What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Albuquerque, NM wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 9, 10:38 AM MST, 2 hours 13 minutes earlier. Its key messages:
- Updated at 1128 AM MDT Tue Jun 9 2026
- Isolated to scattered thunderstorms across eastern New Mexico today could produce damaging wind gusts and large hail.
- Isolated to scattered showers and dry thunderstorms over parts of western and central New Mexico today will lead to potentially damaging downburst winds, patchy blowing dust, dry lightning, and a risk of new fire starts.
- Dry and breezy winds along with hot temperatures will result in an increasing risk for rapid fire spread across far western New Mexico today and across northeast New Mexico on Wednesday.
- Moderate risk for heat-related illnesses across the Rio Grande Valley and eastern New Mexico this upcoming week.
Area forecast discussion, Jun 9, 10:38 AM MST, 2 hours 13 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
1138 AM MDT Tue Jun 9 2026
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1128 AM MDT Tue Jun 9 2026
- Isolated to scattered thunderstorms across eastern New Mexico
today could produce damaging wind gusts and large hail.
- Isolated to scattered showers and dry thunderstorms over parts
of western and central New Mexico today will lead to
potentially damaging downburst winds, patchy blowing dust, dry
lightning, and a risk of new fire starts.
- Dry and breezy winds along with hot temperatures will result in
an increasing risk for rapid fire spread across far western New
Mexico today and across northeast New Mexico on Wednesday.
- Moderate risk for heat-related illnesses across the Rio Grande
Valley and eastern New Mexico this upcoming week.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Wednesday)
Issued at 142 AM MDT Tue Jun 9 2026
Sub-tropical moisture is being advected in from the south out ahead
of a Great Basin trough. whilst low level moisture is surging
dewpoints from the southeast. Isolated showers will begin to develop
as early as sunrise in central NM, although rain will still struggle
to reach the ground given the low boundary layer humidity. Coverage
will expand during the afternoon with daytime heating helping to
generate surface based convection. Coverage will be higher compared
to Monday and storms will move faster given the increasing
background flow. Conditions will be favorable for the development of
severe storms capable of producing damaging outflow wind gusts
across most of eastern NM. Dry air intruding from the west will
favor very steep mid-level lapse rates, particularly during the late
afternoon and early evening hours so storms with large hail cannot
be ruled out either. Storms may try to cluster together in the
eastern plains where activity could persist into the overnight
hours. Interestingly, hi-res models are shutting down convection in
the late evening , but global models are keeping it around until at
least Midnight. Given the persistent moisture advection and
steepening lapse rates, would hedge towards the later end time for
storms.
A dry Pacific cold front will usher in drier air from the
west overnight, with westerly breezes over the high terrain through
the night. This drier air will shut down any convective activity on
Wednesday. The drier air combined with a downsloping west wind will
increase temperatures, with the biggest change in eastern NM (up to
6 degrees). Currently, there is a around a 60% chance that Roswell
reaches 105F on Wednesday, with moderate chances of 100F+ across all
of southeast NM and even the lower RGV near Socorro.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday night through Monday)
Issued at 142 AM MDT Tue Jun 9 2026
Thursday will be another dry day with modest westerly flow aloft.
Breezes will prevail in most areas, with winds shifting around to
the east in eastern NM as a backdoor front surges south and
westward. Storms will likely generate along the front in Texas and
there is a low chance that some of this nocturnal convection
Thursday night extends into the eastern plains.
Confidence is increasing for at least a moderate east wind through
the gaps of the central mtn chain and if there is any convection in
eastern NM that could further increase potential wind gusts. The
influx of moisture behind this front will lead to the development of
at least scattered showers and storms Friday afternoon, focusing
along and east of the central mountain chain. Recycled moisture will
interact with northwest flow Saturday and Sunday, allowing for the
continuation of afternoon and evening storms in northern and eastern
NM. This is a favorable setup from severe storms, particularly in
the northeastern third of the state. This pattern with dryline
storms and northwest flow will likely persist into early next week,
while the western half of the state remains dry and hot.
