Alert archive / Oklahoma / Mesoscale Discussions in 2003

Mesoscale Discussion 73

February 15, 20034 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Feb 15, 2003, 3:15 AM CST for 4 states. It was in force for 60 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Feb 15, 2003, 3:15 AM CST (09:15 UTC)
Expired
Feb 15, 2003, 4:15 AM CST
In force
60 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 42 counties

Benton County, AR, Carroll County, AR, Crawford County, AR, Madison County, AR, Sebastian County, AR, Washington County, AR, Cherokee County, KS, Labette County, KS, Barry County, MO, Christian County, MO, Greene County, MO, Jasper County, MO, Lawrence County, MO, McDonald County, MO, Newton County, MO, Stone County, MO, Taney County, MO, Webster County, MO, Adair County, OK, Cherokee County, OK, Craig County, OK, Creek County, OK, Delaware County, OK, Haskell County, OK, Hughes County, OK, Latimer County, OK, LeFlore County, OK, Mayes County, OK, McIntosh County, OK, Muskogee County, OK, Nowata County, OK, Okfuskee County, OK, Okmulgee County, OK, Ottawa County, OK, Pittsburg County, OK, Pottawatomie County, OK, Rogers County, OK, Seminole County, OK, Sequoyah County, OK, Tulsa County, OK, Wagoner County, OK, Washington County, OK

The radar

The Tulsa radar (KINX), 63 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:17 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 00:00Z, 9.3 hours before the alert went out and 122 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 00:00Z on 2003-02-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 484 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 00:00Z on 2003-02-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 241 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
484 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-127 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
637 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
41 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
241 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
284 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.2
Supercell composite
1.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

051 
ACUS11 KWNS 150915
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 150915 
OKZ000-ARZ000-MOZ000-KSZ000-151015-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0073
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0315 AM CST SAT FEB 15 2003

AREAS AFFECTED...NERN OK...SWRN MO...NWRN AR

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 5...

VALID 150915Z - 151015Z

WEAK LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS ALONG COLD FRONT CONTINUES ITS
PROGRESSION EWD ACROSS WW INTO SWRN PORTIONS OF MO AND NWRN AR. 
LATEST RADAR TRENDS SUGGEST THIS ACTIVITY IS STRUGGLING DUE TO
MARGINAL INFLOW/WEAK LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE.  AS LLJ VEERS AND
FOCUSES WELL DOWNSTREAM IT APPEARS THE ABILITY FOR UPDRAFTS TO
MAINTAIN SUSTAINED INTENSITY IS DIMINISHING.

..DARROW.. 02/15/2003

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

37329400 37319245 36069345 34829444 34829594 34829744
36069649 37319554

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 14, 6:57 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCLittle River2 hr
Feb 14, 7:37 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCLittle River113 min
Feb 14, 11:09 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Carroll, Crawford, Franklin, Madison, Sebastian and 1 more2 hr
Feb 14, 11:20 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBenton, Carroll, Crawford, Franklin, Madison, Sebastian and 1 more6 hr
Feb 15, 12:31 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Carroll, Crawford, Franklin, Madison, Sebastian and 1 more119 min
Feb 14, 8:26 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Anderson, Bourbon, Chautauqua, Cherokee, Coffey and 13 more2 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Oklahoma, 2003Mesoscale Discussions in Missouri, 2003Mesoscale Discussions in Arkansas, 2003Every mesoscale discussion in 2003

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.