New Mexico, 2025

Drought in New Mexico, January 1 to 31, 2025

January 1 to 31, 2025 · NWS ABQ · 9 events in 9 counties and zones

January 2025 was a colder than average month with some beneficial snow across central and southern NM from January 8th and 9th, north central NM during the middle of the month and across most of northern NM on January 29th and 30th. Despite this, snowpack remained well below the 30 year normal across the mountain ranges with some SNOTEL sites showing historically low snow water equivalent values.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 9 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
9

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS ABQ wrote it up.

January 2025 was a colder than average month with some beneficial snow across central and southern NM from January 8th and 9th, north central NM during the middle of the month and across most of northern NM on January 29th and 30th. Despite this, snowpack remained well below the 30 year normal across the mountain ranges with some SNOTEL sites showing historically low snow water equivalent values. As a result, severe drought conditions across far southeastern areas slightly expanded with areas of severe drought added to northern areas of the northwest plateau, far northwest highlands, Tusa Mountains, much of the southwest mountains, and all of the San Francisco River Valley. An area of extreme drought was added to the southern portion of the San Francisco River Valley, including Glenwood.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Albuquerque, NM wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Dec 31, 10:24 PM MST, 1 hour 36 minutes earlier. Its key messages:

  • Updated at 1018 PM MST Tue Dec 31 2024
  • An area of freezing fog will develop along the Caprock around Clovis and Portales before sunrise on New Year's Day. The fog may be dense at times with visibility less than 1/4 mile. Slick travel may develop on bridges, overpasses, and near culverts.
  • Lighter winds and cooler temperatures will close out 2024 and ring in 2025, followed by significant warming to close out the work week with high temperatures approaching daily records across western NM Friday and possibly repeating on Saturday.
  • A disturbance crossing this weekend will bring much colder temperatures, stronger winds, and light snow to parts of northern NM.
Area forecast discussion, Dec 31, 10:24 PM MST, 1 hour 36 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
1024 PM MST Tue Dec 31 2024

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1018 PM MST Tue Dec 31 2024

 - An area of freezing fog will develop along the Caprock around
   Clovis and Portales before sunrise on New Year's Day. The fog
   may be dense at times with visibility less than 1/4 mile. Slick
   travel may develop on bridges, overpasses, and near culverts.

 - Lighter winds and cooler temperatures will close out 2024 and
   ring in 2025, followed by significant warming to close out the
   work week with high temperatures approaching daily records
   across western NM Friday and possibly repeating on Saturday.

 - A disturbance crossing this weekend will bring much colder
   temperatures, stronger winds, and light snow to parts of
   northern NM.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 810 PM MST Tue Dec 31 2024

After collaboration with LUB, sending an evening update to add
mention of fog/freezing fog tomorrow morning, mainly for Curry and
Roosevelt counties. Short- term guidance has become rather
insistent on this developing in relatively moist upslope flow
toward sunrise. Some uncertainty regarding fog formation with
regard to cloud cover (stratus vs. mist/fog) and fact that
upstream dewpoints are only in the upper teens to lower 20s F...so
confidence only medium. Not expecting dense fog at this point,
but will be monitoring trends overnight. Updated products sent.

&&

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 1252 PM MST Tue Dec 31 2024

Continued dry conditions are forecast through the remainder of the
week, with cooler temperatures through mid week followed by rapid
warming going into Friday. High temperatures will approach daily
records across western NM on Friday and may challenge again on
Saturday. A disturbance will move east across the region over the
weekend, bringing colder temperatures, stronger winds and some
light snow to parts of northern NM. Unsettled weather conditions
will follow early next week with continued colder temperatures.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Wednesday night)
Issued at 1252 PM MST Tue Dec 31 2024

Happy New Year! A mostly quiet start to the new year is expected.
After a cooler day today, temperatures will fall a little further
than last night. When the ball drops at midnight, most areas will be
in the teens and 20s, though areas from Socorro to Roswell southward
will still be in the 30s. Of course, these temps will continue to
slide through sunrise. Otherwise, a dry start to the new year.
Toward sunrise, relatively moist, low level easterly flow will allow
low clouds to develop across much of northeast NM as well as along
the Texas and Oklahoma borders. These low clouds will slowly erode
through the early afternoon hours on Wednesday, but will keep
temperatures on the cool side in these areas. In fact, much of
eastern NM will be a few to as much as 9 degrees below normal
Wednesday afternoon. Near to above normal temperatures are expected
elsewhere. Weak perturbations in northwest flow will continue to
cross NM through Wednesday night and as a result, batches of high
cirrus will occasionally cross the state as well. Wednesday night
should be a little warmer than tonight areawide as westerly winds
increase. In fact, at H7, wind speeds of 50kt are expected along and
just east of the Central Mountain Chain. As such, mountain tops will
remain breezy to windy overnight. At this time, it seems like any
erratic gusts from mountain wave activity will be favored along the
immediate east slopes of the Sangre de Cristo Mountains.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday through Monday)
Issued at 1252 PM MST Tue Dec 31 2024