&&
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1128 AM MDT Tue Jun 9 2026
Visual Flight Rules will prevail for most areas within northern
and central New Mexico today into Wednesday. The primary aviation
weather concerns will be gusty winds along with showers and
thunderstorms through this evening. Showers and storms between
the Continental Divide (KE33 to K4SL to KGNT) and the central
mountain chain (KAXX to KCQC to KSRR) will tend to produce less
rainfall, but will still create gusty downburst winds. Meanwhile
wetter, stronger storms will be capable of developing east of this
area toward the plains with gusty surges in winds, lightning,
hail, and brief downpours. Prevailing winds will be breezy to
windy with the strongest winds over northern areas of the state
where gusts will reach 25 to 35 kt this afternoon and again on
Wednesday afternoon.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 142 AM MDT Tue Jun 9 2026
South to southwest winds will trend stronger today in response to an
approaching Great Basin trough. Wind gusts of 25 to 40 mph will be
commonplace around the state, with the strongest winds in far
western NM and in the northeast. It will be very dry across western
NM, with afternoon humidities as low as 5% near Farmington. There
will be some moisture in central NM, but it will still be dry with
humidities in the 15 to 25% range. As a result, gusty showers and a
few storms across central NM will be capable of producing very
strong outflow wind gusts, similar to Monday. It will be more moist
across the east where a few storms could become severe and wetting
rainfall is more likely.
The dry air in western NM today pushes eastward tonight into
Wednesday with the passage of a dry cold front. Wednesday afternoon
will be significantly drier compared to Tuesday, with single digit
RH in most areas. Gusty west winds will create near critical to
critical fire weather conditions across the northeast portion of the
state, but conditions are currently not widespread enough to warrant
an upgrade of the Fire Weather Watch. West winds trend weaker into
Thursday, although there is still a low chance of critical fire
weather conditions in the Northwest Plateau. It will remain dry
across the west late week into the weekend, while rain chances
return to central and eastern areas. Storm coverage will focus over
the eastern plains each day, where multi-day rainfall totals will
likely exceed 0.5" in most areas.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Farmington...................... 93 54 92 56 / 20 0 0 0
Dulce........................... 85 44 86 46 / 50 5 0 0
Cuba............................ 85 50 88 53 / 50 10 0 0
Gallup.......................... 89 45 89 48 / 5 0 0 0
El Morro........................ 84 48 86 51 / 20 0 0 0
Grants.......................... 88 49 91 53 / 20 0 0 0
Quemado......................... 86 49 88 52 / 20 0 0 0
Magdalena....................... 86 58 91 60 / 40 0 0 0
Datil........................... 85 52 89 54 / 20 0 0 0
Reserve......................... 91 48 94 49 / 10 0 0 0
Glenwood........................ 95 52 97 53 / 10 0 0 0
Chama........................... 76 43 79 45 / 60 10 0 0
Los Alamos...................... 83 58 87 61 / 40 20 0 0
Pecos........................... 85 51 88 54 / 40 30 0 0
Cerro/Questa.................... 79 50 83 52 / 50 20 0 0
Red River....................... 73 42 77 42 / 50 30 0 0
Angel Fire...................... 77 41 79 37 / 50 40 0 0
Taos............................ 83 50 86 51 / 50 20 0 0
Mora............................ 81 50 86 52 / 50 30 0 0
Espanola........................ 91 52 94 54 / 40 20 0 0
Santa Fe........................ 85 55 89 58 / 40 20 0 0
Santa Fe Airport................ 89 53 93 55 / 30 20 0 0
Albuquerque Foothills........... 91 62 94 66 / 30 10 0 0
Albuquerque Heights............. 92 61 96 65 / 30 10 0 0
Albuquerque Valley.............. 94 55 98 58 / 30 10 0 0
Albuquerque West Mesa........... 93 60 97 63 / 30 10 0 0
Belen........................... 95 59 100 61 / 30 10 0 0
