A warm front approached from the south as multiple shortwaves moved through aloft. A few storms were able to become severe as a decent veering wind profile with sufficient speed shear was available.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS OKX wrote it up.
A warm front approached from the south as multiple shortwaves moved through aloft. A few storms were able to become severe as a decent veering wind profile with sufficient speed shear was available. These storms produced damaging wind gusts.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS New York, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 22, 1:15 PM EST, 1 hour 10 minutes earlier. Its key messages:
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service New York NY
215 PM EDT Mon Jun 22 2026
.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Flood Watch in effect for NYC and Northeast New Jersey through
tonight.
&&
.KEY MESSAGES...
1. Heavy showers and thunderstorms this afternoon and night will
bring the potential of some flash flooding to part of the area. A
severe thunderstorm can also not be ruled out.
2. Showers and thunderstorms are possible again Thursday
afternoon through Friday.
3. A high rip current risk expected for late today for the ocean
beaches of NYC, Nassau and western Suffolk, and may be ongoing at
all the ocean beaches into part of Tuesday morning. See Marine
section for details.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
.KEY MESSAGE 1...
Warm front progged to approach the area today and remain just
south or across the forecast area through tonight into Tuesday
before a cold front passes through during Tuesday. Anticipating
deep moisture pooling along the warm front with PWATs increasing
to around 2 inches. While CAMs still disagree regarding the
timing of storm cells that may produce quick downpours, there
are signals amongst them/ensemble members along with other
models that this afternoon and tonight would be the most likely
periods. Lift gets enhanced with approaching shortwaves and an
upper jet streak during this period. Thinking is that there is
enough potential for flash flooding to occur primarily in
urbanized/poor drainage areas. After collaboration with WFO PHI,
have decided to issue a Flood Watch for flash flooding for the
areas typically prone to this mode of flash flooding - NYC and
NE NJ. While it has been fairly dry leading up to today, creek
and small stream flooding cannot be completely ruled out over NE
NJ. Timing of the watch covers most of this afternoon and all
of tonight. Rainfall rates this afternoon may be as high as
around 2 inches per hour.
With the cold front still not passing through until Tuesday,
additional heavy downpours are still possible during Tuesday mainly
east of NYC. Higher amounts of rainfall would be needed to produce
flooding for these spots, so no Watches planned for now.
Additionally, while confidence is still relatively low, there is
potential for some of these thunderstorms this afternoon and evening
to become severe. This is mainly due to the potential location of
the warm front and decent low level curvature in model hodographs
with a veering wind profile and sufficient speed shear. The main
threat will be damaging wind gusts, but cannot completely rule out
an isolated tornado due to shear profiles. The SPC maintains a
slight risk of severe tstms into Staten Island and Union County in
NE NJ, and a 2% tornado risk into all of NE NJ and NYC. Except for
far eastern Long Island and SE CT, the rest of the area is under a
marginal severe risk.
.KEY MESSAGE 2...
Southwest flow aloft looks to set up by late Thursday into Friday
ahead of the next shortwave/cold front. This would help to trigger
the potential for showers and a few thunderstorms. Confidence is
starting to increase that the greatest potential ends up on Thursday
night into Friday when the shortwave axis is currently progged to
move across the area. Any severe/hydro impacts are uncertain at this
time since this is around 5 days out.
&&
.AVIATION /18Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
A frontal system impacts the area through Tuesday.
Becoming MVFR or lower this afternoon with showers developing.
IFR or lower likely tonight into Tue AM and LIFR is possible at
times.
Rain showers develop thru early afternoon with a nearby warm
front. Thunderstorm chances increase mid to late afternoon, and
with uncertainty as to coverage and frequency, opted to TEMPO
the TSRA. Thunderstorms could return tonight after 00Z, and
added another TEMPO thru 2Z or 3Z. Showers prevail through the
overnight and into Tuesday morning, but likely fall more
intermittently at times. Additional chances for TSRA late Tue AM
into the early afternoon, and maintained PROB30s for now.
ESE or SE flow today, speeds increasing to 9-14 kt with a few
gusts up to 20 kt possible. Winds may become more southerly as
we get later this evening and into the overnight, with speeds
diminishing to around 5 kt, possibly going variable in spots.
