New Mexico, 2025Drought in New Mexico, December 1 to 31, 2025
December 1 to 31, 2025 · NWS EPZ · 16 events in 16 counties and zones
December was a very dry month across southern New Mexico but there was no change to drought categories during the month.
Every event with a place to put it; 16 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
- Tornadoes
- Tropical storms and surge
- Floods
- Wind
- Hail
- Winter weather
- Heat and drought
- Cold
- Fire, smoke and dust
- Marine and coastal
- Other
Open the live radar over this ground
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- None recorded
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 16
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
December was a very dry month across southern New Mexico but there was no change to drought categories during the month.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS El Paso, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Nov 30, 10:21 PM MST, 1 hour 39 minutes earlier. Its key messages:
- Updated at 950 PM MST Sun Nov 30 2025
- Dry conditions, gentle warming, and afternoon breezes through midweek.
- A storm system brings a low to medium chance of lowland rain and mountain snow showers going into Thursday.
- Dry and breezy conditions will return going into Friday and Saturday.
Area forecast discussion, Nov 30, 10:21 PM MST, 1 hour 39 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
1021 PM MST Sun Nov 30 2025
...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 950 PM MST Sun Nov 30 2025
- Dry conditions, gentle warming, and afternoon breezes through
midweek.
- A storm system brings a low to medium chance of lowland rain
and mountain snow showers going into Thursday.
- Dry and breezy conditions will return going into Friday and
Saturday.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 950 PM MST Sun Nov 30 2025
Some minor changes from previous forecast packages during the Day
4/5 period. Several weak troughs will move across the Intermountain
west through the period with very little, if any weather impacts
expected. All in all, generally quiet and fair weather conditions
can be expected through the first week of December with seasonal
temperatures and low-end chances of precipitation on Thursday and
Friday.
On Monday (Day 1), the first trough will quickly move east across
the Central Rockies with very little changes in sensible weather
across the Borderland Region. That said, the east winds we saw on
Sunday will veer to the west, allowing for temperatures to warm
slightly back to or slightly above the seasonal average for December
1st. High temperatures will top out in the low 60s across the desert
lowlands. The westerly flow regime aloft will remain in place across
the Desert SW on Tuesday and Wednesday (Day 2 & 3) leading to light
afternoon breezes and afternoon temperatures in the middle to upper
60s across the desert lowlands. With drier air in place at the
surface and winds becoming light and variable overnight, overnight
low temperatures Tuesday morning will be near or below freezing
across most of the forecast area. Low temperatures for El Paso
proper will stay clear of dropping below freezing, with lows in the
middle 30s.
By Thursday (Day 4), the next upper trough will dive southeast
across the Great Basin and Four Corners/Central Rockies vicinity.
There still remains some minor discrepancies between model/ensemble
guidance with regards to how deep/strong this upper level system
will be, along with exact track and timing. 30.18 GFS guidance has
said system slightly strong, with more moisture to work with. 30.12
ECMWF guidance is not as bullish in terms of strength, along with
being more progress and not having as much moisture associated with
it. That being said, looking at GFS/ECMWF respected ensemble suites,
along with NBM guidance, probabilities of seeing measurable
precipitation (>/= 0.01") is low (20-40 percent) across the desert
lowlands along and south of I-10 corridor. Areas north, especially
over the mountains have medium confidence of seeing precipitation
during the Thursday timeframe with greatest chances over the
Sacramento Mtns. Low levels through the duration of this system will
be above 7500 ft where light snow can be expected. NBM probs show 20-
30 percent chance of > 1.0" of snow over the Sacramento Mtns. The
upper level flow regime remains progressive. However, the upper
level storm system track remains to the north over the
Central/Northern Rockies with conditions remaining dry through the
weekend
&&
.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 950 PM MST Sun Nov 30 2025
VMC expected through the period. Skies SKC to FEW250 will becoming
SKC areawide during the overnight and morning timeframe. Winds
light 3-7 knots and VRB through the morning, becoming W/NW during
the afternoon at 8-13 knots with gusts to 20 knots.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 1041 AM MST Sun Nov 30 2025
Dry with some occasional breezy conditions are expected through
midweek. The windiest days look to be Tuesday and Wednesday.
