY...ROOSEVELT AND QUAY COUNTIES. SPOTTERS AREA
WIDE ARE ENCOURAGED TO CALL OUR OFFICE TOLL FREE AT 1-888-386-7637
WITH REPORTS OF SEVERE WEATHER AND FLASH FLOODING.

KJ

In the hours before

Local storm report, Oct 5, 2:18 PM MDT, 3 hours 7 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
218 PM MDT TUE OCT 05 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0142 PM     HAIL             W PICACHO               33.35N 105.14W
10/05/2004  1.25 INCH        LINCOLN            NM   CO-OP OBSERVER

0125 PM     HAIL             BELEN                   34.66N 106.78W
10/05/2004  1.75 INCH        VALENCIA           NM   LAW ENFORCEMENT

0125 PM     HAIL             BELEN                   34.66N 106.78W
10/05/2004  1.75 INCH        VALENCIA           NM   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

DS

Local storm report, Oct 5, 2:40 PM MDT, 2 hours 45 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
240 PM MDT TUE OCT 05 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0219 PM     HAIL             3 S ESCONDIDA           34.06N 106.90W
10/05/2004  1.75 INCH        SOCORRO            NM   TRAINED SPOTTER

0206 PM     HAIL             SOCORRO                 34.06N 106.90W
10/05/2004  0.88 INCH        SOCORRO            NM   TRAINED SPOTTER

0135 PM     HAIL             BELEN                   34.66N 106.78W
10/05/2004  1.75 INCH        VALENCIA           NM   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

DS

Local storm report, Oct 5, 2:57 PM MDT, 2 hours 28 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
257 PM MDT TUE OCT 05 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0222 PM     HAIL             SOCORRO                 34.06N 106.90W
10/05/2004  3.00 INCH        SOCORRO            NM   TRAINED SPOTTER

0130 PM     HAIL             ALBUQUERQUE             35.12N 106.62W
10/05/2004  0.75 INCH        BERNALILLO         NM   PUBLIC

1015 AM     HAIL             4 W ALAMEDA             35.20N 106.69W
10/05/2004  0.75 INCH        BERNALILLO         NM   TRAINED SPOTTER

1010 AM     HAIL             3 NW CORRALES           35.27N 106.66W
10/05/2004  0.88 INCH        SANDOVAL           NM   PUBLIC

&&

DS

Local storm report, Oct 5, 3:09 PM MDT, 2 hours 16 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
309 PM MDT TUE OCT 05 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0130 AM     HAIL             N ENCINO                34.65N 105.46W
10/05/2004  2.75 INCH        TORRANCE           NM   PUBLIC

0130 AM     HAIL             5 W ENCINO              34.65N 105.55W
10/05/2004  2.75 INCH        TORRANCE           NM   PUBLIC

            WINDOWS BROKEN OUT OF HOUSE

&&

DS

Local storm report, Oct 5, 3:28 PM MDT, 1 hour 57 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT ... CORRECTION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
328 PM MDT TUE OCT 05 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0219 PM     HAIL             SOCORRO                 34.06N 106.90W
10/05/2004  1.75 INCH        SOCORRO            NM   PUBLIC

&&

DS

Special weather statement, Oct 5, 3:50 PM MDT, 1 hour 35 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
350 PM MDT TUE OCT 5 2004

NMZ002>004-008>011-060000-
CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS/ESTANCIA VALLEY-MIDDLE RIO GRANDE
VALLEY/ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-NORTHWEST MOUNTAINS INCLUDING
JEMEZ-SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-UPPER RIO
GRANDE VALLEY-WESTCENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
350 PM MDT TUE OCT 5 2004

...TORNADO WATCH 850 NO LONGER IN EFFECT...

TORNADO WATCH HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING
COUNTIES...BERNALILLO...LOS ALAMOS...SANDOVAL...AND SANTA FE.  SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS HAVE MOVED EAST OUT OF THE AREA.