Rising pressure heights associated with an amplifying upper level
ridge will be the setup Thu/Fri, bringing warming and well above
normal temperatures by Fri with some highs near daily records
across western NM. Unusually warm conditions persist into Saturday
ahead of an upper level trough/low, modeled to impact CO/NM over
the weekend. The 12Z medium range model solutions are showing
some spread with regard to the exact timing of the trough/low
passage, with the GFS lagging the others. Breezy to windy
conditions and colder temperatures are a lock for late Saturday
through Sunday, it's the snow across northern NM that is of lower
forecast confidence at this time. Highest relative confidence for
light snow accumulations Saturday night into Sunday will be over
the northern mountains and near Raton Pass, where minor impacts to
travel are possible. A pattern change is being advertised
thereafter as a high amplitude ridge develops from the Pacific NW
into Canada, allowing a cold airmass to slide down the plains and
into eastern NM while an upper low closes off somewhere between
the Great Basin and Desert SW. The details on the timing and
strength of these features are yet to be determined as there is
plenty of model spread at the day 7 projection to pump the brakes
on forecast confidence. Higher forecast confidence on below normal
temperatures early to mid next week given the overall synoptic
weather pattern allowing for further southwest penetration of this
cold airmass.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1018 PM MST Tue Dec 31 2024

An area of IFR is likely to develop around Clovis and Portales
from freezing fog late tonight and New Year's morning. Vsbys may
fall below 1/4 mile at times. A larger area of IFR/low MVFR cigs
are also expected to develop over much of northeast and east-
central NM before sunrise. Thick mid level clouds also moving in
from the west may delay clearing until after noontime for parts
of eastern NM. Winds will be light in most areas with VFR across
the rest of central and western NM thru New Year's Day.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 1252 PM MST Tue Dec 31 2024

Weak perturbations in northwest flow aloft will bring occasional
bouts of high clouds through early Thursday. Temperatures will
remain on the cooler side Wednesday, especially across eastern NM
where low clouds will be slow to erode. A broad upper level ridge
will develop over the Desert Southwest Thursday and persist through
Friday allowing temperatures to warm back up above early January
normals. Record to near record heat will be in store for portions of
western NM on Friday. Temperatures start to slide on Saturday as
heights lower, but will remain well above normal. Additionally on
Saturday, breezy to locally windy conditions are expected areawide
as a storm system approaches the state. This system will cross
northern NM on Saturday night and Sunday, likely bringing light snow
across the northern mountains and potentially northeast NM as well.
This system will also drop temperatures on Sunday on the order of 10
to 20 degrees from Saturday's highs. A more unsettled pattern is
possible for early next work week. Ventilation values will be fair
to good where winds are forecast to be breezy each day, but most
lower elevation locales will have poor vent rates each day. The
exception to this rule will be on Sunday. Stronger winds on the back
side of the system should keep some lower elevation locales in the
fair to good category.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Farmington......................  16  44  17  49 /   0   0   0   0
Dulce...........................   7  42  10  48 /   0   0   0   0
Cuba............................  15  45  19  50 /   0   0   0   0
Gallup..........................   7  52  13  56 /   0   0   0   0
El Morro........................  16  49  23  55 /   0   0   0   0
Grants..........................  10  53  15  57 /   0   0   0   0
Quemado.........................  19  54  23  56 /   0   0   0   0
Magdalena.......................  26  55  31  57 /   0   0   0   0
Datil...........................  21  54  25  56 /   0   0   0   0
Reserve.........................  15  61  18  64 /   0   0   0   0
Glenwood........................  26  62  29  67 /   0   0   0   0
Chama...........................   8  37  13  44 /   0   0   0   0
Los Alamos......................  23  43  27  49 /   0   0   0   0
Pecos...........................  19  44  26  52 /   0   0   0   0
Cerro/Questa....................  17  40  21  45 /   0   0   0   0
Red River.......................   9  33  18  38 /   0   0   0   0
Angel Fire......................   4  37  15  43 /   0   0   0   0
Taos............................  10  42  14  48 /   0   0   0   0
Mora............................  14  46  26  51 /   0   0   0   0
Espanola........................  15  48  21  54 /   0   0   0   0
Santa Fe........................  20  43  27  50 /   0   0   0   0
Santa Fe Airport................  18  46  22  52 /   0   0   0   0
Albuquerque Foothills...........  26  49  30  54 /   0   0   0   0
Albuquerque Heights.............  25  50  28  56 /   0   0   0   0
Albuquerque Valley..............  22  52  24  58 /   0   0   0   0
Albuquerque West Mesa...........  24  51  26  56 /   0   0   0   0
Belen...........................  16  53  19  58 /   0   0   0   0
Bernalillo......................  22  51  25  57 /   0   0   0   0
Bosque Farms....................  16  52  19  57 /   0   0   0   0
Corrales........................  22  51  24  57 /   0   0   0   0
Los Lunas.......................  17  52  19  57 /   0   0   0   0
Placitas........................  23  48  28  54 /   0   0   0   0
Rio Rancho......................  24  50  27  56 /   0   0   0   0
Socorro.........................  26  56  29  60 /   0   0   0   0
Sandia Park/Cedar Crest.........  22  46  28  51 /   0   0   0   0
Tijeras.........................  25  46  29  52 /   0   0   0   0
Edgewood........................  21  47  27  53 /   0   0   0   0
Moriarty/Estancia...............  11  51  20  55 /   0   0   0   0
Clines Corners..................  17  45  25  51 /   0   0   0   0
Mountainair.....................  21  49  28  54 /   0   0   0   0
Gran Quivira....................  22  50  28  55 /   0   0   0   0
Carrizozo.......................  30  56  33  59 /   0   0   0   0
Ruidoso.........................  28  53  35  56 /   0   0   0   0
Capulin.........................  13  40  20  45 /   0   0   0   0
Raton...........................  11  40  19  48 /   0   0   0   0
Springer........................  12  44  19  50 /   0   0   0   0
Las Vegas.......................  15  48  28  53 /   0   0   0   0
Clayton.........................  20  39  26  47 /   0   0   0   0
Roy.............................  16  40  24  47 /   0   0   0   0
Conchas.........................  21  50  25  54 /   0   0   0   0
Santa Rosa......................  19  52  30  58 /   0   0   0   0
Tucumcari.......................  20  48  27  53 /   0   0   0   0
Clovis..........................  22  48  30  57 /   0   0   0   0
Portales........................  21  49  28  59 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Sumner.....................  20  49  24  60 /   0   0   0   0
Roswell.........................  27  53  27  65 /   0   0   0   0
Picacho.........................  27  55  34  65 /   0   0   0   0
Elk.............................  28  59  34  64 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

