On the afternoon of the 30th, a dryline moved back into the Rolling Plains of West Texas allowing for low level moisture to surge into the region. Areas on the caprock saw scattered high based showers and thunderstorms generating severe wind gusts over Lubbock and Floyd Counties.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS LUB wrote it up.
On the afternoon of the 30th, a dryline moved back into the Rolling Plains of West Texas allowing for low level moisture to surge into the region. Areas on the caprock saw scattered high based showers and thunderstorms generating severe wind gusts over Lubbock and Floyd Counties. Stronger moisture in the extreme southeastern Texas Panhandle allowed for more robust thunderstorms. These storms produced severe wind gusts as well as hail as large as golf ball size in the city of Memphis (Hall County).
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Lubbock, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Mar 30, 11:34 AM CST, 4 hours 50 minutes earlier. Its key messages:
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Lubbock TX 1234 PM CDT Mon Mar 30 2026 ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Issued at 1229 PM CDT Mon Mar 30 2026 - A few isolated showers and storms may develop this afternoon and again on Tuesday, mainly along and east of the I-27 corridor. - Chances for showers and storms return Wednesday and again Friday. - Elevated to near critical fire danger will continue each day this week, especially on the Caprock. && .SHORT TERM... (This evening through Tuesday) Issued at 1229 PM CDT Mon Mar 30 2026 Water vapor imagery early this afternoon shows fast zonal flow aloft in place over most of the CONUS which has resulted in a similar surface pattern compared to yesterday. A broad lee surface trough in eastern CO will gradually migrate eastward through the rest of today, which will in turn sharpen a dryline near the I-27 corridor over the next several hours. West of the dryline, modest west winds and humidity values near 10 percent will result in elevated to near critical fire danger this afternoon and evening. In contrast, dewpoints are progged to remain near 50 degrees east of the dryline. With daytime highs reaching the low 90s, convective temperatures will be within reach, and our current expectation is for a few isolated showers or weak thunderstorms to develop after about 4 PM along or just east of the I-27 corridor. Despite respectable moisture in the midlevels, the subcloud layer will be nearly 4-5km deep, so measurable precipitation is unlikely with this activity and individual updrafts are expected to struggle to maintain themselves especially given very weak surface confluence. That being said, given such large surface T/Td spreads, a few strong wind gusts could materialize beneath any longer-lived storm cells. Any convection will then fade quickly this evening with the loss of daytime heating. Winds tonight will remain on the breezy side as surface troughing persists over southwest KS, with the southerly component continuing to transport plenty of shallow low level moisture into our area. A mild overnight period is therefore expected with lows only falling into the mid 50s to low 60s by sunrise. Tuesday will again evolve very similarly to today, although with the dryline eventually settling farther east, likely just off the Caprock. This will occur as surface troughing shifts southward over the TX Panhandle ahead of a weakening cold front, which will allow for stronger westerly flow and near critical fire danger along and west of I-27 Tuesday afternoon. Along and east of the dryline, we expect isolated to widely scattered thunderstorms to develop as convective temperatures are reached Tuesday afternoon. However, there is some concern that a capping inversion at the base of a robust EML may limit storm coverage and longevity, in addition to relatively weak surface confluence along the dryline. Even so, the potential is there for a few strong wind gusts especially off the Caprock before activity diminishes by late Tuesday evening. && .LONG TERM... (Tuesday night through next Sunday) Issued at 1229 PM CDT Mon Mar 30 2026 On Wednesday, flow aloft will increase as a relatively potent shortwave disturbance quickly moves over the Four Corners and out over the southern plains states. This feature will induce a strong surface response with a surface low progged to rapidly deepen over southeast CO during the day, which will drive a modified Pacific front eastward over our area by Wednesday afternoon. Winds are likely to be solidly breezy to low end windy on Wednesday with most models indicating the surface low will deepen to 995mb or less. The upper wave will bring with it plentiful mid and upper level moisture along with rather strong forcing for ascent. However, the Pacific front will sweep most low level moisture to our east, and as a result any precipitation on Wednesday will likely take the form of scattered fast-moving elevated rain showers. A few embedded thunderstorms are possible Wednesday evening off the Caprock, but severe convection currently looks likely to remain well to our east. Weak ridging aloft will bring one day of benign weather on Thursday before rain chances return on Friday. Southwest flow aloft will allow for another dryline-type surface pattern Friday ahead of a cold front set to arrive sometime Friday night into Saturday. Specifics are uncertain at this lead time, but most locations along and east of I-27 currently look to have decent potential for showers and thunderstorms Friday or Friday night ahead of drier and cooler weather for the upcoming weekend. