Alert archive / Texas / Flash Flood Warnings in 2002

Flash Flood Warning 44, NWS San Angelo, TX

July 5, 2002Tom Green County, Texas

NWS San Angelo, TX issued this flash flood warning at Jul 5, 2002, 3:52 PM CDT for Tom Green County, Texas. It was in force for 113 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 5, 2002, 3:52 PM CDT (20:52 UTC)
Expired
Jul 5, 2002, 5:45 PM CDT
In force
113 min
Issued by
NWS San Angelo, TX
Area
Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Tom Green County, TX

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this flash flood warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), launched 12:00Z, 8.9 hours before the alert went out and 171 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Midland Regional, TX at 12:00Z on 2002-07-05Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 10 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Midland Regional, TX at 12:00Z on 2002-07-05The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 61 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
10 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-331 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1420 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
14 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
61 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
12 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WGUS54 KSJT 052052
FFWSJT
TXC451-052245-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
351 PM CDT FRI JUL 5 2002

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  TOM GREEN COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST TEXAS

* UNTIL 545 PM CDT

* AT 350 PM WEATHER SERVICE RADAR INDICATED THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY
  HEAVY RAINFALL OVER CENTRAL AND EASTERN TOM GREEN COUNTY...EXTENDING
  FROM THE CITY OF SAN ANGELO TO BETWEEN VERIBEST AND VANCOURT. OTHER
  STORMS WERE DEVELOPING OVER FAR WESTERN TOM GREEN COUNTY. THE STORMS 
  WERE MOVING VERY LITTLE...AND WERE PRODUCING VERY HEAVY RAIN.

* RAINFALL TOTALING 1 TO 2 INCHES HAS ALREADY FALLEN IN THE WARNED 
  AREA. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL OF 1 TO 2 INCHES WILL OCCUR...AND WILL CAUSE
  FLASH FLOODING. 

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM THESE STORM WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING OF SMALL 
CREEKS AND STREAMS...URBAN STREET FLOODING...AND FLOODING OF LOW LYING 
SPOTS.

DO NOT DRIVE INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD. THE WATER DEPTH
MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS SAFELY. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO
DRIVE AROUND BARRICADES. MOST FLASH FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN VEHICLES.


LAT...LON 3157 10013 3159 10026 3168 10027 3169 10069
          3168 10082 3158 10083 3157 10068 3112 10066
          3112 10017
1 follow-up statement
000 
WGUS74 KSJT 052214
FFSSJT
TXC451-052245-

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
510 PM CDT FRI JUL 5 2002

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR TOM GREEN COUNTY UNTIL
545 PM CDT...

AT 510 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR ESTIMATED THAT NEARLY TWO INCHES OF 
RAIN HAVE FALLEN OVER CENTRAL PORTIONS OF TOM GREEN COUNTY SINCE 3 PM...
WITH ADDITIONAL RAINFALL UP TO ONE INCH EXPECTED OVER SOUTHERN TOM GREEN
COUNTY BY 545 PM CDT. THIS WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE FLOODING OF LOW WATER
CROSSINGS AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING.
IF YOU ARE IN THE WARNING AREA MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY.
RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE
PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS
SWIFTLY FLOWING WATERS OR WATERS OF UNKNOWN DEPTH BY FOOT OR BY
AUTOMOBILE. IF YOUR VEHICLE STALLS, ABANDON IT IMMEDIATELY AND SEEK
HIGHER GROUND.

MOST DEATHS IN FLASH FLOODING OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO
CROSS BRIDGES...DIPS...OR LOW SPOTS IF WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY.
NEVER TRY TO CROSS A FLOWING STREAM...EVEN A SMALL ONE...ON FOOT.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS San Angelo, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Jul 5, 3:45 PM CDT, 7 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 5, 3:45 PM CDT, 7 minutes before
WEST CENTRAL TEXAS FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED CCF NUMBERS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
345 PM CDT FRI JUL 5 2002

CURRENT...SATELLITE IMAGERY...ESPECIALLY THE WATER VAPOR...INDICATES
THE VORT MAX ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER-LEVEL LOW OVER CENTRAL NEW
MEXICO IS MOVING EAST. AWIPS DISTANCE-SPEED TOOL INDICATES THE
EASTWARD SPEED HAS INCREASED DURING THE LAST FEW HOURS AND IS NOW
AROUND 20 MPH. OVER WEST CENTRAL TEXAS...WATER VAPOR IMAGERY CLEARLY
SHOWS THE UPPER DIVERGENT FLOW ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROPICAL WAVE
OVER CENTRAL TEXAS. KSJT WSR-88D DATA SHOWS A WEAK MCV OVER OUR
SOUTHEASTERN ZONES.

