Tornadoes · United States · North Dakota · 2015

EF1 tornado, Aneta Gehrke Arpt to Aneta, North Dakota, June 27, 2015

From Aneta Gehrke Arpt to Aneta, this EF1 tornado ran 4.8 miles across Nelson County on June 27, 2015, touching down at 4:36 PM CDT and reaching 75 yards wide. It killed nobody.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mph

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mphthis tornado

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mph

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
EF1
Date
June 27, 2015
Touchdown
4:36 PM CDT (21:36 UTC)
Lifted
4:50 PM CDT (21:50 UTC)
On the ground
14 minutes
Path length
4.8 miles (7.7 km)
Path width
75 yards (69 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
County
Nelson County
Touchdown point
47.840, -98.070
Lift-off point
47.814, -97.898
Record number
1506271536-01

What the Weather Service recorded

Temperatures rose into the 80s during the afternoon of the 27th along with dew points in the low to mid 60s. By mid to late afternoon a cold front and a strong short wave moved into the region. At 3 p. m. the cold front extended along a line from Langdon to Lakota to just west of Jamestown. Showers and thunderstorms formed along the cold front, but the first strong thunderstorm formed in southern Manitoba and tracked south-southeast into the Pembina and Cavalier county areas. Most of the storms stayed west of the Red River, although a few did form to the east of it. In addition, most storms showed strong rotation in many different areas of each individual storm. These storms produced large hail and tornadoes. Local news media and storm chasers took many pictures during the event, as most of the tornadoes were visible from long distances.

The tornado developed well behind the rain and hail of a rapidly intensifying thunderstorm. It was observed and reported by a spotter near Sharon. The tornado blew down an old barn and blew out two steel grain bins at one farmstead, snapped six pine trees at a second, and snapped several poplar trees at a third. Peak winds were estimated at 100 mph.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

24 minutes of warning. NWS FGF issued a tornado warning for this county at 21:12 UTC, 24 minutes before the tornado touched down, in force until 22:00 UTC.

The county was under a tornado watch, issued at 19:42 UTC and running to 23:42 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
19:42 UTC23:42 UTCTornado WatchFGF
21:12 UTC22:00 UTCTornado WarningFGF
21:37 UTC22:15 UTCTornado WarningFGF
21:40 UTC22:13 UTCTornado WarningFGF

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Enhanced Risk, with a 0.05 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 19:57 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Bismarck Municip, ND (KBIS), 12:00Z

9.6 hours before the tornado, 236 km from the path. June 27, 2015.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Bismarck Municip, ND at 12:00Z on 2015-06-27Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 17 joules per kilogram, CIN -293, lifted condensation level 1820 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Bismarck Municip, ND at 12:00Z on 2015-06-27The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 101 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 36 knots.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
17 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-293 J/kg
Surface CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1820 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
36 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
16 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
101 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
190 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
-0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
4.3 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

Bismarck Municip, ND (KBIS), 00:00Z

2.4 hours after it, 236 km from the path. June 28, 2015.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Bismarck Municip, ND at 00:00Z on 2015-06-28Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 0 joules per kilogram, CIN -128, lifted condensation level 2200 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Bismarck Municip, ND at 00:00Z on 2015-06-28The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 47 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 35 knots.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-128 J/kg
Surface CAPE
41 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
2200 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
35 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
14 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
47 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
99 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
7.6 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The radar

