Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2002

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 86, NWS Houston/Galveston, TX

August 15, 2002Galveston County, Texas

NWS Houston/Galveston, TX issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Aug 15, 2002, 4:33 AM CDT for Galveston County, Texas. It was in force for 5 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 15, 2002, 4:33 AM CDT (09:33 UTC)
Expired
Aug 15, 2002, 9:15 AM CDT
In force
5 hr
Issued by
NWS Houston/Galveston, TX
Area
Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Galveston County, TX

The radar

The Houston radar (KHGX), 31 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:35 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Lake Charles Mun, LA (KLCH), launched 00:00Z, 9.6 hours before the alert went out and 197 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Lake Charles Mun, LA at 00:00Z on 2002-08-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1924 joules per kilogram.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Lake Charles Mun, LA at 00:00Z on 2002-08-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -35 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1924 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-6 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
723 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
14 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-35 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-28 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

061 
WUUS54 KHGX 150933
SVRHOU
TXC167-151015-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
432 AM CDT THU AUG 15 2002

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LEAGUE CITY HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  GALVESTON COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS

* UNTIL 515 AM CDT

* AT 430 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A CLUSTER OF SEVERE        
  THUNDERSTORMS ALONG AND JUST OFFSHORE OF GALVESTON ISLAND. THIS    
  CLUSTER WILL MOVE NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH OVER GALVESTON ISLAND AND    
  LIKELY PRODUCE WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. 

* LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS INCLUDE...
  JAMAICA BEACH
  GALVESTON STATE PARK
  GALVESTON
  TIKI ISLAND

MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR HOME OR
BUSINESS. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS

STRONG WINDS MAY KNOCK DOWN TREES AND POWER LINES OR DAMAGE
BUILDINGS. TAKE COVER NOW

PLEASE REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO THE COUNTY SHERIFF...LOCAL POLICE...
OR DEPARTMENT OF PUBLIC SAFETY. THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

LAT...LON 2907 9514 2902 9496 2941 9462 2939 9485

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Houston/Galveston, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Aug 15, 2:50 AM CDT, 1 hour 43 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 15, 2:50 AM CDT, 1 hour 43 minutes before
SOUTHEAST TEXAS FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
250 AM CDT THU AUG 15 2002

WIDESPREAD SHWRS AND TSTMS OCCURRING EARLY THIS AM ALONG COASTAL
ZONES AND OFFSHORE EAST OF MID/UPPER LEVEL TROF AXIS WHICH IS
SHIFTING EAST INTO FA.

MAIN FORECAST CONCERN IS 1ST PD POPS AS THERE IS LIKELY TO BE A
DECENT GRADIENT TODAY ACROSS INLAND ZONES. HAVE DECIDED TO TREND
FORECAST WITH A COMPROMISE OF AVN/ETA PRECIP FIELDS. HOWEVER...COULD
MAKE SOME LAST MINUTE ADJUSTMENTS BASED ON RADAR TRENDS LATER THIS
MORN. BELIEVE SHWRS/TSTMS WILL BE ONGOING TO START THE DAY ACROSS
COASTAL ZONES AND PORTIONS OF CENTRAL ZONES. WILL TAPER POPS WITH
EXPECTED PW FIELD WITH 2+ INCHES ACROSS CENTRAL AND COASTAL ZONES
AND LESS THAN 2 INCHES ACROSS N/NW ZONES. WILL ALSO MENTION HEAVY
RAIN IN ALL BUT N/NW ZONES. LIKELY TO SEE AVERAGE AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2
INCHES WITH ISOLATED 3 TO 5 INCH AMOUNTS ALONG AND SE OF AN EL CAMPO
TO HOUSTON TO CLEVELAND LINE. WILL KEEP LOW CHC POPS FOR 2ND
PERIOD ACROSS THIS AREA...BUT HEAVY RAIN THREAT SHOULD SHIFT NE
OF AREA LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

WILL CONTINUE TO ADVERTISE A DECREASE IN POPS FOR FRIDAY. HOWEVER...
THINK WITH MID-LEVEL WEAKNESS OVER FORECAST AREA WHICH IS SANDWICHED
BETWEEN WEST COAST RIDGE AND BERMUDA HIGH WILL STILL SEE SCT
CONVECTION WITH HEATING FOR ALL BUT N/NW ZONES...SO WILL FORECAST
SLIGHTLY HIGHER THAN GUIDANCE. WILL KEEP CHC ON SAT BUT LOWER TO
SLIGHT CHC ON SUN AS HEIGHTS RISE OVER AREA AND LIKELY TO SEE MORE
SYNOPTIC SCALE SUBSIDENCE FROM RIDGE TO THE WEST.

HIGH TEMPS TODAY AT MOST LOCATIONS SHOULD BE BELOW GUIDANCE NUMBERS
GIVEN EXPECTED PRECIP AND CLOUDS. THE TOUGH AREA WILL BE THE NW
ZONES WHERE SOME HEATING WILL LIKELY OCCUR.

FOR MARINE AREA...WILL KEEP ADVISORY FOR GULF WATERS FOR SEAS AND
HAVE CAUTION MENTIONED FOR BAYS TODAY.

33/47

.HGX....SCA GULF WATERS AND SCEC BAYS

PRELIMS...
CLL EB 092/076 094/075 095 423
IAH TB 088/076 092/076 094 734
GLS TB 086/080 088/080 089 +44
SW COAST                   834

The office that day

Everything else NWS Houston/Galveston, TX issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 15, 1:55 AM CDTSpecial Marine WarningHGX2 hr
Aug 15, 3:47 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningHGXBrazoria, Galveston118 min
Aug 15, 4:00 AM CDTSpecial Marine WarningHGX2 hr
Aug 15, 5:48 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningHGXBrazoria, Galveston2 hr
Aug 15, 7:28 AM CDTSpecial Marine WarningHGX62 min
Aug 15, 7:43 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningHGXGalveston107 min
Aug 15, 8:22 AM CDTSpecial Marine WarningHGX53 min
Aug 15, 8:47 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGXHarris34 hr
Aug 15, 9:13 AM CDTSpecial Marine WarningHGX2 hr
Aug 15, 10:26 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningHGXHarris3 hr
Aug 15, 10:34 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningHGXGrimes, Waller, Washington3 hr
Aug 15, 11:10 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningHGXBrazoria, Galveston3 hr
Aug 15, 11:13 AM CDTSpecial Marine WarningHGX2 hr
Aug 15, 11:37 AM CDTTornado WarningHGXGalveston23 min
Aug 15, 11:59 AM CDTTornado WarningHGXGalveston31 min
Aug 15, 1:14 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningHGXGrimes, Waller, Washington3 hr
Aug 15, 1:19 PM CDTSpecial Marine WarningHGX116 min
Aug 15, 1:45 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningHGXBrazoria, Galveston, Harris3 hr
Aug 15, 3:47 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningHGXWaller, Washington2 hr
Aug 15, 3:55 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningHGXHarris3 hr
Aug 15, 4:51 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningHGXBrazoria, Galveston3 hr
Aug 15, 6:10 PM CDTSpecial Marine WarningHGX2 hr
Aug 15, 6:10 PM CDTSpecial Marine WarningHGX2 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Texas, 2002Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2002

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.