Temperatures will be within a few degrees of normal and RH's
above 20 percent. An upper trough will move through late Wednesday
into Thursday and could bring some light precipitation to the area
but the amount of moisture available is in question. Vent rates
the next couple of days will be fair to good.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
El Paso 65 38 66 44 / 0 0 0 0
Sierra Blanca 61 31 63 38 / 0 0 0 0
Las Cruces 60 31 61 36 / 0 0 0 0
Alamogordo 58 30 60 37 / 0 0 0 0
Cloudcroft 37 21 40 28 / 0 0 0 0
Truth or Consequences 57 31 61 35 / 0 0 0 0
Silver City 55 31 56 32 / 0 0 0 0
Deming 63 32 65 35 / 0 0 0 0
Lordsburg 60 32 61 33 / 0 0 0 0
West El Paso Metro 63 39 64 43 / 0 0 0 0
Dell City 65 27 66 37 / 0 0 0 0
Fort Hancock 69 36 71 42 / 0 0 0 0
Loma Linda 57 34 58 40 / 0 0 0 0
Fabens 66 34 68 42 / 0 0 0 0
Santa Teresa 62 33 63 37 / 0 0 0 0
White Sands HQ 61 38 63 43 / 0 0 0 0
Jornada Range 59 28 61 35 / 0 0 0 0
Hatch 62 28 65 34 / 0 0 0 0
Columbus 65 36 67 40 / 0 0 0 0
Orogrande 58 29 61 35 / 0 0 0 0
Mayhill 51 25 55 33 / 0 0 0 0
Mescalero 48 23 50 30 / 0 0 0 0
Timberon 48 23 49 28 / 0 0 0 0
Winston 52 23 56 28 / 0 0 0 0
Hillsboro 58 31 62 35 / 0 0 0 0
Spaceport 57 26 61 31 / 0 0 0 0
Lake Roberts 54 26 56 28 / 0 0 0 0
Hurley 57 30 59 32 / 0 0 0 0
Cliff 61 28 62 30 / 0 0 0 0
Mule Creek 56 27 58 29 / 0 0 0 0
Faywood 57 33 58 35 / 0 0 0 0
Animas 62 33 65 36 / 0 0 0 0
Hachita 61 31 64 36 / 0 0 0 0
Antelope Wells 65 35 66 41 / 0 0 0 0
Cloverdale 57 38 59 39 / 0 0 0 0
&&
.EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
NM...None.
&&
FORECASTER...38-Rogers
Drought, Upper Gila River Valley
- When
- December 1, 12:00 AM MST to December 31, 11:59 PM MST
- Where
- Upper Gila River Valley forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 32.326, -108.548 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
No change was noted in drought conditions as the western half of the zone remained in Extreme(D3) drought and the east in Severe(D2) drought. The Cooperative Observer at Cliff reported 0.19 inches of precipitation which was 1.16 inches below normal.
Drought, Southern Gila Foothills/Mimbres Valley
- When
- December 1, 12:00 AM MST to December 31, 11:59 PM MST
- Where
- Southern Gila Foothills/Mimbres Valley forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 32.460, -108.066 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
The entire zone remained in Severe(D2) drought through December.
Drought, Southwest Desert/Lower Gila River Valley
- When
- December 1, 12:00 AM MST to December 31, 11:59 PM MST
- Where
- Southwest Desert/Lower Gila River Valley forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 32.326, -108.548 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
The western half of the zone remained in Extreme(D3) drought while the east remained in Severe(D2) drought. The Cooperative Observer at Redrock reported 0.16 inches of precipitation which was 0.93 inches below normal.
Drought, Lowlands of the Bootheel
- When
- December 1, 12:00 AM MST to December 31, 11:59 PM MST
- Where
- Lowlands of the Bootheel forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 32.326, -108.548 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Severe(D2) drought continued across the zone in December. The Antelope Wells Cooperative Observer reported 0.08 inches of precipitation which was 0.98 inches below normal.
Drought, Uplands of the Bootheel
- When
- December 1, 12:00 AM MST to December 31, 11:59 PM MST
- Where
- Uplands of the Bootheel forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 31.914, -108.715 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
The entire zone remained in Severe(D2) drought throughout the month of December.
Drought, Southwest Desert/Mimbres Basin
- When
- December 1, 12:00 AM MST to December 31, 11:59 PM MST
- Where
- Southwest Desert/Mimbres Basin forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 32.460, -108.066 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Severe(D2) drought remained in place across the zone. The Deming Airport reported 0.07 inches of precipitation which was 0.65 inches below normal.
