What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Blacksburg, VA wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Apr 29, 7:12 PM EST, 1 hour 23 minutes earlier. Its key messages:
- 1) The severe weather threat will diminish in the next couple hours as a cold front arrives to bring gusty winds on Thursday. 2) Another opportunity for rain exists Friday night into early Saturday, but rainfall amounts will be light. Colder air should bring the potential for frost/freeze by Sunday morning.
Area forecast discussion, Apr 29, 7:12 PM EST, 1 hour 23 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
812 PM EDT Wed Apr 29 2026
.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Aviation forecast has been updated. Chances of showers and
thunderstorms should diminish in the next couple hours. Wind
gusts for Thursday were increased.
&&
.KEY MESSAGES...
1) The severe weather threat will diminish in the next couple
hours as a cold front arrives to bring gusty winds on Thursday.
2) Another opportunity for rain exists Friday night into early
Saturday, but rainfall amounts will be light. Colder air should
bring the potential for frost/freeze by Sunday morning.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1: The severe weather threat will diminish in the
next couple hours as a cold front arrives to bring gusty
northwest winds on Thursday.
Shower and thunderstorm activity should wane in the next couple
hours as a cold front crosses the Appalachian Mountains. The
wind behind the frontal passage should swing towards the
northwest and increase on Thursday with gusts up to 30 mph.
These gusts were increased in this forecast update based on the
latest model trends. Instability continues to be weak this
evening due to significant cloud cover, which has caused the
severe weather threat to not materialize so far. With the loss
of daytime heating, this threat should vanish by 10 PM EDT.
Rainfall amounts were decent with some locations reaching 0.50
to 0.75 inches, but the overall coverage was rather spotty and
not sufficient to put a huge dent in the ongoing drought
conditions where deficits still sit about 3 to 4 inches below
normal since March 2026 and a staggering 6 to 12 inches below
normal since September 2025.
KEY MESSAGE 2: Another opportunity for rain exists Friday night
into early Saturday, but rainfall amounts will be light.
Colder air should bring the potential for frost/freeze by Sunday
morning.
A low pressure system will work its way towards the Carolinas by
the end of this week, which will bring the next opportunity for
rain to the area. An upper level trough will dig southward over
the eastern United States, which will accomplish two main
things for the local area. One, it will serve to limit the
northward extent of the precipitation coming late Friday night
into Saturday morning to mainly south of the VA/NC state line.
Precipitation amounts will be light. Two, it will also allow
colder air to filter into the area. Surface high pressure will
expand east behind the system on Saturday and cover most of the
southeastern United States by Sunday. With some moisture in the
region and subsidence keeping winds light and skies clearer,
there is increased potential for frost development by Sunday
morning as temperatures will fall near freezing in the
mountains. With widespread green-up still underway after recent
warmth and rainfall, folks with agricultural interests should
continue to monitor for any frost/freeze headlines this weekend.
&&
.AVIATION /00Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
Convection should wane in the next couple hours as a cold front
crosses the Appalachian Mountains. The flow should swing around
towards the northwest after the frontal passage tonight into
Thursday. Meanwhile, ceilings should fall to MVFR with some
potential for fog development along the river valleys due to
recent rainfall. Fog will overall remain patchy as there may be
some breeze and mid-level clouds overnight, but the highest
confidence for fog exists at BCB, BLF, and LWB. By Thursday,
ceilings should improve to VFR, but the wind should increase
with gusts of 20 to 25 knots from the northwest.
EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...
Weak high pressure should bring lighter winds and VFR
conditions for Thursday night into Friday morning. However, a
passing upper level trough to the north and a surface low
pressure to the south should provide the next chance of showers
and possible MVFR ceilings during late Friday into Saturday.
Rain coverage is only expected to be scattered at most.
Northwest winds may become breezy by late Saturday, but high
pressure should provide lighter winds, cooler air, and VFR
conditions for Saturday night into Sunday. The flow should turn
towards the southwest and become breezy on Monday as another
low pressure system passes to the north to bring a chance of
showers and thunderstorms along and west of the Blue Ridge.
&&
.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...None.
NC...None.
WV...None.
&&
DISCUSSION...AS/PW
AVIATION...PW
Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 29, 1:09 PM EST, 7 hours 26 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
209 PM EDT Wed Apr 29 2026
NCZ001>006-018>020-VAZ007-009>020-022>024-032>035-043>047-058-059-
WVZ042>044-507-508-301815-
Ashe-Alleghany NC-Surry-Stokes-Rockingham-Caswell-Watauga-Wilkes-
Yadkin-Tazewell-Smyth-Bland-Giles-Wythe-Pulaski-Montgomery-Grayson-
Carroll-Floyd-Craig-Alleghany VA-Bath-Roanoke-Botetourt-Rockbridge-
Patrick-Franklin-Bedford-Amherst-Henry-Pittsylvania-Campbell-
Appomattox-Buckingham-Halifax-Charlotte-Mercer-Summers-Monroe-
Eastern Greenbrier-Western Greenbrier-
209 PM EDT Wed Apr 29 2026
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north central North Carolina,
northwest North Carolina, central Virginia, south central Virginia,
southwest Virginia, west central Virginia and southeast West
Virginia.
.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.
