What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Lake Charles, LA wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at May 6, 11:17 AM CST, 5 hours 13 minutes earlier. Its key messages:
- Slight risk (level 2 of 5) for severe weather today due to a cold front.
- Heavy rain and flash flooding is possible today and Thursday as a front moves across the region.
- Rain chances remain in place during the weekend with upper disturbances traversing the region.
Area forecast discussion, May 6, 11:17 AM CST, 5 hours 13 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
Issued by National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
1217 PM CDT Wed May 6 2026
...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER...
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Slight risk (level 2 of 5) for severe weather today due to a
cold front.
- Heavy rain and flash flooding is possible today and Thursday as
a front moves across the region.
- Rain chances remain in place during the weekend with upper
disturbances traversing the region.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
(This evening through next Tuesday)
Issued at 1213 PM CDT Wed May 6 2026
A shortwave is moving across eastern Texas this afternoon with
strong southwest flow extending across the region. At the surface, a
frontal boundary is approaching northern Louisiana, with increasing
moisture and some daytime heating leading to rather buoyant
conditions ahead of it. Thus, a Marginal (level 1 out of 5) to
Slight (level 2 out of 5) risk for severe weather continues for the
rest of this afternoon and evening. Some showers are ongoing across
the western portion of the forecast area and this region should
continue to be the focus for most of the convection expected during
the rest of the day. The main threats with this setup continue to be
larger hail and strong wind gusts, especially for the northern part
of the forecast area. Additionally, heavy rainfall remains a
possibility with some of these storms as abundant tropical
moisture will lead to a moderate to slight risk for excessive
rainfall across portions of the region.
The front will slowly push southward and then stall Thursday before
slowly lifting back northward on Friday. WAA will return moisture
back north while multiple upper disturbances traverse the area
through Sunday. Rain chances will remain elevated into the weekend
before another front pushes offshore and sharper short wave sweeps
through.
&&
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1213 PM CDT Wed May 6 2026
A mixture of MVFR/IFR conditions continues this afternoon ahead of a
cold front that is expected to bring showers and thunderstorms
across the region later this afternoon and evening. Best chances
continue for KAEX, with more scattered activity expected elsewhere.
Lower cigs/vsbys continue overnight and into Thursday.
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 1213 PM CDT Wed May 6 2026
A moderate onshore flow is expected today ahead of a cold front.
This front will move through today and then stall over the waters on
Thursday before lifting back north into the weekend. Another cold
front will push back offshore late Sunday with a moderate north flow
anticipated Monday.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 1213 PM CDT Wed May 6 2026
A cold front will move into the region today, bringing scattered
showers and thunderstorms through the rest of the afternoon and
evening. This front will stall tonight into Thursday and then be the
focus for additional rain into the weekend.
&&
.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...None.
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&
Sent by TBW
In the hours before
Special weather statement, May 6, 12:54 PM CST, 3 hours 36 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
Issued by National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area Ruskin FL
154 PM CDT Wed May 6 2026
LAZ028-029-061945-
Avoyelles LA-Rapides LA-
154 PM CDT Wed May 6 2026
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT CENTRAL RAPIDES AND NORTHERN
AVOYELLES PARISHES THROUGH 245 PM CDT...
At 154 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Alexandria, moving northeast at 35 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and pea size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor damage to vegetation and outdoor
objects is possible.
Locations impacted include...
Alexandria, Pineville, Alexandria International Airport, Effie, Ball,
Deville, Libuse, Tioga, Timber Trails, Brouillette, Esler Regional
Airport, Lake Ophelia National Wildlife Refuge, Elmer, Kingsville,
Poland, Kolin, Centerpoint, Ruby, Holloway, and Paradise.
This includes Interstate 49 between mile markers 69 and 93.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 3147 9216 3141 9215 3136 9208 3133 9208
3134 9203 3132 9200 3130 9200 3128 9202
3127 9199 3122 9199 3125 9196 3122 9194
3123 9192 3128 9195 3130 9191 3121 9174
3106 9268 3118 9272 3142 9252 3148 9221
TIME...MOT...LOC 1854Z 240DEG 32KT 3122 9242
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
TBWSpecial weather statement, May 6, 12:57 PM CST, 3 hours 33 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
Issued by National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area Ruskin FL
157 PM CDT Wed May 6 2026
LAZ027-030-TXZ260-061945-
Beauregard LA-Vernon LA-Northern Newton TX-
157 PM CDT Wed May 6 2026
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHWESTERN BEAUREGARD...
SOUTHWESTERN VERNON PARISHES IN WEST CENTRAL LOUISIANA AND CENTRAL
NEWTON COUNTIES THROUGH 245 PM CDT...
At 157 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Newton, moving northeast at 30 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and pea size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor damage to vegetation and outdoor
objects is possible.
Locations impacted include...
De Ridder, Newton, Rosepine, Merryville, Bon Weir, Burkeville, Burr
Ferry, Junction, Stringtown, Evans, and Bleakwood.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 3063 9387 3085 9386 3121 9342 3083 9313
TIME...MOT...LOC 1857Z 234DEG 27KT 3081 9372
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
TBWSpecial weather statement, May 6, 1:39 PM CST, 2 hours 51 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
239 PM CDT Wed May 6 2026
LAZ027-028-062030-
Vernon LA-Rapides LA-
239 PM CDT Wed May 6 2026
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT WEST CENTRAL RAPIDES AND VERNON
PARISHES THROUGH 330 PM CDT...
At 239 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Rosepine, moving northeast at 25 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and nickel size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor damage to vegetation and outdoor
objects is possible.
Locations impacted include...
Leesville, Rosepine, Fort Polk, Slagle, New Llano, Lacamp, Fullerton,
Hutton, Kurthwood, Leander, Cravens, Simpson, and Pickering.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.
Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.
A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 1100 PM CDT for central,
southwestern and west central Louisiana.
&&
LAT...LON 3136 9299 3107 9273 3088 9324 3088 9328
3111 9347 3137 9313 3137 9303
TIME...MOT...LOC 1939Z 241DEG 20KT 3099 9325
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
SlaughterSpecial weather statement, May 6, 1:49 PM CST, 2 hours 41 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
249 PM CDT Wed May 6 2026
LAZ028-029-062015-
Avoyelles LA-Rapides LA-
249 PM CDT Wed May 6 2026
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHEASTERN RAPIDES AND
NORTHWESTERN AVOYELLES PARISHES THROUGH 315 PM CDT...
At 249 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Holloway, or 9 miles east of Pineville, moving northeast at 25 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and penny size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor damage to vegetation and outdoor
objects is possible.
Locations impacted include...
Pineville, Ball, Kingsville, Deville, Libuse, Tioga, Esler Regional
Airport, Kolin, Centerpoint, Holloway, and Paradise.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 1100 PM CDT for central
Louisiana.
&&
LAT...LON 3147 9219 3147 9216 3146 9217 3145 9216
3141 9215 3138 9212 3136 9208 3135 9207
3134 9209 3133 9208 3134 9204 3133 9201
3120 9232 3138 9248 3144 9239 3148 9219
TIME...MOT...LOC 1949Z 241DEG 20KT 3135 9226
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
SlaughterNOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1341394, 1341395, 1341413, 1341407, 1341408, 1341409, 1341410, 1341397, 1341398, 1341400, 1341411, 1341401, 1341403, 1341404, 1341406, 1341405.