The Fargo/Grand Forks radar (KMVX), 59 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 21:37 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
21:28 UTCTORNADO 02 Ne FordvilleWalsh, NDTORNADO VIEWED FROM MULTIPLE LOCATIONS...TWO MINUTE TOUCHDOWN ALONG A ROUGHLY MILE LONG TRACK OVER OPEN FIELDS EAST OF FORDVILLE. MAXIMUM WIDTH ESTIMATED TO 50 YARDS. PEAK WINDS ESTIMATED TO 75 MPH.
21:28 UTCTORNADO1 Nw InksterGrand Forks, NDTORNADO STILL VIEWED FROM HWY 32 AND FROM GILBY AREA ...TILL ABOUT 435PM CDT. TORNADO TRACKED JUST SOUTHWEST OF INKSTER...HEADED SOUTHEAST.
21:28 UTCTORNADO2 Ne FordvilleWalsh, NDTORNADO VIEWED FROM MULTIPLE LOCATIONS...ROUGHLY TWO MINUTE TOUCHDOWN.
21:32 UTCTORNADO1 Nw InksterGrand Forks, NDTORNADO STILL VIEWED FROM HWY 32 AND FROM GILBY AREA ...TILL ABOUT 435PM CDT. TORNADO TRACKED JUST SOUTHWEST OF INKSTER...HEADED SOUTHEAST.
21:35 UTCFUNNEL CLOUD2 Ne InksterGrand Forks, NDFUMNNEL CLOUD VIEWED AND REPORTED FROM GRAND FORKS AIRPORT /KGFK/... AT ROUGHLY 18 MILES TO THE SE OF THAT LOCATION.
21:35 UTCFUNNEL CLOUD3 Ene InksterGrand Forks, NDFUNNEL CLOUD WAS VIEWED AND REPORTED FROM GRAND FORKS AIRPORT /KGFK/... LOCATED MORE THAN 20 MILES TO THE SE OF THE FUNNELS LOCATION.
21:35 UTCTORNADO1 S InksterGrand Forks, NDTORNADO VIEWED AND REPORTED FROM GRAND FORKS AIRPORT /KGFK/... ROUGHLY 18 MILES TO THE NW OF THAT LOCATION.
21:36 UTCTORNADO 17 Ne McvilleNelson, NDTHIS TORNADO DEVELOPED WELL BEHIND THE RAIN AND HAIL OF A RAPIDLY INTENSIFYING THUNDERSTORM. IT TRACKED EASTWARD INTERMITTENTLY FOR 4.8 MILES TO ABOUT 10 NNE OF ANETA BY 450 PM CDT. IT WAS VIEWED AND REPORTED BY A SPOTTE
21:36 UTCTORNADO 17 Ne McvilleNelson, NDTHIS TORNADO DEVELOPED WELL BEHIND THE RAIN AND HAIL OF A RAPIDLY INTENSIFYING THUNDERSTORM.IT TRACKED EASTWARD INTERMITTENTLY FOR ROUGHLY 5 MILES TO ABOUT 10 NNE OF ANETA BY 450 PM CDT. THE TORNADO BLEW DOWN AN OLD BARN
21:44 UTCFUNNEL CLOUD14 Nnw SharonNelson, NDSPOTTER LOCATED NORTHWEST OF SHARON REPORTED FUNNEL CLOUD MOVING TO THE EAST SOUTEAST.
21:44 UTCFUNNEL CLOUD2 Nw SharonSteele, NDFUNNEL CLOUD SITED... MOVING SOUTHEAST.
21:45 UTCHAIL 110 Nne AnetaNelson, NDLARGE HAIL AND BRIEF HEAVY RAIN PRECEDED THE ARRIVAL OF A WEAK TORNADO.
21:45 UTCHAIL 1.751 S LankinWalsh, ND
21:46 UTCHAIL 1.751 S LankinWalsh, ND
21:47 UTCHAIL 1.54 S Logan CenterGrand Forks, NDTIME ESTIMATED BY RADAR. SPOTTER FOUND PING PONG BALL SIZED HAIL 45 MINUTES AFTER IT FELL.
21:55 UTCTORNADO 13 Nw InksterGrand Forks, NDTHIS TORNADO TRACKED INTERMITTENTLY FOR AROUND 6 MILES AND LASTING THROUGH 510 PM CDT. IT TOUCHED DOWN ALONG THE EAST EDGE OF THE FOREST RIVER COLONY AND PASSED JUST WEST OF INKSTER AS IT TRACKED TO AROUND 2 EAST NORTHEA
21:55 UTCTORNADO 13 Nw InksterGrand Forks, NDTHIS TORNADO TRACKED INTERMITTENTLY FOR AT LEAST 8 MILES AND LASTING THROUGH 510 PM CDT. IT TOUCHED DOWN ALONG THE EAST EDGE OF THE FOREST RIVER COLONY AND PASSED JUST WEST OF INKSTER AS IT TRACKED TO AROUND 2 EAST OF OR
22:00 UTCHAIL 1.751 S LankinWalsh, ND
22:05 UTCHAIL 25 W GilbyGrand Forks, NDHAIL UP TO HEN EGG SIZED FELL FOR SEVERAL MINUTES ACROSS WHEATFIELD TOWNSHIP.
22:08 UTCFUNNEL CLOUD12 Nw Grand Forks AfbGrand Forks, NDFUNNEL CLOUD REPORTED NORTHWEST OF GFAFB.
22:08 UTCFUNNEL CLOUD8 Wnw Grand Forks AfbGrand Forks, NDFUNNEL CLOUD REPORTED WEST NORTHWEST OF GFAFB.
22:08 UTCTORNADO5 Ne HattonGrand Forks, NDDEBRIS INDOCATED ON RADAR. SPOTTER REPORTS FUNNEL AS VIEWED FROM HATTON... BUT CANT SEE THE GROUND AREA.
22:09 UTCHAIL 0.755 E HolmesGrand Forks, ND
22:13 UTCTORNADO 06 S Logan CenterGrand Forks, NDTORNADO VIEWED SOUTH OF HWY 15 MOVING EAST. TORNADO LASTED FOR ABOUT TWO MINUTES...UNTIL 515 PM CDT...AND TRAVELLED NEARLY A MILE OVER OPEN FIELDS.
22:15 UTCTORNADO3 S Logan CenterGrand Forks, NDTORNADO VIEWED SOUTH OF HWY 15 MOVING EAST.
22:18 UTCTORNADO 08 E SharonSteele, NDBRIEF TOUCHDOWN NOTED IN OPEN FIELD.
22:18 UTCTORNADO4 Ese SharonSteele, ND
22:22 UTCHAIL 0.88Grand Forks AfbGrand Forks, ND
22:25 UTCHAIL 31 N Golden LakeSteele, NDVERY LARGE HAIL ACROSS NORTHWEST SIDE OF GOLDEN LAKE. ALSO SOME 2 INCH BRANCHES BROKEN DOWN.
22:26 UTCHAIL 1Grand Forks AfbGrand Forks, ND
22:31 UTCHAIL 1.75Grand Forks AfbGrand Forks, ND
22:33 UTCFUNNEL CLOUD2 W ArvillaGrand Forks, NDREPORTED BY STATE PATROL
22:33 UTCFUNNEL CLOUD3 Nw ArvillaGrand Forks, NDREPORTED BY STATE PATROL
22:35 UTCHAIL 1.75ArvillaGrand Forks, ND
22:37 UTCHAIL 33 N NorthwoodGrand Forks, ND
22:38 UTCTORNADO 02 W ArvillaGrand Forks, NDA TORNADO TRACKED FOR ROUGHLY 2 MILES TO ABOUT 1 SSW OF ARVILLA BY 542 PM CDT. THE FUNNEL CLOUD WAS VISIBLE FOR SEVERAL MORE MINUTES AND WAS VIEWED AND PHOTOGRAPHED FROM TURTLE RIVER STATE PARK...LARIMORE...ARVILLA AND F
22:38 UTCTORNADO 02 Wsw ArvillaGrand Forks, NDA TORNADO TRACKED FOR ROUGHLY 2 MILES TO ABOUT 1 S OF ARVILLA BY 542 PM CDT. THE FUNNEL CLOUD WAS VISIBLE FOR SEVERAL MORE MINUTES AND WAS VIEWED AND PHOTOGRAPHED FROM TURTLE RIVER STATE PARK...LARIMORE...ARVILLA AND FRO
22:38 UTCTORNADO1 W ArvillaGrand Forks, NDTOUCHDOWN REPORTED IN 3400 BLOCK WEST OF ARVILLA.
22:42 UTCHAIL 210 Ene HopeSteele, NDLARGE SWATH OF QUARTER TO HEN EGG SIZED HAIL FELL ACROSS PORTIONS OF EDENDALE TOWNSHIP THROUGH 550 PM CDT.
22:42 UTCTORNADO2 Ese ArvillaGrand Forks, NDMULTIPLE REPORTS OF TORNADO AS VIEWED FROM LARILORE AND EMERADO.

