Tornadoes · United States · North Dakota · 2015

EF0 tornado, Osnabrock to Union, North Dakota, June 27, 2015

From Osnabrock to Union, this EF0 tornado ran 0.3 miles across Cavalier County on June 27, 2015, touching down at 3:55 PM CDT and reaching 20 yards wide. It killed nobody.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mphthis tornado

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mph

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mph

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
EF0
Date
June 27, 2015
Touchdown
3:55 PM CDT (20:55 UTC)
Lifted
3:56 PM CDT (20:56 UTC)
On the ground
1 minutes
Path length
0.3 miles (0.4 km)
Path width
20 yards (18 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
County
Cavalier County
Touchdown point
48.670, -98.110
Lift-off point
48.670, -98.110
Record number
1506271455-01

What the Weather Service recorded

Temperatures rose into the 80s during the afternoon of the 27th along with dew points in the low to mid 60s. By mid to late afternoon a cold front and a strong short wave moved into the region. At 3 p. m. the cold front extended along a line from Langdon to Lakota to just west of Jamestown. Showers and thunderstorms formed along the cold front, but the first strong thunderstorm formed in southern Manitoba and tracked south-southeast into the Pembina and Cavalier county areas. Most of the storms stayed west of the Red River, although a few did form to the east of it. In addition, most storms showed strong rotation in many different areas of each individual storm. These storms produced large hail and tornadoes. Local news media and storm chasers took many pictures during the event, as most of the tornadoes were visible from long distances.

A rope tornado touched down in open fields east of Osnabrock. Peak wind speeds were estimated at 70 mph.

The tornado touched down west of Milton and tracked into the southwestern side of town before dissipating. Eight empty grain cars in a grain train at the Milton loading facility were blown over to the southwest. Peak wind speeds were estimated at 90 mph.

The tornado tracked from two miles north-northwest of Union, through town, and to about one mile south of Union. The tornado snapped numerous cottonwood and oak trees along its path. It also snapped one power pole and twisted a road sign. Peak wind speeds were estimated at 100 mph.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

21 minutes of warning. NWS FGF issued a tornado warning for this county at 20:34 UTC, 21 minutes before the tornado touched down, in force until 21:15 UTC.

The county was under a tornado watch, issued at 19:42 UTC and running to 23:42 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
19:42 UTC23:42 UTCTornado WatchFGF
20:01 UTC20:45 UTCTornado WarningFGF
20:34 UTC21:15 UTCTornado WarningFGF
21:12 UTC21:46 UTCTornado WarningFGF

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Enhanced Risk, with a 0.05 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 19:57 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Bismarck Municip, ND (KBIS), 12:00Z

8.9 hours before the tornado, 287 km from the path. June 27, 2015.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Bismarck Municip, ND at 12:00Z on 2015-06-27Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 17 joules per kilogram, CIN -293, lifted condensation level 1820 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Bismarck Municip, ND at 12:00Z on 2015-06-27The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 101 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 36 knots.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
17 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-293 J/kg
Surface CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1820 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
36 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
16 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
101 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
190 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
-0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
4.3 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

Bismarck Municip, ND (KBIS), 00:00Z

3.1 hours after it, 287 km from the path. June 28, 2015.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Bismarck Municip, ND at 00:00Z on 2015-06-28Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 0 joules per kilogram, CIN -128, lifted condensation level 2200 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Bismarck Municip, ND at 00:00Z on 2015-06-28The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 47 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 35 knots.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-128 J/kg
Surface CAPE
41 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
2200 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
35 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
14 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
47 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
99 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
7.6 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The radar