There is a Marginal Risk of severe thunderstorms this afternoon and
evening. The primary threats are damaging winds and hail, and an
isolated tornado cannot be ruled out.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.
Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Apr 29, 5:01 PM EST, 3 hours 34 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service BLACKSBURG VA
601 PM EDT Wed Apr 29 2026
VAZ011-018-WVZ044-292230-
Giles VA-Craig VA-Monroe WV-
601 PM EDT Wed Apr 29 2026
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHEASTERN GILES...WESTERN
CRAIG AND CENTRAL MONROE COUNTIES THROUGH 630 PM EDT...
At 600 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Zenith, or near Union, moving east at 45 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and pea size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
Locations impacted include...
Union...
Paint Bank...
Laurel Branch...
Raines Corner...
Zenith...
Hollywood...
and Kire.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.
&&
LAT...LON 3763 8023 3735 8034 3736 8035 3749 8069
3761 8067
TIME...MOT...LOC 2200Z 280DEG 38KT 3751 8057
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH
RSSpecial weather statement, Apr 29, 5:03 PM EST, 3 hours 32 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service BLACKSBURG VA
603 PM EDT Wed Apr 29 2026
VAZ019-020-024-292245-
Bath VA-Rockbridge VA-Alleghany VA-
603 PM EDT Wed Apr 29 2026
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHEASTERN
ALLEGHANY...CENTRAL ROCKBRIDGE AND SOUTH CENTRAL BATH COUNTIES IN
WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA...THE CITY OF BUENA VISTA AND THE CITY OF
LEXINGTON THROUGH 645 PM EDT...
At 602 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Douthat State Park, or near Clifton Forge, moving east at 35 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and half inch hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
Lexington...
Buena Vista...
Collierstown...
Rockbridge Baths...
Nimrod Hall...
Cornwall...
and Douthat State Park.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.
&&
LAT...LON 3792 7920 3769 7932 3766 7935 3785 7984
3797 7980
TIME...MOT...LOC 2202Z 283DEG 31KT 3790 7975
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH
RSSpecial weather statement, Apr 29, 5:38 PM EST, 2 hours 57 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service BLACKSBURG VA
638 PM EDT Wed Apr 29 2026
VAZ023-292315-
Botetourt VA-
638 PM EDT Wed Apr 29 2026
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT CENTRAL BOTETOURT COUNTY
THROUGH 715 PM EDT...
At 637 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Oriskany, moving east at 45 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and half inch hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
Buchanan...
Eagle Rock...
Oriskany...
Fincastle...
Arcadia...
Springwood...
and Lithia.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.
&&
LAT...LON 3764 7964 3760 7959 3745 7963 3748 7965
3748 7968 3744 7974 3752 7999 3755 7997
3761 8002 3764 8003 3768 7995
TIME...MOT...LOC 2237Z 281DEG 40KT 3760 7993
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH
RSSpecial weather statement, Apr 29, 6:23 PM EST, 2 hours 12 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service BLACKSBURG VA
723 PM EDT Wed Apr 29 2026
VAZ033-300000-
Franklin VA-
723 PM EDT Wed Apr 29 2026
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT CENTRAL FRANKLIN COUNTY THROUGH
800 PM EDT...
At 723 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Callaway, or near Copper Hill, moving east at 55 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and pea size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
Locations impacted include...
Rocky Mount...
Penhook...
Sydnorsville...
Ferrum...
Snow Creek...
Union Hall...
and Callaway.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
Locally heavy rain will quickly reduce visibility and result in
ponding of water on roadways, standing water in low lying areas, and
minor flooding of creeks, streams, and areas of poor drainage.
Drivers are urged to slow down and use extra caution to avoid
hydroplaning.
&&
LAT...LON 3695 8018 3696 8017 3695 8014 3698 8014
3699 8012 3700 8014 3701 8012 3703 8010
3706 8012 3707 8011 3712 8012 3701 7960
3686 7964 3684 7966 3682 7973 3679 7975
TIME...MOT...LOC 2323Z 289DEG 47KT 3702 8007
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
RSSpecial weather statement, Apr 29, 7:47 PM EST, 48 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service BLACKSBURG VA
847 PM EDT Wed Apr 29 2026
NCZ005-300115-
Rockingham NC-
847 PM EDT Wed Apr 29 2026
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT ROCKINGHAM COUNTY THROUGH 915
PM EDT...
At 847 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Mayodan, moving southeast at 35 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and pea size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
Locations impacted include...
Reidsville...
Wentworth...
Mayodan...
Madison...
Stoneville...
Intelligence...
and Harrisons Crossroads.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
Locally heavy rain will quickly reduce visibility and result in
ponding of water on roadways, standing water in low lying areas, and
minor flooding of creeks, streams, and areas of poor drainage.
Drivers are urged to slow down and use extra caution to avoid
hydroplaning.
&&
LAT...LON 3625 7980 3638 8003 3653 8003 3642 7952
3624 7963
TIME...MOT...LOC 0047Z 296DEG 29KT 3646 7997
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
RSLocal storm report, Apr 29, 7:48 PM EST, 47 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
848 PM EDT Wed Apr 29 2026
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0640 PM Landslide 3 NNE Hinton 37.70N 80.89W
04/29/2026 Summers WV Emergency Mngr
Reported on social media along with a
picture.
&&
SHH