Tornadoes · United States · Virginia · 2020
EF2 tornado, Palmer to Lilian, Virginia, August 4, 2020
From Palmer to Lilian, this EF2 tornado ran 15.6 miles across Lancaster and Northumberland counties on August 4, 2020, touching down at 5:40 AM EDT and reaching 500 yards wide. It killed nobody and injured 5, and did $3.0 million of property damage.
The rating scale
Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.
EF065 to 85 mph
Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.
EF186 to 110 mph
Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.
EF2111 to 135 mphthis tornado
Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.
EF3136 to 165 mph
Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.
EF4166 to 200 mph
Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.
EF5over 200 mph
Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.
Unrated
The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.
The record
- Rating
- EF2
- Date
- August 4, 2020
- Touchdown
- 5:40 AM EDT (09:40 UTC)
- Lifted
- 6:00 AM EDT (10:00 UTC)
- On the ground
- 20 minutes
- Path length
- 15.6 miles (25.1 km)
- Path width
- 500 yards (457 m)
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 5
- Property damage
- $3.0 million
- Counties
- Lancaster and Northumberland counties
- Touchdown point
- 37.627, -76.336
- Lift-off point
- 37.840, -76.428
- Record number
- 2008040340-01
The damage survey
1 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS AKQ, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF0. The highest wind the damage implies is 69 mph.
Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.
What the Weather Service recorded
The center of Tropical Storm Isaias tracked north just inland of the Middle Atlantic Coast from late Monday night, August 3rd through Tuesday morning, August 4th. Outer bands north and east of the Tropical Storm produced seven tornadoes across portions of eastern and southeast Virginia.
A damage survey conducted by the NWS Wakefield office found a path of storm damage consistent with an EF2 tornado. The tornado touched down near Windmill Point Lane then rapidly intensified as it crossed over Antipoison Creek. Numerous houses in the Antipoison Neck area along Tammy Drive, Clark Point Drive, Deep Water Drive, Wayne Circle, Chesapeake Trail, and others experienced significant roof loss and structural damage consistent with EF2 intensity. One house had the upper portions shifted off the main structure. Similar roof and structural damage continued as the tornado moved north into areas near Ocran Road, Squires Road and Bald Eagle Road in the Poplar Neck area. This is also where the tornado was at its widest point of 500 yards. The tornado then continued northward to Fleets Bay Road where additional roof loss consistent with EF2 intensity occurred. After this point, the tornado likely weakened to an EF1 as it crossed Boys Camp Road, Waverly Avenue and East Church Street in Kilmarnock. Numerous trees were uprooted or snapped in this area, with some siding and roof damage. The tornado then continued north northwest across Carlson Road and Mount Olive Road where more downed trees were observed, along with some roof and siding damage to houses. The tornado then tracked from Lancaster county into Northumberland county.
The tornado, as an EF1, tracked from Lancaster county into Northumberland County near Browns Store Road before lifting just north of Light Street. Mostly trees were snapped or downed in this area.
A damage survey conducted by the NWS Wakefield office found a path of storm damage consistent with an EF1 tornado. The tornado moved onshore from the Chesapeake Bay in the town of Fleeton, crossing Fleeton Road where several houses experienced roof and siding damage. In addition, trees were snapped and uprooted. The tornado then crossed over the Wicomico River and then moved back onshore near Timbs Road where trees were uprooted and snapped, and a few houses experienced roof and siding damage. The tornado then moved northward to near Buzzards Point Road, destroying a canopy, before lifting.
From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.
The warnings
23 minutes of warning. NWS AKQ issued a tornado warning for this county at 09:17 UTC, 23 minutes before the tornado touched down, in force until 09:45 UTC.
The county was under a tornado watch, issued at 06:28 UTC and running to 12:31 UTC.
| Issued (UTC) | Expired | Product | Office |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02:00 UTC | 14:02 UTC | Flash Flood Watch | AKQ |
| 06:28 UTC | 12:31 UTC | Tornado Watch | AKQ |
| 09:17 UTC | 09:45 UTC | Tornado Warning | AKQ |
| 09:42 UTC | 10:05 UTC | Tornado Warning | AKQ |
| 16:53 UTC | 20:57 UTC | Coastal Flood Advisory | AKQ |
Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.
The forecast that day
The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Slight Risk, with a 0.05 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 05:53 UTC.
SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.
The air that afternoon
The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.
