Hail in Arkansas, June 1, 2026

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Memphis TN
701 PM CDT Mon Jun 1 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 700 PM CDT Mon Jun 1 2026

- A Slight Risk (level 2 out of 5) exists for severe storms this
  evening. The primary threat for today is damaging winds with
  secondary threats of large hail and heavy rainfall.

- A cold front will deliver drier weather and near-normal
  temperatures beginning Tuesday, with highs in the 80s through
  the workweek.

- Summer-like conditions will return next weekend with daily
  chances for pop up showers and thunderstorms.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
(This evening through next Sunday)
Issued at 110 PM CDT Mon Jun 1 2026

A large outflow boundary, remnant of a decaying MCS, is currently
surging south, oriented ESE-WSW across W Tennessee and E
Arkansas. While initial convection behind the boundary has been
largely subsevere (gusts up to 40 mph), strong potential exists
for rapid intensification south of the boundary. Mesoscale
analysis indicates extreme instability (3000-4000 J/kg MUCAPE)
and 30 knots of bulk shear across SW TN/NE MS, favorable for
upscale storm growth. Storms are already intensifying near the
TN/MS border. The main threat remains damaging wind gusts up to
70 mph and ping pong ball-sized hail under the current Severe
Thunderstorm Watch, which is valid until 7 PM CDT. Uncertainty
persists regarding the western extent of significant threats,
particularly west of I-55.

Hi-res guidance continues to struggle with today's storm
evolution, but the overall trend is for another cluster of
showers and thunderstorms to translate south down near the
Mississippi River this afternoon into early evening. This
solution seems very plausible with a distinct shortwave currently
located over SE Missouri. The degree to how severe the
thunderstorms may become remains a little unclear. The atmosphere
has been largely untouched over NE Arkansas and the MO Bootheel
today as the residual outflow boundary could serve as a focus for
renewed or intensifying convection late this afternoon. There is
still some uncertainty further to the south, where storms trekked
through earlier. If storms can arrive before sunset, there will
be at least a medium threat of strong to severe thunderstorms,
with damaging winds and large hail as the main threats.

Model guidance is consistent with a backdoor cold front pushing
through the entire Mid-South tomorrow. A few lingering showers
and thunderstorms are possible by late afternoon on Tuesday for
areas south of the I-40 corridor. The threat for strong to severe
thunderstorms is low as upper level shear will be weak.

Wednesday and Thursday will feature a nice break from the heat
and humidity for this time of year as broad surface high pressure
builds in from the Ohio Valley. Both days will feature
comfortable humidity levels, light winds, and temperatures in the
low to mid 80s. High pressure will slide east late Thursday and
return flow will set up across the region. The upper level
pattern will feature mainly zonal flow and rather progressive
flow on Friday. Chances for diurnally-driven showers and
thunderstorms will return this weekend as an upper low near the
Baja Peninsula lifts into the Southern Plains and relaxes upper
level heights across the Lower Mississippi Valley.

AC3

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 700 PM CDT Mon Jun 1 2026

Primary concern remains TSRA potential through 03Z. A large TSRA
complex near OLV has sent an outflow boundary over MEM. Thus far,
this has not resulted in new TSRA development. The lower
atmosphere will become less conducive to TSRA through midevening,
but there is upstream midlevel support arriving from the north
which warrants a two hour PROB30 TSRA for MEM.

JBR TAF retains an AMD NOT SKED due to comms outage. The JBR ASOS
GTA Radio is functional for local traffic.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 110 PM CDT Mon Jun 1 2026

An unsettled and wet pattern is anticipated to persist across the
Mid-South into early Tuesday morning, with sporadic showers and
thunderstorms maintaining high humidity and fuel moisture.

A drier pattern will emerge by the middle of this week as a cold
front moves through the region.  Minimum relative humidity values
will begin to fall below 50% starting Tuesday afternoon, but
sodden vegetation is expected to keep fire danger low. Daily pop
up showers and thunderstorms will return this weekend.

AC3

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
MO...None.
MS...None.
TN...None.
&&

PUBLIC FORECAST...AC3
AVIATION...PWB

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Memphis TN
615 PM CDT Mon Jun 1 2026

ARZ026-012345-
Craighead AR-
615 PM CDT Mon Jun 1 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT CENTRAL CRAIGHEAD COUNTY THROUGH
645 PM CDT...

