Alert archive / New Mexico / Flash Flood Warnings in 2004

Flash Flood Warning 47, NWS Albuquerque, NM

October 5, 2004Curry County, Roosevelt County, New Mexico

NWS Albuquerque, NM issued this flash flood warning at Oct 5, 2004, 8:45 AM MDT for Curry County, Roosevelt County, New Mexico. It was in force for 90 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Oct 5, 2004, 8:45 AM MDT (14:45 UTC)
Expired: Oct 5, 2004, 10:15 AM MDT
In force: 90 min
Issued by: NWS Albuquerque, NM
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

Counties Curry County, NM, Roosevelt County, NM

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this flash flood warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Amarillo Airport, TX (KAMA), launched 12:00Z, 2.8 hours before the alert went out and 160 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 21 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -124 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 545 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 23 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 21 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 45 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WGUS55 KABQ 051453
FFWABQ
NMC009-041-051615-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
845 AM MDT TUE OCT 5 2004

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBUQUERQUE HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  EASTERN CURRY COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL NEW MEXICO AND                
  ROOSEVELT COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL NEW MEXICO

* UNTIL 1015 AM MDT

* AT 840 AM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUES   
  TO INDICATED HEAVY RAIN OVER MUCH OF ROOSEVELT AND EASTERN CURRY   
  COUNTIES. ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAIN WILL BE ENTERING SOUTHWEST         
  ROOSEVELT COUNTY WITHIN THE NEXT 15 TO 30 MINUTES. THE RAIN IS     
  MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH. ANOTHER ONE HALF TO ONE INCH OF RAIN IS 
  POSSIBLE.

* THE THUNDERSTORMS WITH EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL BE...OVER MUCH      
  OF ROOSEVELT COUNTY. RAIN WILL BE INCREASING OVER KENNA...ELIDA    
  WITHIN THE NEXT 30 MINUTES.

AT 845 AM BOTH CLOVIS AND PORTALES POLICE INDICATED CONTINUOUS 
FLOODING OF STREETS AND HIGHWAYS IN THE PORTALES AND CLOVIS AREAS. 
OTHER TOWNSHIPS WILL LIKELY SEE FLOODING AS WELL.

DO NOT DRIVE INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. MANY FLASH
FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES.

LAT...LON 3460 10326 3374 10345 3397 10245 3427 10243

$$

1 follow-up statement

000 
WGUS75 KABQ 051628
FFSABQ
NMC009-041-051645-

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
1027 AM MDT TUE OCT 5 2004

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS EXPIRED FOR ROOSEVELT AND  
CURRY COUNTIES IN NEW MEXICO...

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THE HEAVIEST 
RAINFALL WAS ENDING ACROSS THE WARNED AREA...AND THE FLASH FLOOD 
THREAT WAS DIMINISHING. SOME MINOR FLOODING MAY CONTINUE...BUT THE 
THREAT FOR FLASH FLOODING IS ENDING. THUS...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING 
HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Albuquerque, NM wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Oct 5, 3:28 AM MDT, 5 hours 17 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 5, 3:28 AM MDT, 5 hours 17 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
328 AM MDT TUE OCT 5 2004

.DISCUSSION...ONLY TIME TO HIT THE HIGHLIGHTS WITH SEVERE WX
ONGOING ACROSS PARTS OF THE EAST.

EXPANDED FLASH FLOOD WATCH TO INCLUDE ALL OF OUR EC/SE ZONES AND
WILL EXTEND IT THROUGH AT LEAST MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. MAY NEED TO
BE EXTENDED OUT FURTHER BY A LATER SHIFT. GFS CONTINUES TO PLACE QPF
BULLSEYE ACROSS NORTHEAST NEW MEXICO TODAY WHILE ETA FARTHER SOUTH
ACROSS EC/SE ZONES. CURRENT RADAR AND SATELLITE TRENDS SEEM TO FAVOR
THE ETA SOLUTION WITH HEAVIEST THUNDERSTORM RAINS ALONG AND SOUTH
OF I-40 CORRIDOR. BUT CERTAINLY POTENTIAL FOR LOCALIZED FLOODING
ACROSS THE NORTHEAST GIVEN A VERY FAVORABLE PATTERN FOR TRAINING
CELLS.

AN 80 OR BETTER POP IN THE EAST TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT WITH SCATTERED
TO NUMEROUS COVERAGE BETWEEN THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE AND RIO GRANDE
VALLEY AND FOUR CORNERS REGION.

WILL BEGIN TO TAPER POPS DOWNWARD BEGINNING IN THE WEST ON WEDNESDAY
AND THE EAST THURSDAY. OVERALL AN UNUSUALLY COMPLEX PATTERN FOR
EARLY OCTOBER. LARGE SCALE TROUGH FORECAST TO SLIDE EAST OF THE
REGION LATE THURSDAY.  MAY BE UNDERDONE ON POPS IN THE EAST
THURSDAY...BUT PLENTY OF TIME TO ADJUST.

