The setup today was similar to that of July 21st and 22nd. Scattered thunderstorms developed in a weakly forced environment and moved off the higher terrain to the northeast across Southeast New Mexico and the Permian Basin.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS MAF wrote it up.
The setup today was similar to that of July 21st and 22nd. Scattered thunderstorms developed in a weakly forced environment and moved off the higher terrain to the northeast across Southeast New Mexico and the Permian Basin. Dry low-levels allowed for a severe wind gust in the Davis Mountains.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Midland/Odessa, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 24, 1:45 PM CST, 1 hour 26 minutes earlier. Its key messages:
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX 245 PM CDT Thu Jul 24 2025 ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1238 PM CDT Thu Jul 24 2025 - There is a chance of thunderstorms this afternoon and evening, mainly in the vicinity of the Davis Mountains. Any storms that do develop will be accompanied by frequent lightning, small hail, brief, gusty winds, and locally heavy rainfall. - Temperatures will increase through Saturday, then decrease a few degrees Sunday through Thursday. Rain chances will remain low (10-30%) and stay confined mainly to the Davis Mountains and higher terrain to the north and west. && .SHORT TERM... (This afternoon through Friday night) Issued at 1238 PM CDT Thu Jul 24 2025 Forecast remains on track with isolated to scattered storms expected to develop over the next couple of hours, particularly over the Davis Mountains northward into southeast New Mexico. This activity will push to the east and northeast into this evening before decaying. Main threat will continue to be localized flash flooding, but these storms will also contain gusty winds and lightning. Have kept the broad 10% PoPs inherited from the previous forecast to denote some uncertainty in just how far east some of this activity may get. Temperatures settle into the 70s for most with 60s in the higher terrain. Into Friday, the ridge to the east continues to hold on and continue to keep rain chances overall low (10-30%) for our area with the Davis Mountains having the higher end of those chances. Highs top out in the upper 90s to near 100F for most with 105F+ possible in Big Bend. Near to above normal temperatures continue for Friday night. -Stickney && .LONG TERM... (Saturday through Wednesday) Issued at 1238 PM CDT Thu Jul 24 2025 Saturday, the upper ridge is forecast to be centered over Georgia/South Carolina, but will nevertheless extend west through West Texas and Southeast New Mexico and beyond Baja del Sur into the Pacific. To the south, an inverted trough will be moving west through south Texas into Mexico. Saturday looks to be the warmest day of the extended, with highs topping out ~ 3-5 F above normal. Even so, these warm temperatures will not come anywhere close to heat product criteria. Sunday, the aforementioned inverted trough muscles into the lower Trans Pecos, reducing thicknesses and bringing a respite from the warm weather, and perhaps the coolest day of the extended as highs come in right around climatology. Temperatures will slowly increase Monday through Wednesday, but the lingering effects of the trough will still be evident, as highs Thursday will round out the extended only ~ 2-4 F above normal. Unfortunately during the extended, a recurring LLJ every night will keep mixing in play, and overnight lows an uncomfortable 4-5 F above normal on average. Despite the inverted trough, rain chances will remain tepid, confined mostly to the Davis Mountains and, to a lesser extent, the higher terrain to the north and west. Best chances look to be Monday afternoon as the inverted trough pushes through the Presidio Valley, but even then chances look marginal at best. In addition, PWATs are forecast to drop to around 0.80" by midweek, or just under the 10th percentile. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1234 PM CDT Thu Jul 24 2025 VFR continues at all terminals. TEMPOs included for all but MAF where highest confidence of at least TS possible this afternoon/evening. Radar trends will guide necessity for amendments. Winds remain light(~10kt or less) outside of any convection and shift southeasterly overnight. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Big Spring 74 100 73 98 / 10 10 0 0 Carlsbad 71 97 71 99 / 10 10 0 0 Dryden 74 101 73 97 / 10 10 0 0 Fort Stockton 74 99 73 97 / 20 10 0 0 Guadalupe Pass 68 90 70 91 / 10 10 0 0 Hobbs 68 96 70 96 / 10 10 0 0 Marfa 64 89 63 91 / 10 30 0 10 Midland Intl Airport 75 99 73 97 / 10 10 0 0 Odessa 74 98 73 96 / 10 10 0 0 Wink 72 99 72 99 / 10 10 0 0 && .MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. NM...None. && SHORT TERM...93 LONG TERM.... AVIATION...93
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
352 PM CDT Thu Jul 24 2025
TXZ045-050-242130-
Andrews TX-Gaines TX-
352 PM CDT Thu Jul 24 2025
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHEASTERN ANDREWS AND
SOUTHEASTERN GAINES COUNTIES THROUGH 430 PM CDT...
At 352 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 10
miles north of Andrews, moving north at 10 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and nickel size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
Florey.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.
&&
LAT...LON 3238 10233 3234 10272 3264 10272 3270 10234
TIME...MOT...LOC 2052Z 172DEG 7KT 3248 10254
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH
94Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
300 PM MDT Thu Jul 24 2025
NMZ034-242130-
Southern Lea County NM-
300 PM MDT Thu Jul 24 2025
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTH CENTRAL LEA COUNTY THROUGH
330 PM MDT...
At 300 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 12
miles southwest of Eunice Airport, or 15 miles southwest of Eunice,
moving north at 5 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and nickel size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
Eunice Airport.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.
&&
LAT...LON 3217 10320 3211 10349 3242 10360 3247 10324
TIME...MOT...LOC 2100Z 167DEG 5KT 3231 10337
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH
94The Midland/Odessa radar (KMAF), 206 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 21:11 UTC.
1 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
The West Texas Mesonet Station 13 W Toyavale measured a 64 mph wind gust.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2025Every state in 2025This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, July 2025
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1276990.