NMZ004-005-008-010>021-026-060000-
CAPITAN/NORTHERN SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS-CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS/ESTANCIA
VALLEY-CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-CONCHAS LAKE/GUADALUPE COUNTY-CURRY
COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF CHAVES COUNTY-LINCOLN
COUNTY HIGH PLAINS/HONDO VALLEY-LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-NORTHEAST
HIGHLANDS-QUAY COUNTY-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-SANDIA/MANZANO
MOUNTAINS-SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS/UPPER GILA
REGION-WESTCENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
350 PM MDT TUE OCT 5 2004

...TORNADO WATCH 850 REMAINS IN EFFECT...

TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT OVER EAST CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO MAINLY EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF A LINE FROM LAS VEGAS TO MORIARTY
TO SOCORRO.

16

The office that day

Everything else NWS Albuquerque, NM issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Oct 4, 8:38 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Cibola, Valencia	37 min
Oct 4, 9:45 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Bernalillo	45 min
Oct 4, 9:59 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Cibola	61 min
Oct 4, 10:31 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Bernalillo	44 min
Oct 4, 11:17 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Bernalillo	43 min
Oct 5, 12:31 AM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Bernalillo, Sandoval	59 min
Oct 5, 12:47 AM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Torrance	58 min
Oct 5, 1:44 AM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Torrance	61 min
Oct 5, 2:17 AM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Guadalupe	58 min
Oct 5, 4:19 AM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	De Baca	56 min
Oct 5, 4:42 AM MDT	Flash Flood Warning	ABQ	De Baca, Quay	3 hr
Oct 5, 5:06 AM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Bernalillo	39 min
Oct 5, 7:16 AM MDT	Flash Flood Warning	ABQ	Curry, Roosevelt	89 min
Oct 5, 7:37 AM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Roosevelt	38 min
Oct 5, 8:45 AM MDT	Flash Flood Warning	ABQ	Curry, Roosevelt	90 min
Oct 5, 9:25 AM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Sandoval	50 min
Oct 5, 10:18 AM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Bernalillo, Sandoval	42 min
Oct 5, 11:46 AM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Bernalillo	59 min
Oct 5, 12:04 PM MDT	Flash Flood Warning	ABQ	De Baca	116 min
Oct 5, 12:09 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Sandoval	36 min
Oct 5, 12:20 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Valencia	40 min
Oct 5, 12:26 PM MDT	Tornado Warning	ABQ	Cibola	49 min
Oct 5, 12:46 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Sandoval, Valencia	44 min
Oct 5, 1:06 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Lincoln	39 min
Oct 5, 1:29 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Valencia	46 min
Oct 5, 1:29 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Bernalillo	61 min
Oct 5, 1:45 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Lincoln	45 min
Oct 5, 1:53 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Socorro	67 min
Oct 5, 1:58 PM MDT	Tornado Warning	ABQ	Valencia	17 min
Oct 5, 2:01 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Torrance	59 min
Oct 5, 2:06 PM MDT	Flash Flood Warning	ABQ	Torrance	84 min
Oct 5, 2:14 PM MDT	Tornado Warning	ABQ	Torrance	31 min
Oct 5, 2:29 PM MDT	Tornado Warning	ABQ	Socorro	46 min
Oct 5, 2:30 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Lincoln	15 min
Oct 5, 2:39 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Bernalillo	51 min
Oct 5, 3:07 PM MDT	Tornado Warning	ABQ	Chaves	38 min
Oct 5, 3:45 PM MDT	Tornado Warning	ABQ	Chaves	45 min
Oct 5, 4:30 PM MDT	Tornado Warning	ABQ	Chaves	45 min
Oct 5, 4:34 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Lincoln	56 min
Oct 5, 5:16 PM MDT	Tornado Warning	ABQ	Chaves	44 min

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in New Mexico, 2004 Every flash flood warning in 2004

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.