Flash Flood Warning 41, NWS San Angelo, TX

000 
WGUS74 KSJT 051026
FFSSJT
TXC411-051300-

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
525 AM CDT FRI JUL 5 2002

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SAN SABA COUNTY UNTIL 
8 AM CDT...

AT 515 AM CDT...RADAR ESTIMATED THAT 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN HAVE 
FALLEN FROM CHAPPEL TO JUST EAST OF THE CITY OF SAN SABA SINCE 3 AM. 
1/4 TO 3/4 INCHES OF RAIN HAS FALLEN OVER THE REST OF SAN SABA 
COUNTY.

WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS 
OF 1/4 TO 1/2 INCH PER HOUR.  ADDITIONAL RAINFALL UP TO 1 1/2 
INCHES ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH 8 AM CDT. THIS WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE 
FLOODING OF LOW WATER CROSSINGS AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.

000 
WGUS74 KSJT 051034
FFSSJT
TXC319-051300-

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
533 AM CDT FRI JUL 5 2002

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR MASON COUNTY UNTIL 
800 AM CDT...

AT 530 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR ESTIMATED THAT 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN 
HAVE FALLEN FROM JUST NORTH OF LOYAL VALLEY TO 5 MILES SOUTH OF 
FREDONIA SINCE 3 AM.

THE EASTERN HALF OF MASON COUNTY CAN EXPECT ANOTHER 1/2 TO 1 1/2 
INCHES OF RAIN THROUGH 8 AM...AS WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS MOVE NORTH AT 15 MPH. THIS WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE 
FLOODING OF LOW WATER CROSSINGS AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.

000 
WGUS74 KSJT 051205
FFSSJT
TXC411-051300-

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
700 AM CDT FRI JUL 5 2002

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SAN SABA COUNTY UNTIL 
800 AM CDT...

AT 655 AM CDT...THE SAN SABA SHERIFF OFFICE REPORTED WATER FLOODING 
THE ROADWAY AT HIGHWAY 16 AND FM 1480.

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1/10 TO 1/4 INCH CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS SAN SABA 
COUNTY THROUGH 8 AM. LOW WATER CROSSING AND LOW LYING AREAS MAY BE 
FILLED. DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH WATER OF UNKNOWN DEPTH.

WEST CENTRAL TEXAS FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
249 AM CDT FRI JUL 5 2002

SO THIS IS JULY IN WEST TEXAS   MORE RAIN IS ON THE WAY

FOR THE PAST WEEK OUR ATTENTION HAS BEEN FOCUSED ON THE SHEAR AXIS
AND ASSOCIATED RAINS THAT CAUSED THE TERRIBLE FLOODING TO OUR EAST.
HAD BEEN THINKING THAT WOULD MOVE ACROSS OUR AREA AND PRODUCE
RAINS...WHILE WE HAVE SEEN THE IMPACT OF THAT SYSTEM...TONIGHT A
WHOLE NEW FOCUS HAS CHANGED OUR ATTENTION FURTHER WEST.

AN UPPER LOW ALONG THE AZ/NM BORDER LOOKS LIKE IT WILL PLAY A ROLE
IN OUR WEATHER FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.  THIS LOW HAS BEEN VERY
EFFECTIVE AT PRODUCING THUNDERSTORM OVER NEW MEXICO.  REMNANTS OF
THE NEW MEXICO STORMS ARE TRAVERSING WEST TEXAS TONIGHT.  IT APPEARS
THAT WITH SUFFICIENT SURFACE INFLOW...THOSE STORMS SHOULD PUSH
ACROSS OUR AREA DURING THE DAY...THEREFORE WILL PLACE RELATIVELY
HIGH POPS TODAY.

FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS THE LOW WILL GRADUALLY MOVE EAST AND
CONTINUE TO SPIT OUT PIECES OF ENERGY TO PRODUCE TSTRMS...EACH
MOVING OUR WAY.  THIS WILL REQUIRE POPS IN ALMOST EVERY FORECAST
PERIOD...IT WILL ALSO PROVIDE THE ENERGY NEEDED TO KICK OUT THE
PESKY SHEAR AXIS THAT HAS PERSISTED OVER SOUTH AND CENTRAL TEXAS.

WITH MODELS SHOWING CONSISTENCY OVER THE PAST SEVERAL RUNS...THE LOW
REMAINS IN THE SOUTHWEST...THE CENTER OF THE SFC HIGH TAKE HOLD WELL
TO OUR NORTHWEST.  THAT PLACES WCNTRL TX UNDER NORTHERLY FLOW ...SO
ALAS CHANCES OF A COLD FRONT AND CONTINUED CONVECTION REMAIN IN OUR
FUTURE.  WITH ALL THAT SAID...WILL MAKE WHOLESALE CHANGES TO THE
EXTENDED AND INCLUDE CHANCES OF RAIN THROUGHOUT AND COOLER THAN
NORMAL TEMPS...YUP ITS NOT A TYPICAL JULY FORECAST...BUT IT MAY BE
OUR CHANCE TO FILL SOME RESERVOIRS.  MAY NOT BE A DROUGHT
BUSTER...BUT IT AINT GOING TO HURT.

AT THIS POINT...AM NOT SURE WHAT I WILL DO WITH ANY FLASH FLOOD
WATCHES...OUR EASTERN COUNTIES HAVE BEEN HAMMERED OVER THE PAST
COUPLE OF DAYS...HOWEVER NOT MUCH RAIN THERE OVERNIGHT...SINCE THE
MAIN THREAT FOR HEAVIER RAIN TODAY APPEARS TO BE IN OUR WESTERN
COUNTIES ...MAY HOLD OFF ON ANY WATCHES...BUT WILL RESERVE THE RIGHT
TO MAKE LAST MINUTE CHANGES.  OKAY..LATE DECISION...LOOKING AT THE
RAIN MOVING INTO OUR SOUTHEAST COUNTIES...WILL GO WITH A FLASH FLOOD
WATCH FOR SOUTHEAST.

ABI 85/70/88/70  5432
SJT 86/70/88/70  6422
JCT 86/70/90/70  6322

.SJT...FLASH FLOOD WATCH TODAY FOR
MASON...MENARD...KIMBLE...MCCULLOCH...SAN SABA...BROWN AND COLEMAN
COUNTIES.

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