Alert archive / Nebraska / Tornado Watches in 2003

Tornado Watch 651

July 5, 20037 counties in Iowa; 50 counties in Nebraska; 13 counties in South Dakota

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jul 5, 2003, 7:20 PM CDT for 7 counties in Iowa; 50 counties in Nebraska; 13 counties in South Dakota. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 5, 2003, 7:20 PM CDT (00:20 UTC)
Expired
Jul 6, 2003, 1:00 AM CDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 70 counties

Fremont County, IA, Harrison County, IA, Mills County, IA, Monona County, IA, Page County, IA, Pottawattamie County, IA, Woodbury County, IA, Antelope County, NE, Blaine County, NE, Boone County, NE, Boyd County, NE, Brown County, NE, Buffalo County, NE, Burt County, NE, Butler County, NE, Cass County, NE, Cedar County, NE, Cherry County, NE, Colfax County, NE, Cuming County, NE, Custer County, NE, Dakota County, NE, Dawson County, NE, Dixon County, NE, Dodge County, NE, Douglas County, NE, Garfield County, NE, Greeley County, NE, Hall County, NE, Hamilton County, NE, Holt County, NE, Howard County, NE, Keya Paha County, NE, Knox County, NE, Lancaster County, NE, Logan County, NE, Loup County, NE, Madison County, NE, Merrick County, NE, Nance County, NE, Otoe County, NE, Pierce County, NE, Platte County, NE, Polk County, NE, Rock County, NE, Sarpy County, NE, Saunders County, NE, Seward County, NE, Sherman County, NE, Stanton County, NE, Thomas County, NE, Thurston County, NE, Valley County, NE, Washington County, NE, Wayne County, NE, Wheeler County, NE, York County, NE, Bon Homme County, SD, Charles Mix County, SD, Clay County, SD, Douglas County, SD, Gregory County, SD, Hutchinson County, SD, Lincoln County, SD, Mellette County, SD, Todd County, SD, Tripp County, SD, Turner County, SD, Union County, SD, Yankton County, SD

The radar

The Sioux Falls radar (KFSD), 169 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:22 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Warnings issued inside it

50 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 5, 7:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFCherry58 min
Jul 5, 7:41 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXKnox64 min
Jul 5, 7:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFHolt77 min
Jul 5, 8:05 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFBrown55 min
Jul 5, 8:10 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFRock65 min
Jul 5, 8:11 PM CDTTornado WarningLBFHolt49 min
Jul 5, 8:33 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXAntelope42 min
Jul 5, 8:35 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFBlaine, Loup55 min
Jul 5, 8:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXCedar, Pierce62 min
Jul 5, 8:46 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXKnox44 min
Jul 5, 8:48 PM CDTTornado WarningLBFBlaine, Loup42 min
Jul 5, 8:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSDCharles Mix33 min
Jul 5, 9:00 PM CDTTornado WarningLBFHolt60 min
Jul 5, 9:22 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXAntelope38 min
Jul 5, 9:22 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXWayne53 min
Jul 5, 9:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFGarfield, Wheeler64 min
Jul 5, 9:33 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFLoup27 min
Jul 5, 9:45 PM CDTTornado WarningOAXWayne45 min
Jul 5, 9:47 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSDDixon43 min
Jul 5, 9:47 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXCedar, Pierce43 min
Jul 5, 9:53 PM CDTTornado WarningOAXAntelope37 min
Jul 5, 9:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXMadison46 min
Jul 5, 10:04 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDValley41 min
Jul 5, 10:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXBoone49 min
Jul 5, 10:24 PM CDTTornado WarningOAXThurston51 min
Jul 5, 10:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDGreeley63 min
Jul 5, 10:34 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXStanton, Wayne41 min
Jul 5, 10:40 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXPlatte35 min
Jul 5, 10:41 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXCuming64 min
Jul 5, 10:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXMadison45 min
Jul 5, 10:58 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningOAXWayne6 hr
Jul 5, 11:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDMerrick, Nance60 min
Jul 5, 11:04 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXColfax, Dodge56 min
Jul 5, 11:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSDWoodbury37 min
Jul 5, 11:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDPolk64 min
Jul 5, 11:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXMonona62 min
Jul 5, 11:15 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningOAXThurston6 hr
Jul 5, 11:20 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXButler, Saunders55 min
Jul 5, 11:23 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXPlatte22 min
Jul 5, 11:27 PM CDTTornado WarningOAXBurt, Cuming48 min
Jul 5, 11:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDYork58 min
Jul 5, 11:47 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXLancaster, Seward58 min
Jul 5, 11:48 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXDouglas, Washington57 min
Jul 5, 11:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXDodge33 min
Jul 5, 11:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXHarrison, Monona46 min
Jul 6, 12:07 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXCass, Sarpy53 min
Jul 6, 12:12 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXButler, Saunders48 min
Jul 6, 12:24 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXMills, Pottawattamie61 min
Jul 6, 12:44 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXHarrison16 min
Jul 6, 12:45 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXDouglas15 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Omaha, NE (KOAX), launched 00:00Z, 0.3 hours before the alert went out and 189 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Omaha, NE at 00:00Z on 2003-07-06Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2840 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Omaha, NE at 00:00Z on 2003-07-06The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 133 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2840 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-46 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1471 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
45 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
133 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
232 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
1.8
Supercell composite
11.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WWUS20 KWNS 060020
SEL1  
SPC WW 060020
IAZ000-NEZ000-SDZ000-060600-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 651 
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 
720 PM CDT SAT JUL 5 2003

