Alert archive / Iowa / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2003

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 652

July 5, 200342 counties in Iowa; 15 counties in Missouri; 27 counties in Nebraska

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 5, 2003, 11:50 PM CDT for 42 counties in Iowa; 15 counties in Missouri; 27 counties in Nebraska. It was in force for 5 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 5, 2003, 11:50 PM CDT (04:50 UTC)
Expired
Jul 6, 2003, 5:00 AM CDT
In force
5 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 84 counties

Adair County, IA, Adams County, IA, Appanoose County, IA, Audubon County, IA, Boone County, IA, Carroll County, IA, Cass County, IA, Clarke County, IA, Crawford County, IA, Dallas County, IA, Davis County, IA, Decatur County, IA, Fremont County, IA, Greene County, IA, Guthrie County, IA, Harrison County, IA, Ida County, IA, Jasper County, IA, Lucas County, IA, Madison County, IA, Mahaska County, IA, Marion County, IA, Marshall County, IA, Mills County, IA, Monona County, IA, Monroe County, IA, Montgomery County, IA, Page County, IA, Polk County, IA, Pottawattamie County, IA, Poweshiek County, IA, Ringgold County, IA, Sac County, IA, Shelby County, IA, Story County, IA, Tama County, IA, Taylor County, IA, Union County, IA, Wapello County, IA, Warren County, IA, Wayne County, IA, Woodbury County, IA, Adair County, MO, Atchison County, MO, Daviess County, MO, Gentry County, MO, Grundy County, MO, Harrison County, MO, Holt County, MO, Linn County, MO, Macon County, MO, Mercer County, MO, Nodaway County, MO, Putnam County, MO, Schuyler County, MO, Sullivan County, MO, Worth County, MO, Burt County, NE, Butler County, NE, Cass County, NE, Cedar County, NE, Colfax County, NE, Cuming County, NE, Dakota County, NE, Dixon County, NE, Dodge County, NE, Douglas County, NE, Fillmore County, NE, Gage County, NE, Johnson County, NE, Lancaster County, NE, Nemaha County, NE, Otoe County, NE, Polk County, NE, Richardson County, NE, Saline County, NE, Sarpy County, NE, Saunders County, NE, Seward County, NE, Stanton County, NE, Thurston County, NE, Washington County, NE, Wayne County, NE, York County, NE

The radar

The Omaha radar (KOAX), 82 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 04:54 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Warnings issued inside it

18 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 5, 11:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXDodge33 min
Jul 5, 11:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXHarrison, Monona46 min
Jul 6, 12:07 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXCass, Sarpy53 min
Jul 6, 12:09 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXCrawford66 min
Jul 6, 12:12 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXButler, Saunders48 min
Jul 6, 12:23 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXShelby67 min
Jul 6, 12:24 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXMills, Pottawattamie61 min
Jul 6, 12:44 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXHarrison16 min
Jul 6, 12:45 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXDouglas15 min
Jul 6, 12:56 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXAudubon, Cass49 min
Jul 6, 1:00 AM CDTTornado WarningOAXShelby45 min
Jul 6, 1:22 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXMontgomery38 min
Jul 6, 1:25 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXAdair, Guthrie50 min
Jul 6, 1:28 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXFremont, Page62 min
Jul 6, 2:38 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXHarrison37 min
Jul 6, 3:39 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXShelby36 min
Jul 6, 4:02 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXPottawattamie28 min
Jul 6, 4:11 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXCass34 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Omaha, NE (KOAX), launched 00:00Z, 4.8 hours before the alert went out and 82 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Omaha, NE at 00:00Z on 2003-07-06Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2840 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Omaha, NE at 00:00Z on 2003-07-06The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 133 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2840 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-46 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1471 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
45 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
133 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
232 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
1.8
Supercell composite
11.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WWUS20 KWNS 060451
SEL2  
SPC WW 060450
IAZ000-MOZ000-NEZ000-061000-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 652 
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 
1150 PM CDT SAT JUL 5 2003

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 

       WESTERN AND SOUTHERN IOWA
       NORTHERN MISSOURI
       EASTERN NEBRASKA

EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING FROM 1150 PM
UNTIL 500 AM CDT.

HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 80
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS ALONG AND 80 STATUTE MILES
EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 10 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF COLUMBUS
NEBRASKA TO 15 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF OTTUMWA IOWA.

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA.
PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING
WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE
WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRODUCE
TORNADOES.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REPLACES
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 649...TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 651.
WATCH NUMBER 649 651 WILL NOT BE IN EFFECT AFTER 1150 PM CDT. 


DISCUSSION...ERN NEB MCS WITH EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS EXPECTED TO MOVE
ESE AT 30-35 KTS OVERNIGHT...WITH CONTINUING THREAT FOR HIGH
WIND/SOME HAIL. HIGH BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE INFLOW...SELY LOW LEVEL
WINDS AND EXISTING SUPERCELLS SUGGEST CONTINUED POSSIBILITY FOR A
COUPLE BRIEF TORNADOES...BUT WITH GRADUAL INTENSIFICATION OF SYSTEM
COLD POOL... THIS THREAT SHOULD DIMINISH WITH TIME.

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 70
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 600. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 29030.


...CORFIDI

423,0971 420,0920 394,0923 402,0974

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 5, 7:20 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCFremont, Harrison, Mills, Monona, Page, Pottawattamie and 1 more6 hr
Jul 5, 7:51 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Adams, Appanoose, Audubon, Cass, Clarke and 30 more54 min
Jul 5, 8:04 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClay, Dickinson, Emmet, Lyon, O'Brien, Osceola and 2 more86 min
Jul 5, 10:46 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Adams, Appanoose, Audubon, Cass, Clarke and 28 more59 min
Jul 5, 10:57 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCFremont, Harrison, Mills, Monona, Montgomery, Page and 1 more63 min
Jul 6, 2:26 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Adams, Appanoose, Benton, Black Hawk, Boone and 49 more94 min
Jul 6, 4:33 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Audubon, Carroll, Cass, Clarke, Crawford and 12 more87 min
Jul 6, 5:17 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllamakee, Cedar, Clinton, Dubuque, Jackson, Jones118 min
Jul 6, 9:48 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClinton, Des Moines, Jackson, Lee, Louisa, Muscatine and 1 more117 min
Jul 6, 11:45 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCCedar, Clayton, Clinton, Delaware, Des Moines, Dubuque and 6 more6 hr
Jul 6, 5:28 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClinton, Dubuque, Jackson, Scott62 min
Jul 6, 6:24 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Buffalo, Chase, Clay, Custer, Dawson and 26 more2 hr
Jul 6, 6:40 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdams, Buffalo, Chase, Custer, Dawson, Dundy and 19 more5 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Iowa, 2003Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Nebraska, 2003Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Missouri, 2003Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2003

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.