NO TIME TO LOOK BEYOND FRIDAY. WILL TAKE A LOOK AT LONGER RANGE AND
SEND AN UPDATE IF TIME ALLOWS.  KJ

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
FARMINGTON................ 073/046 068/044 071 41551
GALLUP.................... 071/036 069/034 069 41331
GRANTS.................... 069/039 068/037 069 41443
GLENWOOD.................. 076/049 076/048 078 41222
CHAMA..................... 055/032 056/031 061 41763
LOS ALAMOS................ 057/042 060/041 064 41873
RED RIVER................. 052/030 053/029 056 41884
TAOS...................... 059/037 063/036 064 41773
SANTA FE.................. 059/039 063/038 065 41873
SANTA FE AIRPORT.......... 063/043 066/042 068 41873
ESPANOLA.................. 064/042 067/041 070 41763
ALBUQUERQUE HEIGHTS....... 068/050 072/049 071 41772
ALBUQUERQUE VALLEY........ 070/047 073/046 072 41762
ALBUQUERQUE FOOTHILLS..... 065/047 069/046 069 41873
ALBUQUERQUE WEST MESA..... 068/050 072/049 071 41762
SOCORRO................... 070/049 073/048 073 41762
SANDIA PARK/CEDAR CREST... 062/041 063/040 064 41983
MORIARTY/ESTANCIA......... 063/038 065/037 068 41983
CARRIZOZO................. 067/049 069/049 068 41773
RUIDOSO................... 064/046 063/046 062 41874
RATON..................... 058/038 066/038 067 41883
LAS VEGAS................. 056/038 065/038 065 41983
ROY....................... 059/043 065/043 067 41884
CLAYTON................... 060/047 066/047 068 41785
SANTA ROSA................ 063/047 068/047 070 41984
TUCUMCARI................. 064/050 068/050 071 41885
FORT SUMNER............... 063/051 069/051 070 41984
CLOVIS.................... 064/053 066/053 069 41885
PORTALES.................. 065/053 066/053 070 41885
ROSWELL................... 069/056 071/056 071 41884
&&

.ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLASH FLOOD WATCH TDA THRU 06Z TNGT NMZ011>013-016>021-26

&&

41

Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 5, 6:00 AM MDT, 2 hours 45 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
600 AM MDT TUE OCT 5 2004

NMZ001>021-026-061200-
CAPITAN/NORTHERN SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS-
CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS/ESTANCIA VALLEY-CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-
CONCHAS LAKE/GUADALUPE COUNTY-CURRY COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-
FAR NORTHEAST PLAINS-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF CHAVES COUNTY-
HARDING COUNTY-LINCOLN COUNTY HIGH PLAINS/HONDO VALLEY-
LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY/ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-
NORTHWEST MOUNTAINS INCLUDING JEMEZ-NORTHWEST PLATEAU-QUAY COUNTY-
ROOSEVELT COUNTY-SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS/UPPER GILA REGION-UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
WESTCENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
600 AM MDT TUE OCT 5 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH AND CENTRAL NEW MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY

WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS THE
EASTERN TWO THIRDS OF THE AREA TODAY AND TONIGHT. A FEW OF THE
STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE...MAINLY ALONG AND EAST OF THE CENTRAL
MOUNTAIN CHAIN AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 40. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING
WINDS ARE THE MAIN THREATS...BUT HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING
WILL ALSO BE A CONCERN. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF
EAST CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO THROUGH MIDNIGHT TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...

LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL AGAIN BE A CONCERN ACROSS THE EASTERN
PLAINS ON WEDNESDAY. OTHERWISE...HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS
EASTERN SOCORRO...TORRANCE...LINCOLN...GUADALUPE...DE
BACA...CHAVES...CURRY...ROOSEVELT AND QUAY COUNTIES. SPOTTERS AREA
WIDE ARE ENCOURAGED TO CALL OUR OFFICE TOLL FREE AT 1-888-386-7637
WITH REPORTS OF SEVERE WEATHER AND FLASH FLOODING.

KJ

In the hours before

Local storm report, Oct 5, 6:59 AM MDT, 1 hour 46 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
659 AM MDT TUE OCT 05 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0140 AM     HAIL             7 W ENCINO              34.65N 105.58W
10/05/2004  1.75 INCH        TORRANCE           NM   CO-OP OBSERVER

            WIND DRIVEN GOLFBALL SIZE HAIL BROKE OUT WINDOWS ON NORTH
            SIDE OF RESIDENCE.

