Severe (D2) Drought conditions spread from a corner of Brooks and Kenedy across Jim Hogg, most of Brooks and Starr, and nearly all of Zapata and northwest Kenedy on November 11, 2025 due to a prolonged period of dryness and near-record heat across the region. Severe Drought would increase a bit in coverage across Zapata and Kenedy on the 18th, and Extreme (D3) would be introduced for the…
Every event with a place to put it; 5 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS BRO wrote it up.
Severe (D2) Drought conditions spread from a corner of Brooks and Kenedy across Jim Hogg, most of Brooks and Starr, and nearly all of Zapata and northwest Kenedy on November 11, 2025 due to a prolonged period of dryness and near-record heat across the region. Severe Drought would increase a bit in coverage across Zapata and Kenedy on the 18th, and Extreme (D3) would be introduced for the northern tier of areas then as well.
Agricultural impacts (mainly cattle herd culling) were unknown in these areas as of the end of November.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Brownsville, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Nov 10, 10:37 PM CST, 1 hour 23 minutes earlier. Its key messages:
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Brownsville TX 1037 PM CST Mon Nov 10 2025 ...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1036 PM CST Mon Nov 10 2025 -Low temperatures tonight will fall into the upper 30s across portions of the ranchlands with mid to upper 40s in the RGV. -Breezy, warm, and dry conditions are expected Wednesday into Sunday, with well above normal temperatures. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1036 PM CST Mon Nov 10 2025 A deep 500mb trough across the Great Lakes and eastern CONUS gradually swings into New England into the weekend, allowing high pressure to build across Deep South Texas. Low pressure drops down the Pacific coast and rolls northeast into the Southern Plains by Sunday night. At the surface, southerly winds return Tuesday, and generally persist into Sunday as the pressure gradient strengthens into the weekend. This will gradually build moisture, calming fire weather concerns, but not bumping rain chances above 10 percent. The next cold front arrives Sunday, also likely dry, with very limited impacts or change into early next week. Expect a chilly night tonight, below normal temps Tuesday into early Wednesday, then well above normal highs and lows return to Deep South Texas through Sunday afternoon. Forecast highs for BRO and MFE may approach record highs Saturday and Sunday. Temperatures behind the next front drop from well above normal to just above normal into early next week. While dry air remains in place across the brush country, winds remain a little light for a Fire Danger Statement at this time on Tuesday. Will continue to monitor model trends into Tuesday morning. Life-threatening rip currents briefly return Wednesday and again over the weekend. && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1036 PM CST Mon Nov 10 2025 VFR conditions are expected to prevail through the TAF period with generally light to moderate southeasterly winds. && .MARINE... Issued at 1036 PM CST Mon Nov 10 2025 Southeasterly winds return Tuesday with the pressure gradient strengthening into the weekend, increasing southerly winds and briefly bringing back SCEC to borderline SCA conditions Wednesday into Friday. Small Craft Advisories may be needed Friday night into late Sunday with the next frontal passage on Sunday. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... BROWNSVILLE 48 78 63 85 / 0 0 0 0 HARLINGEN 45 79 57 86 / 0 0 0 0 MCALLEN 45 81 60 88 / 0 0 0 0 RIO GRANDE CITY 41 81 55 89 / 0 0 0 0 SOUTH PADRE ISLAND 61 76 70 81 / 0 0 0 0 BAYVIEW/PORT ISABEL 51 77 62 84 / 0 0 0 0 && .BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. GM...None. && SHORT TERM...56-Hallman LONG TERM....56-Hallman AVIATION...56-Hallman
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
5 drought. Local standard time, as filed.
Due to prolonged dryness, Severe (D2) Drought conditions expanded across much of Brooks County that included Falfurrias, to cover all but the southeast corner, from November 11 through the 17th.
Due to prolonged dryness, Severe (D2) Drought conditions developed across all of Jim Hogg County that included Hebbronville. Drought conditions persisted through the remainder of the month for all but the northeast corner, where Extreme (D3) conditions would develop on the 18th.
Due to prolonged dryness and near-record late summer through mid-autumn heat, Severe (D2) Drought conditions developed across much of Zapata County that initially included the the city of Zapata, but would expand to cover the entire county, including San Ygnacio on the 18th and continue through month's end.
Due to prolonged dryness and near-record heat from late summer through mid autumn, Severe (D2) Drought conditions developed across much of Starr County on November 11th, and would prevail through month's end. Only the eastern one-fifth of the county remained at Moderate (D1) conditions.
Due to prolonged dryness and near-record late summer through mid autumn heat, Severe (D2) Drought conditions spread across inland northwestern Kenedy County on November 11th, and prevailed until month's end.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2025Every state in 2025This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, November 2025
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1300473, 1300474, 1300475, 1300476, 1300477.