Lack of rainfall and near record heat for several months led to an expansion of Severe (D2) Drought into the Coastal Plains of from the Coastal Bend into Kenedy and Brooks County.
Every event with a place to put it; 2 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS BRO wrote it up.
Lack of rainfall and near record heat for several months led to an expansion of Severe (D2) Drought into the Coastal Plains of from the Coastal Bend into Kenedy and Brooks County.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Brownsville, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Nov 3, 10:00 PM CST, 2 hours earlier. Its key messages:
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Brownsville TX 1000 PM CST Mon Nov 3 2025 ...New KEY MESSAGES, DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 951 PM CST Mon Nov 3 2025 * Rain-free and tranquil weather conditions are expected to persist through next week. * Upper 80s to mid 90s return mid week through next weekend before temperatures cool back down to seasonable levels early next week following another cool fropa. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 951 PM CST Mon Nov 3 2025 A full cool and dry air advection regime remains in place across Deep South Texas in the wake of a cool fropa that triggered a few long-tracked supercells and additional strong to severe thunderstorms a couple of nights ago. Quiescent weather conditions are expected to continue through next Tuesday as a 1015-1025 mb sfc high pressure system remains in place over the region. Another day of seasonable temperatures are expected to take place on Tuesday before readings ramp up some as the week progresses, amid a strengthening 591-594 dam mid-level ridge. By next Sunday or Monday, another cool front, associated with an amplified and anomalously strong eastern CONUS trough, is expected to push through Deep South Texas, which will result in temperatures by early next week returning back to seasonable levels. Tonight, the combination of strong radiational cooling amid clear skies and continued cool air advection will result in overnight low temperatures falling into the 40s and 50s for much of the region (lower 60s near the coast). High temperatures on Tuesday are expected to be in the low to mid 80s across much of the region with pockets of upper 80s mainly west of IH-69C. Wednesday through next Sunday, high temperatures are expected to run between the upper 80s to lower 90s for much of the area with pockets of mid 90s west of IH-69C. Meanwhile, overnight lows are expected to run between the 50s and 60s. Monday and Tuesday of next week, a the passage of a cool front will result in highs in the lower to mid 80s across Deep South Texas. Overall, temperatures anomalies are expected to run warmer than normal through the balance of the forecast period. && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 951 PM CST Mon Nov 3 2025 Through 06z Wednesday....VFR conditions are expected to prevail through the 00z TAF cycle. East-northeast winds 5-12 kts will persist during the daytime through the 06z TAF period. At night, winds will be light and variable to calm. && .MARINE... Issued at 951 PM CST Mon Nov 3 2025 Favorable marine conditions are expected to prevail through the forecast period or through next Sunday with light to moderate winds and low to moderate seas. Sunday evening/night into Tuesday, marine conditions could become less favorable following the passage of a cool front. An enhanced pressure gradient from the cool front will result in moderate winds and seas, and Small Craft Exercise Caution (SCEC) conditions are possible. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... BROWNSVILLE 63 83 64 86 / 0 0 0 0 HARLINGEN 57 85 58 87 / 0 0 0 0 MCALLEN 60 87 62 89 / 0 0 0 0 RIO GRANDE CITY 55 87 58 90 / 0 0 0 0 SOUTH PADRE ISLAND 71 79 72 81 / 0 0 0 0 BAYVIEW/PORT ISABEL 64 81 64 84 / 0 0 0 0 && .BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. GM...None. && SHORT TERM...23-Evbuoma LONG TERM....23-Evbuoma AVIATION...23-Evbuoma
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
2 drought. Local standard time, as filed.
The combination of the lack of rainfall and near-record heat from late summer into mid-autumn led to the onset of Severe (D2) level drought in northeast Brooks County, beginning on November 4, 2025.
The combination of the lack of rainfall and near-record heat from late summer into mid-autumn led to the onset of Severe (D2) level drought in northwest Kenedy County, beginning on November 4, 2025.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2025Every state in 2025This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, November 2025
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1302349, 1302350.