Alert archive / Oklahoma / Mesoscale Discussions in 2003

Mesoscale Discussion 71

February 14, 20034 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Feb 14, 2003, 11:09 PM CST for 4 states. It was in force for 2 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Feb 14, 2003, 11:09 PM CST (05:09 UTC)
Expired
Feb 15, 2003, 1:15 AM CST
In force
2 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 39 counties

Benton County, AR, Carroll County, AR, Crawford County, AR, Franklin County, AR, Madison County, AR, Sebastian County, AR, Washington County, AR, Cherokee County, KS, Labette County, KS, Barry County, MO, Jasper County, MO, Lawrence County, MO, McDonald County, MO, Newton County, MO, Stone County, MO, Adair County, OK, Cherokee County, OK, Craig County, OK, Creek County, OK, Delaware County, OK, Haskell County, OK, Hughes County, OK, Latimer County, OK, LeFlore County, OK, Lincoln County, OK, Mayes County, OK, McIntosh County, OK, Muskogee County, OK, Nowata County, OK, Okfuskee County, OK, Okmulgee County, OK, Ottawa County, OK, Pittsburg County, OK, Rogers County, OK, Seminole County, OK, Sequoyah County, OK, Tulsa County, OK, Wagoner County, OK, Washington County, OK

The radar

The Tulsa radar (KINX), 12 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 05:12 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 00:00Z, 5.2 hours before the alert went out and 167 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 00:00Z on 2003-02-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 484 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 00:00Z on 2003-02-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 241 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
484 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-127 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
637 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
41 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
241 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
284 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.2
Supercell composite
1.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

424 
ACUS11 KWNS 150509
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 150509 
OKZ000-KSZ000-MOZ000-ARZ000-150715-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0071
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1109 PM CST FRI FEB 14 2003

AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL / NERN OK INTO SERN KS...SWRN MO AND NWRN
AR

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 150509Z - 150715Z

TSTM DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INVOF COLD FRONT FROM
CNTRL OK INTO SWRN MO.	WW MAY BE REQUIRED SOON.



TLX RADAR IMAGERY SHOWS TSTMS DEVELOPING ALONG/IMMEDIATELY BEHIND
COLD FRONT THAT EXTENDS FROM SURFACE LOW OVER FAR SERN KS SWWD
THROUGH OKC INTO NWRN TX. LOW LEVEL FRONTAL CONVERGENCE AND LARGE
SCALE ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH SHORTWAVE CURRENTLY MOVING NEWD
ACROSS CNTRL OK ARE LIKELY CONTRIBUTING TO THE CONVECTIVE
DEVELOPMENT.  AIRMASS AHEAD OF FRONT REMAINS SLIGHTLY UNSTABLE
WITH MUCAPES OF 1000-1500 J/KG.  LOW WET BULB ZERO HEIGHTS --AOB
8000FT-- AND SUFFICIENT SHEAR THROUGH THE BUOYANCY LAYER WILL
SUPPORT LARGE HAIL.



..MEAD/GOSS.. 02/15/2003

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

35899705 36279666 36639632 36879603 37059569 37119558
37219531 37399477 37149384 36799338 36319334 35859354
35159413 34639514 34529602 34839689 35589700

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 14, 6:57 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCLittle River2 hr
Feb 14, 7:37 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCLittle River113 min
Feb 14, 11:20 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBenton, Carroll, Crawford, Franklin, Madison, Sebastian and 1 more6 hr
Feb 15, 12:31 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Carroll, Crawford, Franklin, Madison, Sebastian and 1 more119 min
Feb 15, 3:15 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Carroll, Crawford, Madison, Sebastian, Washington60 min
Feb 14, 8:26 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Anderson, Bourbon, Chautauqua, Cherokee, Coffey and 13 more2 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Oklahoma, 2003Mesoscale Discussions in Arkansas, 2003Mesoscale Discussions in Missouri, 2003Every mesoscale discussion in 2003

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.