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 

       WESTERN IOWA
       CENTRAL AND EASTERN NEBRASKA
       SOUTHEAST SOUTH DAKOTA

EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING FROM 720 PM UNTIL
100 AM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 4 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS
TO 80 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS ALONG AND 130 STATUTE MILES EAST AND
WEST OF A LINE FROM 80 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF AINSWORTH NEBRASKA
TO 40 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF LINCOLN NEBRASKA.

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA.
PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING
WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE
WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...THIS TORNADO WATCH REPLACES SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 645. WATCH NUMBER 645 WILL NOT BE IN
EFFECT AFTER 720 PM CDT. CONTINUE...WW 646...WW 647...WW 648...WW
650...WW 649...


DISCUSSION...SUPERCELL CLUSTER NOW IN N CNTRL NEB EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE SEWD THROUGH LATE THIS EVENING...WITH ADDITIONAL
DEVELOPMENT LIKELY FARTHER S AND E...ALONG AND E OF STALLED OUTFLOW
BOUNDARY EXTENDING FROM NEAR VTN TO S OF OLU. AREA PROFILER/VWP DATA
SHOW 45+ KT WLY MID LEVEL FLOW OVERSPREADING REGION...WITH 20+ KT
MOIST SELY WINDS LIKELY TO PERSIST NEAR THE SURFACE.  COMBINATION OF
EXPECTED STORM MOTION...BOUNDARY ORIENTATION AND SUSTAINED/INCREASED
LARGE SCALE ASCENT LATER THIS EVENING ALL SUGGEST THREAT FOR
TORNADOES IN ADDITION TO BOWING SEGMENTS WITH VERY LARGE HAIL/HIGH
WINDS.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 4 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 600.
MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 28030.


...CORFIDI

433,0964 403,0950 403,0995 433,1015

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 5, 7:51 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Adams, Appanoose, Audubon, Cass, Clarke and 30 more54 min
Jul 5, 8:04 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClay, Dickinson, Emmet, Lyon, O'Brien, Osceola and 2 more86 min
Jul 5, 10:46 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Adams, Appanoose, Audubon, Cass, Clarke and 28 more59 min
Jul 5, 10:57 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCFremont, Harrison, Mills, Monona, Montgomery, Page and 1 more63 min
Jul 5, 11:50 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdair, Adams, Appanoose, Audubon, Boone, Carroll and 36 more5 hr
Jul 6, 2:26 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Adams, Appanoose, Benton, Black Hawk, Boone and 49 more94 min
Jul 6, 4:33 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Audubon, Carroll, Cass, Clarke, Crawford and 12 more87 min
Jul 6, 5:17 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllamakee, Cedar, Clinton, Dubuque, Jackson, Jones118 min
Jul 6, 9:48 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClinton, Des Moines, Jackson, Lee, Louisa, Muscatine and 1 more117 min
Jul 6, 11:45 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCCedar, Clayton, Clinton, Delaware, Des Moines, Dubuque and 6 more6 hr
Jul 6, 5:28 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClinton, Dubuque, Jackson, Scott62 min
Jul 6, 6:24 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Buffalo, Chase, Clay, Custer, Dawson and 26 more2 hr
Jul 6, 6:40 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdams, Buffalo, Chase, Custer, Dawson, Dundy and 19 more5 hr
Jul 5, 7:23 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAurora, Beadle, Brown, Brule, Buffalo, Campbell and 19 more97 min
Jul 6, 4:56 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAurora, Beadle, Brookings, Brule, Buffalo, Charles Mix and 25 more2 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Nebraska, 2003Tornado Watches in South Dakota, 2003Tornado Watches in Iowa, 2003Every tornado watch in 2003

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.