Severe Thunderstorm Warning 331, NWS Springfield, MO

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
325 PM CDT MON SEP 23 1996

...PROB WILL BE TSTMS...FROPA...AND TEMPS FOR TNGT...

19Z SFC ANAL SHOWS THE WRM FNTL BNDRY OVR NRN MO WITH A CDFNTL BNDRY
XTNDG FROM WRN IA ACRS ERN KS TO A LOW ALG THE OK-KS BDR S OF ICT.
NMRS OUTFLW BNDRYS ARE APRNT OVR ERN AND SRN MO AND SERN KS.  THESE
HAVE PROVIDED THE FOCUS FOR STG-SVR TSTMS ACRS THE CWA SINCE THIS MRNG.
KSGF 88D CURRENTLY INDICATES TSTMS XTNDG FROM VIH-AIZ-JUST NW OF SGF.

ON THE SYNOPTIC SCALE...OMEGA BLOCK OVR CNTRL CANADA IS FORCING WX SYSTEMS
ACRS THE NRN TIER OF U.S.  NRN JET WITH A 90KT MAX WAS EVIDENT OVR DAKOTAS
AT H3 AT 12Z.  MEANWHILE...FLAT RDG OVR NRN MEX HAS THE SRN JET XTNDG ACRS
NWRN TX AND SRN OK.  THIS IS RESULTING IN DIFFLUENT FLOW OVR SWRN MO.

IN THE LWR LVLS...30-40KT JET WAS EVIDENT ARND H8 ON NERN OK PROFILER.
ADAP WAS INDICATING THE BEST MOIST CONV OVR SWRN MO WITH LI ARND -5 AND
A 3-5 DEG CAP STILL PRESENT.
MDLS IN GOOD AGREEMENT BUT LEAN TWD THE SLGTLY FASTER AND MORE SLY ETA.
BLV TSTMS OVR CWA WILL CONT WITH MORE STRMS DVLPG CLOSER TO FNT IN SRN KS-
NRN OK AND MOV INTO CWA LTR THIS EVENING.  CDFNT SHLD CLR WRN SECTIONS OF
CWA ARN MIDNGT AND ERN SECTIONS TWD MRNG.

HAVE LOOKED THRU THE WRKZFP AND FULLY AGREE WITH THE CURRENT CONFIGURATION.
GUID TEMPS LOOK FAIRLY CLOSE AND WILL ONLY MAKE MINOR ADJUSTMENTS.

SGF EE 058/069 056/070 055 0271-
JLN EE 059/071 056/072 057 0271-

 GAEDE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MISSOURI
1126 AM CDT MON SEP 23 1996

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0840 AM    TUSCUMBIA                 MO   1.75 INCH HAIL
09/23/96   MILLER

0850 AM    ST ELIZABETH              MO   .75 INCH HAIL
09/23/96   MILLER                         DIME HAIL ALSO REPORTED AT
                                          MARYS HOME

0920 AM    BRUMLEY                   MO   .75 INCH HAIL
09/23/96   MILLER

0925 AM    BRINKTOWN                 MO   .75 INCH HAIL
09/23/96   MARIES
0935 AM    BRINKTOWN                 MO   .75 INCH HAIL
09/23/96   MARIES

1025 AM    ST JAMES                  MO   1.25 INCH HAIL
09/23/96   PHELPS

RUNNELS

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-241200-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
100 PM CDT MON SEP 23 1996

THE FOLLOWING OUTLOOK CONTAINS INFORMATION FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES

IN SOUTHEAST KANSAS   BOURBON     CHEROKEE   CRAWFORD

IN SOUTHWEST AND CENTRAL MISSOURI

BARRY           DALLAS        LACLEDE        OREGON         STONE
BARTON          DENT          LAWRENCE       OZARK          TANEY
BENTON          DOUGLAS       MARIES         PHELPS         TEXAS
CAMDEN          GREENE        MCDONALD       POLK           VERNON
CEDAR           HICKORY       MILLER         PULASKI        WEBSTER
CHRISTIAN       HOWELL        MORGAN         SHANNON        WRIGHT
DADE            JASPER        NEWTON         ST CLAIR

...SEVERE WEATHER EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING...

A MODERATE RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER EXISTS ACROSS THE REGION GENERALLY
WEST OF A WEST PLAINS TO FORT LEONARD WOOD LINE FOR THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. THIS INCLUDES BOTH THE JOPLIN AND SPRINGFIELD AREAS.

A WARM FRONT EXTENDED ACROSS THE CENTER OF THE STATE INTO A LOW
PRESSURE CENTER OVER SOUTHCENTRAL KANSAS LATE THIS MORNING.  SOUTH TO
SOUTHWEST WINDS IN THE LOWER LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE WERE PUMPING WARM
MOIST AIR INTO THE AREA.  THE COMBINATION OF AFTERNOON HEATING...THE
APPROACHING FRONT...AND THE PASSAGE OF AN UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM WILL SET
OFF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON.

SEVERE WEATHER HAS BEEN SCATTERED GENERALLY NORTHEAST OF A WARSAW TO
SALEM LINE DURING THE MORNING HOURS.  AS THESE STORMS MOVE
SOUTHWARD...SEVERE WEATHER IS LIKELY TO CONTINUE.  LATER THIS
AFTERNOON...THUNDERSTORMS WILL BEGIN TO FORM OVER EASTERN KANSAS AND
NORTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WILL MOVE INTO WESTERN SECTIONS.  THE GREATEST
THREAT WITH THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE DAMAGING WIND GUSTS...AND
HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF GOLFBALLS.

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WI$LL LIKELY BE REQUIRED THROUGHOUT THE AFTERNOON AND
EVENING HOURS.  EMERGENCY MANAGERS AND SPOTTER GROUPS SHOULD CONTINUE
TO MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION FOR POSSIBLE ACTIVATION.

GAEDE

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ066-068-077>082-088>097-101>105-240250-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
349 PM CDT MON SEP 23 1996

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST
MISSOURI AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS UNTIL 900 PM CDT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR
PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST MISSOURI AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS UNTIL 900 PM CDT
THIS EVENING.  THIS WATCH EXTENDS GENERALLY SOUTH AND WEST OF A LINE
FROM FORT SCOTT KANSAS TO HARTVILLE TO GAINESVILLE AND INCLUDES THE
TOWNS OF PITTSBURG KANSAS...SPRINGFIELD...JOPLIN...AND BRANSON.

THUNDERSTORMS WERE CURRENTLY LOCATED FROM ROLLA TO SPRINGFIELD AND WERE
JUST BEGINNING TO MOVE INTO THE WATCH AREA.  THESE STORMS ARE EXPECTED
TO MOVE SOUTHWARD AND REMAIN STRONG TO SEVERE. MEANWHILE...OTHER STORMS
MAY DEVELOP OVER SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS AND NORTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA LATER
TODAY AND MOVE INTO EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND SOUTHWESTERN MISSOURI
THIS EVENING.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE IN
AND NEAR THE WATCH AREA.  PERSONS SHOULD WATCH FOR THREATENING WEATHER
AND LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO... COMMERCIAL RADIO OR TELEVISION FOR
FURTHER INFORMATION.

GAEDE