Alert archive / Arkansas / Jefferson County / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Jefferson County, Arkansas, 2018

24 severe thunderstorm warnings in 2018. An alert counts here when it covered this county. The archive of severe thunderstorm warnings reaches back to 1986.

Jefferson County and its neighbors

Each county as a circle sized by its count in 2018. Tap one for its archive.

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings
24
Busiest month
March4 severe thunderstorm warnings
Busiest day
March 11, 20183 severe thunderstorm warnings

Over time

By month

Warning verification

How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.

10 of 24 severe thunderstorm warnings covering Jefferson County in 2018 had a qualifying storm report inside them; 9 of 10 hail, wind and damage reports fell inside a warning, on average 19 minutes after it went out.

Jefferson County, 2018

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
Severe thunderstorm warnings241058%1090%19 min

Each office's whole area, 2018

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
NWS Little Rock, AR: severe thunderstorm warnings40618754%37784%21 min

An office's figures cover every county it serves, including across state lines.

Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.

The alerts

Every alert, in the order issued. Times are local, Central Time. Each opens its own page with the text, the map, the radar and the sounding.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Feb 28, 4:37 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK38 min
Mar 10, 7:24 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK51 min
Mar 10, 8:01 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK44 min
Mar 10, 8:42 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK48 min
Mar 19, 6:29 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK31 min
Apr 13, 10:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK45 min
Jun 9, 5:33 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK27 min
Jun 13, 4:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK45 min
Jun 23, 6:09 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK51 min
Jun 23, 6:12 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK33 min
Jul 16, 3:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK28 min
Jul 16, 3:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK28 min
Jul 20, 9:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK46 min
Jul 21, 3:39 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK51 min
Aug 8, 5:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK61 min
Aug 8, 5:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK64 min
Aug 17, 1:36 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK39 min
Aug 20, 12:44 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK31 min
Sep 21, 7:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK33 min
Sep 21, 9:22 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK23 min
Sep 21, 9:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK31 min
Dec 1, 2:05 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK40 min
Dec 1, 2:44 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK46 min
Dec 1, 3:53 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK37 min

The busiest days

Days with the most alerts issued, by UTC date.

Nearby

Alerts in force nowTornadoes on recordForecastThe radar archive20172019

Sources

National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.