Wallops Is Stn, VA (KWAL), 00:00Z
9.7 hours before the tornado, 89 km from the path. August 4, 2020.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 920 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -35 J/kg
- Surface CAPE
- 864 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 841 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 38 kt
- 0-1 km bulk shear
- 19 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 59 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 75 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.2
- Supercell composite
- 1.5
- 0-3 km lapse rate
- 6.7 K/km
Wallops Is Stn, VA (KWAL), 12:00Z
2.3 hours after it, 89 km from the path. August 4, 2020.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 472 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -6 J/kg
- Surface CAPE
- 259 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 648 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 52 kt
- 0-1 km bulk shear
- 56 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 254 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 273 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.8
- Supercell composite
- 2.9
- 0-3 km lapse rate
- 5.2 K/km
The surface observations
Saluda Hummel Field (W75), 16 km from the path, in the two hours either side.
| Time (UTC) | Temp (°F) | Dew point (°F) | Wind | Gust (kt) | Pressure (mb) | Weather |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:55 UTC | 76 | 76 | 100° 8 kt | 1009.8 | ||
| 08:15 UTC | 79 | 79 | 100° 15 kt | 23 | 1008.5 | |
| 08:35 UTC | 79 | 79 | 90° 20 kt | 28 | 1007.1 | |
| 08:55 UTC | 78.8 | 78.8 | 110° 17 kt | 36 | 1007.1 | |
| 09:15 UTC | 78.4 | 78.4 | 100° 21 kt | 30 | 1005.4 |
From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of airport observations.
The radar
The Norfolk radar (KAKQ), 100 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 09:41 UTC.
Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track
Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.
What was reported nearby
Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.
| Time (UTC) | Report | Where | County | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:55 UTC | TORNADO | 2 S Clay Bank | Gloucester, VA | TREES DOWN AND DAMAGED HOUSES IN THE ABINGDON AREA OF GLOUCESTER COUNTY. |
| 08:57 UTC | TORNADO | 1 Wsw Clay Bank | Gloucester, VA | NWS STORM SURVEY CONFIRMED AN EF1 TORNADO WITH A PEAK WIND SPEED OF 90 TO 95 MPH TRACKED ACROSS GLOUCESTER COUNTY NEAR MIDDLE PENINSULA STATE PARK. THE TORNADO LIKELY TOUCHED DOWN AS A WATERSPOUT OVER THE YORK RIVER AND |
| 09:42 UTC | TORNADO | 1 Ese White Stone | Lancaster, VA | *** 2 INJ *** SIGNIFICANT STRUCTURAL DAMAGE ALONG TORNADO PATH IN EASTERN LANCASTER COUNTY. |
| 09:45 UTC | TORNADO | 2 Wsw Byrdton | Lancaster, VA | *** 5 INJ *** NWS STORM SURVEY CONFIRMED AN EF2 TORNADO WITH A PEAK WIND SPEED OF 135 MPH OCCURRED FROM LANCASTER COUNTY, VA INTO NORTHUMBERLAND COUNTY, VA. THE TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN NEAR WINDMILL POINT LANE NORTH OF THE |
| 09:47 UTC | TORNADO | Kilmarnock | Lancaster, VA | SERIOUS DAMAGE ON WAVERLY AVENUE AND RT. 200 IN KILMARNOCK. |
| 09:57 UTC | TORNADO | Browns Store | Northumberland, VA | TORNADO DAMAGE IN THE BROWNS STORE AREA. |
| 10:07 UTC | TORNADO | 1 Ne Fair Port | Northumberland, VA | DAMAGE IN THE FLEETON AND BUZZARD POINT AREA. |
| 10:08 UTC | TORNADO | Fair Port | Northumberland, VA | NWS STORM SURVEY CONFIRMED AN EF1 TORNADO WITH A PEAK WIND SPEED OF 105 MPH OCCURRED NEAR THE TOWN OF FLEETON IN NORTHUMBERLAND COUNTY, VA. THE TORNADO OCCURRED FROM ABOUT 6:06 AM TO 6:09 AM AND TRACKED ABOUT 2.2 MILES. |
