What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Nashville, TN wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 1, 9:55 AM CST, 7 minutes earlier. Its key messages:
- Updated at 1042 AM CDT Mon Jun 1 2026
- Low chance for strong to severe thunderstorms through Monday afternoon. The main threat will be damaging winds.
- Dry weather with seasonable temperatures and lower humidity starts Tuesday.
Area forecast discussion, Jun 1, 9:55 AM CST, 7 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
1055 AM CDT Mon Jun 1 2026
...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1042 AM CDT Mon Jun 1 2026
- Low chance for strong to severe thunderstorms through Monday
afternoon. The main threat will be damaging winds.
- Dry weather with seasonable temperatures and lower humidity
starts Tuesday.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Rest of today through Tuesday)
Issued at 1042 AM CDT Mon Jun 1 2026
An MCS is currently tracking south/southeast near the TN River
with a cluster of storms ahead of it across the south. These
storms this morning have mainly been elevated with the main
concern continuing to be strong to damaging winds. Heavy rain will
also continue to be a concern as this system is able to tap into
PWATs of 1.5 inches of higher. The MCS will exit the area early
this afternoon, and then on the backside of this system, we'll be
watching for additional storms to develop, primarily west of I-65.
Confidence in this is still low given this morning's system and
seeing how the atmosphere can recover. This morning's CAMs are
suggesting that any new development will primarily be to the west
and south of Middle TN, but this will have to be watched closely.
If any storms do develop, then the potential for strong to severe
thunderstorms will continue into the evening.
By Tuesday, drier air finally moves into the area, and this will be
the start of a nice few days. Plenty of sunshine will be present
tomorrow, and temperatures will warm up into the upper-70s to low-
80s with lows in the 50s.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday Night through next Monday)
Issued at 1042 AM CDT Mon Jun 1 2026
An upper-level ridge dominates the pattern starting Wednesday which
keeps the area dry through at least Friday. Temperatures will
gradually warm through the end of the week from highs in the low-80s
to the mid and upper-80s by Friday. The ridge weakens over the
weekend, allowing for moisture to return. This brings low rain
chances back to the area Saturday with rain chances increasing
Sunday and Monday. Highs will be seasonably normal with highs in the
mid and upper-80s
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 545 AM CDT Mon Jun 1 2026
IFR cigs and patchy fog will continue to impact CSV/SRB through
14-15z. Scattered showers and storms will move into Middle
Tennessee mid to late morning with the CKV having the highest
probability of being impacted. For BNA/MQY/CSV/SRB, there is a
medium chance of being impacted by a storm. Showers and storms are
expected to dissipate by 21-00z with VFR conditions for the
remainder of the forecast. Winds will be 5 kts or less through
02/12z. At BNA, NE winds will increase to around 10 kts after
02/12z.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville 84 64 80 57 / 60 40 0 0
Clarksville 83 62 79 55 / 90 40 0 0
Crossville 79 57 76 52 / 70 30 10 0
Columbia 84 64 80 55 / 80 50 0 0
Cookeville 81 59 78 54 / 70 30 0 0
Jamestown 80 56 77 51 / 40 20 0 0
Lawrenceburg 82 64 79 55 / 70 50 0 0
Murfreesboro 84 63 81 55 / 70 50 0 0
Waverly 84 64 80 56 / 90 40 0 0
&&
.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
SHORT TERM...Clements
LONG TERM....Clements
AVIATION.....Reagan
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Jun 1, 5:46 AM CST, 4 hours 16 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Nashville TN
646 AM CDT Mon Jun 1 2026
TNZ005-006-023-011230-
Stewart TN-Montgomery TN-Houston TN-
646 AM CDT Mon Jun 1 2026
...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT SOUTHWESTERN MONTGOMERY...STEWART
AND HOUSTON COUNTIES THROUGH 730 AM CDT...
