Tornadoes · United States · Missouri · 2017

EF2 tornado, Hill Top to Fairdealing, Missouri, March 9, 2017

From Hill Top to Fairdealing, this EF2 tornado ran 9.6 miles across Ripley County on March 9, 2017, touching down at 6:25 PM CST and reaching 600 yards wide. It killed nobody, and did $30,000 of property damage.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mph

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mph

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mphthis tornado

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
EF2
Date
March 9, 2017
Touchdown
6:25 PM CST (00:25 UTC)
Lifted
6:44 PM CST (00:44 UTC)
On the ground
19 minutes
Path length
9.6 miles (15.5 km)
Path width
600 yards (549 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$30,000
County
Ripley County
Touchdown point
36.717, -90.804
Lift-off point
36.708, -90.630
Record number
1703091825-01

The damage survey

19 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS PAH, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF2. The highest wind the damage implies is 120 mph.

Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.

What the Weather Service recorded

A cluster of severe thunderstorms over south central Missouri organized into a bowing line of storms as it tracked eastward during the evening. An embedded supercell within the line spawned several tornadoes along an east-west corridor from Ripley County eastward to New Madrid County. A couple of significant tornadoes and damaging wind events accompanied this line, along with large hail. The storms developed along and just ahead of a cold front as it pressed southward into the Lower Ohio Valley and extreme southeast Missouri.

This rather large EF-2 tornado traveled from approximately six miles north of Doniphan to twelve miles northeast of Doniphan in heavily forested, hilly terrain. The tornado began on the west side of Highway 21, crossed Highway K and the Little Black River, and ended on the Butler County line. Hundreds of large hardwood and pine trees were snapped or uprooted. One barn or shed was destroyed. The tornado reached peak intensity between Highway K and the Little Black River, where peak winds were estimated near 120 mph.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

No tornado warning for this county appears in the archive as in force at the moment the tornado touched down. One was issued for the county at another hour that day.

The county was under a severe thunderstorm watch, issued at 23:02 UTC and running to 02:58 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
23:02 UTC02:58 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WatchPAH
23:08 UTC00:15 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAH
00:11 UTC01:00 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAH
00:39 UTC04:30 UTCFlash Flood WarningPAH
00:41 UTC01:07 UTCTornado WarningPAH

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Enhanced Risk, with a 0.02 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 22:29 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Little Rock, AR (KBYH), 00:00Z

0.4 hours before the tornado, 220 km from the path. March 10, 2017.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Little Rock, AR at 00:00Z on 2017-03-10Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 445 joules per kilogram, CIN -58, lifted condensation level 583 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Little Rock, AR at 00:00Z on 2017-03-10The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 172 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 39 knots.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
445 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-58 J/kg
Surface CAPE
933 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
583 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
39 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
23 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
172 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
312 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.5
Supercell composite
6.1
0-3 km lapse rate
6.2 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

Little Rock, AR (KBYH), 12:00Z

11.6 hours after it, 220 km from the path. March 10, 2017.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Little Rock, AR at 12:00Z on 2017-03-10Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 0 joules per kilogram, CIN -87941, lifted condensation level 1068 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Little Rock, AR at 12:00Z on 2017-03-10The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -15 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 39 knots.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-87941 J/kg
Surface CAPE
9 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1068 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
39 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
4 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-15 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
104 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
4.3 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The radar

