Severe Thunderstorm Warning 326, NWS Springfield, MO

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1005 AM CDT MON SEP 23 1996

KSGF 88D INDICATING STG-SVR TSTMS CURRENTLY MOVG ACRS THE NRN CWA.  THIS IS
IN ASSSOCIATION WITH A WRM FNT XTNDG ROUGHLY ALG THE MO RVR ATTM.  AT H8...
LLVL JET AND WAA XTNDS FROM SWRN OK THRU CNTRL MO.  AT THE UPR LVLS...CWA
LIES WITHIN AN AREA OF UPR LVL DIFF WITH THE H3 SRN JET OVR SRN OK AND
THE NRN JET OF ARND 90KTS OVR SD.

WITH RELATIVELY CLR SKIES OVR SERN KS-SWRN MO...WOULD XPCT STG HTG TO OCCUR
BY AFTN.  WITH LOTS OF MOISTURE IN PLACE...A GOOD LLVL JET...AN APRCHG FNT...
...AND OUTFLW BNDRYS FROM THIS MRNGS CNVCTN...WOULD XPCT SVR TSTMS TO FIRE THIS
AFTN PER SPC DISCUSSION.

WOULD NOT RECOMMEND ANY CHGS ATTM...BUT WOULD KEEP MY EYE ON MAX TEMPS IN
THE SGF/JLN GRP AS WE ARE ALREADY APRCHG THE LWR END OF THE MAX TEMP RANGE.
IF UPDTS MADE...WOULD UP POPS IN SCND PD AS TSTMS MAY LAST INTO THE EVENING.

GAEDE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MISSOURI
1126 AM CDT MON SEP 23 1996

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0840 AM    TUSCUMBIA                 MO   1.75 INCH HAIL
09/23/96   MILLER

0850 AM    ST ELIZABETH              MO   .75 INCH HAIL
09/23/96   MILLER                         DIME HAIL ALSO REPORTED AT
                                          MARYS HOME

0920 AM    BRUMLEY                   MO   .75 INCH HAIL
09/23/96   MILLER

0925 AM    BRINKTOWN                 MO   .75 INCH HAIL
09/23/96   MARIES
0935 AM    BRINKTOWN                 MO   .75 INCH HAIL
09/23/96   MARIES

1025 AM    ST JAMES                  MO   1.25 INCH HAIL
09/23/96   PHELPS

RUNNELS

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-241200-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
100 PM CDT MON SEP 23 1996

THE FOLLOWING OUTLOOK CONTAINS INFORMATION FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES

IN SOUTHEAST KANSAS   BOURBON     CHEROKEE   CRAWFORD

IN SOUTHWEST AND CENTRAL MISSOURI

BARRY           DALLAS        LACLEDE        OREGON         STONE
BARTON          DENT          LAWRENCE       OZARK          TANEY
BENTON          DOUGLAS       MARIES         PHELPS         TEXAS
CAMDEN          GREENE        MCDONALD       POLK           VERNON
CEDAR           HICKORY       MILLER         PULASKI        WEBSTER
CHRISTIAN       HOWELL        MORGAN         SHANNON        WRIGHT
DADE            JASPER        NEWTON         ST CLAIR

...SEVERE WEATHER EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING...

A MODERATE RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER EXISTS ACROSS THE REGION GENERALLY
WEST OF A WEST PLAINS TO FORT LEONARD WOOD LINE FOR THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. THIS INCLUDES BOTH THE JOPLIN AND SPRINGFIELD AREAS.

A WARM FRONT EXTENDED ACROSS THE CENTER OF THE STATE INTO A LOW
PRESSURE CENTER OVER SOUTHCENTRAL KANSAS LATE THIS MORNING.  SOUTH TO
SOUTHWEST WINDS IN THE LOWER LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE WERE PUMPING WARM
MOIST AIR INTO THE AREA.  THE COMBINATION OF AFTERNOON HEATING...THE
APPROACHING FRONT...AND THE PASSAGE OF AN UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM WILL SET
OFF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON.

SEVERE WEATHER HAS BEEN SCATTERED GENERALLY NORTHEAST OF A WARSAW TO
SALEM LINE DURING THE MORNING HOURS.  AS THESE STORMS MOVE
SOUTHWARD...SEVERE WEATHER IS LIKELY TO CONTINUE.  LATER THIS
AFTERNOON...THUNDERSTORMS WILL BEGIN TO FORM OVER EASTERN KANSAS AND
NORTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WILL MOVE INTO WESTERN SECTIONS.  THE GREATEST
THREAT WITH THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE DAMAGING WIND GUSTS...AND
HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF GOLFBALLS.

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WI$LL LIKELY BE REQUIRED THROUGHOUT THE AFTERNOON AND
EVENING HOURS.  EMERGENCY MANAGERS AND SPOTTER GROUPS SHOULD CONTINUE
TO MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION FOR POSSIBLE ACTIVATION.

GAEDE