Alert archive / Minnesota / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2002

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 234, NWS Grand Forks, ND

August 16, 2002Becker County, Minnesota

NWS Grand Forks, ND issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Aug 16, 2002, 11:30 PM CDT for Becker County, Minnesota. It was in force for 30 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 16, 2002, 11:30 PM CDT (04:30 UTC)
Expired
Aug 17, 2002, 12:00 AM CDT
In force
30 min
Issued by
NWS Grand Forks, ND
Area
Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Becker County, MN

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Aug 16, 10:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC5 hr

The nearest sounding before it

International Fa, MN (KINL), launched 00:00Z, 4.5 hours before the alert went out and 235 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, International Fa, MN at 00:00Z on 2002-08-17Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 12 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, International Fa, MN at 00:00Z on 2002-08-17The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 98 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
12 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-104 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1046 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
42 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
98 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
126 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

346 
WUUS53 KFGF 170430
SVRFAR
MNC005-170500-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS
1130 PM CDT FRI AUG 16 2002

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND FORKS HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...

  EASTERN BECKER COUNTY IN NORTHWEST MINNESOTA.

* UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT.

* AT 1129 PM...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THE
  LEADING EDGE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 32
  MILES SOUTHWEST OF BEMIDJI TO 25 MILES EAST OF DETROIT LAKES...
  MOVEMENT WAS TO THE EAST AT 60 MPH.

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN IN RURAL AREAS OF

  EASTERN BECKER COUNTY

REMEMBER SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRODUCE
TORNADOES WITH LITTLE OR NO ADVANCE WARNING.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT SATURDAY
MORNING FOR NORTHWESTERN MINNESOTA AND EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA. A SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 AM SATURDAY
MORNING FOR NORTHWESTERN MINNESOTA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA.

LAT...LON 4713 9543 4673 9545 4674 9520 4712 9522


7

NNNN

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Grand Forks, ND wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Aug 16, 8:45 PM CDT, 2 hours 45 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 16, 8:45 PM CDT, 2 hours 45 minutes before
FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA AND NORTHWEST MINNESOTA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS ND
845 PM CDT FRI AUG 16 2002

TWO CHALLENGES REMAIN FOR THIS EVENING...FIRST IS CONVECTION AND THE
SECOND IS WIND. SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR
SOUTHWEST PORTIONS OF THE FA UNTIL MIDNIGHT. AT THIS TIME IT APPEARS
THE BEST THREAT MAY BE SHIFTING FURTHER SOUTH...WITH MORE WIDESPREAD
SHOWER/WEAKER TSTORM ACTIVITY FOR THIS AREA. STILL SOME BOUNDARIES
APPARENT ON THE KMVX 88D THAT MAY INTERSECT AND PROVIDE SOME SEVERE
WEATHER. WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR BUT EXPECT LITTLE CHANGE TO
THUNDER WORDING IN ZONES. HIGH WIND WATCH ALSO LEFT OVER FROM DAY
SHIFT. APPEARS THAT BEST SFC PRESSURE GRADIENT IS OVER SOUTHWEST ND.
SEEING QUITE A FEW GUSTS IN THAT AREA OVER 50 KNOTS. 12Z/18Z MODEL
RUNS NOT HANDLING THE SFC LOW TRACK VERY WELL. MSAS 3 HOUR PRESSURE
FALLS STILL BEST EAST OF THE LOW (NOT NORTHEAST). THIS FURTHER
SOUTHWARD TRACK WOULD FAVOR A FURTHER SOUTHWARD PUSH OF THE
STRONGEST WINDS. THE EARLIER MODEL RUNS ALSO SHOW BEST PUSH OF COLD
ADVECTION OVER THE FA FROM 06Z-12Z WHICH CORRESPONDS TO THE COLD
FRONTAL PASSAGE. AVN LOOKS TO BE DOING A SLIGHTLY BETTER JOB SHOWING
THE BEST 850 MB WIND SURGE FROM WESTERN ND AND SOUTHEAST UNTIL
06Z...THEN THE AVN IS WEAKER ON 850 MB WIND SPEEDS AFTER 12Z THAN
THE ETA. WILL THEREFORE GO WITH A WIND ADVISORY FOR THE ENTIRE FA
FOR LATE TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY.

.FGF...WIND ADVISORY FOR LATE TONIGHT AND SATURDAY ENTIRE FA.

GODON

In the hours before

Local storm report, Aug 16, 9:57 PM CDT, 1 hour 33 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS, ND
957 PM CDT FRI AUG 16 2002

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0905 PM    5 E GRANDIN               ND   .75 INCH HAIL
08/16/02   CASS

0930 PM    9 NE ADA                  MN   1.75 INCH HAIL
08/16/02   NORMAN

PVB
Local storm report, Aug 16, 10:08 PM CDT, 1 hour 22 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS, ND
1008 PM CDT FRI AUG 16 2002

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0940 PM    4 E KATHRYN               ND   .75 INCH HAIL
08/16/02   BARNES

PVB
Local storm report, Aug 16, 10:58 PM CDT, 32 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS, ND
1058 PM CDT FRI AUG 16 2002

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

1000 PM    4 NE LISBON               ND   1.00 INCH HAIL
08/16/02   RANSOM

1015 PM    3 E MCLEOD                ND   WIND DAMAGE
08/16/02   RANSOM                         1-2 INCH DIAMETER BRANCHES
                                          DOWN

1040 PM    FARGO                     ND   WIND DAMAGE
08/16/02   CASS                           NUMEROUS TREES DOWN
                                          BLOCKING ROAD

1045 PM    MOORHEAD                  MN   WIND DAMAGE
08/16/02   CLAY                           NUMEROUS TREES DOWN
                                          BLOCKING ROAD

PVB
Local storm report, Aug 16, 10:58 PM CDT, 32 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS, ND
1058 PM CDT FRI AUG 16 2002

...CORRECTED COUNTY IN SECOND REPORT...

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

1000 PM    4 NE LISBON               ND   1.00 INCH HAIL
08/16/02   RANSOM

1015 PM    3 E MCLEOD                ND   WIND DAMAGE
08/16/02   RICHLAND                       1-2 INCH DIAMETER BRANCHES
                                          DOWN

1040 PM    FARGO                     ND   WIND DAMAGE
08/16/02   CASS                           NUMEROUS TREES DOWN
                                          BLOCKING ROAD

1045 PM    MOORHEAD                  MN   WIND DAMAGE
08/16/02   CLAY                           NUMEROUS TREES DOWN
                                          BLOCKING ROAD

PVB
Local storm report, Aug 16, 11:06 PM CDT, 24 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS, ND
1106 PM CDT FRI AUG 16 2002

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

1057 PM    LAKE PARK                 MN   63 MPH TSTORM WIND
08/16/02   BECKER                         REPORTED BY MN RWIS SITE

PVB

The office that day

Everything else NWS Grand Forks, ND issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 16, 9:01 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFNorman29 min
Aug 16, 9:10 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFPolk50 min
Aug 16, 9:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFMahnomen, Norman46 min
Aug 16, 9:46 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFOtter Tail44 min
Aug 16, 10:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFClay46 min
Aug 16, 10:34 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFWilkin41 min
Aug 16, 10:49 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFBecker41 min
Aug 16, 10:53 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFOtter Tail52 min
Aug 16, 11:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFHubbard50 min
Aug 16, 11:55 PM CDTTornado WarningFGFOtter Tail50 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Minnesota, 2002Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2002

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.