At 646 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a cluster of strong
thunderstorms near Wranglers Campground, moving south at 40 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and nickel size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
Dover, Erin, Tennessee Ridge, Big Rock, Cumberland City, Land Between
The Lakes, Houston County Airport, Indian Mound, and Palmyra.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 3666 8785 3663 8785 3664 8764 3634 8736
3632 8742 3634 8751 3630 8752 3623 8787
3624 8794 3631 8796 3645 8806 3656 8803
3668 8807
TIME...MOT...LOC 1146Z 339DEG 34KT 3665 8803
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH
BaggettSpecial weather statement, Jun 1, 6:42 AM CST, 3 hours 20 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Nashville TN
742 AM CDT Mon Jun 1 2026
TNZ005-006-023>025-011330-
Stewart TN-Dickson TN-Humphreys TN-Montgomery TN-Houston TN-
742 AM CDT Mon Jun 1 2026
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHERN DICKSON...SOUTHWESTERN
MONTGOMERY...SOUTHERN STEWART...HOUSTON AND NORTHEASTERN HUMPHREYS
COUNTIES THROUGH 830 AM CDT...
At 741 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Erin, moving southeast at 35 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and penny size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
Waverly, Dover, Erin, McEwen, Tennessee Ridge, Charlotte, Vanleer,
Cumberland City, Slayden, Houston County Airport, and Indian Mound.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 3655 8771 3622 8721 3592 8773 3628 8795
3631 8796 3635 8798 3637 8800 3641 8803
TIME...MOT...LOC 1241Z 322DEG 29KT 3629 8771
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH
BaggettSpecial weather statement, Jun 1, 8:55 AM CST, 1 hour 7 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Nashville TN
955 AM CDT Mon Jun 1 2026
TNZ005-023-024-011545-
Stewart TN-Humphreys TN-Houston TN-
955 AM CDT Mon Jun 1 2026
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHWESTERN STEWART...HOUSTON
AND HUMPHREYS COUNTIES THROUGH 1045 AM CDT...
At 955 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Springville, or 8 miles southeast of Paris, moving southeast at 35
mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
Locations impacted include...
Waverly, Dover, Erin, New Johnsonville, McEwen, Tennessee Ridge,
Hurricane Mills, and Houston County Airport.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.
&&
LAT...LON 3653 8787 3620 8755 3618 8757 3610 8754
3602 8755 3599 8753 3593 8793 3594 8793
3594 8800 3595 8802 3597 8802 3600 8800
3603 8800 3612 8792 3617 8792 3622 8795
3631 8796 3645 8806
TIME...MOT...LOC 1455Z 316DEG 32KT 3622 8820
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
MuellerSpecial weather statement, Jun 1, 9:15 AM CST, 47 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Nashville TN
1015 AM CDT Mon Jun 1 2026
TNZ060-061-095-011600-
Maury TN-Giles TN-Marshall TN-
1015 AM CDT Mon Jun 1 2026
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHWESTERN MARSHALL...
SOUTHEASTERN MAURY AND NORTHEASTERN GILES COUNTIES THROUGH 1100 AM
CDT...
At 1015 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Columbia, moving southeast at 30 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and pea size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
Columbia, Lewisburg, Mount Pleasant, Cornersville, Lynnville, and
Culleoka.
This includes Interstate 65 between mile markers 19 and 41.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.
&&
LAT...LON 3549 8723 3566 8705 3546 8670 3525 8688
TIME...MOT...LOC 1515Z 305DEG 27KT 3555 8707
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
MuellerSpecial weather statement, Jun 1, 10:01 AM CST, 1 minute before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Nashville TN
1101 AM CDT Mon Jun 1 2026
TNZ056-093-094-011645-
Lawrence TN-Wayne TN-Perry TN-
1101 AM CDT Mon Jun 1 2026
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT WAYNE...NORTHWESTERN LAWRENCE
AND SOUTHERN PERRY COUNTIES THROUGH 1145 AM CDT...
At 1100 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 11
miles northwest of Waynesboro, moving southeast at 35 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and penny size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
Waynesboro, Linden, Collinwood, Clifton, and Flatwoods.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 3548 8799 3553 8798 3564 8784 3552 8769
3548 8772 3547 8765 3544 8764 3544 8761
3542 8761 3540 8757 3540 8755 3532 8745
3509 8776 3531 8802 3535 8801 3539 8802
3539 8799 3541 8797 3543 8803 3545 8804
TIME...MOT...LOC 1600Z 316DEG 30KT 3542 8791
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH
Mueller