0315 AM     HAIL             VAUGHN                  34.61N 105.21W
10/05/2004  0.75 INCH        GUADALUPE          NM   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

KJ

Local storm report, Oct 5, 7:01 AM MDT, 1 hour 44 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT ... SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
701 AM MDT TUE OCT 05 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1115 PM     FLASH FLOOD      ALBUQUERQUE             35.12N 106.62W
10/04/2004                   BERNALILLO         NM   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            STREET FLOODING AT COMANCHE AND CARLISLE

1232 AM     HAIL             PARADISE HILLS          35.20N 106.69W
10/05/2004  1.75 INCH        BERNALILLO         NM   BROADCAST MEDIA

1234 AM     HAIL             ALBUQUERQUE             35.12N 106.62W
10/05/2004  1.00 INCH        BERNALILLO         NM   TRAINED SPOTTER

1236 AM     HAIL             RIO RANCHO              35.27N 106.66W
10/05/2004  1.00 INCH        SANDOVAL           NM   TRAINED SPOTTER

1239 AM     HAIL             ALBUQUERQUE             35.12N 106.62W
10/05/2004  1.50 INCH        BERNALILLO         NM   TRAINED SPOTTER

0140 AM     HAIL             7 W ENCINO              34.65N 105.58W
10/05/2004  1.75 INCH        TORRANCE           NM   CO-OP OBSERVER

            WIND DRIVEN GOLFBALL SIZE HAIL BROKE OUT WINDOWS ON NORTH
            SIDE OF RESIDENCE.

0315 AM     HAIL             VAUGHN                  34.61N 105.21W
10/05/2004  0.75 INCH        GUADALUPE          NM   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

KJ

Local storm report, Oct 5, 7:21 AM MDT, 1 hour 24 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
721 AM MDT TUE OCT 05 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0500 AM     HAIL             FORT SUMNER             34.48N 104.24W
10/05/2004  0.75 INCH        DE BACA            NM   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

44

The office that day

Everything else NWS Albuquerque, NM issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Oct 4, 8:38 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Cibola, Valencia	37 min
Oct 4, 9:45 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Bernalillo	45 min
Oct 4, 9:59 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Cibola	61 min
Oct 4, 10:31 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Bernalillo	44 min
Oct 4, 11:17 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Bernalillo	43 min
Oct 5, 12:31 AM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Bernalillo, Sandoval	59 min
Oct 5, 12:47 AM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Torrance	58 min
Oct 5, 1:44 AM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Torrance	61 min
Oct 5, 2:17 AM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Guadalupe	58 min
Oct 5, 4:19 AM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	De Baca	56 min
Oct 5, 4:42 AM MDT	Flash Flood Warning	ABQ	De Baca, Quay	3 hr
Oct 5, 5:06 AM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Bernalillo	39 min
Oct 5, 7:16 AM MDT	Flash Flood Warning	ABQ	Curry, Roosevelt	89 min
Oct 5, 7:37 AM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Roosevelt	38 min
Oct 5, 9:25 AM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Sandoval	50 min
Oct 5, 10:18 AM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Bernalillo, Sandoval	42 min
Oct 5, 11:46 AM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Bernalillo	59 min
Oct 5, 12:04 PM MDT	Flash Flood Warning	ABQ	De Baca	116 min
Oct 5, 12:09 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Sandoval	36 min
Oct 5, 12:20 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Valencia	40 min
Oct 5, 12:26 PM MDT	Tornado Warning	ABQ	Cibola	49 min
Oct 5, 12:46 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Sandoval, Valencia	44 min
Oct 5, 1:06 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Lincoln	39 min
Oct 5, 1:29 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Valencia	46 min
Oct 5, 1:29 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Bernalillo	61 min
Oct 5, 1:45 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Lincoln	45 min
Oct 5, 1:53 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Socorro	67 min
Oct 5, 1:58 PM MDT	Tornado Warning	ABQ	Valencia	17 min
Oct 5, 2:01 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Torrance	59 min
Oct 5, 2:06 PM MDT	Flash Flood Warning	ABQ	Torrance	84 min
Oct 5, 2:14 PM MDT	Tornado Warning	ABQ	Torrance	31 min
Oct 5, 2:29 PM MDT	Tornado Warning	ABQ	Socorro	46 min
Oct 5, 2:30 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Lincoln	15 min
Oct 5, 2:39 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Bernalillo	51 min
Oct 5, 3:07 PM MDT	Tornado Warning	ABQ	Chaves	38 min
Oct 5, 3:45 PM MDT	Tornado Warning	ABQ	Chaves	45 min
Oct 5, 4:30 PM MDT	Tornado Warning	ABQ	Chaves	45 min
Oct 5, 4:34 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Lincoln	56 min
Oct 5, 5:16 PM MDT	Tornado Warning	ABQ	Chaves	44 min
Oct 5, 5:25 PM MDT	Flash Flood Warning	ABQ	De Baca	95 min

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in New Mexico, 2004 Every flash flood warning in 2004

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.