Iowa, 2026

Hail in Iowa, May 31, 2026

May 31, 2026 · NWS OAX · 1 event in 1 county or zone

During the late evening hours of May 31 and into the early morning of June 1, 2026, a stalled frontal boundary draped across northeast Nebraska and western Iowa became the focal point for strong to severe thunderstorm development. The environment along the boundary featured roughly 2,000 J/kg of instability and 30 knots of deep-layer shear, which proved sufficient to organize convection.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS OAX wrote it up.

During the late evening hours of May 31 and into the early morning of June 1, 2026, a stalled frontal boundary draped across northeast Nebraska and western Iowa became the focal point for strong to severe thunderstorm development. The environment along the boundary featured roughly 2,000 J/kg of instability and 30 knots of deep-layer shear, which proved sufficient to organize convection. Additionally, a dry sub-cloud layer yielded approximately 1,400 J/kg of DCAPE, promoting a severe downdraft threat alongside the hail risk.

As storms initiated and pushed southward overnight, radar signatures indicated the potential for several swaths of large hail and damaging winds, particularly across western Iowa. However, because the storms primarily traversed sparsely populated areas late at night, only a handful of severe weather reports were received. Quarter-size (1.00 inch) hail was estimated near the towns of Woodbine and Avoca, Iowa. The storms also produced a measured wind gust of 63 mph and localized tree damage in Pottawattamie County, Iowa. The complex continued tracking southward, eventually decreasing in intensity and weakening below severe limits during the early morning hours.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Omaha, NE wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at May 31, 10:24 PM CST, 32 minutes earlier. Its key messages:

  • Regular chances for showers and thunderstorms continue with more thunderstorms in the forecast for this evening, especially along and east of the Missouri River.
  • A summer-like pattern sets up next week keeping warm and muggy weather in place with additional daily chances for showers and thunderstorms throughout the week into next weekend.
Area forecast discussion, May 31, 10:24 PM CST, 32 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE
1124 PM CDT Sun May 31 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Regular chances for showers and thunderstorms continue with
  more thunderstorms in the forecast for this evening,
  especially along and east of the Missouri River.

- A summer-like pattern sets up next week keeping warm and muggy
  weather in place with additional daily chances for showers and
  thunderstorms throughout the week into next weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1104 PM CDT Sun May 31 2026

We've seen a couple isolated storms develop this evening, some
along a boundary stretching south from ongoing storms in South
Dakota, and a couple others around the Omaha/Council Bluffs
area. Mid-level dry air is making storm development difficult,
though if storms do develop there is 2000J/kg+ of CAPE, and
1400J/kg of DCAPE. Shear is modest (75m2/s2 of sfc-1km SRH),
lending to observed storms not holding together long, but
occasional low-to-mid level rotation was observed in the
earlier cell over Douglas County. The low tornado threat is only
diminishing, making primary hazards large hail and damaging
winds. Storms that develop this evening should clear out by 5AM,
with clearing skies Monday morning.

Ridging starts to build up on Monday over our area with
subsidence dampening storm potential Monday afternoon despite a
shortwave moving over our area. CAMs show a few isolated storms
through the afternoon, so introduced a 15-20% chance for a few
isolated storms. Temperatures expected to warm into the mid-to-
upper 80s during the afternoon. A more substantial shortwave
triggers convection over western Nebraska during the afternoon,
likely developing into an MCS through the evening. This could
bring us another chance for showers and storms across our far
western counties early Tuesday, though most guidance has it
dissipating before it gets any farther east.

We continue to see ridging amplify across the Central Plains
through midweek, with a moisture plume triggering storms along
the western flank of the ridge. Nightly potential for MCS
development and propagation eastward appears likely, with
increasing chances for storms to make it into eastern Nebraska
Tuesday night and Wednesday night. Thursday the Ridge shifts far
enough eastward for the moisture plume to run straight up
through our area, developing storms across eastern Nebraska and
western Iowa Thursday afternoon through the evening.