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2015 tornado in North DakotaEvery tornado in North Dakota since 1950Warnings in force in North Dakota nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of June 27, 2015

27 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
June 273:35 PM EDTEF0Hanover, VA3.625$2,000
June 274:28 PM EDTEF1Charles, MD2.0100$500,000
June 274:32 PM EDTEF1Charles, MD16.1800$13,000
June 273:55 PM CDTEF0Cavalier, ND0.320
June 274:02 PM CDTEF1Cavalier, ND0.9120
June 275:06 PM EDTEF0Butler, PA1.850$5,000
June 274:09 PM CDTEF1Cavalier, ND3.0150
June 274:17 PM CDTEF0Walsh, ND3.075
June 274:24 PM CDTEF0Walsh, ND0.850
June 274:28 PM CDTEF0Walsh, ND0.850
June 275:30 PM EDTEF0Brunswick, NC0.025$3,000
June 275:46 PM EDTEF1Lee, NC0.5100$25,000
June 274:55 PM CDTEF1Grand Forks, ND5.3150
June 275:13 PM CDTEF0Grand Forks, ND1.050
June 275:18 PM CDTEF0Steele, ND0.125
June 275:24 PM CDTEF0Barnes, ND0.125
June 275:38 PM CDTEF0Grand Forks, ND2.050
June 275:48 PM CDTEF1Steele, ND3.2800
June 276:02 PM CDTEF2Grand Forks, ND3.0400
June 276:13 PM CDTEF1Steele, ND3.5300
June 278:23 PM EDTEF1Robeson, NC0.7175$40,000
June 278:45 PM EDTEF1Robeson, NC0.1100$20,000
June 278:05 PM CDTEF0Clay, MN0.125
June 278:14 PM CDTEF0Beadle, SD0.350
June 278:22 PM CDTEF1Richland, ND2.075
June 278:44 PM CDTEF1Richland, ND0.8100
June 278:59 PM CDTEF0Richland, ND2.4300

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.