Alert archive / Kentucky / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2003
Severe Thunderstorm Warning 190, NWS Louisville, KY
NWS Louisville, KY issued this severe thunderstorm warning at May 15, 2003, 11:48 AM CDT for Breckinridge County, Kentucky. It was in force for 27 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- May 15, 2003, 11:48 AM CDT (16:48 UTC)
- Expired
- May 15, 2003, 12:15 PM CDT
- In force
- 27 min
- Issued by
- NWS Louisville, KY
- Area
- Counties, with a storm outline in the text
County Breckinridge County, KY
The radar
The Louisville radar (KLVX), 53 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:49 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
Did it verify
Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.
Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.
The watch it was issued in
The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.
| Issued | Product | Office | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 15, 10:15 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 6 hr |
The nearest sounding before it
Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 12:00Z, 4.8 hours before the alert went out and 169 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 663 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -15 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 607 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 35 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 30 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 65 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.1
- Supercell composite
- 0.5
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
721
WUUS53 KLMK 151648
SVRLMK
KYC027-151715-
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
1149 AM CDT THU MAY 15 2003
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LOUISVILLE HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
SOUTHEASTERN BRECKINRIDGE COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY
* UNTIL 1215 PM CDT
* AT 1146 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM OVER MADRID...OR ABOUT 47 MILES NORTH OF
BOWLING GREEN...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH.
* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
HUDSON...CONSTANTINE AROUND 1155 AM CDT
HAIL UP TO ONE INCH IN DIAMETER IS EXPECTED FROM THIS STORM. SEEK
SHELTER INSIDE UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED.
LAT...LON 3757 8641 3763 8650 3776 8636 3769 8623
3760 8630
$$
SMALLCOMBWhat forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Louisville, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at May 15, 3:40 AM CDT, 8 hours 8 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, May 15, 3:40 AM CDT, 8 hours 8 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY 440 AM EDT THU MAY 15 2003 SCATTERED STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ONGOING THIS MORNING. STORMS HAVE BEEN STRENGTHENING IN RESPONSE TO APPROACHING UPPER LEVEL LOW MOVING INTO THE GREAT LAKES. ALSO UPPER WIND MAX DROPPING SOUTHEAST ACROSS MISSOURI IS RESULTING IN INCREASED UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE MOVING ACROSS NORTHERN HALF OF FA EARLY THIS MORNING. WILL HAVE TO MENTION STRONG THUNDERSTORMS EARLY THIS MORNING THEN DIMINISHING. ANOTHER ROUND OF THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AS FRONT APPROACHES AND AFTERNOON HEATING PROVIDES AND UPPER DIVERGENCE PROVIDES TRIGGER. MODELS GENERALLY SIMILAR AND WILL COMPROMISE ON AREAS WHERE DIFFERENCES OCCUR. ...SHORT TERM... AS MENTIONED ABOVE WILL HAVE TO KEEP THUNDERSTORMS IN FCST TODAY THEN DIMINISH TONIGHT AS FRONT DROPS SOME SOUTH AND UPPER SYSTEM MOVES TO THE EAST RESULTING IN DRYING. NEXT LOW PRESSURE AREA APPROACHES ON FRIDAY SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS WILL GRADUALLY SPREAD BACK OVER FA FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL THEN CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND. HAVE STAYED PRETTY CLOSE TO GFS MOS GUIDANCE FOR TEMPERATURES AND BLENDED IN WITH SURROUNDING OFFICES FOR TEMPS AND POPS. LONGER TERM... WILL NOT MAKE ANY SIGNIFICNAT CHANGES ATTM. .LMK...NONE. SCHOLZ
Hazardous weather outlook, May 15, 4:45 AM CDT, 7 hours 3 minutes before
INZ076>079-083-084-089>092-KYZ023>043-045>049-053>057-061>067- 070>078-081-082-161100- HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY 545 AM EDT THU MAY 15 2003 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL KENTUCKY AND SOUTH CENTRAL INDIANA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THROUGH SOUTH CENTRAL INDIANA AND CENTRAL KENTUCKY TODAY AND EARLY TONIGHT. SEVERAL EPISODES OF THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED AHEAD OF THIS FRONT. MEANWHILE COLD AIR IN THE HIGHER REACHES OF THE ATMOSPHERE SUGGESTS SOME STORMS COULD PRODUCE LARGE HAIL. DAMAGING WINDS WILL ALSO BE A THREAT. THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS PLACED ALL OF CENTRAL KENTUCKY AND SOUTH CENTRAL INDIANA IN A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TODAY. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL HEAD TOWARD THE OHIO AND TENNESSEE VALLEYS LATER FRIDAY AND THROUGH THE WEEKEND. IT AGAIN APPEARS THAT PERIODIC THUNDERSTORMS ARE ON TAP THROUGH THE WEEKEND. ANY THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP ON FRIDAY SHOULD BE NON SEVERE....WHILE IT IS TO EARLY TO DETERMINE WHETHER THE STORMS WILL HAVE SEVERE POTENTIAL ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED TODAY AND THIS EVENING. STUREY
In the hours before
Local storm report, May 15, 7:29 AM CDT, 4 hours 19 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE, KY
829 AM EDT THU MAY 15 2003
TIME(EDT) .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE ...EVENT/REMARKS...