Going into the weekend, the ridge shifts far enough eastward
that that moisture plume drops southeast into Missouri, but a
developing surface Low over the Dakotas triggers more chances
for showers and storms Friday afternoon and evening. Through the
weekend we see a baroclinic weather pattern set up with strong
ridging building up to our north, and a series of two shortwave
troughs moving northeast into Nebraska through the weekend. This
will keep chances for showers and storms for Saturday and
Sunday, while increased warm-air advection from enhanced
southerly flow will warm temperatures back into the upper 80s to
near 90.

Extreme heat appears possible next week with ample moisture
contributing to concerning heat indices.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z TUESDAY/...
Issued at 1124 PM CDT Sun May 31 2026

Storms should stay mostly clear of the terminals for the rest of
the night, though we do still have a 20% chance of a storm
impacting KOMA through 07Z. Mostly clear skies expected through
morning with winds becoming northwesterly by around 10Z. Winds
continue to shift toward northerly then northeasterly by midday
Monday with a 15-20% chance for a few isolated showers/storms
Monday afternoon into the evening.

&&

.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...None.
IA...None.

&&

DISCUSSION...McCoy
AVIATION...McCoy
Hazardous weather outlook, May 31, 10:07 PM CST, 49 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE
1107 PM CDT Sun May 31 2026

IAZ043-055-056-069-079-080-090-091-NEZ011-012-015>018-030>034-
042>045-050>053-065>068-078-088>093-020415-
Monona-Harrison-Shelby-Pottawattamie-Mills-Montgomery-Fremont-Page-
Knox-Cedar-Thurston-Antelope-Pierce-Wayne-Boone-Madison-Stanton-
Cuming-Burt-Platte-Colfax-Dodge-Washington-Butler-Saunders-Douglas-
Sarpy-Seward-Lancaster-Cass-Otoe-Saline-Jefferson-Gage-Johnson-
Nemaha-Pawnee-Richardson-
1107 PM CDT Sun May 31 2026

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southwest Iowa, west central
Iowa, east central Nebraska, northeast Nebraska and southeast
Nebraska.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Strong to severe storms are possible through around 3 AM. Isolated
hail and strong wind gusts are the primary hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Additional strong to severe thunderstorms are possible across the
area Monday afternoon and evening. Isolated hail and strong wind
gusts are the primary hazards.

Daily chances for thunderstorms continue through next week.
Thunderstorms could potentially be strong to severe, though chances
are low (less than 15%) at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed.

In the hours before

Local storm report, May 31, 8:18 PM CST, 2 hours 38 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE
918 PM CDT Sun May 31 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0913 PM     Hail             6 SW Norfolk            41.98N 97.49W
05/31/2026  E0.25 Inch       Madison            NE   Public

&&
Local storm report, May 31, 8:27 PM CST, 2 hours 29 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE
927 PM CDT Sun May 31 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0919 PM     Hail             2 NW Elkhorn            41.30N 96.26W
05/31/2026  E0.25 Inch       Douglas            NE   Public

&&
Local storm report, May 31, 8:38 PM CST, 2 hours 18 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE
938 PM CDT Sun May 31 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0933 PM     Hail             1 NW Elkhorn            41.30N 96.25W
05/31/2026  E0.50 Inch       Douglas            NE   Public

            Report from mPING: Half-inch (0.50 in.).

&&

The radar

The Omaha radar (KOAX), 72 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 04:53 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

1 hail. Local standard time, as filed.

Hail, Harrison

When
May 31, 10:56 PM CST
Where
Harrison County, 0.86 mi NE of Woodbine
Measured
1 in hail
Reported by
Law Enforcement
Coordinates
41.740, -95.710

Law enforcement report of hail estimated up to 1.00 inch in diameter.

What these are

Hail
Hail three-quarters of an inch or larger, or smaller hail that caused damage, filed with the largest stone measured.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Iowa in 2026Every state in 2026This day in weather historyWarnings in Iowa, May 2026

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1339592.