The Memphis radar (KNQA), 170 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 00:23 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
23:25 UTCHAIL 0.75EastwoodCarter, MO
23:30 UTCHAIL 0.755 W Van BurenCarter, MO
23:32 UTCTORNADO9 Nw Poplar BluffButler, MOEF-1 TORNADO. PEAK WINDS ESTIMATED NEAR 105 MPH. PATH LENGTH ABOUT 6 MILES. PATH WIDTH 100 YARDS. MUCH OF PATH WAS IN REMOTE AREA OF MARK TWAIN NATIONAL FOREST. NUMEROUS TREES UPROOTED WHERE THE TORNADO CROSSED U.S. HIGH
23:44 UTCHAIL 0.88WinonaShannon, MONICKEL HAIL COVERING THE GROUND.
23:45 UTCTORNADO6 N DoniphanRipley, MOEF-2 TORNADO TRAVELLED FROM APPROXIMATELY 6 MILES NORTH OF DONIPHAN MO TO 12 MILES NORTHEAST OF DONIPHAN MO. WINDS ESTIMATED NEAR 120 MPH. HUNDREDS TO THOUSANDS OF LARGE HARDWOOD AND PINE TREES SNAPPED AND UPROOTED. ONE
23:57 UTCFUNNEL CLOUDHunterCarter, MO
00:03 UTCTORNADO8 Nw DudleyStoddard, MOEF-1 TORNADO. PEAK WINDS ESTIMATED 95 MPH. PATH LENGTH 2.2 MILES. PATH WIDTH 75 YARDS. MOST INTENSE DAMAGE ON HIGHWAY 51, WHERE A RESIDENCE LOST DOORS AND WINDOWS. NEARBY LARGE BARN LOST A WALL AND PORTION OF METAL ROOF.
00:10 UTCHAIL 1.75EllsinoreCarter, MO
00:15 UTCHAIL 0.75WilliamsvilleWayne, MO
00:40 UTCFUNNEL CLOUD1 Sw HendricksonButler, MO2 MILES SOUTH OF WAYNE/BUTLER COUNTY LINE.
00:50 UTCTSTM WND DMG4 N Poplar BluffButler, MOTREE AND POWER LINE DAMAGE
00:52 UTCTSTM WND DMG6 N Poplar BluffButler, MOSEVERAL TREES AND ROAD SIGNS DOWN ON HIGHWAY 67.
01:45 UTCTSTM WND GST 64MaldenDunklin, MOANEMOMETER AT MALDEN AIRPORT REPORTED A MEASURED WIND GUST OF 64 MILES AN HOUR.
01:50 UTCTSTM WND DMGBernieStoddard, MOPOSSIBLE TORNADO? ON THE WEST SIDE OF BERNIE THERE WERE SEVERAL GRAIN BINS DAMAGED. HE SAW PICTURES OF A HOUSE WITH SEVERE DAMAGE. BETWEEN BERNIE AND MALDEN THERE WERE POWERPOLES ACROSS THE ROADWAY ALONG WITH POWERLINES.
02:30 UTCTSTM WND GST 65N MaldenDunklin, MOWINDS ESTIMATED TO BE BETWEEN 60 AND 70 MPH AT THE AIR BASE NORTH OF MALDEN.
02:30 UTCHAIL 1MaldenDunklin, MOONE INCH HAIL IN MALDEN.

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2017 tornado in MissouriEvery tornado in Missouri since 1950Warnings in force in Missouri nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of March 9, 2017

16 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
March 96:32 PM CSTEF1Butler, MO6.3100$25,000
March 96:42 PM CSTEF0Barry, MO0.1100$25,000
March 96:50 PM CSTEF0Taney, MO0.175$20,000
March 97:00 PM CSTEF0Barry, MO0.1100
March 97:03 PM CSTEF1Stoddard, MO2.375$75,000
March 97:06 PM CSTEF0Taney, MO1.9100$100,000
March 97:14 PM CSTEF1Butler, MO2.7200$500,000
March 97:28 PM CSTEF1Stoddard, MO11.2250$400,000
March 98:00 PM CSTEF0Stoddard, MO0.7100$20,000
March 98:10 PM CSTEF1New Madrid, MO1.1150$50,000
March 98:26 PM CSTEF2Fulton, MO to KY9.7250$270,000
March 98:41 PM CSTEF2Fulton, KY to TN10.2250$1.3 million
March 99:13 PM CSTEF1Calloway, KY5.6150$75,000
March 99:54 PM CSTEF0Carroll, TN1.0150$30,000
March 911:32 PM CSTEF0Marshall, TN3.1100$25,000
March 911:55 PM CSTEF1Moore, TN4.2320

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.