SHORT TERM...11
LONG TERM....11
AVIATION...42

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

9 drought. Local standard time, as filed.

Drought, Far Northwest Highlands

When
January 1, 12:00 AM MST to January 31, 11:59 PM MST
Where
Far Northwest Highlands forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
36.236, -107.293 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Severe drought conditions were introduced to the northern portion of the zone.

Drought, Southwest Mountains

When
January 1, 12:00 AM MST to January 31, 11:59 PM MST
Where
Southwest Mountains forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
33.961, -107.667 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Severe drought conditions were introduced into the central and southern part of the zone.

Drought, San Francisco River Valley

When
January 1, 12:00 AM MST to January 31, 11:59 PM MST
Where
San Francisco River Valley forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
33.915, -108.405 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Extreme drought conditions were introduced to the southern half portion of the zone.

Drought, Tusas Mountains Including Chama

When
January 1, 12:00 AM MST to January 31, 11:59 PM MST
Where
Tusas Mountains Including Chama forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
36.544, -106.162 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Severe drought conditions were introduced to the northwest portion of the zone.

Drought, South Central Mountains

When
January 1, 12:00 AM MST to January 31, 11:59 PM MST
Where
South Central Mountains forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
33.745, -105.459 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Severe drought conditions expanded across the southern portion and into central portions of the zone.

Drought, Chaves County Plains

When
January 1, 12:00 AM MST to January 31, 11:59 PM MST
Where
Chaves County Plains forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
33.363, -104.467 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Severe drought conditions persisted across the far southern border of the zone around Lake Arthur.

Drought, Eastern Lincoln County

When
January 1, 12:00 AM MST to January 31, 11:59 PM MST
Where
Eastern Lincoln County forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
33.745, -105.459 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Severe drought conditions expanded across the southern portion of the zone.

Drought, Southwest Chaves County

When
January 1, 12:00 AM MST to January 31, 11:59 PM MST
Where
Southwest Chaves County forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
33.363, -104.467 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Severe drought conditions persisted across a majority of the zone.

Drought, Northwest Plateau

When
January 1, 12:00 AM MST to January 31, 11:59 PM MST
Where
Northwest Plateau forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
36.045, -108.291 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Severe drought conditions were introduced to the far northern portion of the zone.

What these are

Drought
A drought reaching severe (D2) or worse on the US Drought Monitor, or with notable impacts.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in New Mexico in 2025Every state in 2025This day in weather historyWarnings in New Mexico, January 2025

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1225985, 1225988, 1225989, 1225990, 1225991, 1225992, 1225993, 1225994, 1226706.