Alert archive / Nebraska / Tornado Watches in 2003
Tornado Watch 651
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jul 5, 2003, 7:20 PM CDT for 7 counties in Iowa; 50 counties in Nebraska; 13 counties in South Dakota. It was in force for 6 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 5, 2003, 7:20 PM CDT (00:20 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 6, 2003, 1:00 AM CDT
- In force
- 6 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
All 70 counties
Fremont County, IA, Harrison County, IA, Mills County, IA, Monona County, IA, Page County, IA, Pottawattamie County, IA, Woodbury County, IA, Antelope County, NE, Blaine County, NE, Boone County, NE, Boyd County, NE, Brown County, NE, Buffalo County, NE, Burt County, NE, Butler County, NE, Cass County, NE, Cedar County, NE, Cherry County, NE, Colfax County, NE, Cuming County, NE, Custer County, NE, Dakota County, NE, Dawson County, NE, Dixon County, NE, Dodge County, NE, Douglas County, NE, Garfield County, NE, Greeley County, NE, Hall County, NE, Hamilton County, NE, Holt County, NE, Howard County, NE, Keya Paha County, NE, Knox County, NE, Lancaster County, NE, Logan County, NE, Loup County, NE, Madison County, NE, Merrick County, NE, Nance County, NE, Otoe County, NE, Pierce County, NE, Platte County, NE, Polk County, NE, Rock County, NE, Sarpy County, NE, Saunders County, NE, Seward County, NE, Sherman County, NE, Stanton County, NE, Thomas County, NE, Thurston County, NE, Valley County, NE, Washington County, NE, Wayne County, NE, Wheeler County, NE, York County, NE, Bon Homme County, SD, Charles Mix County, SD, Clay County, SD, Douglas County, SD, Gregory County, SD, Hutchinson County, SD, Lincoln County, SD, Mellette County, SD, Todd County, SD, Tripp County, SD, Turner County, SD, Union County, SD, Yankton County, SD
The radar
The Sioux Falls radar (KFSD), 169 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:22 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
Warnings issued inside it
50 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 5, 7:32 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LBF | Cherry | 58 min |
| Jul 5, 7:41 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Knox | 64 min |
| Jul 5, 7:43 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LBF | Holt | 77 min |
| Jul 5, 8:05 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LBF | Brown | 55 min |
| Jul 5, 8:10 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LBF | Rock | 65 min |
| Jul 5, 8:11 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LBF | Holt | 49 min |
| Jul 5, 8:33 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Antelope | 42 min |
| Jul 5, 8:35 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LBF | Blaine, Loup | 55 min |
| Jul 5, 8:43 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Cedar, Pierce | 62 min |
| Jul 5, 8:46 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Knox | 44 min |
| Jul 5, 8:48 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LBF | Blaine, Loup | 42 min |
| Jul 5, 8:57 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FSD | Charles Mix | 33 min |
| Jul 5, 9:00 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LBF | Holt | 60 min |
| Jul 5, 9:22 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Antelope | 38 min |
| Jul 5, 9:22 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Wayne | 53 min |
| Jul 5, 9:26 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LBF | Garfield, Wheeler | 64 min |
| Jul 5, 9:33 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LBF | Loup | 27 min |
| Jul 5, 9:45 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | OAX | Wayne | 45 min |
| Jul 5, 9:47 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FSD | Dixon | 43 min |
| Jul 5, 9:47 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Cedar, Pierce | 43 min |
| Jul 5, 9:53 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | OAX | Antelope | 37 min |
| Jul 5, 9:59 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Madison | 46 min |
| Jul 5, 10:04 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID | Valley | 41 min |
| Jul 5, 10:11 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Boone | 49 min |
| Jul 5, 10:24 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | OAX | Thurston | 51 min |
| Jul 5, 10:27 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID | Greeley | 63 min |
| Jul 5, 10:34 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Stanton, Wayne | 41 min |
| Jul 5, 10:40 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Platte | 35 min |
| Jul 5, 10:41 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Cuming | 64 min |
| Jul 5, 10:45 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Madison | 45 min |
| Jul 5, 10:58 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | OAX | Wayne | 6 hr |
| Jul 5, 11:00 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID | Merrick, Nance | 60 min |
| Jul 5, 11:04 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Colfax, Dodge | 56 min |
| Jul 5, 11:08 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FSD | Woodbury | 37 min |
| Jul 5, 11:11 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID | Polk | 64 min |
| Jul 5, 11:13 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Monona | 62 min |
| Jul 5, 11:15 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | OAX | Thurston | 6 hr |
| Jul 5, 11:20 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Butler, Saunders | 55 min |
| Jul 5, 11:23 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Platte | 22 min |
| Jul 5, 11:27 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | OAX | Burt, Cuming | 48 min |
| Jul 5, 11:32 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID | York | 58 min |
| Jul 5, 11:47 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Lancaster, Seward | 58 min |
| Jul 5, 11:48 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Douglas, Washington | 57 min |
| Jul 5, 11:57 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Dodge | 33 min |
| Jul 5, 11:59 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Harrison, Monona | 46 min |
| Jul 6, 12:07 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Cass, Sarpy | 53 min |
| Jul 6, 12:12 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Butler, Saunders | 48 min |
| Jul 6, 12:24 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Mills, Pottawattamie | 61 min |
| Jul 6, 12:44 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Harrison | 16 min |
| Jul 6, 12:45 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Douglas | 15 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Omaha, NE (KOAX), launched 00:00Z, 0.3 hours before the alert went out and 189 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 2840 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -46 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1471 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 45 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 133 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 232 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 1.8
- Supercell composite
- 11.5
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000
WWUS20 KWNS 060020
SEL1
SPC WW 060020
IAZ000-NEZ000-SDZ000-060600-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 651
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
720 PM CDT SAT JUL 5 2003
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
WESTERN IOWA
CENTRAL AND EASTERN NEBRASKA
SOUTHEAST SOUTH DAKOTA
EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING FROM 720 PM UNTIL
100 AM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 4 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS
TO 80 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS ALONG AND 130 STATUTE MILES EAST AND
WEST OF A LINE FROM 80 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF AINSWORTH NEBRASKA
TO 40 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF LINCOLN NEBRASKA.
