Alert archive / Kansas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2003
Mesoscale Discussion 67
The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Feb 14, 2003, 8:26 PM CST for 19 counties in Kansas; 15 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 2 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Feb 14, 2003, 8:26 PM CST (02:26 UTC)
- Expired
- Feb 14, 2003, 10:30 PM CST
- In force
- 2 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
All 34 counties
Allen County, KS, Anderson County, KS, Bourbon County, KS, Chautauqua County, KS, Cherokee County, KS, Coffey County, KS, Crawford County, KS, Elk County, KS, Franklin County, KS, Greenwood County, KS, Labette County, KS, Linn County, KS, Lyon County, KS, Miami County, KS, Montgomery County, KS, Neosho County, KS, Osage County, KS, Wilson County, KS, Woodson County, KS, Barton County, MO, Bates County, MO, Benton County, MO, Cass County, MO, Cedar County, MO, Christian County, MO, Dade County, MO, Greene County, MO, Henry County, MO, Hickory County, MO, Jasper County, MO, Lawrence County, MO, Polk County, MO, St. Clair County, MO, Vernon County, MO
The watches that followed
Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.
The nearest sounding before it
Topeka, KS (KTOP), launched 00:00Z, 2.4 hours before the alert went out and 143 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 477 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 45 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 221 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 303 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.2
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
380 ACUS11 KWNS 150226 SWOMCD SPC MCD 150226 KSZ000-MOZ000-150430- MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0067 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0826 PM CST FRI FEB 14 2003 AREAS AFFECTED...SERN KS AND NWRN MO CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 2... VALID 150226Z - 150430Z TSTMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING ISOLATED LARGE HAIL REMAIN POSSIBLE...HOWEVER NEW WW IS NOT ANTICIPATED WITH EXPIRATION OF WW 002 AT 03Z. CLUSTER OF ELEVATED TSTMS CONTINUE TO MOVE NEWD OUT OF WW 002 AND INTO NWRN MO. 00Z TOP SOUNDING INDICATED A MARGINALLY UNSTABLE ELEVATED AIRMASS WITH A MUCAPE OF 230 J/KG AND A RELATIVELY STRONG WIND SHEAR PROFILE THROUGH THE BUOYANT LAYER. CONVECTION IS BEING FURTHER ENHANCED BY LARGE SCALE ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH WEAK SHORTWAVE CURRENTLY MOVING ACROSS ERN KS. FURTHER S...SURFACE LOW OVER FAR SERN KS HAS BEEN WEAKENING OVER THE PAST COUPLE OF HOURS. ALSO...00Z SGF SOUNDING INDICATED ONLY A MARGINALLY UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT --SBCAPE OF 780 J/KG-- WITH A CONSIDERABLE AMOUNT OF CIN. THREAT OF ISOLATED LARGE HAIL WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE WITH ELEVATED TSTMS CURRENTLY OVER MKC FOR THE NEXT HOUR OR SO. ELSEWHERE...THE PROBABILITY OF SURFACE BASED CONVECTION CONTINUES TO DIMINISH OVER WW 002 WITH WEAKENING CONVERGENCE AND STABILIZING BOUNDARY LAYER. THEREFORE...NEW WW IS NOT ANTICIPATED AFTER EXPIRATION OF WW 002 AT 03Z. ..MEAD/GOSS.. 02/15/2003 ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT... 37869643 38739643 38719475 38699306 37829306 36959306 36979475 36999643
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 11:09 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Cherokee, Labette | 2 hr |
| Feb 14, 11:20 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Cherokee, Labette | 6 hr |
| Feb 15, 12:31 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Cherokee, Labette | 119 min |
| Feb 15, 3:15 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Cherokee, Labette | 60 min |
Nearby
Mesoscale Discussions in Kansas, 2003Mesoscale Discussions in Missouri, 2003Every mesoscale discussion in 2003
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.