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1229 PM CDT Mon Mar 30 2026 Breezy southwest wind speeds will continue at the terminals ranging from 10-20G28KT with the strongest speeds expected at KCDS. There remains a small chance for an isolated TS at all TAF sites this evening, although confidence remains too low for a TAF mention at this time. If a storm occurs, a period of gusty wind speeds may be possible with any storm cores along with occasional lightning. && .LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && SHORT TERM...30 LONG TERM....30 AVIATION...12
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Lubbock TX 222 PM CDT Mon Mar 30 2026 TXZ021>044-311930- Parmer-Castro-Swisher-Briscoe-Hall-Childress-Bailey-Lamb-Hale-Floyd- Motley-Cottle-Cochran-Hockley-Lubbock-Crosby-Dickens-King-Yoakum- Terry-Lynn-Garza-Kent-Stonewall- 222 PM CDT Mon Mar 30 2026 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the South Plains, Rolling Plains, and the far Southern Texas Panhandle. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. A few isolated showers and thunderstorms may develop through this evening, mainly on the Caprock. Strong wind gusts will be possible near any storms. Elevated to briefly critical fire weather will continue through this evening. A Fire Danger Statement is in effect until 9 PM for much of the region. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday. Elevated to near critical fire weather is possible each day this week, especially on the Caprock. Isolated thunderstorms may develop along and east of the I-27 corridor on Tuesday afternoon and evening. A few strong wind gusts will be possible. Additional showers and thunderstorms are possible Wednesday and again on Friday.
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
417 PM CDT Mon Mar 30 2026
TXZ023-024-302215-
Briscoe TX-Swisher TX-
417 PM CDT Mon Mar 30 2026
...GUSTY SHOWERS WILL IMPACT SWISHER AND BRISCOE COUNTIES THROUGH 515
PM CDT...
At 416 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking gusty showers 7 miles north
of Tulia, moving northeast at 40 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph.
SOURCE...West Texas Mesonet.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
Locations impacted include...
Tulia, Silverton, Caprock Canyon State Park, Kress, Happy, Quitaque,
Vigo Park, Claytonville, and Mackenzie Reservoir.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 3433 10098 3432 10184 3475 10194 3475 10116
TIME...MOT...LOC 2116Z 244DEG 34KT 3464 10176
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH
APSpecial Weather Statement
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
505 PM CDT Mon Mar 30 2026
TXZ028-029-034-035-302300-
Hockley TX-Lamb TX-Lubbock TX-Hale TX-
505 PM CDT Mon Mar 30 2026
...GUSTY SHOWERS WILL IMPACT LUBBOCK...HOCKLEY...SOUTHERN HALE AND
SOUTHEASTERN LAMB COUNTIES THROUGH 600 PM CDT...
At 504 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking gusty showers 8 miles
southeast of Whitharral, or 11 miles northeast of Levelland, moving
northeast at 40 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph.
SOURCE...West Texas Mesonet.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
Locations impacted include...
Lubbock, Levelland, Slaton, Abernathy, Wolfforth, Shallowater,
Idalou, Petersburg, Anton, Ransom Canyon, Spade, Lubbock South Plains
Mall, Lubbock International Airport, Texas Tech University,
Whitharral, Downtown Lubbock, Woodrow, Reese Center, New Deal, and
Smyer.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 3342 10242 3385 10244 3410 10157 3342 10156
TIME...MOT...LOC 2204Z 244DEG 34KT 3368 10221
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH
APThe Lubbock radar (KLBB), 16 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 22:24 UTC.
5 thunderstorm wind, 1 hail. Local standard time, as filed.
A Texas Tech University West Texas mesonet site near Shallowater measured severe wind gusts from 1623 CST through 1638 CST. A peak wind gust of 72 mph was measured at 1638 CST.
The Automated Surface Observing System at Lubbock International Airport measured severe wind gusts from 1700 CST through 1708 CST.
A Texas Tech University West Texas mesonet site near Memphis measured severe wind gusts from 1805 CST through 1808 CST. A peak wind gust of 60 mph was measured at 1805 CST.
A Texas Tech University West Texas mesonet site near Floydada measured severe wind gusts from 1818 CST through 1856 CST. A peak wind gust of 64 mph was measured at 1856 CST.
A Texas Tech University West Texas mesonet site near Turkey measured a wind gust of 58 mph.
Numerous public reports were received as well as law enforcement reporting hail ranging in size from ping pongs to golf balls in the city of Memphis.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2026Every state in 2026This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, March 2026
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1318543, 1318544, 1318545, 1318549, 1318546, 1318547.