Bernalillo...................... 94 59 97 61 / 30 10 0 0
Bosque Farms.................... 94 56 98 58 / 30 10 0 0
Corrales........................ 94 59 98 62 / 30 10 0 0
Los Lunas....................... 94 57 98 59 / 30 10 0 0
Placitas........................ 90 60 94 63 / 30 10 0 0
Rio Rancho...................... 92 60 96 63 / 30 10 0 0
Socorro......................... 97 65 101 66 / 20 5 0 0
Sandia Park/Cedar Crest......... 86 57 89 59 / 30 10 0 0
Tijeras......................... 88 57 91 59 / 30 10 0 0
Edgewood........................ 88 55 90 57 / 30 10 0 0
Moriarty/Estancia............... 89 51 92 53 / 30 20 0 0
Clines Corners.................. 85 55 87 57 / 40 20 0 0
Mountainair..................... 88 56 92 58 / 30 10 0 0
Gran Quivira.................... 87 57 90 58 / 20 20 0 0
Carrizozo....................... 92 64 94 66 / 20 20 0 0
Ruidoso......................... 84 55 87 57 / 30 20 0 0
Capulin......................... 83 49 87 51 / 50 30 0 0
Raton........................... 87 49 91 51 / 40 30 0 0
Springer........................ 89 52 93 52 / 40 40 0 0
Las Vegas....................... 85 52 89 54 / 60 30 0 0
Clayton......................... 92 61 95 62 / 40 30 0 0
Roy............................. 87 56 93 57 / 60 30 0 0
Conchas......................... 94 63 100 62 / 60 50 0 0
Santa Rosa...................... 90 61 97 62 / 60 50 0 0
Tucumcari....................... 96 67 101 68 / 30 60 0 0
Clovis.......................... 93 65 99 68 / 10 30 0 0
Portales........................ 94 66 100 69 / 10 30 0 0
Fort Sumner..................... 93 64 100 65 / 30 40 0 0
Roswell......................... 96 68 102 68 / 20 20 0 0
Picacho......................... 91 61 96 64 / 50 30 0 0
Elk............................. 90 59 93 62 / 30 20 0 0
&&
.ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Red Flag Warning until 9 PM MDT this evening for NMZ101-105.
Fire Weather Watch from Wednesday afternoon through Wednesday
evening for NMZ104-123.
&&
SHORT TERM...16
LONG TERM....16
AVIATION...52
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Jun 9, 9:59 AM MST, 2 hours 52 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
1059 AM MDT Tue Jun 9 2026
NMZ227-228-091730-
Johnson and Bartlett Mesas Including Raton Pass NM-Far Northeast
Highlands NM-
1059 AM MDT Tue Jun 9 2026
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHEASTERN COLFAX COUNTY UNTIL
1130 AM MDT...
At 1059 AM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Raton, moving northeast at 40 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and pea size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
Raton, Sugarite, Sugarite Canyon State Park and Raton Crews
Airport.
This includes the following highways...
Highway 64 between Mile Markers 337 and 359. Interstate 25 between
Mile Markers 439 and 459.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Monitor the weather situation closely and be alert for threatening
weather conditions.
&&
LAT...LON 3675 10454 3685 10465 3699 10446 3700 10407
3695 10402 3668 10446
TIME...MOT...LOC 1659Z 225DEG 33KT 3682 10447
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 TO 55 MPH
ShoemakeSpecial weather statement, Jun 9, 10:24 AM MST, 2 hours 27 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
1124 AM MDT Tue Jun 9 2026
NMZ233-091800-
Guadalupe County NM-
1124 AM MDT Tue Jun 9 2026
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHEASTERN GUADALUPE COUNTY
UNTIL NOON MDT...
At 1124 AM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Santa Rosa, moving northeast at 35 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and pea size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
Santa Rosa, Cuervo, Santa Rosa Lake State Park, Puerto De Luna and
Newkirk.
This includes Interstate 40 between Mile Markers 269 and 303.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Monitor the weather situation closely and be alert for threatening
weather conditions.
Blowing dust associated with strong thunderstorm winds can reduce
visibility below one quarter mile at times.
