Alert archive / Arizona / Flash Flood Warnings in 1997

Flash Flood Warning 36, NWS Tucson, AZ

August 17, 1997Cochise County, Arizona

NWS Tucson, AZ issued this flash flood warning at Aug 17, 1997, 3:05 PM MST for Cochise County, Arizona. It was in force for 45 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Aug 17, 1997, 3:05 PM MST (22:05 UTC)
Expired
Aug 17, 1997, 3:50 PM MST
In force
45 min
Issued by
NWS Tucson, AZ
Area
Whole counties

County Cochise County, AZ

The radar

The Tucson radar (KEMX), 83 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:06 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Tuscon, AZ (KTUS), launched 12:00Z, 10.1 hours before the alert went out and 113 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Tuscon, AZ at 12:00Z on 1997-08-17Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 961 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Tuscon, AZ at 12:00Z on 1997-08-17The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -8 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
961 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-43 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1293 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
11 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-8 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
162 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
TTAA00 KTUS 172207
FFWTUS
AZC003-172255-

BULLETIN
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
305 PM MST SUN AUG 17 1997

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TUCSON AZ HAS ISSUED A
FLASH FLOOD WARNING EFFECTIVE UNTIL 350 PM MST
FOR PEOPLE IN THE FOLLOWING LOCATION...

IN SOUTHEASTERN ARIZONA

   ...WESTERN COCHISE COUNTY
 
AT 300 PM VERY HEAVY RAINFALL CONTINUED OVER WESTERN COCHISE COUNTY
NEAR THE BENSON AREA...RAINFALL RATES OF 1 TO 1.5 INCHES PER HOUR
CONTIdNUED OVER AREAS THAT HAD ALREADY RECEIVED NEARLY 2 INCHES.
FLOODING HAS BEEN REPORTED IN BENSON.

MEYER

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tucson, AZ wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Aug 17, 2:30 PM MST, 35 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 17, 2:30 PM MST, 35 minutes before
SOUTHEAST ARIZONA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
230 PM MST SUN AUG 17 1997

SEEMS MORE LIKE KEY WEST THAN TUCSON. TROPICAL LIKE AIR MASS
IN PLACE OVR STATE WITH COMPLICATED UPPER AIR FEATURES. SOME MID
LVL SPIN IS CAUSING STORMS TO MOVE IN ALL DIRECTIONS TODAY.
CENTER OF THIS SPIN SEEMS TO BE NEAR CGZ. THE SYS OFF THE CA
COAST...FCST TO MOVE EWD TO CNTRL AZ BY MON AM...IS PROVIDING
DYNAMICS FOR STORMS. SOMEWHAT CONFUSED SINCE LATEST WATER VAPOR
PIX SHOWS THIS SYS LIFTING OUT QUICKLY TO THE NORTHEAST...NEAR
LAS NOW BUT MODELS MOVD IT SLOWER TO THE EAST. BEST STORMS HAVE
BEEN ALONG SRN END OF COLD POOL ALOFT. TO OUR SOUTHWEST IS
IGNACIO. THE FLOW PATTERN AT H2 FROM THIS STORM AND THE UPR LVL
SYS IN CA PUTS AZ IN FAVORABLE AREA OF UPPER LVL DIVERGENCE. BOTH
THESE FACTORS SPEAK TO HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOODING. SHEAR
PROFILE HAS BEEN INTERESTING WITH SOME DECENT SPIN EARLIER WITH
STORMS IN PINAL COUNTY...STORMS SHOWED SOME SUPERCELL
CHARACTERISTICS.

STORMS MAY JUST KEEP GOING THRU THE NIGHT...AND JUST CANT BE TOO
SURE SO HAVE BROADBRUSHED FCST SOME. ALSO WONDER WHERE IGNACIO IS
GOING TO GO. WITH TROF FCST TO MOVE EWD IGNACIO MAY FOLLOW TROF
UP INTO AZ. NOT OUR TYPICAL MONSOON BUT INTERESTING. TUS 6554.
HOLBROOK/WJM

TUS...NONE

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Aug 17, 11:28 AM MST, 3 hours 37 minutes before
AZZ019-026>030-172300-
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...SOUTHEAST ARIZONA CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
1145 AM MST SUN AUG 17 1997...THIS PRODUCT IS NOT UPDATED

...MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS MOST OF SOUTHEAST
ARIZONA TODAY...

                AREAL    PROBABILITY   RAIN GREATER THAN   STORM
              COVERAGE    OF SEVERE     1.00       2.00    MOTION

COCHISE          50          50          70         30      N 10
GRAHAM           50          50          70         25      N 10
GREENLEE         70          30          60          5      N 10
TUCSON/ERN PIMA  50          50          70         30      N 10
TOHONO OODHAM   40          60          60         30      N 10
WESTERN PIMA     30          60          40         10      N 10
SOUTHEAST PINAL  50          60          70         30      N 10
SANTA CRUZ       50          50          70         25      N 10

SYNOPSIS...
A DISTURBED MOIST SOUTHERLY FLOW HAS DEVELOPED ACROSS SOUTHEAST
ARIZONA AS AN UPPER LEVEL LOW NEAR THE SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA
COAST MOVES INLAND. CLOUD COVER WITH SOUTHERLY MOISTURE FLOW AND
HIGH LEVEL MOISTURE FROM THE TROPICS WILL DELAY SOME DEVELOPMENT
TODAY. STRONG TO SEVERE AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE
ANYWHERE ACROSS SOUTHEAST ARIZONA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. DUE
TO THE VERY MOIST ATMOSPHERE...SOME OF THE STRONGEST STORMS WILL
PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OVER TWO INCHES.
*****************************************************************
KEY...
AREAL COVERAGE - PERCENT OF COUNTY OR AREA THAT WILL EXPERIENCE
                  THUNDERSTORMS
PROB OF SEVERE - THE PROBABILITY THAT ANY ONE OF THE STORMS WILL
                  REACH SEVERE LEVELS (DAMAGING WIND AND/OR
                  LARGE HAIL)
RAIN GRTR THAN - THE PROBABILITY THAT ANY ONE OF THE STORMS WILL
                  PRODUCE RAIN EXCEEDING 1 INCH OR 2 INCHES IN
                  ANY LOCATION
STORM MOTION   - GENERAL DIRECTION TO WHICH THE STORMS WILL
                  LIKELY MOVE AND SPEED IN MPH

NOTE...
VALID TIME IS FROM 12 NOON TO 12 MIDNIGHT OF THE DAY OF ISSUANCE

THIS PRODUCT IS NOT TO BE USED IN PLACE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORM OR
FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS OR WATCHES. THIS PRODUCT IS ONLY USED FOR
OUTLOOK PURPOSES.

END/MEYER

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tucson, AZ issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 16, 7:29 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTWCPima51 min
Aug 17, 1:25 AM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTWCPinal60 min
Aug 17, 10:16 AM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTWCPinal49 min
Aug 17, 10:52 AM MSTFlash Flood WarningTWCPinal93 min
Aug 17, 11:06 AM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTWCPinal64 min
Aug 17, 12:30 PM MSTFlash Flood WarningTWCPinal95 min
Aug 17, 12:47 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTWCPinal43 min
Aug 17, 1:58 PM MSTFlash Flood WarningTWCCochise62 min
Aug 17, 1:58 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTWCCochise62 min
Aug 17, 2:18 PM MSTFlash Flood WarningTWCPima92 min
Aug 17, 2:18 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTWCPima92 min

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Arizona, 1997Every flash flood warning in 1997

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.