Tornadoes · United States · Illinois · 2015
EF0 tornado, Mackinaw to Lilly, Illinois, August 18, 2015
From Mackinaw to Lilly, this EF0 tornado ran 2.0 miles across Tazewell County on August 18, 2015, touching down at 6:09 PM CDT and reaching 75 yards wide. It killed nobody, and did $30,000 of property damage.
The rating scale
Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.
EF065 to 85 mphthis tornado
Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.
EF186 to 110 mph
Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.
EF2111 to 135 mph
Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.
EF3136 to 165 mph
Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.
EF4166 to 200 mph
Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.
EF5over 200 mph
Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.
Unrated
The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.
The record
- Rating
- EF0
- Date
- August 18, 2015
- Touchdown
- 6:09 PM CDT (23:09 UTC)
- Lifted
- 6:11 PM CDT (23:11 UTC)
- On the ground
- 2 minutes
- Path length
- 2.0 miles (3.2 km)
- Path width
- 75 yards (69 m)
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- $30,000
- Crop damage
- $8,000
- County
- Tazewell County
- Touchdown point
- 40.526, -89.323
- Lift-off point
- 40.550, -89.300
- Record number
- 1508181709-01
The damage survey
5 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS ILX, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF0. The highest wind the damage implies is 80 mph.
- Beginning of tornado. Crop damage and large tree limbs blown down onto house.
- Crop damage, about 50-75 yards wide in cornfield.
- Large tree limbs down on house and pine trees damaged.
- Large tree limbs down on house and damage to pine trees about 75 yards wide.
Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.
What the Weather Service recorded
A vigorous upper-level disturbance tracking through the Upper Midwest interacted with an approaching cold front to trigger scattered strong to severe thunderstorms across central Illinois during the afternoon and evening of August 18th. Due to increasing low-level wind shear, a number of the storms began to rotate and produce funnel clouds. One storm produced a weak tornado in Tazewell County just east of Mackinaw. Other cells created scattered damaging wind gusts of around 60 mph and hail as large as quarters.
A tornado touched down 1.7 miles east-southeast of Mackinaw at 6:09 PM CDT. The tornado tracked northeastward for 2 miles, damaging several pine trees, downing tree limbs onto 3 houses, and damaging crops in a path 50 to 75 yards wide. The tornado dissipated in a wooded area 2.7 miles east-northeast of Mackinaw at 6:11 PM CDT.
From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.
The warnings
2 minutes of warning. NWS ILX issued a tornado warning for this county at 23:07 UTC, 2 minutes before the tornado touched down, in force until 23:19 UTC.
The county was under a tornado watch, issued at 18:38 UTC and running to 00:07 UTC.
| Issued (UTC) | Expired | Product | Office |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18:38 UTC | 00:07 UTC | Tornado Watch | ILX |
| 23:07 UTC | 23:19 UTC | Tornado Warning | ILX |
Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.
The forecast that day
The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Slight Risk, with a 0.05 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 20:37 UTC.
SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.
The air that afternoon
The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.
Lincoln, IL (KILX), 12:00Z
11.2 hours before the tornado, 74 km from the path. August 18, 2015.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 949 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -51 J/kg
- Surface CAPE
- 527 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 802 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 19 kt
- 0-1 km bulk shear
- 21 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 85 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 70 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
- 0-3 km lapse rate
- 5.1 K/km
Lincoln, IL (KILX), 00:00Z
0.8 hours after it, 74 km from the path. August 19, 2015.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 11 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -144 J/kg
- Surface CAPE
- 155 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1084 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 40 kt
- 0-1 km bulk shear
- 31 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 190 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 201 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
- 0-3 km lapse rate
- 5.0 K/km
The surface observations
Bloomington/Norm (BMI), 34 km from the path, in the two hours either side.
| Time (UTC) | Temp (°F) | Dew point (°F) | Wind | Gust (kt) | Pressure (mb) | Weather |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21:56 UTC | 81.86 | 72.86 | 170° 13 kt | 1007.1 | ||
| 22:56 UTC | 79.88 | 72 | 180° 11 kt | 1007.8 | ||
| 23:30 UTC | 78.8 | 73.4 | 190° 9 kt | 1007.8 | -TSRA | |
| 23:34 UTC | 78.8 | 73.4 | 200° 7 kt | 1007.8 | -TSRA BR | |
| 23:43 UTC | 75.2 | 71.6 | 260° 22 kt | 25 | 1008.8 | TSRA BR |
| 23:44 UTC | 75.2 | 71.6 | 260° 18 kt | 25 | 1008.8 | +TSRA BR |
| 23:56 UTC | 70.88 | 69 | 220° 14 kt | 17 | 1008.1 | -TSRA BR |
| 00:17 UTC | 71.6 | 69.8 | 220° 9 kt | 1007.8 | -RA | |
| 00:56 UTC | 70.88 | 70 | 180° 11 kt | 1007.5 |
From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of airport observations.