Drought, Eastern Black Range Foothills
- When
- December 1, 12:00 AM MST to December 31, 11:59 PM MST
- Where
- Eastern Black Range Foothills forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 32.684, -107.775 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Severe(D2) drought continued through the entire month. The Hillsboro Cooperative Observer reported 0.01 inch of precipitation which was 0.86 inches below normal.
Drought, Sierra County Lakes
- When
- December 1, 12:00 AM MST to December 31, 11:59 PM MST
- Where
- Sierra County Lakes forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 33.131, -107.192 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
The zone remained in Severe(D2) drought through December. The Truth or Consequences Airport reported 0.02 inches of precipitation which was 0.58 inches below normal.
Drought, Northern Dona Ana County
- When
- December 1, 12:00 AM MST to December 31, 11:59 PM MST
- Where
- Northern Dona Ana County forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 32.353, -106.833 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Severe(D2) drought continued through the month of December.
Drought, Southern Dona Ana County/Mesilla Valley
- When
- December 1, 12:00 AM MST to December 31, 11:59 PM MST
- Where
- Southern Dona Ana County/Mesilla Valley forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 32.353, -106.833 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
The entire zone remained in Severe(D2) drought in December. The Cooperative Observer at New Mexico State University reported 0.02 inches of precipitation which was 0.62 inches below normal.
Drought, Otero Mesa
- When
- December 1, 12:00 AM MST to December 31, 11:59 PM MST
- Where
- Otero Mesa forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 32.613, -105.742 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Severe(D2) drought continued over all but the southwest portion where Moderate(D1) drought continued.
Drought, Central Grant County/Silver City Area
- When
- December 1, 12:00 AM MST to December 31, 11:59 PM MST
- Where
- Central Grant County/Silver City Area forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 32.739, -108.382 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Severe(D2) drought remained in place through the month. The White Signal Cooperative Observer only received a trace of precipitation which was 1.50 inches below normal.
Drought, Southern Gila Region Highlands/Black Range
- When
- December 1, 12:00 AM MST to December 31, 11:00 PM MST
- Where
- Southern Gila Region Highlands/Black Range forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 32.935, -107.787 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Extreme(D3) drought remained across the west while Severe(D2) drought continued over the east.
Drought, West Central Tularosa Basin/White Sands
- When
- December 1, 12:00 AM MST to December 31, 11:59 PM MST
- Where
- West Central Tularosa Basin/White Sands forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 32.699, -106.589 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Severe(D2) drought conditions remained over the west while Moderate(D1) drought continued over the east. The White Sands National Monument reported 0.07 inches of precipitation which was 0.67 inches below normal.
Drought, East Central Tularosa Basin/Alamogordo
- When
- December 1, 12:00 AM MST to December 31, 11:59 PM MST
- Where
- East Central Tularosa Basin/Alamogordo forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 32.613, -105.742 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
The western half of the zone remained in Severe(D2) drought while the east remained in Moderate(D1) drought.
Drought, Southeast Tularosa Basin
- When
- December 1, 12:00 AM MST to December 31, 11:59 PM MST
- Where
- Southeast Tularosa Basin forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 32.613, -105.742 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
The western half of the zone remained in Severe(D2) drought while the east remained in Moderate(D1) drought.
- Drought
- A drought reaching severe (D2) or worse on the US Drought Monitor, or with notable impacts.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Winter Weather in Oklahoma, December 1, 20252 deaths · 27 injured · 3 events
- Winter Weather in Missouri, December 1, 20252 deaths · 7 injured · 7 events
- Winter Weather in Missouri, December 1, 202529 injured · 9 events
- Winter Weather in Illinois, December 1, 20251 death · 1 event
- Strong Wind in Arizona, December 1, 20251 death · 1 event
- Drought in Missouri, December 1 to 31, 2025$6.7 million · 10 events
- Winter Storm and Winter Weather in Ohio, December 1 to 2, 202532 events
- Drought in Illinois, December 1 to 31, 202526 events
- Drought in Texas, December 1 to 31, 202520 events
- Drought in Alabama, December 1 to 31, 202519 events
- Drought in Maine, December 1 to 31, 202518 events
- Drought in Florida, December 1 to 31, 202518 events
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1304906, 1304907, 1304908, 1304909, 1304910, 1304911, 1304912, 1304913, 1304914, 1304915, 1304916, 1304917, 1304918, 1304919, 1304920, 1304921.