Severe Thunderstorm Warning 28, NWS Tulsa, OK

EASTERN OKLAHOMA/NORTHWEST ARKANSAS FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OKLAHOMA
1021 AM CDT SUN APR 6 2003

ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS NORTH OF THE SURFACE WARM FRONT THAT
IS NEAR A KLAW-KMLC-KELD LINE AT THIS TIME. THIS WARM FRONT WILL
CONTINUE TO MOVE TO THE NORTH TODAY AS THE SURFACE LOW OVER
SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA TRACKS TO THE NORTHEAST. BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON
THE WARM FRONT IS EXPECTED TO BE ACROSS NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE
DRYLINE THAT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA BY LATE
THIS AFTERNOON. THESE THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP IN A MOIST LOW
LEVEL ENVIRONMENT WITH SFC DEW POINTS IN THE UPPER 5OS AND LOWER
60S. CAPE VALUES THIS AFTERNOON WILL BE AROUND 2000 J/KG WITH LI
VALUES IN THE -5 TO -8 RANGE. WHILE THE THE MAIN THREAT FROM THESE
STORMS WILL BE LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. SOME SUPERCELLS WILL
FORM WITH TORNADOES POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA AND
WEST-CENTRAL ARKANSAS.

THE FORECAST IS ON TRACK AT THIS TIME. WILL MAKE NO MAJOR CHANGES AT
THIS TIME.

FORECAST ID= 10

.TSA...
AR...NONE.
OK...NONE.

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-071100-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
600 AM CDT SUN APR 6 2003

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY

SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK

...CHANCE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TODAY...
SCATTERED ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS PORTIONS OF
EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS THIS MORNING. A FEW OF THESE
THUNDERSTORMS COULD BECOME SEVERE WITH LARGE HAIL THE PRIMARY
THREAT.

ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AS AN AREA OF
LOW PRESSURE MOVES EAST ACROSS OKLAHOMA. A WARM FRONT WILL PUSH INTO
NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS THIS AFTERNOON ALLOWING
WARM AND MOIST AIR TO INFILTRATE THE AREA IN ADVANCE OF A DRYLINE
AND A TRAILING COLD FRONT. THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
ALONG THE DRYLINE THIS AFTERNOON. SOME OF THESE THUNDERSTORMS COULD
BECOME SEVERE WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS THE PRIMARY THREAT.
A FEW SUPERCELLS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE THREAT OF TORNADOES.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WARNING PROBABILITIES CAN BE FOUND IN
THE OUTLOOK SECTION AT: WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA. GIVEN PROBABILITIES
REPRESENT THE POTENTIAL FOR A WARNING TO BE ISSUED AT YOUR LOCATION.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MON THROUGH SAT
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

.SPOTTER / EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED.

ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND AT...
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA

OKZ056-061045-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
518 AM CDT SUN APR 6 2003

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT IN EFFECT FOR NOWATA COUNTY UNTIL 545 AM
   CDT...

AT 518 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 5 MILES
WEST OF ELLIOT...MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH. THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING UP TO DIME SIZE HAIL.

OKZ060-064-061445-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
915 AM CDT SUN APR 6 2003

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT IN EFFECT FOR TULSA AND CREEK COUNTIES
   UNTIL 945 AM CDT...

AT 914 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR
KIEFER...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH. THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING SMALL HAIL AND ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAIN AS IT MOVES THROUGH
THE TULSA METROPOLITAN AREA.  THE HEAVY RAIN WILL CAUSE PONDING OF
WATER AND LOCALIZED FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS AND POOR DRAINAGE
AREAS.