Flash Flood Warning 42, NWS Birmingham, AL

000 
WGUS74 KBMX 080912
FFSBHM
ALC015-027-073-111-115-121-081200-

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
409 AM CDT THU MAY 8 2003

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CLAY...RANDOLPH...
TALLADEGA...JEFFERSON...CALHOUN AND ST. CLAIR COUNTIES UNTIL 700 AM
CDT.

AT 409 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED 
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUING ACROSS SOUTHERN CLAY AND 
RANDOLPH COUNTIES. ONLY ISOLATED SHOWERS REMAIN ACROSS THE REST OF 
THE AREA. RADAR ESTIMATES 6 TO 10 INCHES OF RAIN OCCURRED ON 
WEDNESDAY AND RUNOFF CONTINUES. MANY ROADS ARE STILL CLOSED DUE TO 
HIGH WATER AND AREA CREEKS AND STREAMS ARE RUNNING AT FULL CAPACITY.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY. VEHICLES CAUGHT IN RISING WATER SHOULD BE ABANDONED QUICKLY.
MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

LAT...LON 3350 8726 3381 8695 3376 8666 3382 8643
          3398 8620 3386 8609 3395 8557 3347 8588
          3350 8533 3314 8524 3315 8646 3351 8638
          3359 8656 3331 8700

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM, AL
310 AM CDT THU MAY 8 2003

BAND OF TSTMS ALONG TAIL END OF SHORT WAVE TROF IS SLOWLY LIFTING
NORTHWARD IN RESPONSE TO BACKING UPPER FLOW OVER WESTERN GULF COAST
STATES.  SIGNIFICANT FLOOD EVENT OCCURRING IN AREAS FROM BIRMINGHAM
EASTWARD TO THE GEORGIA STATE LINE.  RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2
INCHES STILL POSSIBLE FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS AND FLASH FLOOD
WARNINGS WILL CONTINUE FOR THESE AREAS.  MESO-ETA HAS BEST HANDLE ON
CONVECTION DEVELOPING OVER EASTERN OKLAHOMA.  MESO-ETA TAKES
DEVELOPING MCS EASTWARD INTO NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI AND WESTERN
TENNESSEE BY LATE MORNING AND THEN INTO TENNESSEE VALLEY OF NORTH
ALABAMA DURING THE AFTERNOON.  BASED ON THIS TRACK...SPC PROBABLY HAS
THE SLIGHT RISK AREA A LITTLE TO FAR NORTH.  I WILL MENTION THE
POSSIBILITY OF SEVERE FOR OUR NORTHERN FRINGE COUNTIES. ONCE AGAIN...
SOUTHERN HALF OF FORECAST AREA WILL BE LEFT HIGH AND DRY TODAY DUE TO
GULF OF MEXICO UPPER RIDGE. EXPANDING RIDGE WILL CAP CONVECTION
ACROSS REMAINDER OF ALABAMA FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.

GFS STILL ADVERTISING A WEAK SURFACE FRONT TO MOVE INTO ALABAMA ON
SUNDAY.  FRONT STALLS OUT ALONG COASTAL AREAS AND SIGNIFICANT MID
LEVEL DRY SLOT MOVES OVER ALABAMA BY MONDAY MORNING.  MAIN CHANGE TO
FORECAST WILL BE TO LOWER POPS ON MONDAY.  DEEPER MOISTURE SHOULD
SPREAD BACK INTO AREA FOR TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.

BHM 86 72 89 71 89/  30 5 10 5 10
MGM 91 72 91 71 91/  10 5 10 5 5

.BHM...NONE.

ALZ011>015-017>050-072045-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
151 PM CDT WED MAY 07 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE COUNTIES SERVED BY THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BIRMINGHAM.

.DAY ONE (THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT)...

SEVERE WEATHER SHOULD LAST INTO THE EVENING HOURS WITH LONG LIVED
TORNADIC SUPERCELLS MARCHING ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA.

DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL ARE ALSO THREATS...ALONG WITH POSSIBLE
FLASH FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN (THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY)...

AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD IN FROM THE SOUTH OVER THE
REST OF THE WEEK.  THIS WILL MOVE THE AREA OF POTENTIAL SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS NORTHWARD OUT OF ALABAMA FOR THE END OF THE WEEK.

ALTHOUGH THERE WILL BE A SMALL CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS SUNDAY
THROUGH TUESDAY...AT THIS TIME NO WIDESPREAD OR ORGANIZED AREAS OF
SEVERE STORMS AREA EXPECTED ON THOSE DAYS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL AND STORM SPOTTERS HAVE BEEN
ACTIVATED.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
122 AM CDT THU MAY 08 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0100 AM    COUNTY WIDE               AL   FLASH FLOOD
05/08/03   CLAY                           FLOODING HAS CLOSED
                                          SEVERAL ROADS ACROSS THE
                                          COUNTY. AREA CREEKS AND
                                          STREAMS ARE STILL RUNNING
                                          OUT OF THEIR BANKS.

0100 AM    COUNTY WIDE               AL   FLASH FLOOD
05/08/03   CALHOUN                        SEVERAL AREA CREEKS AND
                                          STREAMS ARE OUT OF THEIR
                                          BANKS AND SEVERAL ROADS
                                          ARE CLOSED.

0100 AM    COUNTY WIDE               AL   FLASH FLOOD
05/08/03   RANDOLPH                       SEVERAL ROADS HAVE BECOME
                                          IMPASSABLE DUE TO HIGH
                                          WATER AND ARE NOW CLOSED.
                                          AREA CREEKS AND STREAMS
                                          ARE RUNNING NEAR BANKFULL
                                          IF NOT OVER.

0100 AM    COUNTY WIDE               AL   FLASH FLOOD
05/08/03   JEFFERSON                      SEVERAL ROADS REMAIN
                                          FLOODED AND WILL NOT
                                          RE-OPEN ANY TIME SOON.
                                          SEVERAL AREA CREEKS AND
                                          STREAMS REMAIN AT
                                          BANKFULL.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
153 AM CDT THU MAY 08 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0150 AM    COUNTY WIDE               AL   FLASH FLOOD
05/08/03   ST. CLAIR                      SEVERAL ROADS REMAIN
                                          CLOSED ACROSS THE COUNTY
                                          DUE TO HIGH WATER. AREA
                                          CREEKS AND STREAMS REMAIN
                                          NEAR BANKFULL.