An overall active pattern continued into June 2026 with daily rounds of showers and thunderstorms. By the end of the month, most of Middle Tennessee received generally 3 to 8 inches of rain with the highest amounts favoring areas along and near the Tennessee River as well as areas near the Tennessee/Alabama border.
Every event with a place to put it; 19 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS OHX wrote it up.
An overall active pattern continued into June 2026 with daily rounds of showers and thunderstorms. By the end of the month, most of Middle Tennessee received generally 3 to 8 inches of rain with the highest amounts favoring areas along and near the Tennessee River as well as areas near the Tennessee/Alabama border. It was also these areas that received more than their monthly normal precipitation while other areas continued to run a deficit. Fortunately, these repeated rounds of rain continued to improve drought conditions. For the first time since April 2026, none of Middle Tennessee was in extreme drought. About 11 percent of the area continued to be in severe drought, an improvement from 34 percent in May.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Nashville, TN wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at May 31, 11:22 PM CST, 38 minutes earlier. Its key messages:
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Nashville TN 1222 AM CDT Mon Jun 1 2026 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1218 AM CDT Mon Jun 1 2026 - Scattered showers and storms will continue Monday. A few storms will be strong with gusty winds and heavy downpours. - There is a marginal risk (level 1 out of 5) for severe storms Monday. The main threat will be damaging winds. - Dry weather with seasonable temperatures and lower humidity starts Tuesday. && .SHORT TERM... (Tonight through Tuesday Night) Issued at 1108 PM CDT Sun May 31 2026 As of late this evening, showers and thunderstorms have dissipated across Middle TN. Skies remain partly cloudy through the overnight, and with recent rains, areas of fog will become increasing likely. By mid morning, any fog that had formed will dissipate. As you have likely seen by now, there is a risk for severe weather Monday. CAMS continue to indicate a complex or MCS remnants to be ongoing over SE Missouri early in the day. This feature is forecast to track SE, with the potential for intensification along its outflow boundary, eventually moving through the mid state by late morning into the early afternoon. Forecast soundings show abundant instability combined with modest deep-layer shear (25-35 kts). Lapse rates could be better though, with latest projections between 5.5-6.5 C/km. These conditions could support pulse like or loosely organized multicell clusters capable of producing damaging straight-line wind gusts. This will be the greatest threat with these storms. Heavy rainfall with high PWATs will also pose a risk for localized flooding, particularly in areas that have seen repeated storm activity. Large hail and tornado potential remain low given potential for elevated convection and limited shear. Timing of highest storm coverage looks to favor late morning through mid to late afternoon as initial complex moves through. A secondary round of afternoon/evening storms is possible west of I-65 depending on outlfow evolution, but this remains lower confidence. The severe threat will diminish Monday evening as activity shifts east. By Tuesday, an upper-level trough moves out, allowing drier and more stable conditions to overspread the region. Mostly sunny skies are expected with highs near 80 and pleasant overnight lows in the upper 50s to low 60s under clearing skies. && .LONG TERM... (Wednesday through next Monday) Issued at 1108 PM CDT Sun May 31 2026 An upper ridge builds across the central U.S. from Wednesday through next Monday, promoting a stretch of mostly dry and stable weather with plenty of sunshine. Highs will warm from the low 80s Wednesday into the mid to upper 90s by late week, with lows in the upper 50s to low 60s. This will be a nice break from recent wet and humid conditions. The ridge begins to weaken late in the week, allowing moisture to return gradually. Rain and thunderstorm chances increase Friday night into the weekend as a more typical summertime pattern resumes, with highs remaining in the mid to upper 80s. && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1218 AM CDT Mon Jun 1 2026 Low clouds and fog will likely impact SRB/CSV through 14z with medium chances of MVFR/IFR cigs at BNA/MQY/CKV. Models have been consistently showing a complex of storms moving through Middle Tennessee from mid morning through mid afternoon. The exact placement and timing of the complex is uncertain, but probabilities are highest CKV with medium confidence further east at BNA/MQY/SRB/CSV. Winds will turn to the NW/N during the late afternoon but remain around 5 kts or less. If a terminal is impacted by a storm, winds may gust in excess of 30 kts. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Nashville 84 63 81 58 / 70 40 0 0 Clarksville 83 61 80 56 / 90 40 0 0 Crossville 79 57 76 52 / 50 20 0 0 Columbia 84 63 80 56 / 70 40 0 0 Cookeville 81 59 78 54 / 60 30 0 0 Jamestown 80 55 77 52 / 30 10 0 0 Lawrenceburg 82 63 79 55 / 70 30 0 0 Murfreesboro 84 63 81 56 / 70 40 0 0 Waverly 84 63 80 57 / 90 40 0 0 && .OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && SHORT TERM...Cravens LONG TERM....Cravens AVIATION.....Reagan
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Nashville TN
716 PM CDT Sun May 31 2026
TNZ094-095-010100-
Lawrence TN-Giles TN-
716 PM CDT Sun May 31 2026
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHEASTERN LAWRENCE AND
SOUTHERN GILES COUNTIES THROUGH 800 PM CDT...