Winds N/NNW 5-10 kt Tuesday after 12Z behind the cold fropa
...NY Metro (KEWR/KLGA/KJFK/KTEB) TAF Uncertainty...
Timing of TSRA could be off by +/- 2 hours. Brief strong wind
gusts to 40 kt possible with any thunderstorm.
A few gusts up to 20 kt possible at city terminals this
afternoon, but appears too occasional to prevail at this time.
.OUTLOOK FOR 18Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...
Tuesday PM: MVFR with showers, improving conditions in evening.
NW wind gusts near 15-20 kt possible.
Wednesday: VFR with NW flow.
Thursday: Mainly VFR. MVFR or lower possible at night with
increasing chances of showers, becoming likely late north and
west of NYC. A chance of thunderstorms. S wind gusts 15-20 kt
afternoon into eve.
Friday-Saturday: MVFR or lower possible with showers at times.
A chance of thunderstorms. Southerly wind gusts up to 20 kt
possible in the afternoon.
Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component
forecasts, can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90
&&
.MARINE...
S flow will strengthen today as low pressure approaches from the
west. All waters except the Sound and Peconic/Gardiners Bays remain
under an SCA from late today through tonight, for gusts 25-30 kt and
ocean seas up to 5 ft. There is potential for the other waters to be
added in subsequent forecasts. Thereafter, winds and seas should
remain below SCA criteria.
Rip Currents:
The rip current risk will be moderate for much of today, then
increases to high after 5 PM at the ocean beaches of NYC, Nassau and
western Suffolk as S flow increases to 20 kt and associated wind
waves build to 4-5 ft, at a time when lifeguards and beach patrols
will be coming off duty. RCMOS forecast followed for the most part
as it is well aligned with the trend in winds/seas.
A mostly moderate risk is expected for Tuesday as winds turn
offshore and seas slowly subside, but there is a chance that the
risk is still high early on.
&&
.OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...None.
NY...Flood Watch through late tonight for NYZ072>075-176-178.
High Risk for Rip Currents from 5 PM this afternoon to 9 PM EDT
this evening for NYZ075-080-178-179.
NJ...Flood Watch through late tonight for NJZ002-004-006-103>108.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM EDT Tuesday for ANZ338-355.
Small Craft Advisory from 6 PM this evening to 6 AM EDT
Tuesday for ANZ345-350-353.
&&
DISCUSSION...JC
AVIATION...DR
MARINE...JCHazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service New York NY 300 PM EDT Mon Jun 22 2026 NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ072>074-176-231900- Western Passaic-Eastern Passaic-Hudson-Western Bergen-Eastern Bergen- Western Essex-Eastern Essex-Western Union-Eastern Union- New York (Manhattan)-Bronx-Richmond (Staten Island)-Northern Queens- 300 PM EDT Mon Jun 22 2026 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast New Jersey and southeast New York. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Flood Watch. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday. Hazardous weather is not expected at this time that would meet NWS warning criteria. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation may be needed. && This Hazardous Weather Outlook provides a summary of potential widespread hazardous weather events that may reach NWS warning criteria. Most long fused NWS watches, warnings, and advisories in effect are highlighted. Please refer to the latest NWS forecasts for weather not meeting NWS warning criteria. NYZ075-178-231900- Kings (Brooklyn)-Southern Queens- 300 PM EDT Mon Jun 22 2026 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... ...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast New York. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Flood Watch. High Rip Current Risk. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday. Hazardous weather is not expected at this time that would meet NWS warning criteria. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation may be needed. && This Hazardous Weather Outlook provides a summary of potential widespread hazardous weather events that may reach NWS warning criteria. Most long fused NWS watches, warnings, and advisories in effect are highlighted. Please refer to the latest NWS forecasts for weather not meeting NWS warning criteria. NYZ080-179-231900- Southwest Suffolk-Southern Nassau- 300 PM EDT Mon Jun 22 2026 ...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast New York. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. High Rip Current Risk. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday. Hazardous weather is not expected at this time that would meet NWS warning criteria. