Tornadoes · United States · North Dakota · 2015
EF1 tornado, Aneta Gehrke Arpt to Aneta, North Dakota, June 27, 2015
From Aneta Gehrke Arpt to Aneta, this EF1 tornado ran 4.8 miles across Nelson County on June 27, 2015, touching down at 4:36 PM CDT and reaching 75 yards wide. It killed nobody.
The rating scale
Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.
EF065 to 85 mph
Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.
EF186 to 110 mphthis tornado
Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.
EF2111 to 135 mph
Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.
EF3136 to 165 mph
Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.
EF4166 to 200 mph
Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.
EF5over 200 mph
Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.
Unrated
The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.
The record
- Rating
- EF1
- Date
- June 27, 2015
- Touchdown
- 4:36 PM CDT (21:36 UTC)
- Lifted
- 4:50 PM CDT (21:50 UTC)
- On the ground
- 14 minutes
- Path length
- 4.8 miles (7.7 km)
- Path width
- 75 yards (69 m)
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- County
- Nelson County
- Touchdown point
- 47.840, -98.070
- Lift-off point
- 47.814, -97.898
- Record number
- 1506271536-01
What the Weather Service recorded
Temperatures rose into the 80s during the afternoon of the 27th along with dew points in the low to mid 60s. By mid to late afternoon a cold front and a strong short wave moved into the region. At 3 p. m. the cold front extended along a line from Langdon to Lakota to just west of Jamestown. Showers and thunderstorms formed along the cold front, but the first strong thunderstorm formed in southern Manitoba and tracked south-southeast into the Pembina and Cavalier county areas. Most of the storms stayed west of the Red River, although a few did form to the east of it. In addition, most storms showed strong rotation in many different areas of each individual storm. These storms produced large hail and tornadoes. Local news media and storm chasers took many pictures during the event, as most of the tornadoes were visible from long distances.
The tornado developed well behind the rain and hail of a rapidly intensifying thunderstorm. It was observed and reported by a spotter near Sharon. The tornado blew down an old barn and blew out two steel grain bins at one farmstead, snapped six pine trees at a second, and snapped several poplar trees at a third. Peak winds were estimated at 100 mph.
From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.
The warnings
24 minutes of warning. NWS FGF issued a tornado warning for this county at 21:12 UTC, 24 minutes before the tornado touched down, in force until 22:00 UTC.
The county was under a tornado watch, issued at 19:42 UTC and running to 23:42 UTC.
| Issued (UTC) | Expired | Product | Office |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19:42 UTC | 23:42 UTC | Tornado Watch | FGF |
| 21:12 UTC | 22:00 UTC | Tornado Warning | FGF |
| 21:37 UTC | 22:15 UTC | Tornado Warning | FGF |
| 21:40 UTC | 22:13 UTC | Tornado Warning | FGF |
Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.
The forecast that day
The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Enhanced Risk, with a 0.05 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 19:57 UTC.
SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.
The air that afternoon
The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.
Bismarck Municip, ND (KBIS), 12:00Z
9.6 hours before the tornado, 236 km from the path. June 27, 2015.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 17 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -293 J/kg
- Surface CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1820 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 36 kt
- 0-1 km bulk shear
- 16 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 101 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 190 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- -0.0
- 0-3 km lapse rate
- 4.3 K/km
Bismarck Municip, ND (KBIS), 00:00Z
2.4 hours after it, 236 km from the path. June 28, 2015.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -128 J/kg
- Surface CAPE
- 41 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 2200 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 35 kt
- 0-1 km bulk shear
- 14 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 47 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 99 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
- 0-3 km lapse rate
- 7.6 K/km
The radar
The Fargo/Grand Forks radar (KMVX), 59 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 21:37 UTC.
Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track
Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.
