Montana, 2026Drought in Montana, March 1 to 31, 2026
March 1 to 31, 2026 · NWS GGW · 4 events in 4 counties and zones
Drought conditions from February remained mainly in place over portions of Phillips and Valley Counties through the month of March.
Every event with a place to put it; 4 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
- Tornadoes
- Tropical storms and surge
- Floods
- Wind
- Hail
- Winter weather
- Heat and drought
- Cold
- Fire, smoke and dust
- Marine and coastal
- Other
Open the live radar over this ground
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- None recorded
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 4
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
Drought conditions from February remained mainly in place over portions of Phillips and Valley Counties through the month of March.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Glasgow, MT wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Feb 28, 11:44 PM MST, 16 minutes earlier. Its key messages:
- Look for dry and increasingly mild conditions through Wednesday.
- Chances for precipitation and moderation in temperatures return starting Thursday.
Area forecast discussion, Feb 28, 11:44 PM MST, 16 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Glasgow MT
1144 PM MST Sat Feb 28 2026
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Look for dry and increasingly mild conditions through Wednesday.
- Chances for precipitation and moderation in temperatures return
starting Thursday.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW:
Upper ridging is beginning to build over the Northern Rockies and
Northern High Plains, nudging temperatures upward through
Wednesday to above normal levels for early March. The large scale
subsidence also allows for mostly dry weather conditions for the
next several days.
By Thursday as the ridge flattens and translates east, a more
dynamic split flow pattern will emerge over the western CONUS.
Ensemble consensus begins to decline at these later time stages,
but early signs point to temperatures lowering to near normal, increased
chances for precipitation and windy conditions at times.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS:
The base forecast was used for the forecast period, with the
exception of some near term edits to add resolution for winds.
There is high confidence in the pattern through midweek for
relatively warm and dry weather, before model solutions diverge
to give slightly lower than average confidence late in the week.
-JEZ
&&
.AVIATION...
LAST UPDATE: 0630Z
FLIGHT CAT RANGE: MVFR, returning to VFR.
DISCUSSION: Areas that saw fresh snow this weekend have some
patchy low stratus development that has resulted in periods of
MVFR ceilings for the TAF sites. After 15Z, these areas will
become more isolated as skies become mostly clear overall.
&&
.GGW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
weather.gov/glasgow
Drought, Little Rocky Mountains
- When
- March 1, 12:00 AM MST to March 31, 11:59 PM MST
- Where
- Little Rocky Mountains forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 48.259, -107.913 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
D2 drought conditions remained in place over the western edge of southwest Phillips County throughout the month of March.
Drought, Northern Phillips
- When
- March 1, 12:00 AM MST to March 31, 11:59 PM MST
- Where
- Northern Phillips forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 48.259, -107.913 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
D2 drought conditions remained in place over the northern portion of northern Phillips County throughout the month of March.
Drought, Northern Valley
- When
- March 1, 12:00 AM MST to March 31, 11:59 PM MST
- Where
- Northern Valley forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 48.365, -106.667 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
D2 drought conditions remained in place over the northwest corner of northern Valley County throughout the month of March.
Drought, Petroleum
- When
- March 1, 12:00 AM MST to March 23, 12:00 AM MST
- Where
- Petroleum forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 47.118, -108.250 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
D2 drought conditions persisted in the far western corner of Petroleum county for the first three weeks of March.
- Drought
- A drought reaching severe (D2) or worse on the US Drought Monitor, or with notable impacts.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
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NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1318289, 1318290, 1318291, 1325703.