....COUNTY LOCATION....
0817 AM YOSEMITE KY .75 INCH HAIL
05/15/03 CASEY REPORTED BY SPOTTER
LJDLocal storm report, May 15, 10:26 AM CDT, 1 hour 22 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE, KY
1126 AM EDT THU MAY 15 2003
TIME(EDT) .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE ...EVENT/REMARKS...
....COUNTY LOCATION....
0535 AM BIG CLIFTY KY 1.00 INCH HAIL
05/15/03 GRAYSON PEA TO QUARTER SIZE HAIL.
REPORTED FROM HAM RADIO
OPERATOR.
0637 AM BUFFALO KY .75 INCH HAIL
05/15/03 LARUE DIME SIZE HAIL. REPORTED
BY NWS MANAGER.
0710 AM SALOMA KY .75 INCH HAIL
05/15/03 TAYLOR
0817 AM YOSEMITE KY .75 INCH HAIL
05/15/03 CASEY REPORTED BY SPOTTER
MRCLocal storm report, May 15, 11:20 AM CDT, 28 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE, KY
1220 PM EDT THU MAY 15 2003
TIME(EDT) .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE ...EVENT/REMARKS...
....COUNTY LOCATION....
1211 PM EASTON KY 1.00 INCH HAIL
05/15/03 HANCOCK REPORTED BY LAW
ENFORCEMENT.
MRCLocal storm report, May 15, 11:35 AM CDT, 13 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE, KY
1235 PM EDT THU MAY 15 2003
TIME(EDT) .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE ...EVENT/REMARKS...
....COUNTY LOCATION....
1230 PM 2 W HARDINSBURG KY .75 INCH HAIL
05/15/03 BRECKINRIDGE REPORTED BY LAW
ENFORCEMENT.
MRCLocal storm report, May 15, 11:41 AM CDT, 7 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE, KY
1241 PM EDT THU MAY 15 2003
TIME(EDT) .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE ...EVENT/REMARKS...
....COUNTY LOCATION....
1145 PM 12 N TELL CITY IN 1.00 INCH HAIL
05/15/03 PERRY MARBLE SIZE HAIL NEARLY
COVERED THE GROUND.
REPORTED BY TRAINED
SPOTTER.
MRCLocal storm report, May 15, 11:48 AM CDT, 0 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE, KY
1248 PM EDT THU MAY 15 2003
TIME(EDT) .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE ...EVENT/REMARKS...
....COUNTY LOCATION....
1245 PM WEST POINT KY 1.50 INCH HAIL
05/15/03 HARDIN REPORTED BY FIRE AND
RESCUE.
MRCThe office that day
Everything else NWS Louisville, KY issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 15, 2:46 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Hancock | 29 min |
| May 15, 3:50 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Breckinridge | 55 min |
| May 15, 4:45 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Grayson, Hardin | 30 min |
| May 15, 5:32 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Larue | 28 min |
| May 15, 5:44 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Green, Marion, Taylor | 31 min |
| May 15, 6:16 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Taylor | 29 min |
| May 15, 7:09 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Casey, Lincoln | 36 min |
| May 15, 10:41 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Meade | 49 min |
| May 15, 11:00 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Breckinridge, Hancock | 45 min |
| May 15, 11:30 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Bullitt, Hardin, Jefferson, Meade | 45 min |
| May 15, 12:16 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Bullitt, Nelson | 44 min |
| May 15, 12:28 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Spencer | 47 min |
| May 15, 12:57 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Anderson | 33 min |
| May 15, 1:12 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Fayette | 48 min |
| May 15, 1:14 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Edmonson | 31 min |
| May 15, 1:27 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Barren | 48 min |
| May 15, 1:46 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Adair | 34 min |
| May 15, 2:08 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Russell | 37 min |
| May 15, 2:13 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Metcalfe | 32 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Kentucky, 2003Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2003
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.