Texas, 2025

Drought in Texas, January 1 to 31, 2025

January 1 to 31, 2025 · NWS CRP · 7 events in 7 counties and zones

A long stretch of little to no rainfall led to continued severe drought over portions of South Texas through the month of January. This mainly impacted western San Patricio, southeastern and northern Live Oak, Bee, western Goliad, southwestern Refugio, northern McMullen, and northern La Salle counties.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 7 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
7

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS CRP wrote it up.

A long stretch of little to no rainfall led to continued severe drought over portions of South Texas through the month of January. This mainly impacted western San Patricio, southeastern and northern Live Oak, Bee, western Goliad, southwestern Refugio, northern McMullen, and northern La Salle counties.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Corpus Christi, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Dec 31, 10:37 PM CST, 1 hour 23 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 31, 10:37 PM CST, 1 hour 23 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
1037 PM CST Tue Dec 31 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Wednesday night)
Issued at 254 PM CST Tue Dec 31 2024

Key Messages:

- Elevated fire weather conditions this afternoon/evening.

- Low to medium rain chances inland Wednesday afternoon/night.

Elevated fire weather conditions have developed this afternoon in
the wake of a passing cold front. Winds have increased to around
15-20 knots, while Relative Humidity values have dropped to 15-30%
across portions of South Texas, including the Coastal Plains and
Victoria Crossroads. Therefore, the Fire Danger Statement has been
expanded to include all areas in the CWA to the exception of the
barrier islands. Winds will decrease through the afternoon, but
low RH values will continue into the evening hours. The RFD will
remain in effect through 8 PM tonight.

Surface high pressure will continue to settle over the region
tonight with a generally moderate northeasterly flow and cooler
conditions expected. No fog is anticipated for tonight. However,
moisture will begin to return to the area by Wednesday morning as
the 850 mb flow veers to the south while a coastal trough develops
near Brownsville. Moisture will further increase Wednesday into
Wednesday night as the coastal trough transitions over the area
and overrunning occurs. This will result in low to medium (20-40%)
rain chances over the southern half of the CWA by Wednesday
night, while chances will be around 30-60% over the Gulf waters
where the higher moisture will reside. Rainfall accumulations
though will remain minimal, and generally less than a tenth of an
inch inland.

Lows tonight will range from the lower 40s across the northern
counties to the upper 50s along the coast. Highs on Wednesday will
struggle to get out of the 60s, but lows Wednesday night will be
warmer and generally in the 50s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday through next Monday)
Issued at 254 PM CST Tue Dec 31 2024

Key Message:

- Cold front Friday, then an even stronger cold front Sunday night
  into Monday.

A weak surface low just offshore the Texas Coast Thursday will help
focus the best chance for precipitation over the offshore waters.
High temperatures will be near normal Thursday (generally around 70
degrees) before another cold front is expected to move through South
Texas Friday. A dry air mass with this front will mean no chances
for precipitation with temperatures dropping just a couple degrees
for Friday afternoon.

A return of onshore flow over the weekend will help temperatures
warm back up into the mid 70s Saturday and the low to mid 80s
Sunday.

A deep closed mid-level low will swing across the Southern Great
Plains to the Ohio Valley early next week. A reflecting surface low
over North Texas to Oklahoma will likely push another strong cold
front across South Texas sometime Sunday night into Monday. Models
are in good agreement with the front but timing still varies.
Regardless, this strong cold front will likely lead to below normal
temperatures, with Monday night and Tuesday night lows projected in
the low to mid 30s over the northern Coastal Plains.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1029 PM CST Tue Dec 31 2024

VFR conditions persist late this evening and should continue
through much of the night. Toward morning we'll be watching low
clouds push northward into the region and expect MVFR CIGS to
develop for CRP and ALI. Have CIGS into Laredo by mid-day, then
into COT late in the evening. VCT will likely be after the end of
this TAF period before CIGS set in. Winds will be weak to
moderate throughout the period.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 254 PM CST Tue Dec 31 2024

A moderate northeast flow tonight will become moderate to strong
on Wednesday with Small Craft Advisory conditions possible,
mainly across the Gulf waters. Moisture will move up from the
south to produce a low to medium chance (20-35%) for showers
Wednesday afternoon. A developing surface low across the
southwestern Gulf will then bring rain chances up to around 30 to
60 percent on Wednesday night. Weak to moderate flow is expected
Thursday in response to the approaching low. Moderate
northeasterly winds will follow Thursday night and persist through
Friday night. Moderate to strong south to southeasterly flow
returns this weekend, bringing periods of Small Craft Advisory
conditions. Another cold front is expected early next week,
bringing moderate to strong north to northeasterly flow in its
wake. There is a low to medium chance, 20 to 50 percent, of
showers and thunderstorms Thursday through Thursday night,
primarily over the offshore waters.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Corpus Christi    52  63  55  73 /   0   0  20  10
Victoria          43  65  50  69 /   0   0  10  10
Laredo            49  64  55  71 /   0  10  20   0
Alice             47  63  52  72 /   0  10  30  10
Rockport          52  65  57  71 /   0   0  20  10
Cotulla           45  66  53  70 /   0   0  10   0
Kingsville        52  62  55  73 /   0  10  40  10
Navy Corpus       58  65  60  70 /   0  10  30  10

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&

SHORT TERM...ANM/88
LONG TERM....CLM/93
AVIATION...PH/83

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

7 drought. Local standard time, as filed.

Drought, La Salle

When
January 1, 12:00 AM CST to January 31, 11:59 PM CST
Where
La Salle forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
28.345, -99.100 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

A long stretch of little to no rainfall led to severe drought over portions of northern La Salle County.

Drought, McMullen

When
January 1, 12:00 AM CST to January 31, 11:59 PM CST
Where
McMullen forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
28.353, -98.568 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

A long stretch of little to no rainfall led to severe drought over portions of northern McMullen County.

Drought, Live Oak

When
January 1, 12:00 AM CST to January 31, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Live Oak forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
28.351, -98.125 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

A long stretch of little to no rainfall led to severe drought over portions of northern and southeastern Live Oak County.

Drought, Bee

When
January 1, 12:00 AM CST to January 31, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Bee forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
28.417, -97.741 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

A long stretch of little to no rainfall led to severe drought over much of Bee County.

Drought, Inland San Patricio County

When
January 1, 12:00 AM CST to January 31, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Inland San Patricio County forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
28.009, -97.518 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

A long stretch of little to no rainfall led to severe drought over portions of western San Patricio County.

Drought, Inland Refugio County

When
January 1, 12:00 AM CST to January 14, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Inland Refugio County forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
28.322, -97.159 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

A long stretch of little to no rainfall led to severe drought over portions of southwestern Refugio County. Precipitation improved conditions to moderate drought and abnormally dry across most of the area by the middle of the month.

Drought, Goliad

When
January 1, 12:00 AM CST to January 14, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Goliad forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
28.657, -97.426 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

A long stretch of little to no rainfall led to severe drought over portions of western Goliad County. Precipitation improved conditions to moderate drought and abnormally dry across most of the area by the middle of the month.

What these are

Drought
A drought reaching severe (D2) or worse on the US Drought Monitor, or with notable impacts.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Texas in 2025Every state in 2025This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, January 2025

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1235722, 1235723, 1235724, 1235725, 1235726, 1235727, 1235728.