&&
LAT...LON 3474 10457 3479 10486 3522 10468 3522 10448
3521 10413 3498 10426
TIME...MOT...LOC 1724Z 208DEG 31KT 3489 10468
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 TO 55 MPH
MASpecial weather statement, Jun 9, 10:46 AM MST, 2 hours 5 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
1146 AM MDT Tue Jun 9 2026
NMZ221>223-091815-
Sandia and Manzano Mountains including Edgewood NM-Estancia
Valley NM-Central Highlands NM-
1146 AM MDT Tue Jun 9 2026
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT BERNALILLO...NORTHWESTERN
TORRANCE...SOUTHEASTERN SANTA FE AND SOUTHWESTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTIES
UNTIL 1215 PM MDT...
At 1146 AM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 6
miles northwest of McIntosh, or 7 miles southwest of Moriarty, moving
northeast at 45 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
Locations impacted include...
Moriarty, McIntosh, Clines Corners, Chilili, Escabosa and Miera.
This includes the following highways...
Interstate 40 between Mile Markers 191 and 220. Highway 285 between
Mile Markers 243 and 261.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Monitor the weather situation closely and be alert for threatening
weather conditions.
Blowing dust associated with strong thunderstorm winds can reduce
visibility below one quarter mile at times.
&&
LAT...LON 3479 10620 3494 10634 3522 10581 3493 10555
3478 10619
TIME...MOT...LOC 1746Z 239DEG 37KT 3493 10612
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 TO 55 MPH
MASpecial weather statement, Jun 9, 11:17 AM MST, 1 hour 34 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
1217 PM MDT Tue Jun 9 2026
NMZ212-222-223-091845-
Estancia Valley NM-Glorieta Mesa Including Glorieta Pass NM-
Central Highlands NM-
1217 PM MDT Tue Jun 9 2026
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHERN TORRANCE...SOUTHEASTERN
SANTA FE AND WEST CENTRAL SAN MIGUEL COUNTIES UNTIL 1245 PM MDT...
At 1217 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 12
miles northwest of Clines Corners, or 19 miles northeast of Moriarty,
moving northeast at 30 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
Locations impacted include...
Mainly rural areas of Northern Torrance, Southeastern Santa Fe and
West Central San Miguel Counties.
This includes Highway 285 between Mile Markers 256 and 273.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Monitor the weather situation closely and be alert for threatening
weather conditions.
Blowing dust associated with strong thunderstorm winds can reduce
visibility below one quarter mile at times.
&&
LAT...LON 3524 10589 3526 10586 3530 10585 3533 10583
3535 10584 3543 10580 3528 10544 3503 10578
3508 10597
TIME...MOT...LOC 1817Z 212DEG 24KT 3516 10576
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH
MASpecial weather statement, Jun 9, 12:31 PM MST, 20 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
131 PM MDT Tue Jun 9 2026
NMZ229-232-092015-
Eastern San Miguel County NM-Northeast Highlands NM-
131 PM MDT Tue Jun 9 2026
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT CENTRAL SAN MIGUEL COUNTY UNTIL
215 PM MDT...
At 131 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 14
miles south of Trujillo, or 28 miles north of Santa Rosa, moving
northeast at 30 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
Locations impacted include...
Trujillo, Variadero and Trementina.
This includes State Road 104 between Mile Markers 28 and 55.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Monitor the weather situation closely and be alert for threatening
weather conditions.
&&
LAT...LON 3535 10497 3537 10499 3575 10449 3543 10421
3522 10476 3522 10482
TIME...MOT...LOC 1931Z 233DEG 28KT 3534 10477
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH
34Special weather statement, Jun 9, 12:37 PM MST, 14 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
137 PM MDT Tue Jun 9 2026
NMZ230-092000-
Union County NM-
137 PM MDT Tue Jun 9 2026
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHEASTERN UNION COUNTY UNTIL
2 PM MDT...
At 137 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 8
miles north of Clayton Lake State Park, or 17 miles north of Clayton,
moving northeast at 30 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
Locations impacted include...
Moses.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Monitor the weather situation closely and be alert for threatening
weather conditions.
&&
LAT...LON 3659 10326 3673 10342 3697 10316 3685 10300
3671 10300
TIME...MOT...LOC 1937Z 233DEG 28KT 3669 10328
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH
34