What was reported nearby
Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.
| Time (UTC) | Report | Where | County | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21:28 UTC | TORNADO 0 | 2 Ne Fordville | Walsh, ND | TORNADO VIEWED FROM MULTIPLE LOCATIONS...TWO MINUTE TOUCHDOWN ALONG A ROUGHLY MILE LONG TRACK OVER OPEN FIELDS EAST OF FORDVILLE. MAXIMUM WIDTH ESTIMATED TO 50 YARDS. PEAK WINDS ESTIMATED TO 75 MPH. |
| 21:28 UTC | TORNADO | 1 Nw Inkster | Grand Forks, ND | TORNADO STILL VIEWED FROM HWY 32 AND FROM GILBY AREA ...TILL ABOUT 435PM CDT. TORNADO TRACKED JUST SOUTHWEST OF INKSTER...HEADED SOUTHEAST. |
| 21:28 UTC | TORNADO | 2 Ne Fordville | Walsh, ND | TORNADO VIEWED FROM MULTIPLE LOCATIONS...ROUGHLY TWO MINUTE TOUCHDOWN. |
| 21:32 UTC | TORNADO | 1 Nw Inkster | Grand Forks, ND | TORNADO STILL VIEWED FROM HWY 32 AND FROM GILBY AREA ...TILL ABOUT 435PM CDT. TORNADO TRACKED JUST SOUTHWEST OF INKSTER...HEADED SOUTHEAST. |
| 21:35 UTC | FUNNEL CLOUD | 2 Ne Inkster | Grand Forks, ND | FUMNNEL CLOUD VIEWED AND REPORTED FROM GRAND FORKS AIRPORT /KGFK/... AT ROUGHLY 18 MILES TO THE SE OF THAT LOCATION. |
| 21:35 UTC | FUNNEL CLOUD | 3 Ene Inkster | Grand Forks, ND | FUNNEL CLOUD WAS VIEWED AND REPORTED FROM GRAND FORKS AIRPORT /KGFK/... LOCATED MORE THAN 20 MILES TO THE SE OF THE FUNNELS LOCATION. |
| 21:35 UTC | TORNADO | 1 S Inkster | Grand Forks, ND | TORNADO VIEWED AND REPORTED FROM GRAND FORKS AIRPORT /KGFK/... ROUGHLY 18 MILES TO THE NW OF THAT LOCATION. |
| 21:36 UTC | TORNADO 1 | 7 Ne Mcville | Nelson, ND | THIS TORNADO DEVELOPED WELL BEHIND THE RAIN AND HAIL OF A RAPIDLY INTENSIFYING THUNDERSTORM. IT TRACKED EASTWARD INTERMITTENTLY FOR 4.8 MILES TO ABOUT 10 NNE OF ANETA BY 450 PM CDT. IT WAS VIEWED AND REPORTED BY A SPOTTE |
| 21:36 UTC | TORNADO 1 | 7 Ne Mcville | Nelson, ND | THIS TORNADO DEVELOPED WELL BEHIND THE RAIN AND HAIL OF A RAPIDLY INTENSIFYING THUNDERSTORM.IT TRACKED EASTWARD INTERMITTENTLY FOR ROUGHLY 5 MILES TO ABOUT 10 NNE OF ANETA BY 450 PM CDT. THE TORNADO BLEW DOWN AN OLD BARN |
| 21:44 UTC | FUNNEL CLOUD | 14 Nnw Sharon | Nelson, ND | SPOTTER LOCATED NORTHWEST OF SHARON REPORTED FUNNEL CLOUD MOVING TO THE EAST SOUTEAST. |
| 21:44 UTC | FUNNEL CLOUD | 2 Nw Sharon | Steele, ND | FUNNEL CLOUD SITED... MOVING SOUTHEAST. |
| 21:45 UTC | HAIL 1 | 10 Nne Aneta | Nelson, ND | LARGE HAIL AND BRIEF HEAVY RAIN PRECEDED THE ARRIVAL OF A WEAK TORNADO. |
| 21:45 UTC | HAIL 1.75 | 1 S Lankin | Walsh, ND | |
| 21:46 UTC | HAIL 1.75 | 1 S Lankin | Walsh, ND | |
| 21:47 UTC | HAIL 1.5 | 4 S Logan Center | Grand Forks, ND | TIME ESTIMATED BY RADAR. SPOTTER FOUND PING PONG BALL SIZED HAIL 45 MINUTES AFTER IT FELL. |
| 21:55 UTC | TORNADO 1 | 3 Nw Inkster | Grand Forks, ND | THIS TORNADO TRACKED INTERMITTENTLY FOR AROUND 6 MILES AND LASTING THROUGH 510 PM CDT. IT TOUCHED DOWN ALONG THE EAST EDGE OF THE FOREST RIVER COLONY AND PASSED JUST WEST OF INKSTER AS IT TRACKED TO AROUND 2 EAST NORTHEA |
