Tornadoes · United States · Wisconsin · 2015

EF1 tornado, Lake Geneva to Lyons Arpt, Wisconsin, August 18, 2015

From Lake Geneva to Lyons Arpt, this EF1 tornado ran 4.9 miles across Walworth County on August 18, 2015, touching down at 8:56 PM CDT and reaching 75 yards wide. It killed nobody, and did $100,000 of property damage.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mph

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mphthis tornado

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mph

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
EF1
Date
August 18, 2015
Touchdown
8:56 PM CDT (01:56 UTC)
Lifted
9:06 PM CDT (02:06 UTC)
On the ground
10 minutes
Path length
4.9 miles (7.9 km)
Path width
75 yards (69 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$100,000
County
Walworth County
Touchdown point
42.588, -88.431
Lift-off point
42.655, -88.397
Record number
1508181956-01

The damage survey

49 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS MKX, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF1. The highest wind the damage implies is 110 mph.

  • signs down opposite direction
  • just before Arouca. looking away from aurora over a valley.
  • getting to top of ef1 scale damage. buildings on top of hill
  • not much damage to barn across street.

Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.

What the Weather Service recorded

A strong low pressure system moved across the Upper Mississippi River Valley and Great Lakes region. A large area of showers and thunderstorms moved across southern WI and produced 3 tornadoes in southeast WI.

An EF1 tornado caused a sporadic path of damage. The most severe damage was significant roof damage to 4 buildings that were warehouse buildings and metal building systems. One of those buildings sustained a collapsed wall. There was minor damage to a mobile home and a barn. A couple large retail signs were destroyed. There were many trees uprooted and snapped.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

No tornado warning for this county appears in the archive as in force at the moment the tornado touched down.

The county was under a tornado watch, issued at 18:47 UTC and running to 03:00 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
18:47 UTC03:00 UTCTornado WatchMKX
02:04 UTC02:30 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningMKX

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a General Thunderstorms Risk. The outlook in force was issued at 01:00 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Davenport, (KDVN), 00:00Z

1.9 hours before the tornado, 205 km from the path. August 19, 2015.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Davenport, at 00:00Z on 2015-08-19Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 5 joules per kilogram, CIN -188, lifted condensation level 887 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Davenport, at 00:00Z on 2015-08-19The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 91 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 43 knots.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
5 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-188 J/kg
Surface CAPE
344 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
887 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
43 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
16 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
91 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
156 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.1
0-3 km lapse rate
4.9 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

Davenport, (KDVN), 12:00Z

10.1 hours after it, 205 km from the path. August 19, 2015.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Davenport, at 12:00Z on 2015-08-19Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 0 joules per kilogram, CIN -88233, lifted condensation level 1055 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Davenport, at 12:00Z on 2015-08-19The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 43 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 39 knots.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-88233 J/kg
Surface CAPE
4 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1055 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
39 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
24 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
43 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
91 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
2.7 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The surface observations

Burlington (BUU), 12 km from the path, in the two hours either side.

Time (UTC)Temp (°F)Dew point (°F)WindGust (kt)Pressure (mb)Weather
00:15 UTC72.1465.3120° 6 kt1006.1
00:35 UTC71.7866120° 6 kt1005.8-RA
00:55 UTC70.8867110° 6 kt1005.1-RA
01:15 UTC70.1667.82110° 6 kt1005.1RA
01:35 UTC7068.36120° 7 kt1005.1RA
01:55 UTC67.2865.66260° 3 kt1004.4+RA
02:15 UTC68.1867.28150° 16 kt211004.1-RA
02:35 UTC66.3865230° 5 kt141004.7+RA
02:55 UTC66.265240° 5 kt1005.1+RA
03:15 UTC65.6664.76240° 4 kt1005.1RA
03:35 UTC65.4864.58130° 4 kt1004.4-DZ
03:55 UTC65.6665180° 4 kt1004.7

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of airport observations.

The radar

The Milwaukee radar (KMKX), 40 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 01:55 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
01:58 UTCTORNADO2 Nne Lake GenevaWalworth, WIEF1 TORNADO CAUSED SIGNIFICANT ROOF DAMAGE TO SEVERAL INDUSTRIAL BUILDINGS. WINDS ESTIMATED AT 110 MPH. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR.
02:15 UTCTSTM WND DMGLake GenevaWalworth, WIMETAL ROOFING AND DEBRI NEAR INTERSECTION OF HWY 120 AND HWY 12. DOORS RIPPED OFF AURORA HEALTHCARE BUILDING. TREES DOWN.
02:15 UTCTSTM WND DMGLake GenevaWalworth, WIMETAL ROOFING AND DEBRIS NEAR INTERSECTION OF HWY 120 AND HWY 12. DOORS RIPPED OFF AURORA HEALTHCARE BUILDING. TREES DOWN. POSSIBLE TORNADO.
02:31 UTCTORNADO2 Sw Big BendWaukesha, WIEF1 TORNADO CAUSED ROOF AND SIDING DAMAGE. WINDS ESTIMATED AROUND 100 MPH. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR.
02:37 UTCTSTM WND DMG2 Sw Big BendWaukesha, WITREE DAMAGE REPORTED ALONG COUNTY ROAD L. POSSIBLE TORNADO. RELAYED VIA SOCIAL MEDIA. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR.
02:37 UTCTSTM WND DMG3 Sw Big BendWaukesha, WIDOWNED POWER LINES AND TREE DAMAGE. SMALL PATCH OF FLATTENED CORN STALKS. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR. POSSIBLE TORNADO.
02:44 UTCTSTM WND DMG2 Ne Lake GenevaWalworth, WITREES DOWN GREATER THAN 12 INCHES IN DIAMETER
02:48 UTCTSTM WND DMG2 Ssw WaukeshaWaukesha, WITREE DAMAGE REPORTED IN SOUTHWEST WAUKESHA. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR.
02:48 UTCTORNADO2 Ssw WaukeshaWaukesha, WIEF-0 TORNADO CONFIRMED IN WAUKESHA NEAR INTERSECTION OF GENESEE ROAD AND WISCONSIN 59. PRIMARILY TREE DAMAGE ALONG PATH.

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2015 tornado in WisconsinEvery tornado in Wisconsin since 1950Warnings in force in Wisconsin nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of August 18, 2015

8 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
August 183:13 PM CDTEF0Cedar, IA0.120
August 184:32 PM CDTEF0Livingston, IL0.025
August 185:05 PM CDTEF0Livingston, IL0.025
August 186:09 PM CDTEF0Tazewell, IL2.075$30,000
August 187:55 PM CDTEF0DuPage, IL3.275
August 188:06 PM CDTEF0DuPage, IL0.275$50,000
August 189:25 PM CDTEF1Waukesha, WI2.550$46,000
August 189:50 PM CDTEF0Waukesha, WI0.625$10,000

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.