Severe drought conditions impacted 3 counties of Central Texas during the month of January.
Every event with a place to put it; 3 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS FWD wrote it up.
Severe drought conditions impacted 3 counties of Central Texas during the month of January.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Fort Worth, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Dec 31, 5:49 PM CST, 6 hours 11 minutes earlier. Its key messages:
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 549 PM CST Tue Dec 31 2024 ...New Short Term, Aviation... .KEY MESSAGES... - Near-normal temperatures will continue through the remainder of the week. - There are chances for showers and thunderstorms on Sunday with the arrival of another strong cold front. - Arctic air is expected to arrive next week. How cold this air will be and whether we will see any precipitation remain uncertain at this time. && .SHORT TERM... /NEW/ /Through New Year's Evening/ Seasonably cool and dry air continues to spill south through the Plains behind last night's cold front. Clear skies and light north winds will provide decent radiative cooling conditions, allowing overnight temperatures to drop into the 30 area-wide. Winds will veer to the northeast tonight through Wednesday, but another day of cool air advection will offset the sunny skies, keeping highs in the 50s for New Year's Day. Winds will continue to veer to the southeast Wednesday evening as the post-frontal surface ridge heads for the Mississippi Valley. Despite the return flow, little in the way of warm air advection will initially occur, making for another cool night Wednesday night. 30 && .LONG TERM... /Issued 216 PM CST Tue Dec 31 2024/ /Wednesday Night Through Early Next Week/ Mild weather will continue through the first half of the weekend, with a pattern change expected late this weekend into next week. Thursday won't be quite as cool as southerly winds return, with afternoon highs expected to be in the upper 50s to mid 60s. A reinforcing cold front will arrive Thursday afternoon, but will pass through rather unnoticed other than a return of north winds. Isolated showers may develop ahead of the front in our Southeast Texas counties, but rain chances will remain low (10-20%). Thursday night and Friday will be a few degrees cooler behind the front, with a light freeze expected in portions of North Texas and the Big Country Friday morning. Afternoon highs on Friday will generally be in the 50s. Moisture will return Saturday/Saturday night as low level southerly flow strengthens ahead of our next system. Late Saturday, lee cyclogenesis is expected to occur, and a surface low will eject into the Southern Plains accompanied by a strong cold front. Chances for showers and storms will return Sunday as the surface low/cold front approach the area, with the cold front currently slated to arrive late Sunday into Monday. While a threat for severe thunderstorms may materialize on Sunday, it remains difficult to quantify this threat as its dependent on several variables that are uncertain at this time. Continue to monitor the forecast over the next few days. Looking ahead to next week, Arctic air is expected to arrive behind the cold front, bringing much colder temperatures to the region. Here is the latest information on what we are expecting next week. What we know: 1) Much colder temperatures will arrive on Monday, and cold weather will persist for *at least* a few days. 2) There is medium confidence that precipitation will return at some point next week. What we don't know: 1) How cold temperatures will get and how long the cold temperatures will last. Ensemble guidance is in good agreement that it will be cold Monday through Wednesday *at a minimum*, but there is not good agreement on how cold it will be. The reasonable low-end/cold scenario would be high temperatures in the mid 20s to mid 30s and lows in the teens and 20s. On the other hand, the reasonable high- end/warm scenario would be highs in the upper 30s to 40s and lows in the upper 20s and 30s. Beyond Wednesday, there is no clear consensus in whether temperatures will moderate or remain cold. 2) If, when, and where any precipitation chances will align with the cold air. Many ensemble guidance members continue to produce QPF next week with the latest 12Z data, which is consistent with previous runs. However, there are many discrepancies in timing and placement of any precipitation. Ensemble members are clustering around two potential time frames for precipitation: one being Tuesday to Thursday and the other being Wednesday to Friday. Given the uncertainty in the temperature forecast discussed above, there is inherent uncertainty in the expected precipitation type if and when precipitation occurs. Additionally, any chances for precipitation will be largely tied to our upper level pattern, and any changes to the upper level pattern could have drastic impacts on what we see (or don't see) here in North and Central Texas. With all of that said... Is there a chance you'll see wintry precipitation? Yes. Is there a chance you will see liquid rain? Yes. Is there a chance you will see no precipitation at all? Also yes. The drastic differences discussed (in grave detail) in the previous paragraphs speak volumes of the degree of uncertainty in the forecast next week. Keep that in mind before you jump on any one model solution you see floating around, and ensure you obtain weather related information from trusted sources. What you should continue to do is monitor the forecast over the next several days and stay updated with the latest information as all of these details eventually come to light. Additionally, with January officially beginning tomorrow... if you haven't prepped your home for cold weather, now would be a great time to do that! Barnes && .AVIATION... /NEW/ /00Z TAFs/ Light north to northeast winds will veer to southeast Wednesday night. Conditions will otherwise be VFR with overall quiet aviation weather expected. 30 && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Dallas-Ft. Worth 37 52 39 61 37 / 0 0 0 0 0 Waco 36 55 38 62 38 / 0 0 0 5 0 Paris 34 51 34 56 34 / 0 0 0 5 0 Denton 33 52 34 60 32 / 0 0 0 0 0 McKinney 34 52 36 58 34 / 0 0 0 0 0 Dallas 38 54 38 61 37 / 0 0 0 0 0 Terrell 35 53 36 59 35 / 0 0 0 5 0 Corsicana 39 55 40 60 40 / 0 0 0 5 0 Temple 36 57 39 64 39 / 0 0 0 0 0 Mineral Wells 34 53 34 63 33 / 0 0 0 0 0 && .FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. &&
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 215 PM CST Tue Dec 31 2024 TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-011130- Montague-Cooke-Grayson-Fannin-Lamar-Young-Jack-Wise-Denton-Collin- Hunt-Delta-Hopkins-Stephens-Palo Pinto-Parker-Tarrant-Dallas- Rockwall-Kaufman-Van Zandt-Rains-Eastland-Erath-Hood-Somervell- Johnson-Ellis-Henderson-Comanche-Mills-Hamilton-Bosque-Hill-Navarro- Freestone-Anderson-Lampasas-Coryell-Bell-McLennan-Falls-Limestone- Leon-Milam-Robertson- 215 PM CST Tue Dec 31 2024 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for North and Central Texas. .DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday. Thunderstorm chances will return on Sunday with the arrival of a strong cold front. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
3 drought. Local standard time, as filed.
Severe drought conditions impacted Bell County for the entire month of January.
Severe drought conditions impacted the southern half of Coryell County for the entire month of January.
Severe drought conditions impacted the eastern half of Lampasas County for the entire month of January.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2025Every state in 2025This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, January 2025
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1234337, 1234338, 1234339.