Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 1995
Severe Thunderstorm Warning 307, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Oct 31, 1995, 2:54 PM CST for Ward County, Texas. It was in force for 39 min.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Oct 31, 1995, 2:54 PM CST (20:54 UTC)
- Expired
- Oct 31, 1995, 3:33 PM CST
- In force
- 39 min
- Issued by
- NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
- Area
- Whole counties
County Ward County, TX
The radar
The Midland/Odessa radar (KMAF), 99 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:53 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), launched 12:00Z, 8.9 hours before the alert went out and 98 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 399 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -2 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 602 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 10 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 3 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 29 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 TTAA00 KMAF 312054 RRA SVRMAF TXC103-371-475-312155- BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND TX 254 PM CST TUE OCT 31 1995 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND HAS ISSUED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING EFFECTIVE UNTIL 355 PM CST FOR PEOPLE IN THE FOLLOWING LOCATION... IN WEST TEXAS ...SOUTHERN CRANE COUNTY AND SOUTHEASTERN WARD COUNTY AT 250 PM CST...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS INDICATED BY MIDLAND DOPPLER RADAR 22 MILES NORTH OF FORT STOCKTON OR 8 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF GRANDFALLS MOVING NORTHEAST AT 16 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM ARE GRANDFALLS ...ROYALTY...IMPERIAL AND ABELL CITY. THIS STORM SHOULD BE IN THE VICINITY OF GRANDFALLS BY 310 PM. A TORNADO WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. REMEMBER...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRODUCE TORNADOES WITH LITTLE OR NO ADVANCE WARNING. REMAIN CALM BUT BE ALERT TO RAPIDLY CHANGING WEATHER CONDITIBONS. $$ FAGEN
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Midland/Odessa, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Oct 31, 9:43 AM CST, 5 hours 11 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Oct 31, 9:43 AM CST, 5 hours 11 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND TX 943 AM CST (843 AM MST) TUE OCT 31 1995 RECOMMEND DECREASED CLOUDS...INCREASED TEMPS THIS AFTERNOON. 88D INDICATES RAINS HAVE MOVED NORTH AND EAST OF THE PERMIAN BASIN FOR THE TIME BEING...LEAVING MORE SUN THAN CLOUDS. MAF 15Z SURFACE OBS INDICATED PRESSURE RISING RAPIDLY WITH A WIND SHIFT TO THE SE INDICATING THAT AN IMPULSE MOVED THROUGH THE LOCAL AREA. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATED A MID/UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER OLD MEXICO SOUTH OF ELP PROVIDING THE NEXT IMPULSE. A QUICK LOOK AT THE 12Z ETA GRIDS SHOWS GOOD UPWARD FORCING WITH Q-VECTOR CONVERGENCE ACROSS THE BIG BEND BY 18Z. AS THE MAX UPWARD FORCING MOVES EASTWARD BY 00Z...ETA SUGGESTS FRONTOGENESIS JUST E OF P07 BY 00Z AND THE SOUTHEASTERN PORTION OF THE CWA RAPIDLY BECOMING CONVECTIVELY UNSTABLE. LEANING TOWARD THE MORE CONVECTIVE ETA SOLUTION AS THE EARLIER NGM OVERFORECAST THE CLOUDINESS AND LESSENED THE CONVECTIVE RISK. SELS REFLECTS THIS TREND WITH A SLIGHT SEVERE RISK AREA EXTENDING EAST OF A P07-INK LINE FOR LATER TODAY. CNM 75/30 MAF 77/30 MRF 72/40 P07 77/40 FAGEN
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Oct 31, 11:08 AM CST, 3 hours 46 minutes before
TXZ045>048-050>052-057>063-067>070-074-075-079>082-NMZ027>029-010500- THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND TX 1109 AM CST (1009 AM MST) TUE OCT 31 1995 THIS OUTLOOK PERTAINS TO THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN WEST TEXAS: ANDREWS CULBERSON GLASSCOCK MARTIN REAGAN UPTON BORDEN DAWSON HOWARD MIDLAND REEVES WARD BREWSTER ECTOR JEFF DAVIS PECOS SCURRY WINKLER CRANE GAINES LOVING PRESIDIO TERRELL AND IN SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO: EDDY LEA SYNOPSIS: AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED OVER NORTHERN MEXICO WILL MOVE ACROSS WEST TEXAS LATE THIS AFTERNOON. THIS LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM COMBINED WITH A MODERATELY UNSTABLE AIR MASS DUE TO AFTERNOON HEATING WILL LEAD TO LATE AFTERNOON WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO. A FEW OF THESE THUNDERSTORM MAY APPROACH SEVERE LIMITS EAST OF THE DRYLINE... MAINLY EAST OF A SANDERSON TO WINK TEXAS LINE. SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED. FAGEN
The office that day
Everything else NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2:54 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Crane, Pecos | 61 min |
| Oct 31, 3:30 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Terrell | 60 min |
| Oct 31, 4:12 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Upton | 58 min |
| Oct 31, 4:54 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Terrell | 66 min |
| Oct 31, 5:08 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Upton | 47 min |
| Oct 31, 5:57 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Upton | 63 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Texas, 1995Every severe thunderstorm warning in 1995
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.