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA.
PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING
WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE
WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...THIS TORNADO WATCH REPLACES SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 645. WATCH NUMBER 645 WILL NOT BE IN
EFFECT AFTER 720 PM CDT. CONTINUE...WW 646...WW 647...WW 648...WW
650...WW 649...
DISCUSSION...SUPERCELL CLUSTER NOW IN N CNTRL NEB EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE SEWD THROUGH LATE THIS EVENING...WITH ADDITIONAL
DEVELOPMENT LIKELY FARTHER S AND E...ALONG AND E OF STALLED OUTFLOW
BOUNDARY EXTENDING FROM NEAR VTN TO S OF OLU. AREA PROFILER/VWP DATA
SHOW 45+ KT WLY MID LEVEL FLOW OVERSPREADING REGION...WITH 20+ KT
MOIST SELY WINDS LIKELY TO PERSIST NEAR THE SURFACE. COMBINATION OF
EXPECTED STORM MOTION...BOUNDARY ORIENTATION AND SUSTAINED/INCREASED
LARGE SCALE ASCENT LATER THIS EVENING ALL SUGGEST THREAT FOR
TORNADOES IN ADDITION TO BOWING SEGMENTS WITH VERY LARGE HAIL/HIGH
WINDS.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 4 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 600.
MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 28030.
...CORFIDI
433,0964 403,0950 403,0995 433,1015SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 5, 7:51 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adair, Adams, Appanoose, Audubon, Cass, Clarke and 30 more | 54 min |
| Jul 5, 8:04 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Clay, Dickinson, Emmet, Lyon, O'Brien, Osceola and 2 more | 86 min |
| Jul 5, 10:46 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adair, Adams, Appanoose, Audubon, Cass, Clarke and 28 more | 59 min |
| Jul 5, 10:57 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Fremont, Harrison, Mills, Monona, Montgomery, Page and 1 more | 63 min |
| Jul 5, 11:50 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Adair, Adams, Appanoose, Audubon, Boone, Carroll and 36 more | 5 hr |
| Jul 6, 2:26 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adair, Adams, Appanoose, Benton, Black Hawk, Boone and 49 more | 94 min |
| Jul 6, 4:33 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adair, Audubon, Carroll, Cass, Clarke, Crawford and 12 more | 87 min |
| Jul 6, 5:17 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Allamakee, Cedar, Clinton, Dubuque, Jackson, Jones | 118 min |
| Jul 6, 9:48 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Clinton, Des Moines, Jackson, Lee, Louisa, Muscatine and 1 more | 117 min |
| Jul 6, 11:45 AM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Cedar, Clayton, Clinton, Delaware, Des Moines, Dubuque and 6 more | 6 hr |
| Jul 6, 5:28 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Clinton, Dubuque, Jackson, Scott | 62 min |
| Jul 6, 6:24 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adams, Buffalo, Chase, Clay, Custer, Dawson and 26 more | 2 hr |
| Jul 6, 6:40 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Adams, Buffalo, Chase, Custer, Dawson, Dundy and 19 more | 5 hr |
| Jul 5, 7:23 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Aurora, Beadle, Brown, Brule, Buffalo, Campbell and 19 more | 97 min |
| Jul 6, 4:56 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Aurora, Beadle, Brookings, Brule, Buffalo, Charles Mix and 25 more | 2 hr |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Nebraska, 2003Tornado Watches in South Dakota, 2003Tornado Watches in Iowa, 2003Every tornado watch in 2003
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.