The Fargo/Grand Forks radar (KMVX), 140 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 20:53 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
20:42 UTCHAIL 1WalhallaPembina, ND
20:42 UTCHAIL 1.25WalhallaPembina, NDQUARTER TO HALF DOLLAR SIZED HAIL FELL FOR SEVERAL MINUTES.
20:55 UTCTORNADO 02 E OsnabrockCavalier, NDA ROPE TORNADO TOUCHED FOR LESS THAN A MINUTE IN OPEN FIELDS EAST OF TOWN. PEAK WINDS ESTIMATED TO 70 MPH. PEAK WIDTH ESTIMATED TO 20 YARDS. TRACK LENGTH TO ONE QUARTER MILE.
21:00 UTCHAIL 0.88ConcretePembina, NDNICKEL SIZE HAIL FALLING AT CURRENT TIME IN THE TOWN OF CONCRETE.
21:00 UTCHAIL 1ConcretePembina, NDNICKEL TO QUARTER SIZED HAIL FELL FOR SEVERAL MINUTES IN THE TOWN OF CONCRETE AND AT THE NEARBY CAVALIER AIR FORCE STATION.
21:02 UTCTORNADO 11 W MiltonCavalier, NDBRIEF TOUCHDOWN AS VIEWED FROM NEAR GARDAR BY A TRAINED SPOTTER. TORNADO TRACKED FOR NEARLY ONE MILE ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST CORNER OF MILTON. ABOUT 8 EMPTY GRAIN CARS ALONG A GRAIN TRAIN AT THE LOADING FACILITY WERE BLOWN
21:02 UTCTORNADO 11 W MiltonCavalier, NDBRIEF TOUCHDOWN AS VIEWED LOOKING WEST NORTHWEST FROM GARDAR AND EAST SOUTHEAST FROM OSNABROCK BY TRAINED SPOTTERS. TORNADO TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD FOR NEARLY ONE MILE ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST CORNER OF MILTON BY 404 PM CDT. A
21:02 UTCTORNADO3 Wnw GardarPembina, NDBRIEF TOUCHDOWN NOTED.
21:09 UTCTORNADO 12 Nnw UnionCavalier, NDTHIS TORNADO WAS VIEWED BY TRAINED SPOTTERS FROM NEAR EDINBURG AND NEAR ADAMS. THIS TORNADO TRACKED FROM ROUGHLY 2 NNW OF UNION... THROUGH UNION AND TO AT LEAST 1 MILE SOUTH OF UNION BY 416 PM CDT. NUMEROUS COTTONWOOD AN
21:12 UTCTORNADO 1UnionCavalier, NDTHIS TORNADO WAS VIEWED BY TRAINED SPOTTERS FROM NEAR EDINBURG AND NEAR ADAMS. THIS TORNADO TRACKED FROM ROUGHLY ONE HALF MILE NNW OF UNION... THROUGH UNION AND TO AT LEAST 1 MILE SOUTH OF UNION BY 416 PM CDT. NUMEROUS C
21:12 UTCTORNADO 1UnionCavalier, NDTHIS TORNADO WAS VIEWED BY TRAINED SPOTTERS FROM NEAR EDINBURG AND NEAR ADAMS. THIS TORNADO TRACKED FROM ROUGHLY ONE HALF MILE NNW OF UNION... THROUGH UNION AND TO AT LEAST 1 MILE SOUTH OF UNION. NUMEROUS COTTONWOOD AND
21:12 UTCTORNADO3 W EdinburgWalsh, NDBRIEF SPINUP ALONG RIDGE BETWEEN ADAMS AND EDINBURG.
21:17 UTCTORNADO 05 Ssw EdinburgWalsh, NDTHIS TORNADO TRACKED FOR AT LEAST 3 MILES ACROSS MAINLY OPEN FIELDS TO AROUND 5 WEST OF PARK RIVER BY 428 PM CDT. THIS TORNADO VARYING RED AND BLACK DIRT PLUME AND WAS VIEWED...PHOTOGRAPHED AND REPORTED BY MULTIPLE TRAIN
21:17 UTCTORNADO5 E AdamsWalsh, NDMULTIPLE TORNADO VOTICES VIEWED FROM ADAMS.
21:24 UTCTORNADO 04 Ese AdamsWalsh, NDTHIS TORNADO WAS VIEWED FROM NEAR ADAMS AS IT TRACKED FOR MAYBE A MILE ACROSS A SHELTER BELT AND ALONG THE EDGE OF A FARMSTEAD. A FEW LARGE BRANCHES WERE BROKEN DOWN AND TOSSED ACROSS THE FIELD BUT NO STRUCTURES APPEARED
21:24 UTCTORNADO2 E AdamsWalsh, NDNEW TORNADO VIEWED. POSSIBLE STRUCTURE HIT.
21:28 UTCTORNADO 02 Ne FordvilleWalsh, NDTORNADO VIEWED FROM MULTIPLE LOCATIONS...TWO MINUTE TOUCHDOWN ALONG A ROUGHLY MILE LONG TRACK OVER OPEN FIELDS EAST OF FORDVILLE. MAXIMUM WIDTH ESTIMATED TO 50 YARDS. PEAK WINDS ESTIMATED TO 75 MPH.
21:28 UTCTORNADO2 Ne FordvilleWalsh, NDTORNADO VIEWED FROM MULTIPLE LOCATIONS...ROUGHLY TWO MINUTE TOUCHDOWN.
21:45 UTCHAIL 1.751 S LankinWalsh, ND
21:46 UTCHAIL 1.751 S LankinWalsh, ND
22:00 UTCHAIL 1.751 S LankinWalsh, ND

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2015 tornado in North DakotaEvery tornado in North Dakota since 1950Warnings in force in North Dakota nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of June 27, 2015

27 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
June 273:35 PM EDTEF0Hanover, VA3.625$2,000
June 274:28 PM EDTEF1Charles, MD2.0100$500,000
June 274:32 PM EDTEF1Charles, MD16.1800$13,000
June 274:02 PM CDTEF1Cavalier, ND0.9120
June 275:06 PM EDTEF0Butler, PA1.850$5,000
June 274:09 PM CDTEF1Cavalier, ND3.0150
June 274:17 PM CDTEF0Walsh, ND3.075
June 274:24 PM CDTEF0Walsh, ND0.850
June 274:28 PM CDTEF0Walsh, ND0.850
June 275:30 PM EDTEF0Brunswick, NC0.025$3,000
June 274:36 PM CDTEF1Nelson, ND4.875
June 275:46 PM EDTEF1Lee, NC0.5100$25,000
June 274:55 PM CDTEF1Grand Forks, ND5.3150
June 275:13 PM CDTEF0Grand Forks, ND1.050
June 275:18 PM CDTEF0Steele, ND0.125
June 275:24 PM CDTEF0Barnes, ND0.125
June 275:38 PM CDTEF0Grand Forks, ND2.050
June 275:48 PM CDTEF1Steele, ND3.2800
June 276:02 PM CDTEF2Grand Forks, ND3.0400
June 276:13 PM CDTEF1Steele, ND3.5300
June 278:23 PM EDTEF1Robeson, NC0.7175$40,000
June 278:45 PM EDTEF1Robeson, NC0.1100$20,000
June 278:05 PM CDTEF0Clay, MN0.125
June 278:14 PM CDTEF0Beadle, SD0.350
June 278:22 PM CDTEF1Richland, ND2.075
June 278:44 PM CDTEF1Richland, ND0.8100
June 278:59 PM CDTEF0Richland, ND2.4300

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.