| 21:55 UTC | TORNADO 1 | 3 Nw Inkster | Grand Forks, ND | THIS TORNADO TRACKED INTERMITTENTLY FOR AT LEAST 8 MILES AND LASTING THROUGH 510 PM CDT. IT TOUCHED DOWN ALONG THE EAST EDGE OF THE FOREST RIVER COLONY AND PASSED JUST WEST OF INKSTER AS IT TRACKED TO AROUND 2 EAST OF OR |
| 22:00 UTC | HAIL 1.75 | 1 S Lankin | Walsh, ND | |
| 22:05 UTC | HAIL 2 | 5 W Gilby | Grand Forks, ND | HAIL UP TO HEN EGG SIZED FELL FOR SEVERAL MINUTES ACROSS WHEATFIELD TOWNSHIP. |
| 22:08 UTC | FUNNEL CLOUD | 12 Nw Grand Forks Afb | Grand Forks, ND | FUNNEL CLOUD REPORTED NORTHWEST OF GFAFB. |
| 22:08 UTC | FUNNEL CLOUD | 8 Wnw Grand Forks Afb | Grand Forks, ND | FUNNEL CLOUD REPORTED WEST NORTHWEST OF GFAFB. |
| 22:08 UTC | TORNADO | 5 Ne Hatton | Grand Forks, ND | DEBRIS INDOCATED ON RADAR. SPOTTER REPORTS FUNNEL AS VIEWED FROM HATTON... BUT CANT SEE THE GROUND AREA. |
| 22:09 UTC | HAIL 0.75 | 5 E Holmes | Grand Forks, ND | |
| 22:13 UTC | TORNADO 0 | 6 S Logan Center | Grand Forks, ND | TORNADO VIEWED SOUTH OF HWY 15 MOVING EAST. TORNADO LASTED FOR ABOUT TWO MINUTES...UNTIL 515 PM CDT...AND TRAVELLED NEARLY A MILE OVER OPEN FIELDS. |
| 22:15 UTC | TORNADO | 3 S Logan Center | Grand Forks, ND | TORNADO VIEWED SOUTH OF HWY 15 MOVING EAST. |
| 22:18 UTC | TORNADO 0 | 8 E Sharon | Steele, ND | BRIEF TOUCHDOWN NOTED IN OPEN FIELD. |
| 22:18 UTC | TORNADO | 4 Ese Sharon | Steele, ND | |
| 22:22 UTC | HAIL 0.88 | Grand Forks Afb | Grand Forks, ND | |
| 22:25 UTC | HAIL 3 | 1 N Golden Lake | Steele, ND | VERY LARGE HAIL ACROSS NORTHWEST SIDE OF GOLDEN LAKE. ALSO SOME 2 INCH BRANCHES BROKEN DOWN. |
| 22:26 UTC | HAIL 1 | Grand Forks Afb | Grand Forks, ND | |
| 22:31 UTC | HAIL 1.75 | Grand Forks Afb | Grand Forks, ND | |
| 22:33 UTC | FUNNEL CLOUD | 2 W Arvilla | Grand Forks, ND | REPORTED BY STATE PATROL |
| 22:33 UTC | FUNNEL CLOUD | 3 Nw Arvilla | Grand Forks, ND | REPORTED BY STATE PATROL |
| 22:35 UTC | HAIL 1.75 | Arvilla | Grand Forks, ND | |
| 22:37 UTC | HAIL 3 | 3 N Northwood | Grand Forks, ND | |
| 22:38 UTC | TORNADO 0 | 2 W Arvilla | Grand Forks, ND | A TORNADO TRACKED FOR ROUGHLY 2 MILES TO ABOUT 1 SSW OF ARVILLA BY 542 PM CDT. THE FUNNEL CLOUD WAS VISIBLE FOR SEVERAL MORE MINUTES AND WAS VIEWED AND PHOTOGRAPHED FROM TURTLE RIVER STATE PARK...LARIMORE...ARVILLA AND F |
| 22:38 UTC | TORNADO 0 | 2 Wsw Arvilla | Grand Forks, ND | A TORNADO TRACKED FOR ROUGHLY 2 MILES TO ABOUT 1 S OF ARVILLA BY 542 PM CDT. THE FUNNEL CLOUD WAS VISIBLE FOR SEVERAL MORE MINUTES AND WAS VIEWED AND PHOTOGRAPHED FROM TURTLE RIVER STATE PARK...LARIMORE...ARVILLA AND FRO |
| 22:38 UTC | TORNADO | 1 W Arvilla | Grand Forks, ND | TOUCHDOWN REPORTED IN 3400 BLOCK WEST OF ARVILLA. |
| 22:42 UTC | HAIL 2 | 10 Ene Hope | Steele, ND | LARGE SWATH OF QUARTER TO HEN EGG SIZED HAIL FELL ACROSS PORTIONS OF EDENDALE TOWNSHIP THROUGH 550 PM CDT. |
| 22:42 UTC | TORNADO | 2 Ese Arvilla | Grand Forks, ND | MULTIPLE REPORTS OF TORNADO AS VIEWED FROM LARILORE AND EMERADO. |
From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.