The radar
The Lincoln radar (KILX), 43 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 23:06 UTC.
Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track
Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.
What was reported nearby
Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.
| Time (UTC) | Report | Where | County | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21:28 UTC | FUNNEL CLOUD | 1 Ne Lexington | Mclean, IL | FUNNEL CLOUD REPORTED BY TROOPER MOVING NORTH. |
| 22:10 UTC | TORNADO | 6 Ssw Pontiac | Livingston, IL | RELAYED BY STATE POLICE. LOCATION ESTIMATED FROM RADAR. |
| 22:13 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 7 E Elmwood | Peoria, IL | TRAINED SPOTTER REPORTED TREE DAMAGE NEAR EDEN AND ROUTE 8...RELAYED BY EMERGENCY MANAGER |
| 22:24 UTC | TSTM WND GST 60 | 2 S Kickapoo | Peoria, IL | ESTIMATED 50-60 MPH WIND GUSTS BENDING TREES OVER ON I-74 NEAR EXIT 82...NO DAMAGE NOTED AT THIS TIME...SWOP REPORT |
| 22:30 UTC | LIGHTNING | Bartonville | Peoria, IL | A LIGHTNING STRIKE CAUSED A MOBILE HOME TO CATCH FIRE IN BARTONVILLE...RELAYED BY A LOCAL TV STATION |
| 22:40 UTC | TSTM WND GST 59 | 1 Wsw East Peoria | Tazewell, IL | A MESONET STATION NEAR MCCLUGGAGE BRIDGE AND US-24/150 MEASURED A 59 MPH GUST. |
| 22:53 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 2 W Hopedale | Tazewell, IL | 45 BY 50 FOOT POLE BARN UNDER CONSTRUCTION WAS BLOWN OVER |
| 22:55 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | Hopedale | Tazewell, IL | POWER LINE BLOWN DOWN ON OAK STREET IN HOPEDALE. |
| 23:09 UTC | TORNADO | 2 Ese Mackinaw | Tazewell, IL | DELAYED REPORT. WEAK TORNADO DAMAGED PINE TREES, DOWNED TREE LIMBS ONTO THREE HOMES, AND DAMAGED CROPS IN A PATH 50 TO 75 YARDS WIDE FOR 2 MILES. TORNADO DISSIPATED IN A WOODED AREA 3 MILES ENE OF MACKINAW AROUND 611 PM |
| 23:12 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | Congerville | Woodford, IL | 4 TO 6 INCH DIAMETER TREE BRANCHES BLOWN DOWN IN CONGERVILLE |
From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.
This ground now
The live radar over the trackEvery 2015 tornado in IllinoisEvery tornado in Illinois since 1950Warnings in force in Illinois nowThe forecast where you are
The other tornadoes of August 18, 2015
8 more were confirmed in the United States that day.
| Date | Time | Rating | Where | Path (mi) | Width (yd) | Deaths | Injuries | Damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| August 18 | 3:13 PM CDT | EF0 | Cedar, IA | 0.1 | 20 | |||
| August 18 | 4:32 PM CDT | EF0 | Livingston, IL | 0.0 | 25 | |||
| August 18 | 5:05 PM CDT | EF0 | Livingston, IL | 0.0 | 25 | |||
| August 18 | 7:55 PM CDT | EF0 | DuPage, IL | 3.2 | 75 | |||
| August 18 | 8:06 PM CDT | EF0 | DuPage, IL | 0.2 | 75 | $50,000 | ||
| August 18 | 8:56 PM CDT | EF1 | Walworth, WI | 4.9 | 75 | $100,000 | ||
| August 18 | 9:25 PM CDT | EF1 | Waukesha, WI | 2.5 | 50 | $46,000 | ||
| August 18 | 9:50 PM CDT | EF0 | Waukesha, WI | 0.6 | 25 | $10,000 |
What this means
Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.
Sources
NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.