At 715 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 8
miles west of Pulaski, moving southeast at 20 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and pea size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
Lawrenceburg, Pulaski, Elkton, Minor Hill, and Goodspring.
This includes Interstate 65 between mile markers 6 and 7.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 3531 8739 3528 8713 3508 8686 3502 8706
3503 8727
TIME...MOT...LOC 0015Z 332DEG 16KT 3522 8718
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
40/SizemoreSpecial Weather Statement
National Weather Service Nashville TN
729 PM CDT Sun May 31 2026
TNZ024-056>058-093-010115-
Hickman TN-Wayne TN-Lewis TN-Humphreys TN-Perry TN-
729 PM CDT Sun May 31 2026
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHWESTERN LEWIS...NORTH
CENTRAL WAYNE...PERRY...SOUTHWESTERN HUMPHREYS AND SOUTHWESTERN
HICKMAN COUNTIES THROUGH 815 PM CDT...
At 729 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 13
miles northeast of Parsons, or 14 miles northwest of Linden, moving
southeast at 35 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and pea size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
Linden, Lobelville, Flatwoods, Kimmins, Mousetail Landing State Park,
and Pleasantville.
This includes Interstate 40 between mile markers 136 and 138.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 3566 8802 3568 8802 3569 8803 3572 8804
3577 8799 3583 8797 3586 8794 3589 8793
3590 8792 3564 8750 3537 8787 3551 8798
3553 8798 3561 8803 3562 8804
TIME...MOT...LOC 0029Z 324DEG 32KT 3580 8796
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
40/SizemoreThe national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
19 drought. Local standard time, as filed.
Severe to extreme drought conditions from May 2026 improved in June with severe drought conditions across most of Cumberland County.
Severe drought conditions from May 2026 improved in June with abnormally dry to moderate drought conditions across Stewart County.
Severe to extreme drought conditions from May 2026 improved in June with moderate to severe drought conditions across Montgomery County.
Severe drought conditions from May 2026 improved in June with abnormally dry to moderate drought conditions across Perry County.
Severe drought conditions from May 2026 improved in June with moderate drought conditions across Houston County.
Severe drought conditions from May 2026 improved in June with moderate drought conditions across Humphreys County.
Severe drought conditions from May 2026 improved in June with abnormally dry to moderate drought conditions across Hickman County.
Severe to extreme drought conditions from May 2026 improved in June with severe drought conditions across Robertson County.
Severe drought conditions from May 2026 continued in June across northern Cheatham County.
Severe drought conditions from May 2026 continued in June across northeast Sumner County.
Severe drought conditions from May 2026 improved in June to moderate drought conditions across Davidson County.
Severe drought conditions from May 2026 improved in June to abnormally dry to moderate drought conditions across Macon County.
Severe drought conditions from May 2026 improved in June to abnormally dry conditions across Clay County.
Severe drought conditions from May 2026 improved in June to moderate drought conditions across Putnam County.
Severe drought conditions from May 2026 improved in June to abnormally dry to moderate drought conditions across Van Buren County.
Severe drought conditions from May 2026 improved in June to abnormally dry to moderate drought conditions across White County.
Severe drought conditions from May 2026 improved in June to abnormally dry conditions across Pickett County.
Severe drought conditions from May 2026 improved in June to abnormally dry to moderate drought conditions across most of Overton County. However, severe drought conditions persisted across far southern Overton County.
Severe to extreme drought conditions from May 2026 improved in June across most of Fentress County. However, severe drought conditions persisted across southern Fentress County.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Tennessee in 2026Every state in 2026This day in weather historyWarnings in Tennessee, June 2026
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1338622, 1338623, 1338624, 1338625, 1338626, 1338627, 1338628, 1338630, 1338631, 1338633, 1338634, 1338636, 1338637, 1338638, 1338639, 1338640, 1338642, 1338643, 1338645.