Tornadoes · United States · Illinois · 2015

EF0 tornado, Mackinaw to Lilly, Illinois, August 18, 2015

From Mackinaw to Lilly, this EF0 tornado ran 2.0 miles across Tazewell County on August 18, 2015, touching down at 6:09 PM CDT and reaching 75 yards wide. It killed nobody, and did $30,000 of property damage.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mphthis tornado

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mph

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mph

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
EF0
Date
August 18, 2015
Touchdown
6:09 PM CDT (23:09 UTC)
Lifted
6:11 PM CDT (23:11 UTC)
On the ground
2 minutes
Path length
2.0 miles (3.2 km)
Path width
75 yards (69 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$30,000
Crop damage
$8,000
County
Tazewell County
Touchdown point
40.526, -89.323
Lift-off point
40.550, -89.300
Record number
1508181709-01

The damage survey

5 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS ILX, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF0. The highest wind the damage implies is 80 mph.

  • Beginning of tornado. Crop damage and large tree limbs blown down onto house.
  • Crop damage, about 50-75 yards wide in cornfield.
  • Large tree limbs down on house and pine trees damaged.
  • Large tree limbs down on house and damage to pine trees about 75 yards wide.

Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.

What the Weather Service recorded

A vigorous upper-level disturbance tracking through the Upper Midwest interacted with an approaching cold front to trigger scattered strong to severe thunderstorms across central Illinois during the afternoon and evening of August 18th. Due to increasing low-level wind shear, a number of the storms began to rotate and produce funnel clouds. One storm produced a weak tornado in Tazewell County just east of Mackinaw. Other cells created scattered damaging wind gusts of around 60 mph and hail as large as quarters.

A tornado touched down 1.7 miles east-southeast of Mackinaw at 6:09 PM CDT. The tornado tracked northeastward for 2 miles, damaging several pine trees, downing tree limbs onto 3 houses, and damaging crops in a path 50 to 75 yards wide. The tornado dissipated in a wooded area 2.7 miles east-northeast of Mackinaw at 6:11 PM CDT.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

2 minutes of warning. NWS ILX issued a tornado warning for this county at 23:07 UTC, 2 minutes before the tornado touched down, in force until 23:19 UTC.

The county was under a tornado watch, issued at 18:38 UTC and running to 00:07 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
18:38 UTC00:07 UTCTornado WatchILX
23:07 UTC23:19 UTCTornado WarningILX

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Slight Risk, with a 0.05 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 20:37 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Lincoln, IL (KILX), 12:00Z

11.2 hours before the tornado, 74 km from the path. August 18, 2015.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Lincoln, IL at 12:00Z on 2015-08-18Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 949 joules per kilogram, CIN -51, lifted condensation level 802 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Lincoln, IL at 12:00Z on 2015-08-18The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 85 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 19 knots.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
949 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-51 J/kg
Surface CAPE
527 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
802 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
19 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
21 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
85 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
70 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
5.1 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

Lincoln, IL (KILX), 00:00Z

0.8 hours after it, 74 km from the path. August 19, 2015.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Lincoln, IL at 00:00Z on 2015-08-19Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 11 joules per kilogram, CIN -144, lifted condensation level 1084 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Lincoln, IL at 00:00Z on 2015-08-19The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 190 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 40 knots.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
11 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-144 J/kg
Surface CAPE
155 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1084 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
40 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
31 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
190 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
201 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
5.0 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The surface observations

Bloomington/Norm (BMI), 34 km from the path, in the two hours either side.

Time (UTC)Temp (°F)Dew point (°F)WindGust (kt)Pressure (mb)Weather
21:56 UTC81.8672.86170° 13 kt1007.1
22:56 UTC79.8872180° 11 kt1007.8
23:30 UTC78.873.4190° 9 kt1007.8-TSRA
23:34 UTC78.873.4200° 7 kt1007.8-TSRA BR
23:43 UTC75.271.6260° 22 kt251008.8TSRA BR
23:44 UTC75.271.6260° 18 kt251008.8+TSRA BR
23:56 UTC70.8869220° 14 kt171008.1-TSRA BR
00:17 UTC71.669.8220° 9 kt1007.8-RA
00:56 UTC70.8870180° 11 kt1007.5

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of airport observations.

The radar

The Lincoln radar (KILX), 43 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 23:06 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
21:28 UTCFUNNEL CLOUD1 Ne LexingtonMclean, ILFUNNEL CLOUD REPORTED BY TROOPER MOVING NORTH.
22:10 UTCTORNADO6 Ssw PontiacLivingston, ILRELAYED BY STATE POLICE. LOCATION ESTIMATED FROM RADAR.
22:13 UTCTSTM WND DMG7 E ElmwoodPeoria, ILTRAINED SPOTTER REPORTED TREE DAMAGE NEAR EDEN AND ROUTE 8...RELAYED BY EMERGENCY MANAGER
22:24 UTCTSTM WND GST 602 S KickapooPeoria, ILESTIMATED 50-60 MPH WIND GUSTS BENDING TREES OVER ON I-74 NEAR EXIT 82...NO DAMAGE NOTED AT THIS TIME...SWOP REPORT
22:30 UTCLIGHTNINGBartonvillePeoria, ILA LIGHTNING STRIKE CAUSED A MOBILE HOME TO CATCH FIRE IN BARTONVILLE...RELAYED BY A LOCAL TV STATION
22:40 UTCTSTM WND GST 591 Wsw East PeoriaTazewell, ILA MESONET STATION NEAR MCCLUGGAGE BRIDGE AND US-24/150 MEASURED A 59 MPH GUST.
22:53 UTCTSTM WND DMG2 W HopedaleTazewell, IL45 BY 50 FOOT POLE BARN UNDER CONSTRUCTION WAS BLOWN OVER
22:55 UTCTSTM WND DMGHopedaleTazewell, ILPOWER LINE BLOWN DOWN ON OAK STREET IN HOPEDALE.
23:09 UTCTORNADO2 Ese MackinawTazewell, ILDELAYED REPORT. WEAK TORNADO DAMAGED PINE TREES, DOWNED TREE LIMBS ONTO THREE HOMES, AND DAMAGED CROPS IN A PATH 50 TO 75 YARDS WIDE FOR 2 MILES. TORNADO DISSIPATED IN A WOODED AREA 3 MILES ENE OF MACKINAW AROUND 611 PM
23:12 UTCTSTM WND DMGCongervilleWoodford, IL4 TO 6 INCH DIAMETER TREE BRANCHES BLOWN DOWN IN CONGERVILLE

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2015 tornado in IllinoisEvery tornado in Illinois since 1950Warnings in force in Illinois nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of August 18, 2015

8 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
August 183:13 PM CDTEF0Cedar, IA0.120
August 184:32 PM CDTEF0Livingston, IL0.025
August 185:05 PM CDTEF0Livingston, IL0.025
August 187:55 PM CDTEF0DuPage, IL3.275
August 188:06 PM CDTEF0DuPage, IL0.275$50,000
August 188:56 PM CDTEF1Walworth, WI4.975$100,000
August 189:25 PM CDTEF1Waukesha, WI2.550$46,000
August 189:50 PM CDTEF0Waukesha, WI0.625$10,000

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.