Texas, 2025

Drought in Texas, February 1 to 28, 2025

February 1 to 28, 2025 · NWS SJT · 6 events in 6 counties and zones

The US Drought monitor indicated moderate/severe drought conditions east of a Brownwood to Sonora line during the month of February. Also, abnormally dry conditions to localized moderate drought conditions developed and spread north across the remainder of west central Texas.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 6 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
6

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS SJT wrote it up.

The US Drought monitor indicated moderate/severe drought conditions east of a Brownwood to Sonora line during the month of February. Also, abnormally dry conditions to localized moderate drought conditions developed and spread north across the remainder of west central Texas.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS San Angelo, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jan 31, 10:52 PM CST, 1 hour 8 minutes earlier. Its key messages:

  • Dry weather is expected through next week, along with a significant warm-up.
  • Record or near record highs are anticipated Sunday and Monday at Abilene and San Angelo. This will be part of a time span with well-above normal temperatures Saturday through at least Wednesday.
Area forecast discussion, Jan 31, 10:52 PM CST, 1 hour 8 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
1052 PM CST Fri Jan 31 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Dry weather is expected through next week, along with a
  significant warm-up.

- Record or near record highs are anticipated Sunday and Monday
  at Abilene and San Angelo. This will be part of a time span with
  well-above normal temperatures Saturday through at least
  Wednesday.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Saturday)
Issued at 155 PM CST Fri Jan 31 2025

Northwest winds will continue to be gusty through the early
evening hours before diminishing to light and variable after 6 PM.
Winds will remain light through the overnight hours, allowing for
good radiational cooling conditions. With that in mind, went a
little cooler than NBM lows for some of our valley locations. On
Saturday, winds will turn to the south to southwest and increase
into the 10 to 15 MPH range by early afternoon. With continued
sunny skies and southerly flow, temperatures will be able to warm
into the mid 70s for most of the area.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday night through next Friday)
Issued at 155 PM CST Fri Jan 31 2025

The main story in the long term will be the well above normal and
potentially record breaking temperatures. South/southwest winds,
850mb thermal ridging, and clear skies allowing plenty of sunshine
will combine to bring much warmer conditions to West Central
Texas. High temperatures Sunday and Monday will be 20+ degrees
above normal and very close or above record high temperatures for
the day (record highs on 2/2 and 2/3 are 82 degrees for both San
Angelo and Abilene).

Models are coming into slightly better agreement for the cold
front late Monday into Tuesday. The GFS is still bringing the
front into our area, but has it stalling out in our northern
counties before quickly returning north, which limits its impacts
on temperatures. Other models continue to keep it north of our
area. So, temperatures will likely remain above normal through at
least Thursday. We could see another cold front Thursday or
Friday, but the strength, timing, and southward extent of the
front is still uncertain.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1050 PM CST Fri Jan 31 2025

Winds should remain light and variable until midday Saturday when
they will shift out of the southwest and increase to 10-15KT with
gusts around 20. Otherwise, VFR conditions are expected through
the TAF period.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene     68  40  75  51 /   0   0   0   0
San Angelo  70  36  75  48 /   0   0   0   0
Junction    71  33  76  44 /   0   0   0   0
Brownwood   68  34  75  43 /   0   0   0   0
Sweetwater  68  40  76  50 /   0   0   0   0
Ozona       69  39  73  43 /   0   0   0   0
Brady       68  37  74  48 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

SHORT TERM...20
LONG TERM....AP
AVIATION...SK

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

6 drought. Local standard time, as filed.

Drought, McCulloch

When
February 1, 12:00 AM CST to February 28, 11:59 PM CST
Where
McCulloch forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
31.199, -99.347 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

The US Drought Monitor indicated moderate/severe drought conditions across McCulloch County during the month of February.

Drought, San Saba

When
February 1, 12:00 AM CST to February 28, 11:59 PM CST
Where
San Saba forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
31.155, -98.818 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

The US Drought Monitor indicated moderate/severe drought conditions across San Saba County during the month of February.

Drought, Menard

When
February 1, 12:00 AM CST to February 28, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Menard forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
30.890, -99.821 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

The US Drought Monitor indicated moderate/severe drought conditions across Menard County during the month of February.

Drought, Mason

When
February 1, 12:00 AM CST to February 28, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Mason forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
30.718, -99.226 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

The US Drought Monitor indicated moderate/severe drought conditions across Mason County during the month of February.

Drought, Kimble

When
February 1, 12:00 AM CST to February 28, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Kimble forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
30.487, -99.749 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

The US Drought Monitor indicated moderate/severe drought conditions across Kimble County during the month of February.

Drought, Crockett

When
February 1, 12:00 AM CST to February 28, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Crockett forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
30.723, -101.412 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

The US Drought Monitor indicated moderate to severe drought conditions across southern and western portions of Crockett County during the month of February.

What these are

Drought
A drought reaching severe (D2) or worse on the US Drought Monitor, or with notable impacts.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Texas in 2025Every state in 2025This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, February 2025

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1237350, 1237351, 1237352, 1237353, 1237354, 1238741.