Tornadoes · United States · Mississippi · 2021

EF1 tornado, Wilkinson, Mississippi, March 17, 2021

This EF1 tornado ran 6.8 miles across Wilkinson County on March 17, 2021, touching down at 4:07 PM CDT and reaching 100 yards wide. It killed nobody.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mph

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mphthis tornado

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mph

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
EF1
Date
March 17, 2021
Touchdown
4:07 PM CDT (21:07 UTC)
Lifted
4:16 PM CDT (21:16 UTC)
On the ground
9 minutes
Path length
6.8 miles (10.9 km)
Path width
100 yards (91 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
County
Wilkinson County
Touchdown point
31.234, -91.335
Lift-off point
31.274, -91.233
Record number
2103171507-01

The damage survey

12 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS LIX, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF1. The highest wind the damage implies is 90 mph.

  • Hardwood trees uprooted. Softwood tree snapped.
  • Trees uprooted and snapped across Carter Loop Road.
  • Tree damage visible on high resolution satellite imagery on March 21, 2021.
  • Tree damage visible on high resolution satellite imagery.

Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.

What the Weather Service recorded

In the afternoon hours on March 17th,2021 a potent negatively tilted shortwave trough axis aided in ample downstream divergence to support strengthening low-level surface cyclogenesis across Arkansas. Ahead of this system, ample unstable air accompanied a large portion of the northern Gulf coast, combined with approaching and intensifying low-level shear to produce organized severe thunderstorms across the northern portions of southeastern Louisiana and southwestern Mississippi.

A one mile long, 100 yard wide, ef0 tornado with max winds of 85 mph touched down just west of highway 61 north in Wilkinson county, MS. The tornado was recorded crossing the highway by a storm chaser. Survey results from the emergency manager noted two main areas of tree damage, along the highway and off carter loop road.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

37 minutes of warning. NWS LIX issued a tornado warning for this county at 20:30 UTC, 37 minutes before the tornado touched down, in force until 21:15 UTC.

The county was under a tornado watch, issued at 19:38 UTC and running to 00:01 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
19:38 UTC00:01 UTCTornado WatchLIX
20:30 UTC21:15 UTCTornado WarningLIX
21:08 UTC21:30 UTCTornado WarningLIX

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Moderate Risk, with a 0.15 chance of a tornado within 25 miles, in the hatched area where significant tornadoes were expected. The outlook in force was issued at 21:37 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Jackson, MS (KJAN), 12:00Z

9.1 hours before the tornado, 164 km from the path. March 17, 2021.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Jackson, MS at 12:00Z on 2021-03-17Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 687 joules per kilogram, CIN -86, lifted condensation level 713 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Jackson, MS at 12:00Z on 2021-03-17The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 218 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 61 knots.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
687 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-86 J/kg
Surface CAPE
1375 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
713 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
61 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
27 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
218 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
178 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.6
Supercell composite
4.9
0-3 km lapse rate
5.1 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
20:52 UTCTSTM WND DMGN Fort AdamsWilkinson, MSPUBLIC REPORTED TREE DEBRIS ON ROAD 61 VIA SOCIAL MEDIA IN WILKINSON COUNTY. POSSIBLE TORNADO.
21:06 UTCTORNADO4 Sse DolorosaWilkinson, MSA ONE MILE LONG, 100 YARD WIDE, EF0 TORNADO WITH MAX WINDS OF 85 MPH TOUCHED DOWN JUST WEST OF HIGHWAY 61 NORTH IN WILKINSON COUNTY, MS. THE TORNADO WAS RECORDED CROSSING THE HIGHWAY BY A STORM CHASER. SURVEY RESULTS FRO
21:39 UTCTSTM WND DMG2 Sw KirbyFranklin, MSTREE LIMBS DOWNED ALONG US 84.

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2021 tornado in MississippiEvery tornado in Mississippi since 1950Warnings in force in Mississippi nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of March 17, 2021

32 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
March 1712:03 PM CDTEF2Wayne, MS13.1325
March 1712:31 PM CDTEF0Sumter, AL0.370
March 1712:32 PM CDTEF2Dallas, AL5.11,0002
March 1712:57 PM CDTEF1Sumter, AL9.8475
March 171:16 PM CDTEF1Lincoln, MS6.2120$20,000
March 171:24 PM CDTEF1Autauga, AL2.9150
March 171:56 PM CDTEF1Chilton, AL3.0500
March 172:03 PM CDTEF0Marengo, AL0.8175
March 172:12 PM CDTEF1Hale, AL22.0550
March 172:22 PM CDTEF1Marengo, AL2.8500
March 172:26 PM CDTEF1Union Parish, LA2.6766$150,000
March 172:29 PM CDTEF0Coosa, AL0.125
March 173:09 PM CDTEF1Tuscaloosa, AL0.5150
March 173:25 PM CDTEF1Tuscaloosa, AL3.5650
March 173:44 PM CDTEF2Wayne, MS to AL36.65002
March 173:54 PM CDTEF1Tuscaloosa, AL5.8650
March 174:11 PM CDTEF0Dallas, AL1.175
March 174:30 PM CDTEF1Jefferson, AL2.8650
March 174:37 PM CDTEF0Desha, AR0.110
March 174:54 PM CDTEF0Marengo, AL1.875
March 174:56 PM CDTEF0Jefferson, AL3.56601
March 175:12 PM CDTEF2Chilton, AL5.8400
March 175:30 PM CDTEF1Barry, MO23.775$60,000
March 175:43 PM CDTEF1Blount, AL12.9300
March 176:16 PM CDTEF0Lamar, MS1.4300$75,000
March 177:25 PM CDTEF0Chickasaw, MS0.550$25,000
March 177:31 PM CDTEF0Chickasaw, MS1.4100$25,000
March 177:39 PM CDTEF0Lee, MS4.960$35,000
March 177:56 PM CDTEF0Kemper, MS0.280$5,000
March 178:35 PM CDTEF0Autauga, AL0.175
March 179:31 PM CDTEF1Cullman, AL8.5150
March 1710:43 PM CDTEF0Montgomery, AL0.3140

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.