At 614 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Jonesboro, moving southeast at 20 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Jonesboro, Bono, Lake City, Bay, Brookland, Hergett, Needham, Apt,
Herman, Gum Point, Farrville, Lester, Herndon, Goobertown, and
Craighead Forest Park.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 900 PM CDT for
eastern Arkansas.

&&

LAT...LON 3597 9074 3597 9064 3590 9041 3571 9059
      3571 9064 3586 9082
TIME...MOT...LOC 2314Z 303DEG 18KT 3588 9071

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

PWB

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Memphis TN
644 PM CDT Mon Jun 1 2026

MSZ001-002-TNZ088-089-020030-
Marshall MS-DeSoto MS-Fayette TN-Shelby TN-
644 PM CDT Mon Jun 1 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHEASTERN DESOTO...
NORTHWESTERN MARSHALL...SOUTHWESTERN FAYETTE AND SOUTHEASTERN SHELBY
COUNTIES THROUGH 730 PM CDT...

At 644 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Olive Branch, moving southeast at 10 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Southaven, Collierville, Germantown, Olive Branch, Hernando, Holly
Springs, Memphis, Byhalia, Mt Pleasant, Lewisburg, Red Banks,
Slayden, Marianna, Piperton, Rossville, Coal Oil Corner, Cayce,
Cockrum, Cedarview, and Watson.

This includes the following highways...
 Interstate 22 in Mississipppi between mile markers 1 and 28.
 Interstate 55 in Mississippi between mile markers 285 and 286.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 700 PM CDT for
northwestern Mississippi.

&&

LAT...LON 3510 8984 3500 8935 3467 8952 3476 8972
      3477 8972 3477 8975 3489 9001
TIME...MOT...LOC 2344Z 295DEG 10KT 3495 8976

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

JAB

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Memphis TN
706 PM CDT Mon Jun 1 2026

ARZ026-027-020045-
Poinsett AR-Craighead AR-
706 PM CDT Mon Jun 1 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT WESTERN CRAIGHEAD AND
NORTHWESTERN POINSETT COUNTIES THROUGH 745 PM CDT...

At 706 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Egypt, or 10 miles west of Bono, moving southeast at 20 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Jonesboro, Bono, Weiner, Cash, Egypt, Greenfield, Apt, Herman, Valley
View, Dryden, Dorothy, Risher, Winesburg, Gilkerson, Otwell, Cary,
Bayou De View State Wildlife Management Area, and Craighead Forest
Park.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 900 PM CDT for
eastern Arkansas.

&&

LAT...LON 3588 9103 3588 9087 3592 9087 3593 9086
      3580 9058 3554 9083 3571 9104
TIME...MOT...LOC 0006Z 306DEG 19KT 3589 9098

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

JAB

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Memphis TN
707 PM CDT Mon Jun 1 2026

MSZ022-020030-
Calhoun MS-
707 PM CDT Mon Jun 1 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHERN CALHOUN COUNTY THROUGH
730 PM CDT...

At 707 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Banner, or 14 miles southeast of Water Valley, moving south at 10
mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Bruce, Pittsboro, Shepherd, Skuna, Bounds, Retreat, and Ellard.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 900 PM CDT for
northeastern Mississippi.

&&

LAT...LON 3406 8950 3411 8934 3392 8920 3385 8947
TIME...MOT...LOC 0007Z 337DEG 9KT 3403 8942

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

PWB

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Memphis TN
712 PM CDT Mon Jun 1 2026

MSZ002-003-020100-
Marshall MS-Benton MS-
712 PM CDT Mon Jun 1 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHEASTERN MARSHALL AND
NORTHERN BENTON COUNTIES THROUGH 800 PM CDT...

At 712 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Lamar, or 9 miles northeast of Holly Springs, moving southeast at 15
mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Lamar, Snow Lake Shores, Canaan, Slayden, Ashland, Atway,
Hudsonville, and Early Grove.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 900 PM CDT for
northwestern Mississippi.

&&

LAT...LON 3471 8926 3487 8952 3499 8951 3500 8930
      3492 8908
TIME...MOT...LOC 0012Z 299DEG 13KT 3491 8937

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

JAB

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Memphis TN
716 PM CDT Mon Jun 1 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0644 PM     Hail             1 N Olive Branch        34.96N 89.83W
06/01/2026  E1.50 Inch       DeSoto             MS   Public

            Reports of nickel to ping pong ball size
            hail in Olive Branch.

&&

TB