DAYS 1-3...RUC40 INDICATES CURRENT SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY
WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING HOURS. BEST POPS WILL BE ACROSS OUR
SOUTHEASTERN ZONES. THUS...WILL CONTINUE THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR
THE SAME COUNTIES THERE TONIGHT. THE REAL QUESTION FOR THE SECOND
PERIOD AND BEYOND IS HOW WILL THE UPPER-LEVEL LOW OVER NEW MEXICO
INTERACT WITH THIS TROPICAL WAVE. THE ETA DOES NOT DO MUCH WITH THIS
INTERACTION. THE AVN HOWEVER SUGGESTS THE UPPER-LEVEL LOW OVER NEW
MEXICO WILL INTERACT WITH THE TROPICAL WAVE...ESPECIALLY FOR
TOMORROW NIGHT. BASED ON SATELLITE AND MESO ANALYSIS...BELIEVE AVN
POPS BEST BUT STILL TOO LOW THROUGH SUNDAY. BEST CHANCES TONIGHT
ACROSS OUR SOUTHEASTERN ZONES WILL SHIFT WEST TOMORROW WITH THE
FOCUS ON OUR CENTRAL ZONES. FOR TOMORROW NIGHT AND SUNDAY...BEST
POPS WILL BE CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST. TEMPERATURES CLOSE TO AVN
GUIDANCE LOOK GOOD FOR AFTERNOON HIGHS THROUGH MONDAY WITH
PERSISTENCE BEST FOR OVERNIGHT LOWS.

DAYS 4-7...RAIN CHANCES CONTINUE THROUGH THE END OF NEXT
WEEK...ESPECIALLY GIVEN THE CONTINUED LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE AND
AFTERNOON HIGHS WELL IN THE 90S TO PROVIDE THE DESTABILIZATION.

THANKS TO MAF...LBB...AND SAT FOR EXCELLENT COORDINATION...WHAT A
TEAM

CCF PRELIMS...

ABI 070/088 070/090 070 6654
SJT 070/090 070/093 070 6643
JCT 070/090 070/093 070 7532

.SJT...FLASH FLOOD WATCH TONIGHT FOR MASON...MENARD...KIMBLE...
MCCULLOCH...SAN SABA...BROWN...COLEMAN COUNTIES.

23/HUBER

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jul 5, 2:30 PM CDT, 1 hour 22 minutes before
TXZ049-054-064>066-071>073-076>078-098-099-113-114-127-128-139-140-
154-155-168>170-052330-

WEST CENTRAL TEXAS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
230 PM CDT FRI JUL 5 2002

...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY AND
POSSIBLY EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL OCCUR INTO EARLY SATURDAY MORNING
ACROSS WEST CENTRAL TEXAS...

A PERSISTENT UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL REMAIN OVER WEST CENTRAL
TEXAS THROUGH TONIGHT. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
WILL OCCUR THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY TONIGHT ACROSS THE REGION. SIMILAR
TO THE PAST FEW NIGHTS...A MORE CONCENTRATED AREA OF SHOWERS AND STORMS
COULD DEVELOP OR MOVE INTO SOUTHEASTERN SECTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL TEXAS
LATE TONIGHT.

THE STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE SEVERE. HOWEVER...THE STORMS COULD BE
ACCOMANIED BY FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND VERY HEAVY RAINFALL. RAINFALL
TOTALS ACROSS WEST CENTRAL TEXAS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE AT
SCATTERED LOCATIONS...WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS OF 3 INCHES OR MORE.

IN THE HEARTLAND AND NORTHWEST HILL COUNTRY...THE GROUND IS SATURATED
WITH SOME STREAMS AND CREEKS RUNNING NEAR BANKFULL. ADDITIONAL HEAVY
RAIN WOULD CAUSE FLASH FLOODING PROBLEMS. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES
IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHWEST HILL COUNTRY AND HEARTLAND.

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

The office that day

Everything else NWS San Angelo, TX issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 5, 4:01 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningSJTMason, San Saba4 hr
Jul 5, 8:10 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningSJTKimble, Mason4 hr
Jul 5, 12:14 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningSJTKimble, Mason6 hr

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Texas, 2002Every flash flood warning in 2002

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.