Tornadoes · United States · North Dakota · 2015

EF1 tornado, Osnabrock to Union, North Dakota, June 27, 2015

From Osnabrock to Union, this EF1 tornado ran 3.0 miles across Cavalier County on June 27, 2015, touching down at 4:09 PM CDT and reaching 150 yards wide. It killed nobody.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mph

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mphthis tornado

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mph

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
EF1
Date
June 27, 2015
Touchdown
4:09 PM CDT (21:09 UTC)
Lifted
4:16 PM CDT (21:16 UTC)
On the ground
7 minutes
Path length
3.0 miles (4.8 km)
Path width
150 yards (137 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
County
Cavalier County
Touchdown point
48.573, -97.956
Lift-off point
48.543, -97.949
Record number
1506271509-01

What the Weather Service recorded

Temperatures rose into the 80s during the afternoon of the 27th along with dew points in the low to mid 60s. By mid to late afternoon a cold front and a strong short wave moved into the region. At 3 p. m. the cold front extended along a line from Langdon to Lakota to just west of Jamestown. Showers and thunderstorms formed along the cold front, but the first strong thunderstorm formed in southern Manitoba and tracked south-southeast into the Pembina and Cavalier county areas. Most of the storms stayed west of the Red River, although a few did form to the east of it. In addition, most storms showed strong rotation in many different areas of each individual storm. These storms produced large hail and tornadoes. Local news media and storm chasers took many pictures during the event, as most of the tornadoes were visible from long distances.

A rope tornado touched down in open fields east of Osnabrock. Peak wind speeds were estimated at 70 mph.

The tornado touched down west of Milton and tracked into the southwestern side of town before dissipating. Eight empty grain cars in a grain train at the Milton loading facility were blown over to the southwest. Peak wind speeds were estimated at 90 mph.

The tornado tracked from two miles north-northwest of Union, through town, and to about one mile south of Union. The tornado snapped numerous cottonwood and oak trees along its path. It also snapped one power pole and twisted a road sign. Peak wind speeds were estimated at 100 mph.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Enhanced Risk, with a 0.05 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 19:57 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the tornado touched down, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Grand Forks, ND wrote its last area forecast discussion before the tornado touched down at Jun 26, 6:42 PM CDT, 21 hours 27 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 26, 6:42 PM CDT, 21 hours 27 minutes before
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The surface observations

Cavalier (2C8), 34 km from the path, in the two hours either side.

Time (UTC)Temp (°F)Dew point (°F)WindGust (kt)Pressure (mb)Weather
00:00 UTC

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of airport observations.

The radar

The Fargo/Grand Forks radar (KMVX), 124 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 21:07 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2015 tornado in North DakotaEvery tornado in North Dakota since 1950Warnings in force in North Dakota nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of June 27, 2015

27 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
June 273:35 PM EDTEF0Hanover, VA3.625$2,000
June 274:28 PM EDTEF1Charles, MD2.0100$500,000
June 274:32 PM EDTEF1Charles, MD16.1800$13,000
June 273:55 PM CDTEF0Cavalier, ND0.320
June 274:02 PM CDTEF1Cavalier, ND0.9120
June 275:06 PM EDTEF0Butler, PA1.850$5,000
June 274:17 PM CDTEF0Walsh, ND3.075
June 274:24 PM CDTEF0Walsh, ND0.850
June 274:28 PM CDTEF0Walsh, ND0.850
June 275:30 PM EDTEF0Brunswick, NC0.025$3,000
June 274:36 PM CDTEF1Nelson, ND4.875
June 275:46 PM EDTEF1Lee, NC0.5100$25,000
June 274:55 PM CDTEF1Grand Forks, ND5.3150
June 275:13 PM CDTEF0Grand Forks, ND1.050
June 275:18 PM CDTEF0Steele, ND0.125
June 275:24 PM CDTEF0Barnes, ND0.125
June 275:38 PM CDTEF0Grand Forks, ND2.050
June 275:48 PM CDTEF1Steele, ND3.2800
June 276:02 PM CDTEF2Grand Forks, ND3.0400
June 276:13 PM CDTEF1Steele, ND3.5300
June 278:23 PM EDTEF1Robeson, NC0.7175$40,000
June 278:45 PM EDTEF1Robeson, NC0.1100$20,000
June 278:05 PM CDTEF0Clay, MN0.125
June 278:14 PM CDTEF0Beadle, SD0.350
June 278:22 PM CDTEF1Richland, ND2.075
June 278:44 PM CDTEF1Richland, ND0.8100
June 278:59 PM CDTEF0Richland, ND2.4300

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.