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. && This Hazardous Weather Outlook provides a summary of potential widespread hazardous weather events that may reach NWS warning criteria. Most long fused NWS watches, warnings, and advisories in effect are highlighted. Please refer to the latest NWS forecasts for weather not meeting NWS warning criteria. ANZ340-CTZ005>012-NYZ067>071-078-079-177-231900- Peconic and Gardiners Bays-Northern Fairfield-Northern New Haven- Northern Middlesex-Northern New London-Southern Fairfield- Southern New Haven-Southern Middlesex-Southern New London-Orange- Putnam-Rockland-Northern Westchester-Southern Westchester- Northwest Suffolk-Northeast Suffolk-Northern Nassau- 300 PM EDT Mon Jun 22 2026 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Atlantic coastal waters, southern Connecticut and southeast New York. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday. No hazardous weather is expected at this time that would meet NWS warning criteria. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. && This Hazardous Weather Outlook provides a summary of potential widespread hazardous weather events that may reach NWS warning criteria. Most long fused NWS watches, warnings, and advisories in effect are highlighted. Please refer to the latest NWS forecasts for weather not meeting NWS warning criteria. NYZ081-231900- Southeast Suffolk- 300 PM EDT Mon Jun 22 2026 ...MODERATE RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast New York. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Moderate Risk for Rip Currents. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday. No hazardous weather is expected at this time that would meet NWS warning criteria. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. && This Hazardous Weather Outlook provides a summary of potential widespread hazardous weather events that may reach NWS warning criteria. Most long fused NWS watches, warnings, and advisories in effect are highlighted. Please refer to the latest NWS forecasts for weather not meeting NWS warning criteria. ANZ331-332-335-338-345-350-353-355-380-383-385-231900- Long Island Sound East of New Haven CT/Port Jefferson NY to the Mouth of the Connecticut River- Long Island Sound East of the Mouth of the Connecticut River- Long Island Sound West of New Haven CT/Port Jefferson NY- New York Harbor- South Shore Bays from Jones Inlet through Shinnecock Bay- Moriches Inlet NY to Montauk Point NY out 20 NM- Fire Island Inlet NY to Moriches Inlet NY out 20 NM- Sandy Hook NJ to Fire Island Inlet NY out 20 NM- Waters from Moriches Inlet NY to Montauk Point NY from 20 to 60 nm- Waters from Fire Island Inlet NY to Moriches Inlet NY from 20 to 60 nm- Waters from Sandy Hook NJ to Fire Island Inlet NY from 20 to 60 nm- 300 PM EDT Mon Jun 22 2026 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Atlantic coastal waters. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday. No hazardous weather is expected at this time that would meet NWS warning criteria. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. && This Hazardous Weather Outlook provides a summary of potential widespread hazardous weather events that may reach NWS warning criteria. Most long fused NWS watches, warnings, and advisories in effect are highlighted. Please refer to the latest NWS forecasts for weather not meeting NWS warning criteria.
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service New York NY
254 PM EDT Mon Jun 22 2026
NJZ006-105>108-NYZ074-221945-
Hudson NJ-Eastern Union NJ-Eastern Essex NJ-Western Union NJ-
Western Essex NJ-Richmond (Staten Is.) NY-
254 PM EDT Mon Jun 22 2026
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT HUDSON...UNION...SOUTHERN ESSEX
AND RICHMOND COUNTIES THROUGH 345 PM EDT...
At 254 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Millington, or near Plainfield, moving east at 35 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
Locations impacted include...
Newark, Jersey City, Elizabeth, Bayonne, Plainfield, Linden, Summit,
Millburn, Harrison, Todt Hill, Huguenot, Port Richmond, Tottenville,
Clark, and Union.
This includes the following event location Sports Illustrated
Stadium.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 4050 7428 4051 7426 4052 7425 4055 7425
4056 7421 4059 7421 4060 7422 4059 7428
4061 7431 4060 7446 4062 7442 4066 7440
4067 7440 4065 7445 4067 7446 4075 7436
4074 7404 4057 7407 4053 7410 4050 7422
TIME...MOT...LOC 1854Z 271DEG 30KT 4064 7450
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
NVThe Philadelphia radar (KDIX), 78 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 19:25 UTC.
4 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
Two trees down near Westerleigh on Staten Island.
Five trees down across Brooklyn.
Two trees down across the Bronx.
Twelve trees down across Queens.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in New York in 2026Every state in 2026This day in weather historyWarnings in New York, June 2026
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1354464, 1354465, 1354466, 1354467.