South Texas: Persistent drought dominated the district, with extremely limited to no rainfall and little relief expected in the extended forecast. Temperatures ranged widely from cool mornings in the 40s to daytime highs in the 90s while high winds and low humidity further depleted soil moisture.
Every event with a place to put it; 3 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS CRP wrote it up.
South Texas: Persistent drought dominated the district, with extremely limited to no rainfall and little relief expected in the extended forecast. Temperatures ranged widely from cool mornings in the 40s to daytime highs in the 90s while high winds and low humidity further depleted soil moisture. Topsoil and subsoil conditions remained very poor, driving widespread moisture stress across crops and rangeland. Dry conditions allowed harvest activities to continue, including peanuts, citrus, leafy greens, cabbage, and bell peppers, while strawberry planting wrapped up and fall corn and cool-season vegetables progressed with varying success. However, many crops required irrigation where water was available, and some fields showed drought stress. Planting of winter small grains occurred mainly under irrigation, while some producers delayed or idled fieldwork due to lack of moisture. Rangeland and pasture conditions continued to decline, with limited forage availability and some overgrazing damage. Hay supplies were tight and in high demand, prompting increased supplementation, early weaning of calves, herd reductions, and in some cases hauling water. Wildlife water sources became increasingly limited, though most species remained in fair condition. Fire danger remained elevated, with burn bans in effect in some areas.
Coastal Bend: Extreme drought and prolonged heat persisted across the district, with little to no rainfall since early August. Soil moisture remained critically low, significantly limiting winter forage establishment and reducing planted acreage of wheat, oats, and ryegrass. While dry weather supported timely fieldwork, it further stressed pastures and rangeland. Cotton yields were generally good to excellent, and pecan harvest continued with mixed results depending on crop quality. Pasture conditions deteriorated steadily, offering minimal forage, and hay inventories declined rapidly. Many producers began feeding hay and supplemental feed earlier than normal, while some marketed cattle early or hauled water due to depleted stock ponds. Late-week scattered showers brought up to 2 inches of rain in isolated areas, briefly benefiting winter pastures, but overall drought conditions persisted. Winter pasture planting remained down 40 50%, and in some locations did not occur at all. Rangeland conditions stayed poor, forage supplies remained limited, and producers continued to conserve hay amid concerns about winter feed availability.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Corpus Christi, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Nov 10, 5:14 PM CST, 6 hours 46 minutes earlier. Its key messages:
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
514 PM CST Mon Nov 10 2025
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 513 PM CST Mon Nov 10 2025
- Elevated to critical fire weather conditions Tuesday, Red Flag
Warning in effect for Brush Country. Elevated fire weather
conditions continue into Wednesday.
- Medium to high (40-70%) chance for morning low temperatures in
the 30s over northern tier counties. Near 0% chance for any
freezing temperatures.
- Pacific cold front early next week, bringing low rain chances
over the Victoria Crossroads this weekend.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1255 PM CST Mon Nov 10 2025
Elevated to critical fire weather concerns remains the primary
concern over South Texas this afternoon as relative humidity has
dropped to 15-30% across the entire area. Fortunately, the winds
aren't as strong limiting the fire weather threat. Although the
winds shift southerly tomorrow (Tuesday), minimum relative
humidity will still fall below 30% over the western Brush Country
and winds gusting over 20 mph will promote critical fire weather
conditions. Therefore, a Red Flag Warning has been issued for
McMullen, Duval, La Salle, and Webb Counties from 10 AM to 6 PM
Tuesday. Elevated fire weather conditions over the Brush Country
will likely develop Wednesday afternoon before enough moisture
builds into the region to negate fire weather concerns through the
upcoming weekend.
Models have trended slightly warmer for Tuesday morning low
temperatures. Chances for any freezing temperatures have dropped
to near 0 and the medium to high (40-70%) chance for lows in the
30s are very much limited to the northern counties stretching from
La Salle to Victoria. Clear skies, calm winds (much calmer than
this morning), and dry air will allow for efficient radiational
cooling. Decided to mix in NBM and CONSShort for temperatures
through Tuesday.
Warming trend will dominate Wednesday through Saturday with highs
well into the 80s to around 90 west and lows in the mid to upper
60s. A Pacific cold front is on track to pass through South Texas
west to each early next week, either Sunday or Monday. There is a
low (20-40%) chance of showers and thunderstorms this weekend,
mainly over the Victoria Crossroads. Not as much cold air
advection given the Pacific source but drier air will allow for
cooler lows in the 50s and highs limited to the low-mid 80s given
the offshore flow.
&&
.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 513 PM CST Mon Nov 10 2025
VFR conditions will prevail through the period with light and
variable winds through early tomorrow morning. Winds are expected
to increase heading into the afternoon around 20-25 knots across
all sites.
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 1255 PM CST Mon Nov 10 2025
Winds have diminished below 20 knots for the bays and therefore
the Small Craft Advisory has been cancelled. The Small Craft
Advisory remains in effect for the open waters for northerly winds
around 20 knots and seas over 6 feet. Conditions are expected to
improve by this evening, with winds below 20 knots and seas
subsiding below 6 feet. Gentle to moderate (BF 3-4) onshore flow
returns Tuesday, strengthening to a south to southeasterly fresh
to strong breeze (BF 5-6) Tuesday night through Wednesday night.
Moderate to fresh breeze will follow to close out the work week.
South to southeasterly flow will strengthen to a strong breeze
again this weekend, in advance of an Pacific cold front that will
shift winds northwesterly in the wake.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 1255 PM CST Mon Nov 10 2025
Elevated to critical fire weather conditions will continue each
afternoon through Wednesday, with worst conditions over the Brush
Country. Winds strengthen slightly Tuesday and with minimum relative
humidity falling below 30%, a Red Flag Warning has been issued for
McMullen, La Salle, Webb, and Duval counties for Tuesday from 10 AM
to 6 PM CST. Elsewhere towards the inland coastal county portions, a
Fire Danger Statement has been issued. Another elevated fire weather
day is expected over the Brush Country on Wednesday. Enough moisture
will return by the latter half of the week to negate fire weather
concerns.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Corpus Christi 45 75 59 82 / 0 0 0 0
Victoria 37 74 55 83 / 0 0 0 0
Laredo 43 76 56 86 / 0 0 0 0
Alice 40 77 54 87 / 0 0 0 0
Rockport 53 73 66 81 / 0 0 0 0
Cotulla 38 76 52 86 / 0 0 0 0
Kingsville 41 76 56 85 / 0 0 0 0
Navy Corpus 56 73 68 79 / 0 0 0 0
&&
.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...Red Flag Warning from 10 AM to 6 PM CST Tuesday for TXZ229-230-
239-240.
GM...Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM CST this evening for GMZ250-255-
270-275.
&&
DISCUSSION...EMF/94
AVIATION...NP/92The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
3 drought. Local standard time, as filed.
Introduction of D2.
Introduction of D2.
Introduction of D2.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2025Every state in 2025This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, November 2025
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1297554, 1297555, 1297556.