| 10:30 UTC | HEAVY RAIN 4.08 | 1 Wnw Five Forks | James City, VA | COCORAHS STATION VA-JC-45 WILLIAMSBURG 4.7 WSW. |
| 10:44 UTC | NON-TSTM WND GST 51 | 2 Ssw Poquoson | City of Poquoson, VA | MESONET STATION XWYT WYTHE CREEK. |
| 10:46 UTC | HEAVY RAIN 3.35 | 1 Sse Healys | Middlesex, VA | MESONET STATION EW4436 HARTFIELD. |
| 10:47 UTC | HEAVY RAIN 3.93 | 2 E Howland | Northumberland, VA | COCORAHS STATION VA-ND-5 HEATHSVILLE 4.6 SE. |
| 10:50 UTC | HEAVY RAIN 3.92 | 1 Nw Lee Hall | City of Newport New, VA | COCORAHS STATION VA-NNC-19 NEWPORT NEWS 9.6 NNW. |
| 11:00 UTC | HEAVY RAIN 3.17 | Stratford Hall | Westmoreland, VA | COCORAHS STATION VA-WM-5 STRATFORD 0.5 NE. |
| 11:00 UTC | HEAVY RAIN 3.4 | 1 E Cooper | Middlesex, VA | COCORAHS STATION VA-MX-4 LOCUST HILL 1.1 ENE. |
| 11:00 UTC | HEAVY RAIN 3.53 | 1 E Governors Land | James City, VA | COCORAHS STATION VA-JC-31 WILLIAMSBURG 5.8 WSW. |
| 11:00 UTC | HEAVY RAIN 4.2 | 1 S Five Forks | James City, VA | COCORAHS STATION VA-JC-38 WILLIAMSBURG 3.8 WSW. |
| 11:00 UTC | HEAVY RAIN 4.31 | 2 Nnw Five Forks | James City, VA | COCORAHS STATION VA-JC-10 WILLIAMSBURG 4.1 WNW. |
| 11:00 UTC | HEAVY RAIN 4.51 | 1 W York Terrace | James City, VA | COCORAHS STATION VA-JC-36 WILLIAMSBURG 1.6 ESE. |
| 11:00 UTC | HEAVY RAIN 4.62 | 1 Ene Toano | James City, VA | COCORAHS STATION VA-JC-56 WILLIAMSBURG 9.1 NNW. |
| 11:00 UTC | HEAVY RAIN 4.79 | 2 N Five Forks | James City, VA | COCORAHS STATION VA-JC-16 WILLIAMSBURG 3.2 WNW. |
| 11:00 UTC | HEAVY RAIN 4.96 | 1 Ssw Williamsburg | City of Williamsbur, VA | COCORAHS STATION VA-WLC-13 WILLIAMSBURG 1.0 SSW. |
| 11:00 UTC | HEAVY RAIN 5.21 | 2 N Five Forks | James City, VA | COCORAHS STATION VA-JC-1 WILLIAMSBURG 3.2 W. |
| 11:00 UTC | HEAVY RAIN 5.32 | 1 N Williamsburg Airpor | City of Williamsbur, VA | COCORAHS STATION VA-WLC-1 WILLIAMSBURG 1.3 SSW. |
| 11:00 UTC | HEAVY RAIN 5.44 | 1 Wsw Stampers | Middlesex, VA | COCORAHS STATION VA-MX-1 WHITE STONE 8.0 SSW. |
| 11:00 UTC | HEAVY RAIN 5.56 | Oaktree | York, VA | COCORAHS STATION VA-YR-7 WILLIAMSBURG 4.4 N. |
| 11:00 UTC | HEAVY RAIN 6.8 | 1 Wnw Lightfoot | James City, VA | COCORAHS STATION VA-JC-59 WILLIAMSBURG 6.5 NW. |
| 11:30 UTC | HEAVY RAIN 4.65 | 1 Ene Williamsburg | City of Williamsbur, VA | COCORAHS STATION VA-WLC-2 WILLIAMSBURG 1.4 ENE. |
| 11:50 UTC | HIGH SUST WINDS 49 | Gwynn | Mathews, VA | LOTS OF TREES DOWN TOO. |
| 11:50 UTC | HEAVY RAIN 4.85 | 1 Nne Jamestown | James City, VA | COCORAHS STATION VA-JC-55 WILLIAMSBURG 3.5 SW. |
| 12:00 UTC | HEAVY RAIN 3.1 | 2 W Ordinary | Gloucester, VA | COCORAHS STATION VA-GC-16 GLOUCESTER POINT 4.7 NW. |
| 12:00 UTC | HEAVY RAIN 3.21 | 2 Ne Governors Land | James City, VA | COCORAHS STATION VA-JC-24 WILLIAMSBURG 5.7 W. |
| 12:00 UTC | HEAVY RAIN 3.38 | 2 Sse Clay Bank | Gloucester, VA | COCORAHS STATION VA-GC-10 GLOUCESTER COURTHOUSE 5.8 SSW. |
| 12:00 UTC | HEAVY RAIN 3.45 | 2 E Clay Bank | Gloucester, VA | COCORAHS STATION VA-GC-8 GLOUCESTER COURTHOUSE 3.3 SSW. |
| 12:00 UTC | HEAVY RAIN 3.56 | 2 Wsw Warren Mill | James City, VA | COCORAHS STATION VA-JC-54 TOANO 3.9 WSW. |
| 12:00 UTC | HEAVY RAIN 4.15 | 1 Ese Mollusk | Lancaster, VA | COCORAHS STATION VA-LN-1 URBANNA 6.2 NNE. |
| 12:00 UTC | HEAVY RAIN 4.35 | 2 Se Kings Point | James City, VA | COCORAHS STATION VA-JC-26 WILLIAMSBURG 3.1 SSE. |
| 12:00 UTC | HEAVY RAIN 5.43 | 1 W Lightfoot | James City, VA | COCORAHS STATION VA-JC-58 WILLIAMSBURG 6.1 NW. |
| 12:00 UTC | HEAVY RAIN 5.51 | 1 Nw Williamsburg Airpo | James City, VA | COCORAHS STATION VA-JC-40 WILLIAMSBURG 1.9 SW. |
| 12:00 UTC | HEAVY RAIN 6.16 | 1 Nne Skimino | York, VA | COCORAHS STATION VA-YR-4 WILLIAMSBURG 6.0 N. |
From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.