This ground now
The live radar over the trackEvery 2015 tornado in North DakotaEvery tornado in North Dakota since 1950Warnings in force in North Dakota nowThe forecast where you are
The other tornadoes of June 27, 2015
27 more were confirmed in the United States that day.
| Date | Time | Rating | Where | Path (mi) | Width (yd) | Deaths | Injuries | Damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 27 | 3:35 PM EDT | EF0 | Hanover, VA | 3.6 | 25 | $2,000 | ||
| June 27 | 4:28 PM EDT | EF1 | Charles, MD | 2.0 | 100 | $500,000 | ||
| June 27 | 4:32 PM EDT | EF1 | Charles, MD | 16.1 | 800 | $13,000 | ||
| June 27 | 3:55 PM CDT | EF0 | Cavalier, ND | 0.3 | 20 | |||
| June 27 | 4:02 PM CDT | EF1 | Cavalier, ND | 0.9 | 120 | |||
| June 27 | 5:06 PM EDT | EF0 | Butler, PA | 1.8 | 50 | $5,000 | ||
| June 27 | 4:09 PM CDT | EF1 | Cavalier, ND | 3.0 | 150 | |||
| June 27 | 4:17 PM CDT | EF0 | Walsh, ND | 3.0 | 75 | |||
| June 27 | 4:24 PM CDT | EF0 | Walsh, ND | 0.8 | 50 | |||
| June 27 | 4:28 PM CDT | EF0 | Walsh, ND | 0.8 | 50 | |||
| June 27 | 5:30 PM EDT | EF0 | Brunswick, NC | 0.0 | 25 | $3,000 | ||
| June 27 | 5:46 PM EDT | EF1 | Lee, NC | 0.5 | 100 | $25,000 | ||
| June 27 | 4:55 PM CDT | EF1 | Grand Forks, ND | 5.3 | 150 | |||
| June 27 | 5:13 PM CDT | EF0 | Grand Forks, ND | 1.0 | 50 | |||
| June 27 | 5:18 PM CDT | EF0 | Steele, ND | 0.1 | 25 | |||
| June 27 | 5:24 PM CDT | EF0 | Barnes, ND | 0.1 | 25 | |||
| June 27 | 5:38 PM CDT | EF0 | Grand Forks, ND | 2.0 | 50 | |||
| June 27 | 5:48 PM CDT | EF1 | Steele, ND | 3.2 | 800 | |||
| June 27 | 6:02 PM CDT | EF2 | Grand Forks, ND | 3.0 | 400 | |||
| June 27 | 6:13 PM CDT | EF1 | Steele, ND | 3.5 | 300 | |||
| June 27 | 8:23 PM EDT | EF1 | Robeson, NC | 0.7 | 175 | $40,000 | ||
| June 27 | 8:45 PM EDT | EF1 | Robeson, NC | 0.1 | 100 | $20,000 | ||
| June 27 | 8:05 PM CDT | EF0 | Clay, MN | 0.1 | 25 | |||
| June 27 | 8:14 PM CDT | EF0 | Beadle, SD | 0.3 | 50 | |||
| June 27 | 8:22 PM CDT | EF1 | Richland, ND | 2.0 | 75 | |||
| June 27 | 8:44 PM CDT | EF1 | Richland, ND | 0.8 | 100 | |||
| June 27 | 8:59 PM CDT | EF0 | Richland, ND | 2.4 | 300 |
What this means
Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.
Sources
NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.