This ground now
The live radar over the trackEvery 2020 tornado in VirginiaEvery tornado in Virginia since 1950Warnings in force in Virginia nowThe forecast where you are
The other tornadoes of August 4, 2020
30 more were confirmed in the United States that day.
| Date | Time | Rating | Where | Path (mi) | Width (yd) | Deaths | Injuries | Damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| August 4 | 2:11 AM EDT | EF0 | Hertford, NC | 5.0 | 100 | $20,000 | ||
| August 4 | 2:37 AM EDT | EF0 | Hertford, NC | 3.0 | 50 | $20,000 | ||
| August 4 | 2:49 AM EDT | EF2 | Southampton, VA | 15.9 | 200 | $8.0 million | ||
| August 4 | 2:54 AM EDT | EF1 | City of Suffolk, VA | 21.0 | 150 | $4.0 million | ||
| August 4 | 3:08 AM EDT | EF0 | City of Suffolk, VA | 11.7 | 100 | $10,000 | ||
| August 4 | 4:13 AM EDT | EF1 | James City, VA | 0.8 | 200 | $100,000 | ||
| August 4 | 4:53 AM EDT | EF1 | Gloucester, VA | 4.7 | 250 | $100,000 | ||
| August 4 | 5:55 AM EDT | EF2 | Wicomico, MD | 1.3 | 150 | $230,000 | ||
| August 4 | 6:06 AM EDT | EF1 | Northumberland, VA | 2.2 | 100 | $626,000 | ||
| August 4 | 6:27 AM EDT | EF0 | Saint Mary's, MD | 1.5 | 75 | |||
| August 4 | 6:32 AM EDT | EF0 | Saint Mary's, MD | 5.2 | 100 | |||
| August 4 | 6:52 AM EDT | EF0 | Calvert, MD | 0.8 | 175 | $250,000 | ||
| August 4 | 7:14 AM EDT | EF2 | Worcester, MD | 3.8 | 200 | $150,000 | ||
| August 4 | 7:22 AM EDT | EF0 | Wicomico, MD | 2.7 | 100 | $50,000 | ||
| August 4 | 7:33 AM EDT | EF1 | Calvert, MD | 3.0 | 100 | |||
| August 4 | 7:35 AM EDT | EF0 | Worcester, MD | 8.0 | 75 | $15,000 | ||
| August 4 | 7:55 AM EDT | EF0 | Worcester, MD | 9.6 | 75 | $20,000 | ||
| August 4 | 8:18 AM EDT | EF0 | Queen Anne's, MD | 0.7 | 35 | |||
| August 4 | 8:25 AM EDT | EF1 | Kent, DE | 3.0 | 200 | |||
| August 4 | 8:25 AM EDT | EF1 | Kent, DE | 2.1 | 400 | |||
| August 4 | 8:55 AM EDT | EF2 | Kent, DE | 35.8 | 500 | |||
| August 4 | 9:45 AM EDT | EF1 | Cape May, NJ | 4.2 | 150 | |||
| August 4 | 10:44 AM EDT | EF0 | Montgomery, PA | 3.1 | 200 | |||
| August 4 | 10:50 AM EDT | EF2 | Philadelphia, PA | 20.8 | 500 | 18 | ||
| August 4 | 10:50 AM EDT | EF1 | Ocean, NJ | 3.3 | 100 | |||
| August 4 | 1:40 PM EDT | EF0 | Western Connecticut Planning Region, CT | 0.0 | 25 | $15,000 | ||
| August 4 | 6:29 PM CDT | EF0 | Tripp, SD | 0.0 | 10 | |||
| August 4 | 6:39 PM CDT | EF0 | Tripp, SD | 0.0 | 10 | |||
| August 4 | 7:38 PM CDT | Unrated | Mountrail, ND | 4.4 | 100 | |||
| August 4 | 7:56 PM MDT | EF0 | Lincoln, CO | 0.0 | 50 |
What this means
Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.
Sources
NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.